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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201712.0150.v1

Probability Distribution of Philippine Daily Rainfall Data

Vanessa Althea B. Bermudez, Ariel Bettina B. Abilgos, Diane Carmeliza N. Cuaresma, Jomar F. Rabajante

Subject: Environmental And Earth Sciences, Atmospheric Science And Meteorology Keywords: Philippines; rainfall; precipitation; Gamma distribution; probability; weather risk

Online: 21 December 2017 (04:43:17 CET)

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Preprint TECHNICAL NOTE | doi:10.20944/preprints201811.0259.v1

Deterministic and Probabilistic Engineering Cost Estimating Approaches for Complex Urban Drainage Infrastructure Capital Improvement (CIP) Programs

Thewodros K. Geberemariam

Subject: Engineering, Civil Engineering Keywords: risk management; deterministic; probabilistic; engineering cost estimating; uncertainty; cost estimating methods; urban drainage infrastructure; Capital Improvement (CIP) Programs

Online: 12 November 2018 (04:27:22 CET)

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Preprint REVIEW | doi:10.20944/preprints202104.0383.v1

Future of Construction Industry: COVID-19 and Its Implications on Construction Projects and Risk Management – A Review

Kushal Adhikari, Lochana Poudyal

Subject: Engineering, Automotive Engineering Keywords: COVID-19; pandemic; construction project; risk management; use of technology; recovery and resilience

Online: 14 April 2021 (14:12:17 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints202003.0356.v1

Initial Review and Analysis of COVID-19 Host Genetics and Associated Phenotypes

Yosuke Tanigawa, Manuel Rivas

Subject: Biology And Life Sciences, Biochemistry And Molecular Biology Keywords: COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; host genetics; genetics; polygenic risk score

Online: 24 March 2020 (08:36:20 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201903.0128.v1

An Updated Review on the Epidemiology, Pathophysiology, Etiology and Diagnosis of Liver Cirrhosis

Gee Young Geong, Sun Hyung Kang, Chang Min Lee

Subject: Medicine And Pharmacology, Gastroenterology And Hepatology Keywords: Liver cirrhosis; epidemiology; etiology; risk factors; pathophysiology; diagnosis.

Online: 11 March 2019 (09:44:18 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.3390/sci2040077

Atmospheric Temperature and CO<sub>2</sub>: Hen-or-Egg Causality?

Demetris Koutsoyiannis, Zbigniew Kundzewicz

Subject: Environmental And Earth Sciences, Environmental Science Keywords: temperature; global warming; greenhouse gases; atmospheric CO₂ concentration

Online: 20 October 2020 (00:00:00 CEST)

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Preprint REVIEW | doi:10.20944/preprints201908.0316.v1

Airborne Microplastics: A Review Study on Method for Analysis, Occurrence, Movement and Risks

Enyoh Christian Ebere, Verla Andrew Wirnkor, Verla Evelyn Ngozi, Ibe Francis Chizoruo, Amaobi Collins Emeka

Subject: Chemistry And Materials Science, Analytical Chemistry Keywords: air pollution; dermal route; fibers; health risk; inhalation; micropollutants

Online: 30 August 2019 (05:08:43 CEST)

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Preprint BRIEF REPORT | doi:10.20944/preprints202005.0094.v1

Covid-19 Situation in Bangladesh

Abdul Kader Mohiuddin

Subject: Public Health And Healthcare, Health Policy And Services Keywords: COVID-19 Lockdown; Shortage of PPEs; Global Pandemic Crisis; Incentives for Officials at Risk

Online: 6 May 2020 (08:45:39 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201903.0104.v1

Cyber Risk in IoT Systems

Petar Radanliev, David Charles De Roure, Carsten Maple, Jason R.C. Nurse, Razvan Nicolescu, Uchenna Ani

Subject: Engineering, Control And Systems Engineering Keywords: cyber risk; Internet of Things; cyber risk impact assessment; cyber risk estimation; cyber risk insurance

Online: 8 March 2019 (08:50:49 CET)

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Preprint REVIEW | doi:10.20944/preprints201804.0066.v1

Cybercrime and Risks for Cyber Physical Systems: A Review

Abel Yeboah-ofori, Jamal-Deen Abdulai, Ferdinand Katsriku

Subject: Computer Science And Mathematics, Information Systems Keywords: cyber physical systems; cybercrime; risk mitigation; risk management; industrial control systems

Online: 5 April 2018 (06:10:06 CEST)

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Cyber Physical Systems (CPS) is the integration of computation and physical process that makes a complete system such as the physical components, networked systems, embedded computers and software and linking together of devices and sensors for information sharing. Cyber Physical Systems are Smart Systems that comprises of the merging and integration of Industry Control Systems, Critical Infrastructures, Internet of Things (IoT) and Embedded Systems. Major industries such as the Chemical and Industrial Plants, Aviation Systems, National Grid, the Stock Exchange, Military Systems, and others depends heavily on these Cyber Physical Systems for financial and economic growth. The benefits of CPS nationally and globally are in the areas of Manufacturing, Energy, Transport, Healthcare and Communication. Cyber Physical Systems incorporates Physical systems, Digital systems and Human elements on network infrastructures to provide interactive systems. However, these three key components the Physical systems, Digital systems and Human elements may have inherent threats and vulnerabilities on them that may run the risk of being compromise, exploited, attacked or hacked. Cybercriminals in their quest to bring down these systems and may cause disruption of services either for fame, revenge, political motive, economic war, cyber terrorism and cyber war. The study seeks to review the risks that are associated with these three key components Physical systems, Digital systems and Human elements. The study considered four main risk mitigation goals for this purpose, and these are Business Value, Organizational Requirements, Threat Agent and Impact based on the review results. We used Analytical Hierarchical Process (AHP) to determine the relative importance of these goals that contributes to developing cybercrime and rich in CPS. For the results, the prioritized goals are then used to assess the risks using a semi-quantitative approach to determine the net threat level.

Preprint REVIEW | doi:10.20944/preprints201608.0045.v1

Risks of Climate Change on the Singapore-Malaysia High Speed Rail System

Sazrul Leena Binti Sa’adin, Sakdirat Kaewunruen, David Jaroszweski

Subject: Engineering, Civil Engineering Keywords: railway infrastructure; high-speed rail; tracks; risk; management and monitoring; climate change; global warming; adaptation; operational readiness

Online: 5 August 2016 (05:11:02 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints202003.0440.v1

COVID-19: A Drug Repurposing and Biomarker Identification by Using Comprehensive Gene-Disease Associations through Protein-Protein Interaction Network Analysis

Suresh Kumar

Subject: Biology And Life Sciences, Virology Keywords: COVID-19; SARS-CoV-2; 2019-nCoV; novel corona virus; drug repurposing; chloroquine; high-risk group; asymptomatic

Online: 30 March 2020 (07:24:16 CEST)

