Submitted:
07 April 2025
Posted:
08 April 2025
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Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Research Questions and Objectives
- What are the underlying causes of communication challenges in forestry?
- What central problem contributes to the gap between forestry professionals and the public?
- How can this problem be addressed, what goals should be set, and what methods should be employed to achieve them?
- Examine the root causes of misconceptions in forestry communication by analysing underlying factors and mechanisms.
- Define the central problem contributing to the communication gap between forestry professionals and the public, with particular attention to its origins and consequences.
- Establish a set of foundational tools, methods, and analytical approaches to address the communication gap.
- Assess public perceptions of forestry through a large-scale quantitative survey, using the findings to identify misconceptions and inform strategic communication goals.
2.2. Study Design and Rationale
2.3. CIMO Model
2.4. Problem Tree Analysis
2.5. SWOT Analysis
2.6. Confrontation TOWS Matrix & Delphi Method
- Initial Questionnaire Distribution: Experts were presented with the complete set of SWOT factors and asked to evaluate the strategic intersections in the TOWS Matrix using a five-point symbolic scale (--, -, 0, +, ++). They also provided qualitative commentary to justify their ratings.
- Analysis and Feedback: The responses underwent a statistical analysis, during which modal values were calculated to determine areas of agreement and disagreement among the experts. A feedback report outlining these patterns was subsequently shared with all participants.
- Subsequent Iterative Rounds for Consensus Building: Two additional rounds of evaluation were conducted. During each round, experts were invited to reassess their responses considering the feedback provided by the group. This iterative refinement allowed for nuanced calibration and gradual convergence on shared evaluations.
- Final Analysis: The concluding phase of the Delphi process consolidated final expert ratings into a consensus-based evaluation. This output identified and provided foundational building elements essential for formulating a communication strategy, including defining specific communication goals. It thereby enabled and supported the structured framing of the forestry sector's overarching communication strategy (Objective C).
2.7. Quantitative Survey and Data Analysis
3. Results
3.1. The CIMO Model Approach
3.2. Revealing the Central Problem Through Problem Tree Analysis
3.3. SWOT Analysis and TOWS Matrix
| Strengths (S) | Weaknesses (W) |
|---|---|
| S1: Positive Public Attitude to Forest S2: Free Public Access to Forests S3: Developed Forest Infrastructure S4: Forest Pedagogy Network S5: Ecological Role of Forests S6: Market-Based Financing S7: Sustainability Ethos S8: Advanced Technology S9: Public Involvement in Forest Regeneration |
W1: Unclear Strategic Direction W2: Inconsistent Public Communication W3: Weak Response to Misinformation W4: Missed Communication Opportunities W5: Slow Adaptation to Social Change W6: Public Misunderstanding of Forestry Economics W7: Inactive or Uninformed Forest Owners |
| Opportunities (O) | Threats (T) |
| O1: High Public Willingness to Engage O2: Post-Calamity Regeneration Success O3: Leverage High Forest Visitor Rates O4: Changing Social Needs and Preferences O5: Forestry's Climate Role O6: Modern Technological Image O7: Influential Media Figures |
T1: Increasing Media Criticism T2: Declining Public Support T3: Reduced Influence in Policy T4: Decline in Competitiveness and Lower Investment T5: Poorly Informed Decisions and Legislation T6: Natural & Economic Crises |
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- S1: Positive Public Attitude to Forest
- S4: Forest Pedagogy Network
- S7: Sustainability Ethos
- W2: Inconsistent Public Communication
- W3: Weak Response to Misinformation
- W5: Slow Adaptation to Societal Change
- O2: Post-Calamity Regeneration Success
- O5: Forestry’s Climate Role
- O6: Modern Technological Image
- T2: Declining Public Support
- T3: Reduced Influence in Policy
- T5: Poorly Informed Decisions and Legislation
- Coordinated messaging among stakeholders, centred around sustainability (S7) and enhanced by a modern, innovation-focused image (O6). It should also involve proactive responses to misinformation through digital tools, swift messaging, and greater transparency (W3).
- More substantial investment in public education and youth outreach through the Forest Pedagogy Network (S4), focusing on engaging audiences via social networks.
- Framing forestry's climate relevance (O5) and regeneration successes (O2) in a relatable way to foster public trust and support.
- This integrated approach—grounded in SWOT evidence—aims to improve message consistency, strengthen public trust, and support the strategic Positioning of forestry within policy and public communication frameworks.
