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Demographic Characteristics of an Expanding Iberian Wild Goat Population in Southern Pyrenees, Spain

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23 April 2024

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24 April 2024

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Abstract
The escape and establishment of Iberian wild goats, Capra pyrenaica, from an enclosure in the 1990s marked the beginning of the recovery of the species in the Pyrenees. This population has occupied part of the Prepyrenees and has contacted another population reintroduced in France since 2014. It coexists with other wild ungulates, including the feral and domestic goats Capra hircus that has been living free since the 1960s. Today it’s the largest Iberian wild goat Pyrenean population. Between 2006 and 2022 we monitored the population and its expansion based on vantage points, itineraries and testimonies. The results indicate: (i) a population, of uncertain genetic origin, in numerical (15% average annual growth) and areal expansion, with the capacity to connect with other populations; (ii) an estimate of at least 500 individuals; (iii) in the process of expansion in contact with Iberian wild goats from France; (iv) sympatry with feral and domestic goat population in its main nucleus whose estimate exceeds 2000 specimens and (v) hybridization with feral and domestic goats. In 2022 sustainable hunt started with a hunting quota of 20 individuals. Genetic characterization and the establishment of an international coordinated monitoring are two of the current priorities.
Keywords: 
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1. Introduction

The Iberian wild goat Capra pyrenaica is an endemic Iberian Caprinae whose populations today occupy many areas of the Iberian Peninsula. After the extinction of two subspecies, C. p. lusitanica, in the 19th century and C. p. pyrenaica in the year 2000 [1], C. p. victoriae, occupies the center and NW of the peninsula and C. p. hispanica the S and E [2]. The bases of this taxonomic classification were the body size, the shape and size of the horns, and the pattern of the black coat in males [3]. Currently, various studies point the need for a new classification [4,5,6], in which the existence of subspecies is not accepted by specialists [2]. In addition, the species entity of the extinct Pyrenean wild goat rather than a subspecies should be considered a species (it would become Capra pyrenaica Schinz, 1838), and makes the correct current name for the living Iberian wild goats Capra hispanica Schimper, 1948 and not Capra pyrenaica [7]. Currently, most of the populations are expanding throughout their range [2].
It can be described as a gregarious, polygynous species with marked sexual dimorphism, which is characterized by its high adaptability to different types of environment. It inhabits from sea level to 3000 m and the only characteristics common to the habitat of all its populations is the dependence on the slope or the rocky substrate [8,9,10,11].
It has been a species very persecuted by man, either indirectly through the pressure of livestock or through indiscriminate hunting, reducing dramatically its numbers and populations. These population bottlenecks have resulted in one of the main causes of threat that the species currently faces: the low genetic variability of its populations, which produces a high vulnerability to diseases [12], particularly sarcoptic mange Sarcoptes scabiei. It is considered as Least Concern (LC) by the IUCN and is a huntable species in Spain, but not in Andorra, France and Portugal. Its exclusive hunt produces important revenues to local hunting grounds and private owners [13].
At the end of the seventies of the last century (1977-80) an indeterminate number of Iberian wild goats (more than 20) were transferred from the Sierra de Cazorla (Region of Andalusia) in the south of the Iberian Peninsula, to a hunting enclosure in the current Sierra and Cañones de Guara Natural Park (GNP) [14], Region of Aragon (Figure 1). If there have been more releases and if they were of different genetic origin, remains unknown. Since at least the nineties a population established outside the enclosure and from 2006 onwards it is monitored annually.
From 2014 to 2022, the Region of Madrid has sold Iberian wild goats to the Parc National des Pyrénées (PNP), to the Parc Naturel Régional des Pyrénées Ariégeoises (PNA), both in France, and to Andorra [16]. These animals came originally from the Central Mountain range of the Iberian Peninsula, so they had a different genetic origin. Some of the individuals released in France have spread to Spain and established there. Releases are expected to continue in the coming years.
The objective of this work is to describe the demographic characteristics and the colonization process of the Iberian wild goat in the Aragonese Pyrenees between 2006 and 2022.