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COVID-19 (2019-nCoV) is a pandemic disease with an estimated mortality rate of 3.4% (estimated by the WHO as of March 3, 2020). Until now there is no antiviral drug and vaccine for COVID-19. The current overwhelming situation by COVID-19 patients in hospitals is likely to increase in the next few months. About 15 percent of patients with serious disease in COVID-19 require immediate health services. Rather than waiting for new anti-viral drugs or vaccines that take a few months to years to develop and test, several researchers and public health agencies are attempting to repurpose medicines that are already approved for another similar disease and have proved to be fairly effective. This study aims to identify FDA approved drugs that can be used for drug repurposing and identify biomarkers among high- risk and asymptomatic groups. In this study gene-disease association related to COVID-19 reported mild, severe symptoms and clinical outcomes were determined. The high-risk group was studied related to SARS-CoV-2 viral entry and life cycle by using Disgenet and compared with curated COVID-19 gene data sets from the CTD database. The overlapped gene sets were enriched and the selected genes were constructed for protein-protein interaction networks. Through interactome, key genes were identified for COVID-19 and also for high risk and asymptomatic groups. The key hub genes involved in COVID-19 were VEGFA, TNF, IL-6, CXCL8, IL10, CCL2, IL1B, TLR4, ICAM1, MMP9. The identified key genes were used for drug-gene interaction for drug repurposing. The chloroquine, lenalidomide, pentoxifylline, thalidome, sorafenib, pacitaxel, rapamycin, cortisol, statins were proposed to be probable drug repurposing candidates for the treatment of COVID-19. However, these predicted drug candidates need to be validated through randomized clinical trials. Also, a key gene involved in high risk and the asymptomatic group were identified, which can be used as probable biomarkers for early identification.

Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201710.0169.v1

A Longitudinal Approach to Biological Psychiatric Research: The PsyCourse Study

Monika Budde, Heike Anderson-Schmidt, Katrin Gade, Daniela Reich-Erkelenz, Kristina Adorjan, Janos L. Kalman, Fanny Senner, Sergi Papiol, Till F. M. Andlauer, Ashley L. Comes, Eva C. Schulte, Farah Klöhn-Saghatolislam , Anna Gryaznova, Maria Hake, Kim Bartholdi, Laura Flatau, Markus Reitt, Silke Quast, Sophia Stegmaier, Milena Meyers, Barbara Emons, Ida Sybille Haußleiter, Georg Juckel, Vanessa Nieratschker, Udo Dannlowski, Max Schmauß, Jörg Zimmermann, Jens Reimer, Sybille Schulz, Jens Wiltfang, Eva Reininghaus, Ion-George Anghelescu, Volker Arolt, Bernhard T. Baune, Carsten Konrad, Andreas Thiel, Andreas J. Fallgatter, Christian Figge, Martin von Hagen, Manfred Koller, Fabian U. Lang, Moritz E. Wigand, Thomas Becker, Markus Jäger, Detlef E. Dietrich, Sebastian Stierl, Harald Scherk, Carsten Spitzer, Here Folkerts, Stephanie H. Witt, Franziska Degenhardt, Andreas J. Forstner, Marcella Rietschel, Markus M. Nöthen, Peter Falkai, Thomas G. Schulze, Urs Heilbronner

Subject: Medicine And Pharmacology, Psychiatry And Mental Health Keywords: Schizophrenia; bipolar; psychosis; depression; polygenic risk score; diagnosis; RDoC

Online: 27 October 2017 (11:58:11 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints202007.0076.v1

Current Challenges of Cold Brew Coffee – Roasting, Extraction, Flavor Profile, Contamination, and Food Safety

Raven Kwok, Kenny Lee Wee Ting, Steffen Schwarz, Linda Claassen, Dirk W. Lachenmeier

Subject: Chemistry And Materials Science, Food Chemistry Keywords: coffee; cold brew; nitro cold brew; roasting; extraction; hygiene; risk assessment; product quality

Online: 5 July 2020 (14:53:27 CEST)

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Preprint REVIEW | doi:10.20944/preprints201611.0101.v1

Forest Protected Area Systems and Biodiversity Conservation in Bangladesh

Sharif Ahmed Mukul, A. Z. M. Manzoor Rashid, Niaz Ahmed Khan

Subject: Environmental And Earth Sciences, Environmental Science Keywords: biodiversity conservation, livelihood, co-management, stakeholder, law enforcement

Online: 18 November 2016 (15:20:07 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201909.0280.v1

Modelling Market Volatility with Univariate GARCH Models: Evidence from Nasdaq-100

Fuzuli Aliyev, Richard Ajayi, Nijat Gasim

Subject: Business, Economics And Management, Finance Keywords: volatility; risk, garch models; nasdaq-100

Online: 25 September 2019 (09:09:06 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints202010.0432.v1

COVID-19 Pandemic and Tourism: The Impact of Health Risk Perception and Intolerance of Uncertainty on Travel Intentions

Anastasiya Golets, Jéssica Farias, Ronaldo Pilati, Helena Costa

Subject: Business, Economics And Management, Accounting And Taxation Keywords: COVID-19; pandemic; travel intentions; health risk perception; intolerance of uncertainty

Online: 21 October 2020 (11:11:43 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201611.0149.v1

Social License to Operate and Adaptive Co-Marketing: Exchange, Social Capital and Community-Based Social Marketing

Colin Michael Hall, Helena Power

Subject: Business, Economics And Management, Marketing Keywords: adaptive co-marketing; social marketing; community-based social marketing; social license to operate; community engagement; corporate social responsibility; marketing strategy

Online: 30 November 2016 (05:13:35 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201701.0019.v1

The BCC/B2 Morphologies in AlxNiCoFeCr High-Entropy Alloys

Yue Ma, Beibei Jiang, Chunling Li, Qing Wang, Chuang Dong, Peter K Liaw, Fen Xu, Lixian Sun

Subject: Chemistry And Materials Science, Materials Science And Technology Keywords: high-entropy alloys; Al-Ni-Co-Fe-Cr alloys; microstructure; precipitation morphology; mechanical property

Online: 4 January 2017 (10:30:17 CET)

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Preprint COMMUNICATION | doi:10.20944/preprints202004.0536.v1

Hedging Feasibility Perspectives against the COVID-19 for the International Tourism Sector

Angeliki N. Menegaki

Subject: Business, Economics And Management, Economics Keywords: corona-virus; COVID-19; tourism sector; review; risk hedging

Online: 30 April 2020 (14:15:28 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201805.0030.v1

Ready for Green Building Risks? The Case of South Korea from the Architect’s Point of View

Jinho Kim

Subject: Arts And Humanities, Architecture Keywords: green building; risk management; risk factors, risk mitigation measures; architect

Online: 2 May 2018 (16:55:58 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints202302.0414.v1

All-Cause Mortality According to COVID-19 Vaccination Status: an analysis of the UK Office for National Statistics Public Data

Alberto Donzelli, Giovanni Malatesta, Giovanni Di Palmo, Marco Cosentino, Marco Alessandria

Subject: Medicine And Pharmacology, Immunology And Allergy Keywords: COVID-19; COVID-19 vaccinations; all-cause mortality; relative risk

Online: 24 February 2023 (02:03:36 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints202002.0401.v1

Financial Reporting Differences of Profit and Loss Sharing Investment Deposits in Islamic banks: A Cross-Country Study

Faleel Jamaldeen

Subject: Business, Economics And Management, Accounting And Taxation Keywords: Islamic accounting; mudarabah investment deposit; financial reporting of Islamic banks; profit equalization reserve; risk management for Islamic banks

Online: 27 February 2020 (11:22:54 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201808.0420.v1

MODEL OF COMMUNICATION PLANNING FOR CONTINGENCY PLAN OF DISASTER RISK MANAGEMENT SINABUNG VOLCANO ERUPTION

Puji Lestari, Eko Teguh Paripurno, Sari Bahagiarti Kusumayudha, Arif Rianto Budi Nugroho

Subject: Social Sciences, Government Keywords: communication model, volcanic eruption, contingency planning, risk management, Sinabung

Online: 23 August 2018 (16:06:15 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201901.0167.v1

Market Risk and Financial Performance of Non-financial Companies Listed on the Moroccan Stock Exchange

Diby François Kassi, Dilesha Nawadali Rathnayake, Akadje Jean Roland Edjoukou

Subject: Business, Economics And Management, Finance Keywords: Market risk, Financial performance, Non-financial firms, Morocco

Online: 16 January 2019 (13:10:11 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201811.0531.v1

Demystifying Security of LoRaWAN v1.1

Ismail Butun, Nuno Pereira, Mikael Gidlund

Subject: Engineering, Electrical And Electronic Engineering Keywords: Internet of things; sensor node; LPWAN; attacks; vulnerabilities; IoT; analysis; risk; assessment; low power.

