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Identification of Heat-Tolerant Rice Genotypes through Phenotypic Selection and Multi-Trait Characterization for Genetic Diversity

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01 September 2025

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03 September 2025

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Abstract

Rice (Oryza sativa L.), a global staple crop, is sensitive to elevated temperatures, particularly during reproductive and grain-filling stages. With climate change projections forecasting significant rises in mean temperature, sustaining rice productivity under heat stress has become a critical challenge. The present study evaluated forty-nine rice genotypes, comprising released varieties and advanced breeding lines, under control and heat-stress conditions. Phenological, morpho-physiological, and yield-related traits, were assessed to identify tolerant genotypes. Results revealed substantial variability among genotypes for chlorophyll content, membrane stability, spikelet fertility, and grain yield under stress. Heat-tolerant checks N22 and Rasi, along with genotypes L 663, L 672, MTU 1239, and CL 448, maintained higher chlorophyll levels, superior membrane integrity, and stable yields. In contrast, genotypes such as Vandana, MTU 1166, and MTU 1001 were highly susceptible, exhibiting severe reductions in chlorophyll content, spikelet fertility, and grain yield. Overall, traits such as minimal chlorophyll degradation, higher membrane thermostability, sustained spikelet fertility, and stable grain yield were strongly associated with heat tolerance. These findings highlight promising donor genotypes and key physiological traits that can be exploited in breeding programs to develop climate-resilient rice cultivars.

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Abstract
Rice (Oryza sativa L.), a global staple crop, is sensitive to elevated temperatures, particularly during reproductive and grain-filling stages. With climate change projections forecasting significant rises in mean temperature, sustaining rice productivity under heat stress has become a critical challenge. The present study evaluated forty-nine rice genotypes, comprising released varieties and advanced breeding lines, under control and heat-stress conditions. Phenological, morpho-physiological, and yield-related traits, were assessed to identify tolerant genotypes. Results revealed substantial variability among genotypes for chlorophyll content, membrane stability, spikelet fertility, and grain yield under stress. Heat-tolerant checks N22 and Rasi, along with genotypes L 663, L 672, MTU 1239, and CL 448, maintained higher chlorophyll levels, superior membrane integrity, and stable yields. In contrast, genotypes such as Vandana, MTU 1166, and MTU 1001 were highly susceptible, exhibiting severe reductions in chlorophyll content, spikelet fertility, and grain yield. Overall, traits such as minimal chlorophyll degradation, higher membrane thermostability, sustained spikelet fertility, and stable grain yield were strongly associated with heat tolerance. These findings highlight promising donor genotypes and key physiological traits that can be exploited in breeding programs to develop climate-resilient rice cultivars.