3.4. Quantitative Survey Findings
4. Discussion
4.1. Interpretation of Strategic Models and Analytical Results
4.2. Communication Goals and Strategic Positioning
- Supporters ( ~18%): Reinforcing this segment requires consistent, transparent communication that avoids controversy or mixed messages.
- The Persuadable Middle ( ~41%): This group sees forestry as important but is uncertain about its effectiveness. To engage them, communication must focus on explaining foresters' work, showcasing long-term planning, and emphasising ecological responsibility.
- Sceptics (Helpless/Negative View, ~41%): Changing perceptions here is more challenging but not impossible. Approaches should include storytelling, the use of relatable personalities, and emotionally resonant campaigns.

- Central coordination platform – A unifying institutional mechanism is needed to synchronise communication across diverse forestry actors. Such a platform would ensure messaging continuity despite political leadership or staffing changes, providing a stable backbone for long-term engagement. Institutional resilience stems from effective internal coordination [36].
- Audience-specific strategies – Tailored communication is especially vital for under-engaged groups such as youth and urban populations. Strategies should include digital storytelling, influencer engagement, and participatory formats to foster emotional connection and perceived relevance. Jenkins [37] provide compelling evidence on the role of "spreadable media," which leverages participatory content and influencer networks to bridge the gap between institutional messaging and audience engagement.
- Feedback loops – Public perception must be continuously monitored using sentiment analysis, surveys, and structured stakeholder dialogue. These insights should drive real-time strategy adjustments, ensuring both responsiveness and accountability. Heath and Johansen [24] highlight that feedback is essential for iterative strategic improvement, reinforcing the value of evidence-based decision-making in public relations.
- Long-term commitment – Research in both public sector reform and corporate communication highlights that sustained investment and ongoing engagement are essential for successful repositioning [36,38,39]. Strategic transformation cannot be accomplished through ad hoc initiatives; it demands consistent leadership, enduring institutional commitment, and alignment with broader governance and policy frameworks to achieve the objectives illustrated in the repositioning map (Figure 4).
5. Conclusions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
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| Youth 12-24 years old | Families with children | People from cities above 20,000 inhabitants |
aged 12-79 In total |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | % | % | % | |
| Forestry is a modern field that requires innovation | 14,9 | 15,0 | 13,4 | 14,5 |
| Forestry is a mission, an obligation to preserve natural values | 39,3 | 47,5 | 50,8 | 49,3 |
| Forestry is a traditional field with a conservative approach | 23,1 | 18,1 | 17,1 | 17,7 |
| Forestry is an economic sector geared towards raw material production and profit | 14,0 | 13,2 | 13,6 | 12,3 |
| Forestry is an outdated discipline whose role should be replaced by nature conservation | 8,7 | 6,2 | 5,1 | 6,2 |
| total % | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
| Total people | 1 325 981 | 3 256 962 | 3 768 873 | 8 874 950 |
| Youth 12-24 years old | Families with children | People from cities above 20,000 | Aged 12–79 Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | % | % | % | |
| They know what to do and how to handle the situation | 7,9 | 7,4 | 6,2 | 6,2 |
| They are "victims of the bark beetle calamity" and they are doing their best | 9,7 | 10,4 | 12,6 | 11,8 |
| They are important (neutral perception | 41,4 | 40,2 | 41,0 | 41,0 |
| They appear helpless | 22,4 | 25,5 | 25,1 | 25,3 |
| They can't handle the situation | 18,5 | 16,5 | 15,1 | 15,6 |
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
| in Total | 1 325 981 | 3 256 962 | 3 768 873 | 8 874 950 |
| Age Group | Never visit | Very rarely (1–2× per year) | Monthly (1× per month) | Weekly (1× per week) | Very often (several times per week) | Total =100% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Elderly (65+) |
20,9% | 22,5% | 21,7% | 19,4% | 15,5% | 1 138 |
| Older adults (45–64) | 8,8% | 23,9% | 29,5% | 21,0% | 16,7% | 1 730 |
|
Adults (26–44) |
7,2% | 22,2% | 33,3% | 22,0% | 15,2% | 1 810 |
|
Young (under 25) |
9,1% | 23,3% | 31,0% | 22,1% | 14,4% | 416 |
| Total | 11,0% | 22,9% | 29,2% | 21,1% | 15,7% | 5 094 |
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