Online: 21 November 2018 (15:55:11 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201609.0028.v2

Intra-Urban Mobility in the Estimation of Risk Scenarios by BTEX Emissions

Marco Antonio Garcia-Zarate, María Evarista Arellano-García, Mariana Villada Canela, Patricia Aceves-Calderon, Ana Erika Ruiz-Arellano, Christine Alysse Von- Glascoe, M. C. Arredondo Garcia

Subject: Environmental And Earth Sciences, Environmental Science Keywords: VOC; technological risk; exposure to risks; DRI; risk mapping; SIG; BTEX

Online: 13 September 2016 (03:42:52 CEST)

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Preprint CASE REPORT | doi:10.20944/preprints201608.0105.v1

Blending Science and Community Voices for Multi-Scale Disaster Risk Reduction and Climate Resilience: A Participatory Scenario Planning Approach

Alebachew Adem Nurye

Subject: Social Sciences, Geography, Planning And Development Keywords: Climate change; disaster risk reduction; participatory scenario planning; pastoralism; Ethiopia

Online: 10 August 2016 (10:14:00 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201608.0027.v1

(T,N) and Residual Fuzzy Co-Implication in Dual Heyting Algebra with Applications

Iqbal H. Jebril

Subject: Computer Science And Mathematics, Analysis Keywords: Fuzzy implications; (S,N) implication; residuum t-norm; (T,N) co-implication; residual co-implication

Online: 3 August 2016 (08:29:47 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201707.0067.v1

A Risk Management Assessment of Rural Villages in Abhar County, Iran Using Spatial Analysis and Disaster Readiness Surveys

Mehdi Hajilo, Lori Pennington-Gray, Vahid Riahi, Amir Talkhab

Subject: Social Sciences, Geography, Planning And Development Keywords: spatial analysis; risk taking; preparedness of local population; the City of Abhar

Online: 24 July 2017 (12:40:30 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201608.0132.v1

Case-Based Study of Metrics Derived from Instrumented Fall Risk Assessment Tests

Anabela Martins, Joana Silva, António Santos, João Madureira, Carlos Alcobia, Luís Ferreira, Pedro Mendes, Cláudia Tonelo, Catarina Silva, Daniela Baltazar, Inês Sousa

Subject: Medicine And Pharmacology, Other Keywords: fall risk assessment; risk of falling; force platforms; inertial sensors.

Online: 12 August 2016 (09:32:28 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints202106.0470.v1

River Influx Drives Heavy Metal Pollution in Manila Bay, Philippines: An Insight from Multivariate Analyses

Reymar Diwa, Custer Deocaris, Lawrence Belo

Subject: Environmental And Earth Sciences, Atmospheric Science And Meteorology Keywords: heavy metals; surface sediment; Manila Bay; pollution; multivariate analysis; ecological risk

Online: 18 June 2021 (08:32:18 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201903.0080.v1

Definition of Internet of Things (IoT) Cyber Risk – Discussion on a Transformation Roadmap for Standardisation of Regulations, Risk Maturity, Strategy Design and Impact Assessment

Petar Radanliev, David De Roure, Jason R.C. Nurse, Pete Burnap, Eirini Anthi, Uchenna Ani, La’Treall Maddox, Omar Santos, Rafael Mantilla Montalvo

Subject: Engineering, Control And Systems Engineering Keywords: Internet of Things; Micro Mart model; Goal-Oriented Approach; transformation roadmap; Cyber risk regulations; empirical analysis; cyber risk self-assessment; cyber risk target state

Online: 6 March 2019 (11:47:04 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints202003.0291.v1

Co-infection of Coronavirus Disease 2019 and Influenza: A Report from Iran

Zohre Khodamoradi, Mohsen Moghadami, Mehrzad Lotfi

Subject: Medicine And Pharmacology, Epidemiology And Infectious Diseases Keywords: co-infection; coronavirus disease 2019; COVID-19; influenza

Online: 19 March 2020 (02:00:47 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints202006.0221.v1

Determination of Antibiotic Residue in Milk and Assessment of Human Health Risk in Bangladesh

Md. Rahman, Mohammad Hassan, Sharmin Chowdhury

Subject: Medicine And Pharmacology, Immunology And Allergy Keywords: antibiotic residue; human health; milk; risk assessment; TLC; UHPLC

Online: 17 June 2020 (13:25:29 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201707.0042.v1

Health Risk Assessment of VOCs from Surgical Smoke

Shaohua She, Gang Lu, Wah Yang, Mianwei Hong, Lingfei Zhu

Subject: Public Health And Healthcare, Public, Environmental And Occupational Health Keywords: surgical smoke; volatile organic compounds (VOCs); health risk assessment (HRA); carcinogenic

Online: 17 July 2017 (07:40:18 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201610.0031.v2

The Solvency II Standard Formula, Linear Geometry, and Diversification

Joachim Paulusch

Subject: Computer Science And Mathematics, Applied Mathematics Keywords: Solvency II; Standard Formula; Risk Measure; Diversification; Aggregation; Monotony; Homogeneity; Subadditivity; Euler's Principle; Capital Allocation

Online: 1 March 2017 (08:53:59 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201605.0003.v1

Poly(lactide-co-glycolide)/Hydroxyapatite Porous Scaffold with Microchannels for Bone Regeneration

Ning Zhang, Yang Wang, Wenpeng Xu, Yong Hu, Jianxun Ding

Subject: Chemistry And Materials Science, Polymers And Plastics Keywords: poly(lactide-co-glycolide); hydroxyapatite; porous scaffold; microchannel; cell ingrowth; mass exchange; bone tissue engineering

Online: 27 May 2016 (11:25:30 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201611.0123.v1

Shifting Paradigm of Governance in the Natural Resources Management of Bangladesh: A Centralist to Pluralistic Approach in the Forest Protected Areas Management

A. Z. M. Manzoor Rashid, Donna Craig, Sharif Ahmed Mukul

Subject: Biology And Life Sciences, Forestry Keywords: co-management; livelihoods; conflicts; biodiversity conservation; sustainable development

Online: 24 November 2016 (11:25:34 CET)