Introduction

Rice (Oryza sativa L.) is the second most significant cereal crop globally (Van Nguyen & Ferrero, 2006). It is a primary staple food for over two-thirds of the world’s population, often regarded as synonymous with food. It is cultivated extensively across tropical and subtropical regions and is commonly called the "Global Grain" (Shalini & Tulsi, 2008). Due to its relatively small genome, extensive germplasm diversity, abundance of molecular genetic tools, and an efficient transformation system, rice is considered a model crop in cereal research (Paterson et al., 2005). In India, rice is grown on approximately 45 million hectares, with an annual production of 178.30 million tonnes and an average yield of 122 million metric tonnes of milled rice (Ministry of Agriculture, Government of India, 2020).
Rising global temperatures due to climate change have led to an increase of approximately 0.5 °C during the 20th century, with projections suggesting a further rise of 1.5 to 4.5 °C within the current century (Peraudeau et al., 2015). The Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, 2013) predicts that by 2081–2100, the global average surface temperature could increase by 0.3–1.7 °C under minimal greenhouse gas emissions and by 2.6–4.8 °C under high-emission scenarios, relative to the 1986–2005 baseline. These climatic shifts pose significant threats to crop productivity worldwide. While plants possess inherent adaptive mechanisms that help them cope with environmental stressors, these responses are often insufficient to sustain optimal yield levels. For example, Matsui et al. (2001) observed that plants can reduce panicle temperature by as much as 10 °C through transpirational cooling, which helps maintain spikelet fertility. Additionally, traits such as elongated and upright flag leaf that shield panicles from intense solar radiation have been associated with improved heat tolerance.
Rice is highly susceptible to high temperatures and rising global air temperatures are expected to significantly compromise its yield, grain quality, and nutritional content (Fahad et al., 2015). Although elevated atmospheric CO₂ levels can enhance rice productivity due to its classification as a C3 plant (Shimono et al., 2009), heat stress often counteracts this positive response (Kadam et al., 2014). High temperatures, particularly during the reproductive and grain-filling phases, adversely affect yield and grain quality (Bahuguna et al., 2015) in tropical and subtropical regions where rice is predominantly cultivated; elevated daytime temperatures during anthesis and grain filling present a significant challenge. For instance, temperature increases of 3.6 °C to 7.0 °C above the critical threshold between heading and mid-ripening stages resulted in reductions in photosynthetic activity by 11.2% and 35.6%, respectively (Fahad et al., 2016). To combat these climate-induced risks, there is an urgent need to strengthen rice resilience through targeted crop improvements in phenological, physiological, and molecular traits.
Photosynthetic pigments are important plant physiology traits, primarily because they capture light energy and generate reducing agents such as ATP and NADPH. However, these pigments particularly chlorophyll ‘a’ and chlorophyll ‘b’ are vulnerable to elevated temperatures. Exposure to heat stress alters the balance between chlorophyll ‘a’, chlorophyll ‘b’, and carotenoids, often resulting in a noticeable reduction in total chlorophyll content (Farooq et al., 2009). High temperatures also stimulate the production of reactive oxygen species (ROS), which act as secondary stressors. These ROS interact with membrane lipids, primarily unsaturated fatty acids, leading to lipid peroxidation and subsequent accumulation of malondialdehyde. Since biological membranes are susceptible to heat, their structural proteins may undergo conformational changes at the tertiary and quaternary levels. This compromises membrane integrity and increases permeability, as evidenced by greater electrolyte leakage. The resulting rise in electrical conductivity under heat stress conditions reflects a decline in the membrane’s thermal stability index (Hemantaranjan et al., 2014).
Genetic variability within the rice germplasm is fundamental for the success of crop improvement programs, particularly for enhancing tolerance to high-temperature stress (Mthiyane et al., 2024). This variability is significant during the reproductive stage, where maintaining high spikelet fertility is critical for yield stability and such traits can be effectively targeted through direct phenotypic selection. In addition, correlation analysis between yield and its associated traits under heat stress provides insights into trait interdependence, enabling effective indirect selection strategies. Identifying such genotypes can aid breeders in selecting superior lines with better adaptation to future climate scenarios. Therefore, this study aimed to assess phenotypic response and molecular characterization (Seelam et al., 2024) of rice genotypes under both control and heat stress conditions with stress imposed in the polyhouse during reproductive phase.

