Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

COVID-19 Pandemic and Tourism: The Impact of Health Risk Perception and Intolerance of Uncertainty on Travel Intentions

Version 1 : Received: 20 October 2020 / Approved: 21 October 2020 / Online: 21 October 2020 (11:11:43 CEST)

How to cite: Golets, A.; Farias, J.; Pilati, R.; Costa, H. COVID-19 Pandemic and Tourism: The Impact of Health Risk Perception and Intolerance of Uncertainty on Travel Intentions. Preprints 2020, 2020100432 (doi: 10.20944/preprints202010.0432.v1). Golets, A.; Farias, J.; Pilati, R.; Costa, H. COVID-19 Pandemic and Tourism: The Impact of Health Risk Perception and Intolerance of Uncertainty on Travel Intentions. Preprints 2020, 2020100432 (doi: 10.20944/preprints202010.0432.v1).

Abstract

Understanding tourist behaviour during and after major tourism crises is essential to help destinations recover. The COVID-19 pandemic, a period of uncertainty and risk, makes it relevant to assess factors that influence travel intentions. There has been little research on tourist behaviour during health crises and, in particular, on perceived health risk and uncertainty effects on travel intentions. This study was carried out during the first months of the pandemic in Brazil and aims to investigate the role of health risk perception and intolerance of uncertainty on travel intentions for 2020 and 2021. We applied an online survey to 1,150 Brazilian participants from March to May of 2020. Our findings indicate that perceived COVID-19 severity, perceived probability of contracting it, and expected pandemic duration are significant predictors of travel intentions for both years. This paper sheds new light on tourist behaviour in the context of global health crises.

Subject Areas

COVID-19; pandemic; travel intentions; health risk perception; intolerance of uncertainty

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