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Good governance in natural resource management (NRM) is one of the most challenging issues in developing countries that often inappropriately embedded in national policies and political agendas. It is, in fact, even more important for countries like Bangladesh with exceptionally high pressure and dependence on its natural resources for sustaining rural livelihoods. Globally, nowadays, good governance is considered as one of the key factor for achieving the goal of sustainable development and biodiversity conservation. Bangladesh, of late has responded to that global zeal by involving local communities in the management of country’s declining forest and other natural resources. The colonial legacy of the forestry sector of Bangladesh was planned and, managed as interim projects through donors’ prescriptions. Thus, institutions, management processes and conservation outcomes were problematic. The conventional approach adopted by colonial and post-colonial regimes for forest management also proved to be inefficient due to its top-down management system. The absolute dependency on donor support, and their prescription sometimes worsened the situation both ecologically and socially. Global, regional and local trends supported the need for a different dimension in the governance paradigms. The introduction of a pluralistic approach, known as co-management in protected areas (PAs) is an example of an attempt whereby shared governance mechanism are implemented to attain the desired goals of conservation that will also address the livelihoods and aspirations of communities living in and around PAs of the country. However, in designing future forest and PA regimes the concern of the external aid support and attached conditions remain a reality that needs to be addressed. Adequate attention should be given to our vanishing biodiversity, culture and community livelihoods through devising an appropriate governance mechanism recognizing and supporting local rights, access and participation in the environmental management. It is now time to mainstream the adhoc nature of governance according to our national conservation strategy and policy frameworks in order to achieve the goals and objectives of the Bangladesh NRM sector addressing the human and community right of people in the specific context of forest protected areas management.

Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201903.0094.v1

New Developments in Cyber Physical Systems, the Internet of Things and the Digital Economy – Discussion on Future Developments in the Industrial Internet of Things and Industry 4.0

Petar Radanliev, David De Roure, Jason R.C. Nurse, Razvan Nicolescu, Michael Huth, Stacy Cannady, Rafael Mantilla Montalvo

Subject: Engineering, Control And Systems Engineering Keywords: Internet of Things; Cyber Physical Systems; Digital Economy; Industrial Internet of Things; Industry 4.0; empirical analysis; cyber risk assessment; cyber risk target state

Online: 7 March 2019 (12:25:15 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints202003.0393.v1

Virtual Screening and Molecular Dynamics Simulation Suggest Valproic Acid Co-A could Bind to SARS-CoV2 RNA Depended RNA Polymerase

Neel Sarovar Bhavesh, Anupam Patra

Subject: Biology And Life Sciences, Biophysics Keywords: SARS-CoV2; RNA depended RNA polymerase; Valproic acid Co-A; drug repurposing

Online: 26 March 2020 (15:04:22 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201708.0014.v1

Co-simulation Framework for on-Chip LIDAR Sensors in a Cyber-physical System

Fernando Castaño, Gerardo Beruvides, Rodolfo E. Haber, Antonio Artuñedo

Subject: Physical Sciences, Mathematical Physics Keywords: sensor-in-the-loop; co-simulation framework; virtual CPS; on-chip LiDAR; obstacle recognition library

Online: 4 August 2017 (14:13:13 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints202008.0442.v1

Observed and Potential Environmental Impacts of COVID -19 in Africa

Nyarai Mupatsi

Subject: Environmental And Earth Sciences, Environmental Science Keywords: COVID-19, SARS-Co-V-2, Environment, Africa, Pandemic,Pollution

Online: 20 August 2020 (07:42:57 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201705.0162.v1

CDS Rate Construction Methods by Machine Learning Techniques

Raymond Brummelhuis, Zhongmin Luo

Subject: Computer Science And Mathematics, Information Systems Keywords: machine learning; Counterparty Credit Risk; CDS Proxy construction; classification

Online: 22 May 2017 (08:21:59 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201705.0046.v1

Small Scale Hydroelectric Power Plants in Norway. Some Microeconomic and Environmental Considerations

Johannes Idsø

Subject: Business, Economics And Management, Economics Keywords: small scale hydroelectric power; neumann-mortenstern utility theory; environmental effects of hydro power; hydropower and risk

Online: 5 May 2017 (05:32:02 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201707.0044.v1

A Comprehensive Technological Survey on Dependable Self-Managing CPS: The Decade of Researches on Correctness and Dependability

Peng Zhou, Kunmean HOU, Zhan Zhang, Decheng Zuo, Jian Dong, Jianjin Li, Haiyin Zhou

Subject: Engineering, Control And Systems Engineering Keywords: cyber physical systems; industry 4.0; MDE; hardware and software co-design; lifetime verification & validation; dependability; correctness; flexibility; self-management; self-adapting; self-healing

Online: 17 July 2017 (10:27:33 CEST)

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Preprint CASE REPORT | doi:10.20944/preprints201704.0115.v1

Mobbing and Harcèlement Moral in Comparative Perspective. Study of the Phenomenon in Poland and France.

Monika Budnik

Subject: Social Sciences, Sociology Keywords: Mobbing, Harcèlement moral, Workplace, Psychosocial risk, Content analysis.

Online: 18 April 2017 (17:32:34 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201611.0054.v1

A Hierarchal Risk Assessment Model using the Evidential Reasoning Rule

Xiaoxiao Ji, Jiang Jiang, Jianbin Sun, Yu-wang Chen

Subject: Computer Science And Mathematics, Information Systems Keywords: Risk assessment; Evidential reasoning; Fire/explosion

Online: 9 November 2016 (10:29:29 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints202007.0337.v1

Level of Knowledge, Attitude and Perception About COVID-19 Pandemic and Infection Control: A Cross-Sectional Study Among Veterinarians in Nigeria

Olubukola Adenubi, Oluwawemimo Adebowale, Abimbola Oloye, Noah Bankole, Hezekiah Adesokan, Oladotun Fadipe, Patience Ayo-Ajayi, Adebayo Akinloye

Subject: Social Sciences, Government Keywords: COVID-19; Risk; Knowledge; Attitude; Perception; Veterinarian; Nigeria

Online: 15 July 2020 (12:27:50 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201608.0058.v1

Public Perception of Climate Risk: The Case of Greece

Asimina Voskaki, Konstantinos Tsermenidis

Subject: Environmental And Earth Sciences, Environmental Science Keywords: climate risk; climate change; public perception

Online: 6 August 2016 (04:59:47 CEST)

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Preprint REVIEW | doi:10.20944/preprints201710.0195.v1

Impact of Optimized Protein in Infant Formula on the Metabolic and Nutritional Health in Infants: Systematic Review with Meta-Analysis

Pedro Gutierrez-Castrellon, Javier Luna-Carrasco, Anahi Anzo-Osorio, Luisa Diaz Garcia, Salvador Villalpando-carrion, Gabriel López-Velázquez, Carlos Jiménez-Gutiérrez

Subject: Biology And Life Sciences, Food Science And Technology Keywords: Optimized protein in formula, infants, obesity risk reduction

Online: 31 October 2017 (15:29:45 CET)

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Working Paper ARTICLE

Respiratory Virus Infection Is A High-risk Factor for Developing Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)

MIngyue Chen, Wenxiu Wang, JIng Yu, Zhou Wang, Xiaofeng Zheng, Mingshu Han, Youwei Zhang, LEi Zhang

Subject: Biology And Life Sciences, Virology Keywords: COVID-19; influenza; SARS-CoV-2; ACE2; risk factor

Online: 16 October 2020 (11:49:13 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201610.0083.v1

UPEI-400, a Conjugate of Lipoic Acid and Scopoletin, Mediates Neuroprotection in a Rat Model of Ischemia/Reperfusion

Barry J. Connell, Monique C. Saleh, Desikan Rajagopal, Tarek M. Saleh

Subject: Medicine And Pharmacology, Pathology And Pathobiology Keywords: stroke; antioxidant; co-drug; animal model