Materials and Methods

  • Plant materials
The study was conducted during kharif-2021 using forty-nine rice genotypes (Supplementary Table S1), comprised released varieties and advanced breeding lines obtained from the Regional Agricultural Research Station (RARS), Maruteru. The experiment was carried out in an artificial polyhouse facility established at RARS. Weather data during the crop growth period were collected from the meteorological observatory at RARS, and polyhouse conditions were continuously monitored with a data logger (RC-4HC) (Figure 1). During the cropping season, the mean monthly maximum and minimum ambient temperatures were 30.60 °C and 25.84 °C, respectively, while during the stress period from panicle initiation to maturity the corresponding values were 30.3 °C and 25.4 °C under ambient conditions and 35.3 °C and 27.9 °C inside the polyhouse, representing an increase of 5.0 °C and 2.5 °C, respectively (Figure 2). The genotypes were evaluated in an augmented design with two replications, and observations were recorded on five randomly selected plants from each entry; mean values were computed and used for analysis. Data were collected on various morpho-physiological and yield-related traits under both conditions. At physiological maturity, plants were harvested manually, threshed by hand, and the grains and straw were cleaned and sun-dried to approximately 14% moisture content for further evaluation.
Figure 1. Inner view of heat stress experimental unit consisting of automatic temperature recorder (Data logger).
Figure 1. Inner view of heat stress experimental unit consisting of automatic temperature recorder (Data logger).
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Figure 2. Maximum and minimum temperature (°C) during the crop growing period inside and outside the polyhouse during kharif 2021.
Figure 2. Maximum and minimum temperature (°C) during the crop growing period inside and outside the polyhouse during kharif 2021.
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  • Chlorophyll estimation
Total chlorophyll CHLa and CHLb contents from the leaves were estimated as per porra method (Porra et al., 1989) using spectrophotometer. Chlorophyll content was estimated using the flag leaf collected one week after flowering. One gram of the fresh leaf tissue was cut into small pieces and placed into a volumetric flask containing 25 ml of 80% acetone (Porra et al., 1989) and stored in the dark for 1 to 2 days to ensure complete extraction of leaf pigments The values were expressed in milligram per gram fresh weight. Chlorophyll a content, chlorophyll b content and total chlorophyll content was calculated according to Lichtenthaler and Wellburn (1983).
Chl a (µg/ml) = 12.25 A663.2 – 2.79 A646.8
Chl b (µg/ml) = 21.5 A646.8 – 5.1 A663.2
Total chlorophyll (µg/ml) = Chl a + Chl b
  • Cell membrane thermostability (CMS) analysis
Membrane thermostability (MTS) was assessed following (Haque et al., 2009) with modifications. Leaf samples were washed with deionized water, cut into pieces, and placed in test tubes containing 10 ml deionized water. Two sets of samples were prepared: one maintained at 28 °C (control) and the other incubated at 52 °C for 1 h (heat treatment), with three replications each. After treatment, tubes were kept at room temperature for 24 h, and initial conductance was recorded using a conductivity meter. Samples were then autoclaved at 121 °C (15 lb) for 20 min to ensure complete electrolyte leakage, and final conductance was measured. MTS was calculated using the formula of (Blum & Ebercon, 1981):
CMS (%) = [1 – (T1/T2)] / [1 – (C1/C2)] × 100,
where C1 and C2 represent initial and final conductance of control, and T1 and T2 represent initial and final conductance of heat-treated samples.
Days to 50% Flowering: The number of days taken for 50% of plants to flower in each genotype was noted as days to 50% flowering and was expressed in days.
Plant Height (cm): The plant height on the tagged plants was recorded by measuring the height from the base of the plant to the tip of the terminal leaf or panicle on main stem and was expressed in centimeters (cm).
Ear Bearing Tillers Number/ Plant: The ear bearing tillers number per plant was counted and was computed in both heat stress and control conditions and then expressed as ear bearing tillers number/plant.
  • Spikelet fertility (%)
Spikelet fertility was worked out using the following formula and expressed in per cent.
S p i k e l e t   f e r t i l i t y = N u m b e r   o f   f i l l e d   g r a i n s T o t a l   n u m b e r   o f   g r a i n s × 100
  • Grain yield (g/plant)
At physiological maturity, panicles from each plant in both stress and non-stress conditions were harvested, sun dried, threshed, cleaned and the weight of grains was recorded and expressed in grams per plant.
Data
ata analysis
Analysis of variance for all the characters was studied as per standard statistical procedure for Augmented Randomized Complete Block Design (Augmented Design II) as given by Federer (1956). The data was analysed using R Studio software.