2. Materials and Methods

2.1. Study Area

The study area was the GNP and as the result of the expansion, the rest of the Aragonese Pyrenees (Figure 1).
GNP (42 ° 16′ 38″ N; 0 ° 7′ 59 ″ W) covers a 40-km-long S Prepyrenean E-W mountain range of 81,494 ha, rangings between 430 m and 2077 m. The landscape has steep slopes and rough relief. Half of the surface consists of shrubs (Echinospartum horridum, common juniper Juniperus communis, common box Buxus sempervirens), one fourth consists of forest (mainly holm oak Quercus ilex, Scots pine Pinus sylvestris, Austrian pine Pinus nigra, downy oak Quercus cerrioides, mountain pine Pinus uncinata and beech Fagus sylvatica, in decreasing order of importance), and one-fourth is rock. Hunting is not allowed in about one-fourth of the park, and the remainder comprises hunting grounds managed by local hunters. One fenced hunting ground was the origin of the wild goats escaped. The main game animal is wild boar Sus scrofa and over 1,000 are harvested each year. The Iberian wild goats co-exists with other huntable wild ungulates (roe deer Capreolus capreolus, red deer Cervus elaphus, European mouflon Ovis aries, fallow deer Dama dama) and feral goat Capra hircus.

2.2. Field Survey

Field surveys were undertaken by rangers of the Regional Government of Aragon and ourselves with the occasional help of volunteers. Three kinds of samplings were done filling up a specific sheet: occasional sightings, additional surveys and coordinated survey. Occasional sightings reported animals seen randomly which represented valuable data (new areas, large groups). Additional surveys were done specifically to explore new areas or confirm testimonies. Testimonies of non-professionals played a key role in the localization of new occupied areas.
For the coordinated survey we performed vantage points [17,18] and itineraries (block counts) to localize Iberian wild goats using binoculars and spotting scopes. Vantage points were placed considering testimonies on the presence of the species. Surveys were done when Iberian wild goats were more active [19] during 3 h after dawn (2006-2022) and also in late afternoon (2006 and 2007). The vantage points were selected considering spots with good accessibility and visibility (Figure 2).
Sex and age of the animals were recorded, assigning individuals assigned to one of the following age-sex classes: kids, 1- and 2-year-old yearlings, adult females, young males (3 – 6 years), middle age males (7-10 years), and old males (> 10 years). This allowed to describe population structure, productivity (kids/adult females) and sex-ratio (adult males/adult females).
A pilot survey of the rut was undertaken in 2006. Between 2007 and 2012 four annual surveys were undertaken (before parturition, April; after parturition, June; before rut, October, and during rut, November-December). Due to economic restrictions between 2013 and 2017 three annual surveys were done (after parturition, before rut and rut). Since 2018 and because of population increase the number of annual surveys was reduced to after parturition and rut, but the number of fixed points were increased, Iberian wild goats were counted from 29 vantage points and five itineraries (Figure 2).
Three main subpopulations areas were defined: Guara, Balced and Sobrepuerto (Figure 2). For the estimation of the minimum number of living animals for each of them we combined the results of all the counts in each annual survey. This allowed to calculate the trend.

2.3. Trend

We used the change in the annual number of Iberian wild goats as a function of time and analyzed it using Poisson regression [20,21]. The dependent variable was a count that followed the Poisson distribution. For this, we defined a generalized linear model fit with the GLM procedure of R [21]. The response variable given by the annual count of Iberian wild goats had a Poisson error distribution, and a natural log link function for the exponential growth model. The parameter b can be interpreted as r or the intrinsic rate of increase, and lambda λ as the annual population growth rate coming from the r neperian antilog.

2.4. Cartography

To carry out the cartography that illustrates the study area, various thematic layers of digital cartography provided by the Government of Aragon were used. From these layers, some parameters have also been calculated using a Geographic Information System (GIS). The resolution with which we have worked with the layers in Raster format were defined by the pixel size of the digital elevation model (DEM), 20 m on each side. The slope was calculated from that DEM of the study area. The maps of the itineraries were made using the 1:25,000 scale sheets of the National Geographic Institute in digital format, which occupy the study area, and also using orthoimages belonging to the National Plan of Aerial Orthophotography of the Ministry of Development of Spain (2006). The digitization of the goat locations has been carried out directly on the screen on these maps or by calculating the coordinates with the help of the orthoimages of the SIGPAC Viewer.

2.5. Population Estimation

The viewshed area was calculated, with a limit of 2,500 m, for each of the vantage points (VP) located within the GNP. To calculate the total area, the existing overlaps in the individual VP were eliminated. The average density after the parturition and during the rut was calculated, and it was multiplied by the area of the PNG with a slope >30 % (28 966 ha), following the methodology proposed by Prada et al. 2019 [22]. To this estimation we added the results of block counts in Sobrepuerto and testimonies of animals localized at great distances.