Online: 20 October 2016 (08:46:38 CEST)

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Background: Previously, our laboratory has provided evidence that pre-administration of the antioxidant, lipoic acid covalently bonded to various naturally occurring antioxidants, enhanced neuroprotective capacity compared to the administration of lipoic acid on its own. The naturally occurring compound scopoletin, a coumarin derivative, has been shown in various in vitro studies to have both antioxidant and anti-inflammatory mechanism of actions. To date, the effect of scopoletin on neuronal cell death in an in vivo model of ischemia or ischemia-reperfusion has not been investigated. Therefore, the present investigation was designed to determine if scopoletin on its own, or a co-drug consisting of lipoic acid and scopoletin covalent bond, named UPEI-400, would be capable of demonstrating a similar neuroprotective efficacy. Methods: Using a rodent model of stroke in male rats (anesthetized with Inactin®; 100 mg/kg, iv), the middle cerebral artery was permanently occluded for 6 hours (pMCAO), or in separate animals, occluded for 30 min followed by 5.5 hrs of reperfusion (ischemia/reperfusion; I/R). Results: Pre-administration of either scopoletin or UPEI-400 significantly decreased infarct volume in the I/R model (p<0.05), but not in the pMCAO model of stroke. However, UPEI-400 was ~1000 times more potent as compared to scopoletin on its own. The optimal dose of UPEI-400 was then injected during the occlusion and at several time points during reperfusion and significant neuroprotection was observed for up to 150 mins following the start of reperfusion (p<0.05). Conclusion: The data suggest that synthetic combination of scopoletin with lipoic acid (UPEI-400) is a more effective neuroprotectant that either compound on their own. Also, since UPEI-400 was only effective in a model of I/R, it is possible that it may act to enhance neuronal antioxidant capacity and/or upregulate anti-inflammatory pathways to prevent the neuronal cell death.

Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201609.0014.v1

Decreasing Trends in HIV Testing among Adults in Georgia: Analysis of the 2010-2014 BRFSS Data

Benjamin E. Ansa, Sashia White, Yunmi Chung, Selina A. Smith

Subject: Biology And Life Sciences, Virology Keywords: HIV/AIDS; testing; trends; Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System; socio-demographic; Georgia

Online: 5 September 2016 (11:21:36 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201711.0163.v1

A Hybrid MCDM Technique for Risk Management in Construction Projects

Kajal Chatterjee, Edmundas Kazimieras Zavadskas, Jolanta Tamošaitienė, Krishnendu Adhikary, Samarjit Kar

Subject: Engineering, Civil Engineering Keywords: D number, Analytical Network Process (ANP), MABAC, Multi-criteria decision making (MCDM), Consistent fuzzy preference relation (CFPR), Construction project risk, Risk Management

Online: 24 November 2017 (16:46:59 CET)

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Preprint REVIEW | doi:10.20944/preprints202206.0014.v1

Microbial Degradation of Pharmaceuticals

Swathi Kandhasamy, Sudha Balraj, Suganya Kanagaraj, Sumathi Sundaravadivelu

Subject: Biology And Life Sciences, Immunology And Microbiology Keywords: pharmaceutical toxicants; recalcitrant pollutants; co-metabolic pathways; biostimulation; bioaug-mentation

Online: 1 June 2022 (10:29:47 CEST)

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Working Paper ARTICLE

Dynamic Real-Time Risk Analytics of Uncontrollable States in Complex Internet of Things Systems: Cyber Risk at the Edge

Petar Radanliev, David De Roure, Max Van Kleek, Pete Burnap, Eirini Anthi, Jason R.C. Nurse, Omar Santos, Rafael Mantilla Montalvo, La’Treall Maddox

Subject: Engineering, Automotive Engineering Keywords: functional dependency; network-based linear dependency modelling; internet of things; micro mort model; goal-oriented approach; transformation roadmap; cyber risk regulations; empirical analysis; cyber risk self-assessment; cyber risk target state.

Online: 25 December 2020 (11:35:48 CET)

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Preprint REVIEW | doi:10.20944/preprints201810.0160.v1

Safety Evaluation of Absorbent Hygiene Pads: a Review on Assessment Framework and Test Methods

Jihyun Bae, Hoonjeong Kwon, Jooyoun Kim

Subject: Chemistry And Materials Science, Materials Science And Technology Keywords: absorbent hygiene pad; diaper; feminine pad; risk assessment; safety; hazard; exposure; test method

Online: 8 October 2018 (16:26:55 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints202202.0079.v1

The Importance of a Natural Social Contract and Co-Evolutionary Governance for Sustainability Transitions

Patrick Huntjens, René Kemp

Subject: Social Sciences, Political Science Keywords: Natural Social Contract; Co-evolutionary governance; Transformative governance; Institutional change; Policy mixes; Transformative Social-Ecological Innovation; Transformative Social Innovation; Social Innovation; Sustainability Transition; Societal Transition

Online: 7 February 2022 (11:43:04 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201701.0092.v1

Structuring Climate Adaptation through Multiple Perspectives

Mohanasundar Radhakrishnan, Assela Pathirana, Richard Ashley, Chris Zevenbergen

Subject: Environmental And Earth Sciences, Environmental Science Keywords: climate adaptation; flexibility; flood risk management; urban adaptation

Online: 20 January 2017 (04:25:55 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints202001.0291.v1

Modelling Hypertension and Risk Factors among Adults Using Ordinal Logistics Regression Model

Monday Osagie Adenomon, Daniel Owoicholofu John

Subject: Computer Science And Mathematics, Probability And Statistics Keywords: Hypertension; Risk; Factor; Ordinal; Odd ratio; Logistic; regession

Online: 24 January 2020 (16:08:38 CET)

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Preprint REVIEW | doi:10.20944/preprints202004.0217.v1

Medical Basis for Increased Susceptibility of COVID-19 among the Navajo and other Indigenous Tribes

Joseph De Soto, Shazia Hakim

Subject: Medicine And Pharmacology, Epidemiology And Infectious Diseases Keywords: COVID-19; Indigenous Tribes; Co-morbidities; Corona Virus; Navaho

Online: 14 April 2020 (08:43:11 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201703.0172.v1

A Study on Coastal Flooding and Risk Assessment under Climate Change in Mid-Western Coast of Taiwan

Tai-Wen Hsu, Dong-Sin Shih, Chi-Yu Li, Yuan-Jyh Lan, Yu-Chen Lin

Subject: Engineering, Civil Engineering Keywords: Climate Change; Coastal Disasters; Vulnerability; Disaster Risk.