Results and Discussion

  • Chlorophyll ‘a’ and Chlorophyll ‘b’
In plants, leaves act as the primary photosynthetic organs, and more than 90% of the dry matter yield in crops is attributed to leaf photosynthesis (Makino, 2011). Chlorophyll is the main pigment in photosynthesis. A higher chlorophyll concentration is necessary for photosynthesis to continue at a regular rate even under heat stress circumstances. In our study, Chlorophyll ‘a’ content varied widely among the 49 genotypes (Supplementary Table S2). Under control conditions, values ranged from 2.41 to 3.97 mg g⁻¹ FW (mean 3.20), whereas under heat stress they ranged from 1.88 to 3.68 mg g⁻¹ FW (mean 2.75). The highest chlorophyll ‘a’ levels were recorded in CL 447 (3.97 mg g⁻¹ FW), MTU 1262 (3.96), and MTU 2077 (3.93) under control, while CL 451 (3.68), MTU 2077 (3.54), and CL 447 (3.52) were superior under stress. MTU 1064 showed the lowest content in both conditions (2.41 and 1.88 mg g⁻¹ FW). Consistent with earlier reports (Lohitha et al., 2019), chlorophyll ‘a’ declined significantly under heat stress. Combined analysis revealed that N22 (1.3%), CL 451 (5.4%), and CL 448 (6.0%) had the least decrease, whereas Vandana (33.8%), MTU 1001 (33.5%), and CL 450 (23.1%) showed the maximum reduction.
Mean chlorophyll b content was 1.29 mg g⁻¹ FW under control and 0.76 mg g⁻¹ FW under stress (Table 4.4). MTU 1061 (1.89), L 670 (1.84), and MTU 1190 (1.81) recorded the highest levels under control, while MTU 1140 (1.36), L 677 (1.34), and Rasi (1.32) were superior under stress. MTU 1064 consistently had the lowest values (0.77 control; 0.30 stress). Similar reductions in chlorophyll b under heat stress have also been reported, where Zafar et al. (2017) found the lowest levels in the heat-sensitive variety Basmati-385. On the final day of stress application, Thussagunpanit et al. (2015) reported that high temperature decreased chlorophyll a by 43.84%, chlorophyll b by 49.53%, total chlorophyll (a + b) by 45.03%, and carotenoids by 61.84% compared to non-stressed plants, indicating that heat stress impairs the light-harvesting capacity of chlorophyll pigments (Calatayud & Barreno, 2004; Zhu et al., 2011). In the present study, combined analysis showed MTU 1140 (3.6%) had the least decline, lower even than tolerant checks N22 (9.2%) and Rasi (8.3%), while MTU 2077 (72.5%), L 665 (66.8%), and MTU 1224 (65.3%) exhibited the highest reductions.
  • Total Chlorophyll Content
Heat stress causes reactive oxygen radicals to be produced in plants due to an imbalance in photosynthesis and respiration, which damages the chloroplast membranes and oxidizes the chlorophyll pigment (Sharkey, 2005; Sun & Guo, 2016; Wang et al., 2018). The ability to synthesize more chlorophyll under high temperature stress is an important criterion for stress tolerance (Zhou et al., 2018). In our study, total chlorophyll ranged from 3.19 to 5.64 mg g⁻¹ FW under control, and from 2.18 to 4.54 mg g⁻¹ FW under stress (Table 1; Figure 3). MTU 1262 (5.64), MTU 2077 (5.40), and CL 451 (5.27) had the highest content under control, while N22 (4.54) and MTU 1262 (4.49) were superior under stress. MTU 1064 consistently showed the lowest values (3.19 and 2.18). Minimal reductions were observed in N22 (3.5%), Rasi (7.7%), CL 448 (10.2%), while Vandana (42.2%), L 665 (36.8%), MTU 1001 (36.3%), and MTU 1064 (31.5%) showed maximum losses (Table 1). Previous studies also noted similar reductions, with N22 maintaining higher stability compared to sensitive checks (Veronica et al., 2019; Lohitha et al., 2019).
Table 1. Effect of high temperature total chlorophyll content and cell membrane thermostability of rice genotypes.
Table 1. Effect of high temperature total chlorophyll content and cell membrane thermostability of rice genotypes.
S. No. Genotypes Days to 50% flowering Plant height (cm) Ear bearing tillers number/plant
