Submitted:
04 January 2026
Posted:
05 January 2026
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Abstract
Keywords:
1. Background and Summary
- Compare AR detection outcomes between tARget-v3 and tARget-v4 algorithms
- Identify regions experiencing anomalously strong moisture transport through SIVT (Strong Integrated Vapour Transport)
- Assess AR-related precipitation potential through PTPR (Pseudo Total Precipitation Rate)
- Analyse concurrent wind and temperature extremes associated with AR events
- Validate detection algorithms through Feature Occurrence Frequency (FOF) metrics
2. Methods
2.1. Data Sources
2.2. Integrated Vapour Transport (IVT)
2.3. Relationship Between Precipitation and Water Vapour Transport
2.4. Atmospheric River Detection with the tARget-v4 Algorithm
- (1)
- IVT Threshold. IVT objects are extracted based on the IVT value exceeding the location- and season-dependent 85th percentile threshold of local climatology. This adaptive threshold accounts for regional and seasonal variability in background moisture transport. For EDARA and S-EDARA, the 1991-2020 30-year climatology is used. To facilitate AR identification in cold and/or dry regions where IVT is climatologically low, an additional, location-independent IVT threshold is applied hemispherically, which raises the pixel-wise threshold to higher percentiles over 5% of the surface area of the corresponding hemisphere where IVT is climatologically the lowest. In previous tARget versions, a fixed lower limit of 100 for IVT was used to serve a similar purpose.
- (2)
-
Coherence and Geometry. Contiguous regions exceeding the IVT threshold must satisfy specific geometric constraints:
- The standard deviation of IVT directions across individual pixels ≤ 67.5° (to eliminate features closely associated with tropical cyclones).
- The axis of an IVT object having a contiguous segment (or multiple) segments totalling longer than 1000 km where each pixel has a poleward IVT component greater than 25% of the total IVT at that pixel (to remove features with entirely zonally-directed or equatorward IVT primarily found in the tropics).
- Minimum length of 2000 km and length-to-width ratio ≥2, calculated along the feature’s orientation axis.
- (3)
- Additional Iterations. If an IVT object fails the geometrical and directional requirements in the above steps, it is subject to additional iterations of these steps with each round the pixel-wise IVT threshold being raised by 2.5th percentile, up until the threshold reaches the 95th percentile.
- (4)
- Enhanced Extratropical Refinement. tARget-v4 introduces improved geometric requirements that better capture ARs in regions with complex topography and varying background flow patterns. The refinement reduces false positives in tropical regions while maintaining detection sensitivity in mid-to-high latitudes.
2.5. Strong Integrated Vapour Transport (SIVT)
2.6. Graphical Atmospheric River Catalogues
- Change of Temperature in 24 hours at 2 metres above ground (CT24h). It is computed as , where represents 2-metre air temperature (Figure 3d).
2.7. Data Format and Structure
2.8. Feature Occurrence Frequency
- Identification of AR hotspots and primary tracks
- Validation against independent observations or alternative detection methods
- Assessment of algorithm sensitivity to detection criteria
3. Data Description
3.1. Numerical Data Files
- Atmospheric River Shapes (ARS4): Binary fields indicating the spatial extent of detected ARs based on the tARget-v4 algorithm.
- Strong Integrated Vapour Transport (SIVT): Binary fields identifying regions where IVT exceeds the local 85th percentile threshold.
- Pseudo Total Precipitation Rate (PTPR): Continuous fields of normalized integrated vapour convergence serving as a precipitation proxy. The unit of this variable is .
3.2. Graphical AR Catalogues
3.3. Additional Program and Data Files
- misc/Extract_variables_fromera5dara.py. This python program illustrates how to access data in a netCDF file downloaded from the EDARA database. Note that the EDARA variables Qu, Qv, GWS10m, and T2m are needed for creating the S-EDARA numerical data files and graphical catalogues. They were not re-created from ERA5 but directly extracted from EDARA. This program takes one data file as input and generates one output data file.
- misc/target.m. This is the tARget-v4 algorithm written in MATLAB. It was provided by Guan and Waliser [19], available via the Global Atmospheric Rivers Dataverse (https://dataverse.ucla.edu/dataverse/ar). This program takes three data files as inputs and generates an output data file.
- misc/Create_S_EDARA_data.py. This python program illustrates how to create a data file in netCDF format as those available in the data folder. It needs three input data files and generates one output data file.
- misc/era5dara_202503.nc. This is a data file needed as an input data file for the two python programs misc/Extract_variables_fromera5dara.py and misc/Create_S_EDARA_data.py. It was downloaded from the EDARA database.
- misc/ERA5_ivt_tARget_202503.nc. This is the output file from the python program misc/Extract_variables_fromera5dara.py. It contains the two IVF components and is used as one of the input files for the MATLAB program misc/target.m.
- misc/ERA5_islnd.nc. This is a data file constructed from the ERA5 land-sea mask. It is needed as one of the input files for the MATLAB program misc/target.m.
- misc/ERA5_monthly_pixel_ivt_limit.nc. This is a data file containing the monthly IVT percentile information based on a 30-year (1991-2020) climatology. It is needed as one of the input files for the MATLAB program misc/target.m. It is also used as an input file for the python program misc/Create_S_EDARA_data.py.
- misc/out_202503.nc. This is the output data file from the MATLAB program misc/target.m. It is also used as an input data file for the python program misc/Create_S_EDARA_data.py.
- misc/S_EDARA_202503.nc. This is the output data file from the python program misc/Create_S_EDARA_data.py.
- misc/About_S_EDARA.pdf. This document provides a brief description of the data and acronyms used in S-EDARA. It can be viewed by clicking the “About…” button in the graphical catalogue interface.
3.4. Data Volume, Download Options, and Updates
4. Technical Validation
4.1. Comparison with the EDARA Catalogues: A Case Study
4.2. Comparison with the EDARA Catalogues: Global AR Frequency Patterns
5. Usage Notes
5.1. Integration with EDARA
5.2. Threshold Sensitivity
5.3. Regional Considerations
- Regional differences in AR frequency and seasonality
- Variations in the relationship between AR features and surface impacts
- Topographic influences on AR-related precipitation and wind patterns
5.4. Temporal Resolution
5.5. Precipitation Proxy Limitations
5.6. Computational Considerations
- Download only specific months or years of interest
- Utilize the graphical catalogues for initial exploration before processing numerical data
- Consider cloud-based processing platforms for large-scale analysis
5.7. Citation and Attribution
Funding
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
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