Submitted:
10 January 2026
Posted:
13 January 2026
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Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
- A probabilistic risk assessment model: We construct a Conditional Bayesian Network (CBN) to infer relative risk levels dynamically, integrating factors such as terrain slope, current velocity, and obstacle proximity, which provides a more realistic safety metric than binary obstacle maps.
- A risk-aware cooperative planning framework: We propose a distributed Receding Horizon Planning algorithm that incorporates the CBN-derived risk cost, enabling multi-AUV systems to navigate complex canyon environments while balancing energy consumption, formation maintenance, and collision avoidance.
- Validation in realistic simulation environments: The proposed method is validated using real-world bathymetric data from the South China Sea and reanalysis data from the HYCOM ocean current model. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed approach significantly improves mission success rates and safety margins compared to deterministic baselines.
2. Problem Formulation and Environmental Modeling
2.1. Coordinate System and Motion Model of AUVs
2.2. Dynamic Marine Environment Modeling
2.3. Cooperative Constraints for Multiple AUVs
2.4. Objective Function
2.5. Problem Statement
3. Cooperative Path Planning Algorithm for Multiple AUVs
3.1. Overview of the Cooperative Planning Framework
- i.
- the dynamic marine environment, including time-varying ocean currents and obstacle information, is modeled and updated over the planning horizon;
- ii.
- cooperative constraints among multiple AUVs are enforced to guarantee collision avoidance and coordinated motion;
- iii.
- the CBN-based risk inference module evaluates spatially distributed environmental risk and provides risk-related guidance to the planner;
- iv.
- a trajectory optimization procedure generates coordinated AUV paths by minimizing a composite cost function while penalizing risk exposure and constraint violations.
3.2. Path Representation and Discretization
3.3. Cooperative Interaction Modeling
3.4. Optimization-Based Path Planning Model
3.5. Probabilistic Risk Modeling via Conditional Bayesian Network
3.5.1. Network Topology and Variables
- Parent Node 1: Seabed Terrain Hazard (): Represents the risk associated with static geomorphic features. It aggregates factors such as local seabed slope and terrain ruggedness, which limit the AUV’s maneuvering space.
- Parent Node 2: Ocean Current Condition (): Encodes the hydrodynamic threat level, derived from the intensity and turbulence of the local flow field. High-velocity currents increase the probability of control loss.
- Parent Node 3: Environmental Uncertainty Indicator (): Accounts for the reliability of sensing data. High turbidity or sensor noise leads to higher uncertainty, thereby increasing the latent risk of collision.
- Child Node: Relative Navigation Risk (): The output node representing the posterior probability of mission failure or collision given the current environmental states.
3.5.2. Mathematical Formulation
3.5.3. Engineering-Informed Probability Assignment
3.6. Constraint Handling Strategy
3.7. Algorithm Implementation Procedure
3.8. Computational Considerations
4. Simulation Setup and Experimental Scenarios
4.1. Numerical Testbed and Marine Environment
4.2. AUV Fleet Configuration and Mission Profiles
4.3. Performance Metrics
4.4. Baseline Definition and Performance Benchmarking
4.4.1. Logic of the Baseline (CR-ACS)
- Collision Avoidance: It utilizes a fixed safety buffer () to keep AUVs away from seabed terrain and obstacles. A collision is defined only when the Euclidean distance .
- Ocean Currents: It considers the average current velocity for energy estimation but lacks the non-linear coupling between current turbulence and navigation risk.
- Environmental Uncertainty: It assumes perfect sensing information and does not incorporate the "Uncertainty Indicator" into its decision-making process.
4.4.2. Cost Function Comparison
4.5. Baseline Selection and Comparison Rationale
5. Results and Discussion
5.1. Overall Cooperative Performance
5.2. Energy Consumption and Path Efficiency
5.3. Path Smoothness and Maneuverability
5.4. Risk Exposure Analysis
5.5. Planning and Communication Efficiency
5.6. Engineering Implications
5.7. Limitations and Applicability of the Proposed Framework
6. Conclusions
7. Future Work
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