Control Heat stress Mean Control Heat stress Mean Control Heat Stress Mean
1 MTU 7029 107 107 107 124 121 123 16 12 14
2 MTU 2077 113 113 113 120 118 119 12 10 11
3 MTU 1061 122 121 121 123 128 125 11 10 11
4 MTU 1064 119 119 119 126 124 125 12 11 11
5 PLA 1100 121 120 121 133 122 128 11 9 10
6 MTU 1140 119 118 119 135 119 127 13 11 12
7 MTU 1172 119 119 119 128 130 129 12 10 11
8 MTU 1075 113 110 112 144 137 141 14 12 13
9 MTU 1223 127 120 124 139 132 136 13 10 12
10 MTU 1155 110 109 110 147 137 142 11 10 11
11 MTU1224 109 108 109 125 114 120 11 10 11
12 MTU 1031 127 121 124 123 108 116 12 10 11
13 MTU 1032 112 108 110 142 131 137 11 10 10
14 MTU 1190 108 107 108 145 139 142 13 11 12
15 MTU 1239 115 111 113 136 129 132 12 8 10
16 MTU 1262 129 127 128 132 121 126 13 10 11
17 MTU 1184 128 124 126 163 152 157 12 11 12
18 MTU 1194 122 121 122 137 138 138 11 10 10
19 MTU 1238 112 112 112 146 133 140 12 10 11
S. No. Genotypes Days to 50% flowering Plant height (cm) Ear bearing tillers
number/plant
Control Heat stress Mean Control Heat stress Mean Control Heat Stress Mean
20 MTU 1253 115 113 114 147 138 142 13 11 12
21 MTU 1271 118 114 116 142 133 138 12 10 11
22 MTU 1315 121 118 120 139 132 135 12 9 11
23 MTU 1318 127 127 127 128 122 125 11 9 10
24 MTU 1166 129 127 128 151 144 148 12 11 12
25 MTU 1232 121 115 118 122 118 120 10 9 10
26 L648 129 127 128 142 135 139 10 9 10
27 L 663 112 112 112 149 152 150 12 11 12
28 L 665 118 116 117 140 138 139 13 11 12
29 L 667 124 120 122 152 143 148 14 10 12
30 L 668 124 122 123 151 145 148 12 11 12
31 L 669 122 121 122 151 144 148 13 10 12
32 L 670 120 120 120 145 143 144 12 10 11
33 L 672 121 120 121 146 140 143 10 9 10
34 L 674 117 116 117 149 142 146 10 9 10
35 L 676 112 111 112 143 131 137 10 9 10
36 L 677 112 111 112 140 126 133 12 10 11
37 CL 446 115 109 112 130 126 128 11 8 10
38 CL 447 110 108 109 150 132 141 10 10 10
S. No. Genotypes Days to 50% flowering Plant height (cm) Ear bearing tillers number/plant
Control Heat stress Mean Control Heat stress Mean Control Heat Stress Mean
39 CL 448 117 117 117 115 118 117 11 10 10
40 CL 449 114 112 113 154 144 149 11 10 11
41 CL 450 114 112 113 144 139 142 11 10 11
42 CL 451 122 121 122 130 121 126 12 10 11
43 CL 452 122 117 120 107 113 110 12 10 11
44 CL 453 117 115 116 134 121 127 16 11 14
45 CL 454 101 101 101 137 140 138 14 11 12
46 N22 87 87 87 115 114 115 10 7 9
47 Vandana 89 86 89 106 100 103 18 11 14
48 Rasi 92 90 86 100 103 101 21 16 18
49 MTU 1001 106 104 105 131 121 126 15 10 12
Mean 116.0 114.0 135.9 129.7 12.0 10.0
Maximum 129.0 127.0 163.0 152.0 21.0 16.0
Minimum 87.0 86.0 100.0 100.0 10.0 7.0
CD (5%) 2.065 1.381 3.169 1.172 1.143 0.844
CV % 9.04 7.40 4.26 4.91 15.88 14.18
Figure 3. Effect of high temperature on total chlorophyll content of rice genotypes.
Figure 3. Effect of high temperature on total chlorophyll content of rice genotypes.
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  • Cell Membrane Thermostability (CMS)
Under heat stress, uninterrupted functioning of cellular membranes is essential for photosynthesis and respiration to proceed accurately (Allakhverdiev et al., 2008). Consequently, membrane thermostability has been recognized as a key determinant of heat tolerance. In this study, membrane thermostability was assessed by measuring relative electrolyte leakage caused by stress injury. The genotypes N22, Rasi, and L 672 recorded the highest membrane stability under both control and heat stress conditions. N22 maintained 83.9% under control and 81.4% under stress, while Rasi showed 82.5% and 78.9%, and L 672 displayed 77.7% and 70.5%, respectively. In contrast, Vandana exhibited the lowest membrane thermostability, with only 34.1% under control and 22.1% under stress. When comparing reductions between treatments, N22 had the smallest decline (3.0%), whereas Vandana showed the greatest reduction (35.1%) (Table 1; Figure 4).