Online: 21 March 2017 (16:41:53 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201801.0023.v1

Quantifying Model Risk in Credit Derivatives Pricing

Colin Turfus

Subject: Business, Economics And Management, Finance Keywords: perturbation expansion; Green’s function; model risk; model uncertainty; credit derivatives; CVA; correlation risk

Online: 4 January 2018 (03:24:24 CET)

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Preprint REVIEW | doi:10.20944/preprints202007.0471.v1

Fecal Shedding of SARS-CoV-2 and Its Potential Role in Person-To-Person Transmission and the Environment-Based Spread of COVID-19

Davey Jones, Marcos Quintela Baluja, David Graham, Alexander Corbishley, James McDonald, Shelagh Malham, Luke Hillary, Thomas Connor, William Gaze, Ines Moura, Mark Wilcox, Kata Farkas

Subject: Biology And Life Sciences, Virology Keywords: bathing waters; coronavirus; environmental transmission; faecal-oral route; infection risk; waterborne illness

Online: 20 July 2020 (12:02:45 CEST)

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The recent detection of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in feces has led to speculation that it can be transmitted via the fecal-oral/ocular route. This review aims to critically evaluate the incidence of gastrointestinal (GI) symptoms, the quantity and infectivity of SARS-CoV-2 in feces and urine, and whether these pose an infection risk in sanitary settings, sewage networks, wastewater treatment plants, and the wider environment (e.g. rivers, lakes and marine waters). Overall, severe GI dysfunction is only evident in a small number of COVID-19 cases, with 11 ± 2% exhibiting diarrhea and 12 ± 3% exhibiting vomiting and nausea. In addition to these cases, SARS-CoV-2 RNA can be detected in feces from some asymptomatic, mildly- and pre-symptomatic individuals. Fecal shedding of the virus peaks in the symptomatic period and can persist for several weeks, but with declining abundances in the post-symptomatic phase. SARS-CoV-2 RNA is occasionally detected in urine, but reports in fecal samples are more frequent. The abundance of the virus genetic material in both urine (ca. 10²-10⁵ gc/ml) and feces (ca. 10²-10⁷ gc/ml) is much lower than in nasopharyngeal fluids (ca. 10⁵-10¹¹ gc/ml). There is strong evidence of multiplication of SARS-CoV-2 in the GI tract and infectious virus has occasionally been recovered from both urine and stool samples. The level and infectious capability of SARS-CoV-2 in vomit remain unknown. In comparison to enteric viruses transmitted via the fecal-oral route (e.g. norovirus, adenovirus), the likelihood of SARS-CoV-2 being transmitted via feces or urine appears lower due to the lower relative amounts of virus present in feces/urine. The biggest risk of transmission will occur in clinical and care home settings where secondary handling of people and urine/fecal matter occurs. In addition, while SARS-CoV-2 RNA genetic material can be detected by in wastewater, this signal is greatly reduced by conventional treatment. Our analysis also suggests the likelihood of infection due to contact with sewage-contaminated water (e.g. swimming, surfing, angling) or food (e.g. salads, shellfish) is extremely low or negligible based on very low predicted abundances and limited environmental survival of SARS-CoV-2. These conclusions are corroborated by the fact that over eight million global cases of COVID-19 have occurred, but exposure to feces or wastewater has never been implicated as a transmission vector.

Preprint REVIEW | doi:10.20944/preprints201607.0029.v1

(Re)conceptualising Risk: What (Seems to) Work for At-Risk Students

David Zyngier

Subject: Social Sciences, Education Keywords: student risk; social justice; critical pedagogy; critical pedagogy

Online: 14 July 2016 (11:03:29 CEST)

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Preprint CONCEPT PAPER | doi:10.20944/preprints201702.0053.v1

Market Spread an Indicator of Systemic Risk in India

Subhash Karmakar, Gautam Bandyopadhyay

Subject: Business, Economics And Management, Finance Keywords: Systemic risk; Systemically Important Firms(SIFs); Stock Price; Stock Price (Close); Stock Price (Open); Stock Price: Bid; Stock Price: Ask; Stock Price: Spread; Joint Probability of Distress(JPoD); Banking Stability Index (BSI); Co-Risk Model

Online: 15 February 2017 (10:40:33 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201611.0005.v2

Reshuffling the Risk Factors of Severe Early Childhood Caries

Noha Kabil, Sherif Eltaweil

Subject: Medicine And Pharmacology, Dentistry And Oral Surgery Keywords: severe early childhood caries; risk factors

Online: 3 November 2016 (08:39:30 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201707.0009.v1

Bidding of Energy Sources and Energy Storage System in Day-ahead Markets

Mustafa Alswaiti, Ali Alawami

Subject: Engineering, Electrical And Electronic Engineering Keywords: pumped storage system; coordinated PSS with wind-thermal generation; uncoordinated PSS; risk; mixed integer programming; thermal unit commitment schedule; PSS modes schedule

Online: 6 July 2017 (07:46:31 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201705.0068.v1

Treated Greywater Reuse for Hydroponic Lettuce Production in a Green Wall System – Quantitative Health Risk Assessment

Fasil Ejigu Eregno, Melesse Eshetu Moges, Arve Heistad

Subject: Environmental And Earth Sciences, Environmental Science Keywords: Source separation system; Greywater treatment; Water reuse; Hydroponic system; Green wall; Heavy metals bioaccumulation; QMRA; Health risk assessment

Online: 8 May 2017 (17:39:16 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201703.0197.v1

Co-integration and Causality Analysis of Carbon Intensity and Coal Consumption of China

Xing Wang, Zhongqi Fan, Ying Zhang

Subject: Engineering, Energy And Fuel Technology Keywords: carbon intensity; coal consumption; co-integration test; Granger causality; error correction model

Online: 27 March 2017 (10:33:34 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201701.0015.v1

Risk Assessment for Distribution Systems Using a Developed PEM-Based Method Considering Wind and Photovoltaic Power Distribution

Qingwu Gong, Jiazhi Lei

Subject: Engineering, Electrical And Electronic Engineering Keywords: distributed generators; risk assessment; distribution systems; developed PEM-based method; optimal power flow algorithm

Online: 4 January 2017 (07:31:09 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201705.0094.v1

Fast Preparation of Porous MnO/C Microspheres as Anode Materials for Lithium-Ion Batteries

Jing Su, Hao Liang, Xian-Nian Gong, Xiao-Yan Lv, Yun-Fei Long, Yan-Xuan Wen

Subject: Chemistry And Materials Science, Nanotechnology Keywords: lithium-ion batteries; anode materials; MnO; co-precipitation; T-shaped microchannel reactor

Online: 11 May 2017 (07:49:10 CEST)

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Preprint REVIEW | doi:10.20944/preprints201806.0135.v1

Cardiovascular Risk Assessment among Postmenopausal Women: A Review

Lingkan Barua, Mithila Faruque, Palash C Banik, Liaquat Ali

Subject: Medicine And Pharmacology, Cardiac And Cardiovascular Systems Keywords: cardiovascular risk assessment; postmenopausal women; cardiovascular risk factors; emerging risk factors; hormone replacement therapy

Online: 8 June 2018 (12:46:31 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201704.0014.v1

An Elaborated Study of CO Sensitivities of Cu, Pt and Pd Activated SnO₂ Sensors: Effect of Precipitation Agents, Dopants and Doping Methods

Venkata Krishna Karthik Tangirala, Heberto Gomez-Pozos, Ventura Rodríguez-Lugo, María De La Luz Olvera

Subject: Chemistry And Materials Science, Nanotechnology Keywords: tin oxide pellets; doping; HRTEM analysis; CO; sensitivity

Online: 4 April 2017 (08:16:13 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201710.0050.v2

Impact of Genetic Polymorphism of Sulpha Transferase Genes (SULT1A) Genes on the Risk of Females with Breast Cancer in Jordan

Mona Bustami, Abdel-Ellah Al-Shudifat, Nagham Hussein, Mohannad Yacoub, Eiad Atwa, Israr Sabri, Rania Abu-Hamdah, Walid Abu-Rayyan, Tawfiq Arafat, Adnan Badran, Luay Abu-Qatouseh