2.6. Colonizing Process

The colonization process is described from the information generated by the testimonies and its verification as well as that of the participants in the survey (occasional sightings). The annual Maximum Convex Polygon (MCP) was calculated annually including all the sightings.

2.7. Coordination Meetings

Every year during the spring and before the beginning of the field work, the follow-up was the subject of an annual meeting for coordination and presentation of results. The attendees were: rangers, technicians and ourselves. Demographic and sanitary results were discussed together with the field work calendar.

3. Results

3.1. Trend

The average annual growth rate (λ), calculated with the minimum number of Iberian wild goats observed from the vantage points in the GNP and surrounding areas, was 15.6% (95% CI: 14.5-16.8) (Figure 3).

3.2. Population Parametres

Table 1 shows the main demographic parameters and Figure 4 the trend of sex ratio (without significant trend, around 1.4) and productivity (decreasing significantly), since 2015, when the population was higher than 100 animals. The MCP surface has increased steadily since 2015 due to the presence of Iberian wild goats of French origin (Figure 5).

3.2. Density Estimation for Iberian Wild Goat and Feral Goat

Between 2018 and 2022 we calculated for the GNP using the 25 vantage points truncating at 2,500 m of distance. The total sampled surface was 9,779 ha of its 47,638 ha (20%) with 289.66 km2 of suitable habitat (slope over 30 %) (Table 2).

3.3. Sympatry with Other Wild and Domestic Ungulates

Iberian wild goats form groups on their own but can coincide with other wild ungulates. This happens with animals living alone and also with normal herds during the rut (Figure 6). In the first case, they can gather with cows Bos taurus in summer pastures (1 case), domestic goats (1 young female), domestic goats and sheep (1 young male) or feral goats (1 young male, 2 cases). In the case of feral goats’ relation lasted several years in 1 case. No competence interactions were observed between domestic and Iberian wild goats.

3.4. Hybrids

A possible hybrid female with kid (Figure 7) and the first record of a leucistic male for the species (Figure 8) were observed.

3.5. Hunting Quota

In 2022 due to the population increase in number, a hunting quota of 20 Iberian wild goats was decided for the GNP.

4. Discussion

The demographic characteristics of Iberian wild goat living in southern Pyrenees appear to be in the range of the rest of populations of the species [2]. It has increased in number and distribution, has contacted the population coming from France and it is the most abundant in the Pyrenees. The decrease of productivity could be due to the stabilization of the population in its main nucleus, the GNP. The expansion to the north of the population from the Iberian mountain range and the Middle Ebro Valley leaves both populations at less than 50 km so they will contact the near future, following a stepping stone dynamic [11,23,24]. This will represent a mixture of at least three different genetic origins.
The existence of hybrids with domestic goats has been reported for Alpine ibex [25] and recently for free Iberian wild goats [26]. Even if this seems to be an old process due to the more than 7,000 years of sympatry, the existence of an abundant feral goat population, may represent a problem for the genetic integrity of Iberian wild goat in the Pyrenees [15]. The control or eradication of ferals in the Pyrenees should represent a priority in order to favor the conservation and recovery of the Iberian wild goat [27].

5. Conclusions

The population structure is comparable to that of other populations of the species. Productivity is stable, with annual oscillations, and the sex ratio does not vary significantly. Old males are scarce. The population is increasing in number and expanding and has already contacted the introduced wild goats from France. The Iberian wild goats of the Middle Ebro Valley are less than 50 km away and are also expanding, so both populations will contact in the near future.
Iberian wild goats coexist with domestic and feral domestic goats. There are hybrids of both species. Feral goats are more abundant than Iberian wild goats in GNP. This is a new and potentially important problem for Iberian wild goat genetic integrity. There is no information on the genetic characteristics of Iberian wild goats of the Aragonese Pyrenees, in terms of diversity, origin and domestic goat interbreeding.
This new dynamic situation deserves both national and international attention in order to promote coordinated efforts for its monitoring (demographic, sanitary, genetic) conservation and sustainable use.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, JH and AGS; methodology, JH and JHS.; software, AGS.; cartography, CP; formal analysis, AGS; field work, JH and AGS; resources, AGS; data curation, AGS; writing—original draft preparation, JH; writing—review and editing, JH, AGS, CP, RGG; project administration, AGS; funding acquisition, AGS. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This research was funded by the Government of Aragon through several consultancy projects from 2006 to 2022.