Figure 4. Effect of high temperature on membrane thermostability (%) of rice genotypes.
Figure 4. Effect of high temperature on membrane thermostability (%) of rice genotypes.
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These findings are consistent with previous reports demonstrating that heat stress alters lipid composition of membranes, thereby influencing their stability. For example, creeping bentgrass exposed to 35 °C e xhibited higher lipid saturation (Liu & Huang, 2004), while tall fescue showed increased unsaturation under 40/35 °C conditions (Hu et al., 2018), and wheat displayed the opposite trend with reduced unsaturation (Narayanan et al., 2016). Such changes often involve an increase in saturated fatty acids or a decrease in unsaturated fatty acids (Narayanan et al., 2016; Pearcy, 1978). Importantly, Hu et al. (2018) suggested that greater unsaturation enhances photosynthetic membrane stability and may contribute to improved heat tolerance. The superior performance of genotypes such as N22, Rasi, and L 672 in maintaining higher membrane thermostability in this study could therefore be attributed to similar lipid adjustments, enabling them to preserve cellular integrity and function under heat stress.
  • Days to 50% Flowering
Days to 50% flowering varied widely among genotypes, ranging from 87 to 129 days under control conditions and 87 to 127 days under heat stress (Supplementary Table S3). Under control conditions, N22 (87 days), Vandana (89), Rasi (92), CL 454 (101), and MTU 1001 (106) recorded the earliest flowering. Under stress, Vandana (86 days) and N22 (87 days) maintained early flowering, followed by Rasi (90), CL 454 (101), and MTU 1001 (104). The late-maturing genotypes MTU 1262 and MTU 1166 required 129 days to flower under control, while MTU 1262 and MTU 1318 showed delayed flowering (127 days each) under stress.
Notably, ten genotypes showed no difference in flowering duration, while MTU 1223 recorded the greatest reduction (seven days). These findings align with Sailaja et al. (2015), who reported reduced flowering duration across genotypes under heat stress, and Masuduzzaman et al. (2016), who observed significant variation for this trait among 1217 screened lines. Early flowering under stress, as seen in Vandana and N22, may represent an adaptive escape mechanism, enabling plants to complete reproductive stages before severe stress occurs.
  • Plant Height
Plant height showed clear reductions under heat stress (Supplementary Table S3). Under control, height ranged from 100 cm (Rasi) to 163 cm (MTU 1184), with a mean of 135.9 cm, while under stress the range was 100 cm (Vandana) to 152 cm (MTU 1184), with a reduced mean of 129.7 cm. Shorter genotypes across conditions included Rasi (101 cm), Vandana (103 cm), CL 452 (110 cm), and N22 (115 cm), while MTU 1184 consistently recorded the greatest height (157 cm mean). The reduction in plant height under elevated temperatures is consistent with earlier reports (Prasad et al., 2006; Sailaja et al., 2015), which attributed shorter stature to suppressed stem elongation and ROS-induced cellular damage. Shorter plants under stress may represent impaired vegetative growth, which can negatively influence biomass partitioning and yield potential (Fageria, 2007; Fu et al., 2016; Wu et al., 2022).
  • Ear-BearingTillers per Plant
Ear-bearing tiller number declined significantly under heat stress, highlighting its sensitivity during panicle initiation. The average number of productive tillers dropped from 12 under control to 10 under stress (Supplementary Table S3). Rasi produced the maximum tillers (21 control, 16 stress), while N22 consistently showed the fewest (10 control, 7 stress). MTU 7029, a popular mega-variety, also showed reductions (16 control, 12 stress). Similar declines in tiller number under high temperature have been reported by Samol et al. (2015) and Oh-e et al. (2007), who observed reduced tillering and fewer productive culms under elevated temperature regimes. Given its role in determining sink capacity, tiller number under stress serves as a key trait for selecting heat-tolerant genotypes (Vishnu Prasanth et al., 2017). Genotypes like Rasi, which sustain relatively higher tiller numbers under stress, may hold promise for breeding programs targeting resilience.
