4. Discussion
The risk of seedling mortality was in general low in this case study experiment. Three years after planting, seedling survival was in the range of 74-96 % for pine and 83-98 % for spruce.
Overall, on this study site, the main cause of mortality was pine weevil damage. Even though we avoided positions related to low quality of capped mounds in our experiment, there was still variability in the quality of planting positions related to the occurrence of organic material close to the seedling, which may increase the risk of pine weevil damage. Therefore, we made a detailed classification of planting positions and found a pattern of higher mortality of seedlings planted close to organic material regardless of which main position they were planted in. Hence, such positions were grouped separately as low-quality positions. This presented an opportunity to compare the main positions without interference from low quality positions.
For pine, there was no significant difference in survival between the high-quality mineral soil and capped mound positions, while survival in the high-quality hinge positions was lower than in the capped mounds. Hence, the choice of main position affected the outcome regarding survival of pine, in accordance with our first hypothesis. However, for spruce there was no significant difference in survival between any of the three main positions as long as they were of high quality, in contrast to our first hypothesis. Mortality was highest in low quality planting positions for both pine and spruce, albeit not significantly lower than in high quality hinge positions for pine, nor for 50 cc spruce. For both species, the main cause of mortality was pine weevil damage, and the survival pattern was reflected by a higher attack rate and mortality for seedlings planted in low quality positions. This was expected since the definition of low-quality positions was based on the occurrence of organic material (i.e., humus and vegetation) in the vicinity of the seedling, which has been found to increase the frequency and level of damage by pine weevil compared seedlings surrounded by mineral soil [
15,
16,
17,
18,
19,
20,
21]. Most deaths caused by pine weevil occurred in 2020 (the year of planting), which is to be expected due to the high risk of thin-stemmed seedlings being girdled [
18,
19,
20]. For pine, mortality due to pine weevil damage was almost as high in the high-quality hinge position as in the low-quality positions but this was not the case for spruce. This phenomenon could have multiple explanations.
Attack frequency of pine weevil increased with seedling size for both species in accordance with our second hypothesis. Despite a higher attack frequency, the larger seedlings did not exhibit any higher mortality rates compared to the smaller seedlings, indicating that they were able to cope with pine weevil attack better than the smaller seedlings. This result is in line with previous research in which larger seedlings attracted more pine weevil damage but with no increase in mortality compared to smaller seedlings [
5]. Pine weevil pressure increases with temperature sum, and in general the harsher northern inland part of Sweden has less problems with pine weevil damage [
5,
32]. However, climate change is increasing the length of growing season over the whole country, so pine weevil pressure could potentially increase in more areas.
There was an overall higher attack frequency and mortality due to pine weevil for pine than for spruce, which might potentially alter trends associated with the positions in which the seedlings are more vulnerable (e.g., the number of pine weevils competing for the available seedlings may increase attraction to otherwise less attractive feed sources). The difference in attack rate between tree species may, in part, be explained by the larger size of pine, since the 30 cc pine seedlings were approximately equal in dry weight to the 90 cc spruce seedlings. It could also be an effect of species preferences, since pine weevil prefer pine over spruce if both conifers are present [
12,
18]. However, there were also differences in environment between the pine and spruce areas that may have had a direct or indirect effect on pine weevil attack frequency in different planting positions; these differences included ground vegetation composition, mineral soil texture, amount of slash (i.e., harvest residues) within or near planting positions, moisture level, and distance to the forest edge. Soil microtopography has previously been found to affect pine weevil feeding behavior [
33], and occurrence of pine weevil has been found to correlate positively with amount of slash (harvest residues) [
34]. For the blocks where mineral soil texture was assessed, ~70 % of the pine and ~40 % of the spruce planting positions were on coarse soil (i.e., fractions larger than sand, including pebbles and stone of various sizes), the number of planting groups for which the mound did not contain slash was 9 % in the pine area and 23 % in spruce area and there was a slightly higher soil moisture level in the spruce area. We did not find any correlation between mortality due to pine weevil and soil coarseness, slash occurrence or moisture level that could explain the higher mortality in the high-quality hinge position for pine within the subset of plots for which these factors were assessed. However, this does not exclude the possibility that there could have been such correlations if all plots had been assessed, since pine weevil attacks were heterogeneously distributed and relatively few seedlings in the subset were killed by pine weevil. Other biotic agents, such as red ants can, also decrease pine weevil damage [
35]. Consequently, factors that affect red ants can have an extended effect on pine weevil damage. The spruce area had, overall, more edge closer to forest than the pine area, which may have effects both on pine weevil feeding behavior and red ant presence. Ant presence was not recorded in our inventories but could be of interest in further studies.