Institutional Review Board Statement

Not applicable.

Informed Consent Statement

Not applicable

Data Availability Statement

Data can be shared with other researchers upon request of collaboration.

Acknowledgments

We would like to thank all the rangers, technicians and volunteers who have participated in the field work during this long period. Without them, the monitoring could have not been possible.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest. The funders had no role in the design of the study; in the collection, analyses, or interpretation of data; in the writing of the manuscript; or in the decision to publish the results.

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Figure 1. The Aragonese Pyrenees. Dark grey: High Pyrenees; Light grey: Prepyrenees; GNP: Guara Natural Park. The polygon inside the GNP is the fenced hunting ground, origin of the Iberian wild goat population.
Figure 1. The Aragonese Pyrenees. Dark grey: High Pyrenees; Light grey: Prepyrenees; GNP: Guara Natural Park. The polygon inside the GNP is the fenced hunting ground, origin of the Iberian wild goat population.
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Figure 2. Vantage points and itineraries for Iberian wild goat monitoring in GNP and neighbouring areas in 2022. Red circles indicate the three subpopulations considered for the estimation: A Guara, B Balced, C Sobrepuerto.
Figure 2. Vantage points and itineraries for Iberian wild goat monitoring in GNP and neighbouring areas in 2022. Red circles indicate the three subpopulations considered for the estimation: A Guara, B Balced, C Sobrepuerto.
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Figure 3. Iberian wild goat trend in GNP and surrounding areas, 2006-2022.
Figure 3. Iberian wild goat trend in GNP and surrounding areas, 2006-2022.
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Figure 4. Sex ratio and productivity of Iberian wild goat in GNP and neighboring areas, 2015-2022.
Figure 4. Sex ratio and productivity of Iberian wild goat in GNP and neighboring areas, 2015-2022.
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Figure 5. The MCP of Iberian wild goats in the Aragonese Pyrenees, 2006-2022.
Figure 5. The MCP of Iberian wild goats in the Aragonese Pyrenees, 2006-2022.
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Figure 6. A Young Iberian wild goat male together with domestic goats and sheep. Photo: Carlos Puyuelo.
Figure 6. A Young Iberian wild goat male together with domestic goats and sheep. Photo: Carlos Puyuelo.
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Figure 7. Possible hybrid female with kid of Iberian wild goat. Photo: Alicia García-Serrano.
Figure 7. Possible hybrid female with kid of Iberian wild goat. Photo: Alicia García-Serrano.
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Figure 8. A leucistic Iberian wild goat male in the PNG. Photo: Rafel Vidaller.
Figure 8. A leucistic Iberian wild goat male in the PNG. Photo: Rafel Vidaller.
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Table 1. Population structure and MCP of Iberian wild goat in the GNP and neighboring areas, 2006-2022.
Table 1. Population structure and MCP of Iberian wild goat in the GNP and neighboring areas, 2006-2022.
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Males 14 25 28 25 17 31 35 22 14 40 42 71 84 116 136 126 143
Females 22 17 16 13 12 22 35 30 24 46 37 53 37 82 104 73 120
Yearlings 6 1 5 6 2 10 9 11 8 11 10 11 9 11 26 17 25
Kids 15 8 7 4 6 6 7 4 4 27 27 26 18 26 44 31 42
Undetermined 22 1 9 8 18 3 1 26
Total 57 51 56 48 37 69 86 67 72 124 117 170 156 253 313 248 356
Sex ratio 0.6 1.5 1.8 1.9 1.4 1.4 1 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.3 2.3 1.4 1.3 1.7 1.2
Productivity 68 47 44 31 50 27 20 13 17 59 73 49 49 32 42 42 35
MCP (km2) 35 79 176 231 191 380 171 471 93 132 790 500 400 788 1,490 3,425 2,132
Table 2. Population estimation of Iberian wild goat and feral goat in GNP, 2018-2022.
Table 2. Population estimation of Iberian wild goat and feral goat in GNP, 2018-2022.
Iberian wild goat Feral goat
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Density (km-2) 1.6 1.9 2.4 1.4 1.7 6.6 6.6 7.2 4.3 2.5
CIM 95% 0-3.4 1-2.8 1.2-3.6 0.6-2.3 0-3.6 2.2 - 11 3.6 – 9.6 1-13 1-8 1.4-3.7
Total goats 456 544 689 416 499 1,925 1,911 2,085 2,245 1,063
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