  • Spikelet Fertility (%)
Reduced spikelet fertility in the panicles is a major consequence of heat stress during reproductive stage. Spikelet fertility was highly sensitive to elevated temperature stress (Table 2). Under control conditions, fertility ranged from 81.3% to 96.0% with a mean of 89.7%. In contrast, under heat stress, values declined drastically, ranging from 22.5% to 84.0% with a mean of 50.4%. Under non-stress conditions, MTU 1166 recorded the highest spikelet fertility (96.0%), comparable to the tolerant check N22 (91.7%). However, under stress, N22 (84.0%), MTU 1239 (77.2%), and Rasi (74.4%) maintained the highest fertility levels. By contrast, MTU 1166 (22.5%) and MTU 1253 (24.3%) showed the lowest spikelet fertility under stress, confirming their susceptibility. Combined analysis revealed that N22 (8.3%), MTU 1239 (12.3%), L 663 (18.0%), Rasi (20.2%), and CL 448 (20.4%) sustained minimal fertility loss and can be considered heat tolerant. In contrast, MTU 1166 (76.5%) and MTU 1253 (74.2%) exhibited the largest declines, reflecting high vulnerability to stress (Figure 5). For phenotyping this trait, spikelets from plots under heat stress and control were harvested separately and compared (Figure 6).
Table 2. Effect of high temperature on spikelet fertility and grain yield per plant of rice genotypes.
Table 2. Effect of high temperature on spikelet fertility and grain yield per plant of rice genotypes.
S. No. Score Genotypes
1 Tolerant (>65 % spikelet fertility, > 19 grams of grain yield, > 65 % MTS) MTU 1223, MTU 1239, L 663, L 672, L 674, CL 448, CL 452, N22, Rasi.
2 Moderately tolerant (30-65 %spikelet fertility, 12-19 grams of grain yield, 30- 65 % MTS) MTU 7029, MTU 2077, MTU 1061, MTU 1064, PLA 1100, MTU 1140, MTU 1172, MTU 1075, MTU 1155, MTU 1224, MTU 1031, MTU 1032, MTU 1190, MTU 1262, MTU 1184, MTU 1194, MTU 1238, MTU 1271, MTU 1315, MTU 1318,
MTU 1232, L 648, L 665, L 667, L 668, L 669, L 670, L 676, L 677, CL 446, CL 447, CL 449, CL 450, CL 451, CL 453, CL 454
4 Susceptible (<30 % spikelet fertility, <12 grams of grain yield, <30 % MTS) MTU 1253, MTU 1166, Vandana, MTU 1001
Figure 5. Effect of high temperature on spikelet fertility (%) of rice genotypes.
Figure 5. Effect of high temperature on spikelet fertility (%) of rice genotypes.
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Figure 6. Phenotyping of spikelets of various genotypes under Control and Heat Stress Conditions.
Figure 6. Phenotyping of spikelets of various genotypes under Control and Heat Stress Conditions.
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These findings are consistent with earlier studies showing that high temperatures during flowering impair reproductive success. Matsui et al. (2001) and Prasad et al. (2006) reported that reduced pollen germination and poor anther dehiscence under heat stress lead to spikelet sterility. Hurkman et al. (2009) further demonstrated that exposure to >33°C at heading significantly decreased spikelet fertility and increased seed sterility. Similarly, Sailaja et al. (2015) reported declines in fertility and grain yield across multiple rice genotypes under high temperature. Poor development of rice spikelets, especially inferior spikelets caused by heat stress reduced the rice grain yield.
  • Grain Yield(g/plant)