Other damage agents recorded for pine in 2020 were
Tomicus piniperda (L) < 2 %, drought ~2 %; in 2021 they were stem break or leaning (not caused by animal or fungi) 1 % and drought < 2 %; and in 2022
Acantholyda hieroglyphica (Christ) 2 %. Browsing by ungulates amounted to < 1 % for all three years. The other damage agent recorded for spruce was drought 3.5 % (of which approximately a third was lethal) in 2020, while there was almost no other damage recorded the following years. Overall, pine appeared more vulnerable to various sources of damage for a longer time than spruce, as found in previous research [
5].
Seedlings in general grew less well in the mineral soil position than in the capped mound position, except for spruce 50 cc seedlings, in part corroborating our third hypothesis. However, growth in the high-quality hinge position was, in general, similar to growth in capped mounds, except for untreated 30 cc pine seedlings. Growth in the low-quality positions was, in general, lower than in mound positions but only significantly so for the 90 cc seedlings of both tree species and untreated 50 cc pine. The effect of planting position on growth was greater for pine (up to 40 % greater stem basal diameter for the smallest seedling size) than for spruce (up to 16 % taller seedlings).
The increase in growth resulting from the AP-treatment was marginal and depended on planting position for 30 and 50 cc pine but was not significant for 90 cc pine. It was, however, significant irrespective of position, but relatively small, for spruce. The addition of AP improved growth so that seedlings planted in mineral soil achieved similar growth to those on the hinge position for 30 and 50 cc pine and 30 cc spruce seedlings, but growth was not equivalent to that of seedlings in the capped mound positions, contrary to our fourth hypothesis. The small effect of AP-treatment on growth did not fully compensate for the growth loss in mineral soil compared to planting in capped mounds, perhaps representing an insufficient increase in growth compared to the cost and extra effort in the planting process. However, our results are only short-term, and this study does not show how the effect develops over subsequent years. Considering the potentially lower cost and ecological impact of mechanical soil preparation when patch scarification is used instead of mounding on dry sites, AP-treatment could also be seen as tool to achieve sufficient growth to make planting in mineral soil in dry conditions worthwhile. Whether this would be economically beneficial or not is a topic for further studies.
It is also important to remember that, regardless of AP-treatment, the option to plant in mineral soil in dry conditions would decrease the risk of desiccation of seedlings. This would be true for the hinge position as well, where the seedlings, in general, also grew better than in mineral soil and equally well as in capped mounds (with the exception of 30 cc pine). The relatively high risk of pine weevil damage in the hinge position for pine as found in this study may be different with other site conditions, but should also be considered if the site is within a pine weevil dense area. However, if the choice would be a mechanical soil preparation method that does not aim to make capped mounds, hinges will not be present either.
Regarding the analyses of total dry weight and shoot:root ratios based on the dry weights, it should be noted that the root weights of the harvested seedlings are underestimated, since roots that grew far away from the seedlings were too difficult to dig up. Therefore, the difference between pine and spruce could, in part, be due to different root morphologies. Nevertheless, the analyses give an indication of total biomass growth which is seldom assessed in field studies. The trends with respect to total (root and shoot) dry weights of harvested seedlings were similar to those for stem basal diameter for pine. There was an extreme increase in dry weight for 50 cc pine seedlings in the hinge position from AP-treatment. We found that it this was related to the high number of seedlings with multiple leader shoots in the hinge position among the 50 cc pine seedlings. Naturally, a higher number of leader shoots will lead to a greater dry weight. For the harvested seedlings the number of multiple leaders were counted, and there were many seedlings with more than four leader shoots. Due to the large variations in the data, the pattern of AP treated seedlings having more multiple shoots was not significant. Nevertheless, there was a clear trend for AP-treated seedlings to have higher numbers of multiple shoots both in the hinge and capped mound positions. For spruce, the trends associated with the planting position in which the seedlings had higher total dry weight differed from the height trends. Nevertheless, total dry weight was, in general, lower in mineral soil for both tree species, with the exception of 30 cc spruce, for which there was no difference in total dry weight between planting positions. For spruce, the difference between seedling sizes was more exaggerated for dry weight than for height. Harvested spruce seedlings had lower shoot:root ratio than pine, suggesting that spruce grew relatively more belowground compared to pine, as shown by the shoot:root ratio of pine increasing by approximately three times the original ratio, while for spruce the ratio had only almost doubled. The shoot:root ratio of pine was highest in hinge positions for all three sizes.