Subject: Biology And Life Sciences, Biochemistry And Molecular Biology Keywords: polymorphism; risk for breast cancer; SULT1A allele

Online: 9 November 2018 (04:28:29 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201612.0035.v1

Enhancing Singapore’s Pension Scheme: A Blueprint for Further Flexibility

Koon-Shing Kwong, Yiu-Kuen Tse, Wai-Sum Chan

Subject: Business, Economics And Management, Economics Keywords: inflation risk; investment returns; life annuity; longevity risk; post-retirement benefits

Online: 7 December 2016 (10:27:23 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints202009.0375.v1

Unexpected Co-infection with Different Strains of SARS-CoV-2 in Patients with COVID-19

Hayder O. Hashim, Mudher K. Mohammed, Mazin J. Mousa, Hadeer H. Abdulameer, Alaa T.S. Alhassnawi, Safa A. Hassan, Mohammed Baqur S. Al-Shuhaib

Subject: Medicine And Pharmacology, Epidemiology And Infectious Diseases Keywords: co-infection; SARS-CoV-2; pike glycoprotein; stop mutations

Online: 17 September 2020 (05:33:59 CEST)

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There is a rising global concern for the ongoing outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 due to its high transmission rate and unavailability of treatment. Through the binding of its spike glycoprotein with angiotensin type 2 (ACE2), SARS-CoV-2 can efficiently get in the cells of patients and start its pandemic cycle. Herein, the biological diversity of SARS-CoV-2 infection was assessed in Babylon province of Iraq by investigating the possible genetic variations of the spike glycoprotein. A specific coding region of 795 bp within the viral spike (S) gene was amplified from 19 patients who suffered from obvious symptoms of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Sequencing results identified fifteen novel nucleic acid variations with a variety of distributions within the investigated samples. The electropherograms of all the identified variations showed obvious co-infections with at least two different viral strains per sample. Within these co-infections, the majority of samples exhibited three nonsense single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP)s, p.301Cdel, p.380Ydel, and p.436del, which yielded three truncated SARS-CoV-2 spike glycoproteins of 301, 380, and 436 amino acids length, respectively. The network and phylogenetic analyses indicated that for all viral infections were derived from multi-ancestral origins. Results inferred from the specific clade-based tree entailed that some viral strains were derived from European G-clade sequences. In conclusion, our data demonstrated the absence of any single strain infection among all investigated viral samples in the studied area, which may entail a higher risk of SARS-CoV-2 in this country. Through the identified high frequency of truncated spike proteins, we suggest that defective SARS-CoV-2 may depend on helper strains having intact spikes in its infection. Alternatively, another putative ACE2-independent route of viral infection way also suggested. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first report to describe the co-infection of multiple strains of SARS-CoV-2 in patients with COVID-19.

Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints202010.0191.v1

ARIMA-GARCH Model and ARIMA-GARCH Ensemble for Value-at-Risk Prediction on Stocks Portfolio

Tarno Tarno, Di Asih I Maruddani, Rita Rahmawati, Abdul Hoyyi, Trimono Trimono, Munawar Munawar

Subject: Computer Science And Mathematics, Algebra And Number Theory Keywords: stocks portfolio; loss risk; heteroscedastic; VaR; backtesting

Online: 9 October 2020 (09:04:18 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201812.0299.v1

Efficiency and Effectiveness of the European Parliament under the Ordinary Legislative Procedure

Ani Matei, Cristina Ciora, Reli Ceche, Adrian Stelian Dumitru

Subject: Business, Economics And Management, Business And Management Keywords: European Parliament , Ordinary Legislative Procedure, Co-decision, Efficiency,Effectiveness

Online: 25 December 2018 (08:44:35 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201704.0048.v1

Increased Corticospinal Excitability and Muscular Activity in a Lower Limb Reaction Task under Psychological Pressure

Yoshifumi Tanaka, Tatsunori Shimo

Subject: Social Sciences, Behavior Sciences Keywords: stress; transcranial magnetic stimulation; spinal reflex; reaction time; co-contraction

Online: 10 April 2017 (05:59:46 CEST)

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Preprint REVIEW | doi:10.20944/preprints202103.0240.v1

Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbon (PAH) Pollution and its Associated Human Health Risks in the Niger Delta Region of Nigeria: A Systematic Review

Samuel Appiah Ofori, Samuel Jerry Cobbina, Abubakari Zarouk Imoro, Dzigbodi Adzo Doke, Thomas Gaiser

Subject: Environmental And Earth Sciences, Pollution Keywords: Oil exploration and exploitation, Gas flaring, Environmental pollution, PAH sources, Incremental lifetime cancer risk

Online: 9 March 2021 (07:23:38 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201705.0020.v1

Maximum Market Price of Longevity Risk Under Solvency Regimes: The Case Of Solvency II

Susanna Levantesi, Massimiliano Menzietti

Subject: Business, Economics And Management, Finance Keywords: longevity risk; s-forwards; pricing; risk margin; solvency II

Online: 1 May 2017 (11:39:12 CEST)

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Preprint REVIEW | doi:10.20944/preprints202205.0180.v1

Replacing Sustainable Development: Potential Frameworks for International Cooperation in an Era of Increasing Crises and Disasters.

Jem Bendell

Subject: Social Sciences, Safety Research Keywords: Sustainable Development; Sustainable Development Goals; Sustainability; Postdevelopment; Degrowth; Disaster Risk Reduction; United Nations; Permacrisis; Metadisaster.

Online: 13 May 2022 (07:48:45 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints202002.0295.v1

Classical Failure Modes and Effects Analysis in the Context of Smart Grid Cyber-Physical Systems

Andrés A. Zúñiga, Alexandre Baleia, João Fernandes, Paulo Jose Da Costa Branco

Subject: Engineering, Electrical And Electronic Engineering Keywords: cyber-power network; distribution system reliability; FMEA; reliability assessment; risk priority number (RPN); Smart Grid

Online: 20 February 2020 (08:33:27 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201704.0069.v1

On the Anonymity Risk of Time-Varying User Profiles

Silvia Puglisi, Jordi Forné, David Rebollo-Monedero

Subject: Computer Science And Mathematics, Information Systems Keywords: privacy; anonymity risk; dynamic user profile, online footprints

Online: 13 April 2017 (04:46:21 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201908.0058.v1

Risk Distribution in Coal Mining: Fighting for Environmental Justice in East Kalimantan, Indonesia

Muhamad Muhdar, Mohamad Nasir, Juli Nurdiana

Subject: Social Sciences, Law Keywords: risk distribution; Mulawarman village; coal mining; environmental justice; Indonesia

Online: 5 August 2019 (08:27:43 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201803.0155.v1

Buckwheat and CVD Risk Markers, a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Liangkui Li, Georg Lietz, Chris J. Seal

Subject: Medicine And Pharmacology, Cardiac And Cardiovascular Systems Keywords: buckwheat; CVD risk markers; meta-analysis

Online: 19 March 2018 (10:45:19 CET)

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Preprint REVIEW | doi:10.20944/preprints202111.0044.v1

Deep Reinforcement Learning For Trading - A Critical Survey

Adrian Millea

Subject: Computer Science And Mathematics, Artificial Intelligence And Machine Learning Keywords: deep reinforcement learning; model-based RL; hierarchy; trading; cryptocurrency; foreign exchange; stock market; risk; prediction; reward shaping

Online: 2 November 2021 (10:57:23 CET)