Heat stress has a significant impact on rice yields because it hinders growth and photosynthesis. Heat stress also had an impact on the reproductive stage of rice, which lowers production. Grain yield per plant showed a marked decline under elevated temperature stress (Table 2). Under control conditions, yield ranged from 19.7 g to 39.3 g with a mean of 29.4 g/plant, while under stress it declined to 10.7–21.5 g with a mean of 15.9 g/plant. Under non-stress conditions, MTU 1075 recorded the highest yield (39.3 g), followed by L 663 (38.7 g), L 669 (37.7 g), and MTU 1001 (37.3 g). However, under heat stress, N22 (21.5 g) sustained the highest yield, closely followed by L 663 (21.0 g), L 677 (20.3 g), and MTU 1223 (20.3 g). Notably, L 663 performed on par with N22, indicating its strong potential as a tolerant genotype. In contrast, Vandana (19.7 g) showed the lowest yield under control conditions, while under heat stress Vandana (10.7 g), MTU 1166 (11.7 g), and MTU 1001 (12.3 g) recorded the poorest performance, confirming their susceptibility. The drastic reduction in yield under stress is primarily due to impaired translocation of soluble sugars to spikelets and reduced starch synthase activity during grain development (Fu et al., 2016). Percent reduction analysis revealed that L 672 (3.2%), N22 (8.5%), and MTU 1239 (23.3%) had the least losses, while MTU 1001 showed the maximum decline (66.9%) (Figure 7). Genotypes with lower yield reduction thus represent stable performers under stress conditions.
Figure 7. Effect of high temperature on grain yield (g/plant) of rice genotypes.
Figure 7. Effect of high temperature on grain yield (g/plant) of rice genotypes.
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These findings are consistent with earlier reports. Su et al. (2023) and Peng et al. (2004) demonstrated that yield decreases by ~10% for every 1 °C rise in mean temperature. Ma QiLin et al. (2009) reported such losses due to inhibition of grain filling, while Cao YunYing et al. (2008) and Mohammed and Tarpley (2014) observed severe declines (up to 90%) when rice was continuously exposed to high temperatures during reproductive and grain filling stages. Poli et al. (2013) further reported significant yield reductions in N22 and its mutant under heat stress. Overall, the present study highlights that genotypes MTU 1223, MTU 1239, L 663, L 672, L 674, CL 448, and CL 452 maintained yield stability comparable to tolerant checks N22 and Rasi, making them promising candidates for breeding programs aimed at enhancing heat tolerance (Table 3).
Table 3. Classification of 49 rice genotypes for thermotolerance.

Conclusions

The study demonstrated significant genotypic variation in response to elevated temperatures, underscoring the potential for exploiting existing diversity to enhance heat tolerance in rice. Genotypes such as N22, Rasi, L 663, L 672, MTU 1239, and CL 448 consistently performed well under heat stress, maintaining higher chlorophyll content, better membrane thermostability, superior spikelet fertility, and minimal yield reduction. Conversely, Vandana, MTU 1166, and MTU 1001 were identified as highly heat-sensitive, confirming their unsuitability for cultivation under warming climates. The findings reaffirm that chlorophyll stability, membrane integrity, and spikelet fertility are reliable physiological indicators of thermotolerance and can serve as effective selection criteria in breeding programs. By integrating these traits with molecular tools, as reported in complementary studies, rice improvement efforts can be accelerated to develop cultivars resilient to projected climate scenarios. This research thus provides a valuable foundation for breeding strategies aimed at sustaining rice productivity in the face of global warming.

Supplementary Materials

The following supporting information can be downloaded at the website of this paper posted on Preprints.org.

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