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Preprint REVIEW | doi:10.20944/preprints201709.0148.v1

How Do the First Days Count? A Case Study of Qatar Experience in Emergency Risk Communication during the MERS-CoV Outbreak

Mohamed Nour, Elmoubasher A.B.A. Farag, Hamad E. Al-Romaihi, Mohamed Al-Thani, Salih Al-Almarri, Mohd Alhajri, Elena Savoia

Subject: Social Sciences, Other Keywords: MERS; Emergency Risk Communication; Communication and Coordination; Qatar; media monitoring; epidemic

Online: 29 September 2017 (04:13:27 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201907.0269.v3

Association of Radiation Doses and Cancer Risks from CT Pulmonary Angiography Examinations in Relation to Body Effective Diameter

Hanif Haspi Harun, Muhammad Khalis Abdul Karim, Zulkifly Abbas, Sarawana Chelwan Muniandy, Akmal Sabarudin, Ng Kwan Hoong

Subject: Physical Sciences, Radiation And Radiography Keywords: Computed Tomography; radiation dose; cancer risk; CTPA; effective diameter

Online: 3 January 2020 (11:21:25 CET)

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Preprint COMMUNICATION | doi:10.20944/preprints201710.0041.v3

Development and Introduction of the Risk-Sentience Auxiliary Framework (RSAF) as an Enabler to the ISO 31000 and ISO 31010 for High-Risk Environments

Jerry Selvaseelan

Subject: Social Sciences, Safety Research Keywords: uncertainty management; risk management; safety; ISO 31000:2009; ISO 31010:2009; risk management framework; risk-sentience; safety culture; risk culture; enterprise risk management

Online: 19 June 2018 (12:58:28 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints202005.0418.v1

Geological Risk Calculation through Probability of Success (PoS), Applied to Radioactive Waste Disposal in Deep Wells: A Case Study in the Pre-neogene Basement in the Northern Croatia

Tomislav Malvić, Maria Alzira Pimenta Dinis, Josipa Velić, Jasenka Sremac, Josip Ivšinović, Marija Bošnjak, Uroš Barudžija, Želimir Veinović, Hélder Fernando Pedrosa e Sousa

Subject: Environmental And Earth Sciences, Geophysics And Geology Keywords: geological risk; pre-Neogene basement; radioactive waste; waste disposal; Northern Croatia; Probability of Success (PoS)

Online: 26 May 2020 (04:11:18 CEST)

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The basic principles of geological risk calculation through Probability of Success (PoS) are mostly applied for numerical estimation of additional hydrocarbon existence in proven reservoirs or potential hydrocarbon discoveries in selected geological regional subsurface volume. It can be tailored and validated for a comprehensive input dataset collected in the selected petroleum province, adapted by dividing up geological events into several probability categories and classes. The most applied categories are (existence of) reservoir rocks, traps and isolators, source rocks, migration pathways and preservation conditions for hydrocarbons The methodology results in unique probability values as multiplication of independent statistical events, which can also be applied in the assessment of a potential hydrocarbon discovery of desired minimal volume and its value in any virtual currency like risk-neutral dollars. Such methodology has been extensively developed in the last decades in the Croatian subsurface, mostly in the Croatian part of the Pannonian Basin System (CPBS). Through the adaptation of geological categories, it was also applied in hybrid, i.e., stochastical, models developed in the CPBS (Drava Depression). Stochastically estimation of porosity was already applied. As the robustness of this methodology is very high, it was also modified to estimate the influence of water-flooding in increasing oil recovery in some proven Neogene sandstone reservoirs in the CPBS (Sava Depression). This new modification is being presented to be applied to geological risk calculation, intending to assess the safety of geological environment in deep wells, where depleted radioactive fuel would be disposed, a subject of great importance. The case study encompassed the magmatic and metamorphic rocks in the pre-Neogene basement of the CPBS. For disposal purpose, these are regionally lithologies considered as to be the safest ones considering petrophysical values, water saturation, recent weathering and tectonic activity.

Preprint OPINION | doi:10.3390/sci2030057

Global Significance of Mangrove Blue Carbon in Climate Change Mitigation (Version 1)

Daniel Alongi

Subject: Environmental And Earth Sciences, Environmental Science Keywords: blue carbon; carbon; carbon stock; carbon sequestration; climate change; CO₂ emissions; mangrove; mitigation

Online: 23 July 2020 (00:00:00 CEST)

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Preprint TECHNICAL NOTE | doi:10.20944/preprints201908.0295.v2

Detecting IoT Devices and How They Put Large Heterogeneous Networks at Security Risk

Sharad Agarwal, Pascal Oser, Stefan Lüders

Subject: Computer Science And Mathematics, Security Systems Keywords: Internet of Things; security; vulnerabilities and protective measures; control network security; operation in multi-user environments; risk assessment

Online: 15 September 2019 (02:55:36 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201710.0190.v1

Mast Cells Interact with Endothelial Cells to Accelerate In Vitro Angiogenesis

Devandir Antonio de Souza Junior, Vivian Marino Mazucato, Ana Carolina Santana, Constance Oliver, Maria Celia Jamur

Subject: Biology And Life Sciences, Cell And Developmental Biology Keywords: mast cells; angiogenesis; endothelial cells; tube formation assay; co-culture; gap junction

Online: 31 October 2017 (03:51:50 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201710.0010.v1

Thermoelectric Properties of Bi₂Te₃: CuI and the Effect of Its Doping with Pb Atoms

Mi-Kyung Han, Yingshi Jin, Da-Hee Lee, Sung-Jin Kim

Subject: Chemistry And Materials Science, Inorganic And Nuclear Chemistry Keywords: Bi2Te3; Thermoelectric properties; co-doping; n-type

Online: 2 October 2017 (15:33:35 CEST)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201806.0155.v1

Quality Assurance Framework Development Based on Six New ECV Data Products to Enhance User Confidence for Climate Applications

Joanne Nightingale, Folkert Boersma, Jan-Peter Muller, Steven Compernolle, Jean-Christopher Lambert, Simon Blessing, Ralf Giering, Nadine Gobron, Isabelle De Smedt, Pierre Coheur, Maya George, Jörg Schulz, Alex Wood

Subject: Environmental And Earth Sciences, Space And Planetary Science Keywords: essential climate variables; climate data records; earth observation satellites; quality assurance; traceability; user requirements; climate applications; surface albedo; LAI; FAPAR; NO2; HCHO; CO

Online: 11 June 2018 (11:24:59 CEST)

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Working Paper ARTICLE

Developing a BIM-Based Framework for Supplier Selection in Prefabrication

Linlin Zhao, Zhansheng Liu, Huirong Zhang, Jasper Mbachu

Subject: Engineering, Civil Engineering Keywords: risk assessment; BIM; supply chain management; prefabricated construction products

Online: 19 March 2019 (13:07:57 CET)

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Preprint ARTICLE | doi:10.20944/preprints201903.0109.v2

Cyber Risk impact Assessment - Assessing the Risk from the IoT to the Digital Economy

Petar Radanliev, David De Roure, Jason R.C. Nurse, Razvan Nicolescu, Michael Huth, Stacy Cannady, Rafael Mantilla Montalvo

Subject: Engineering, Control And Systems Engineering Keywords: Cyber risk; Internet of Things cyber risk; Digital Economy Risk Assessment; Economic Impact Assessment.

Online: 9 April 2019 (12:26:13 CEST)

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