The relative increase in growth from the original size clearly decreased with seedling size for pine, while for spruce there was less difference between the two smaller sizes. This may be related to the initial shoot:root ratio, which clearly increased with increasing size for pine; this pattern was less pronounced for spruce. One reason behind this pattern for pine is that there was a very high proportion of seedlings with only one needle per bundle for the 30 cc seedlings, which naturally had a lower the shoot weight compared to seedlings with two needles per bundle. This also means that the smaller seedlings had an initially lower photosynthetic capacity. However, this did not seem to affect their ability to produce biomass after three years in the field, since the total dry weight after this time was similar to the 50 cc seedlings.
In addition to the results related to our hypotheses, we found a large number of pine seedlings with multiple leading shoots. This affects height growth and is probably the main reason why height measurements did not correspond well to dry weight for pine when we compared these values for the harvested seedlings (
Supplementary File S1). The number of seedlings with multiple leading shoots was, overall, lower in the mineral soil positions. This lower number may potentially compensate for the lower growth in mineral soil positions in the long run, since trees with multiple stems are not desirable in forestry. However, even in mineral soil, there were very high numbers compared to other reports, in which approximately 10-20 % of seedlings displayed multiple leading shoots [
36,
37]. Browsing was not the cause, since browsing damage affected <1 % of the seedlings. It has recently been reported that there is an overall increase in occurrence of multiple leading shoots in Sweden [
37]. The exact cause has not been identified yet. However, it has been found that the occurrence of proleptic shoots, i.e., shoots that grow from the current year´s lateral buds at the base of the terminal bud, disturbs apical dominance and can develop into multiple leading shoots [
38]. We did not find any significant trends associated with the proleptic shoots from the previous year leading to multiple shoots in this study. However, there were trends for the occurrence of adventitious buds in the previous year correlating with multiple leading shoots, albeit with differing effects in different planting positions for 50 cc pine seedlings. We do not consider adventitious buds in the previous year to be a direct cause of multiple leading shoots, but the correlation may indicate that these growth anomalies could have a common cause. Adventitious bud formation can be a response to stress, such as damage and changes in environmental conditions [
39,
40]. Adventitious bud formation is deliberately promoted by top-pruning of young seedlings when propagating trees from cuttings [
41,
42], i.e., one known pre-requisite condition for adventitious buds to develop is disturbing apical dominance. As the seedlings in the trial were not pruned (other than very low occurrence of damage by browsing and other insect activity) there must be another explanation behind the growth anomalies. There are some correlations in previous research that indicate that environmental change, such as increasing CO
2 and temperature, could be the cause of increasing occurrence of prolepsis and multiple leading shoots; positive responses to increased CO
2 and changes in nutrient conditions have been detected in early nursery trials [
38], and insufficient chilling time during winter dormancy can delay budburst and cause growth anomalies [
43,
44,
45,
46]. The timing of bud set may also have been earlier than optimal, since the study site is in the southern region of that considered appropriate for the pine seed material provenance. Moving northern material further south results in earlier height growth cessation due to adaption to the photoperiod [
47]. Dormancy has been found to be induced faster in apical buds than in lateral buds and not induced at all in adventitious buds in
Betula [
48]. If this is also the case for the adventitious buds of pine, these buds may have an advantage if bud break is delayed. However, this is a hypothesis that is beyond the scope of this study but could be a topic for further research. Furthermore, disturbance of apical dominance can be an expression of boron deficiency [
49,
50,
51,
52]. Boron deficiency in the Nordic countries has previously been found mainly in stands that have been fertilized, limed, burnt, or previously used as farmland [
50,
52]. However, there may be a correlation with the increased CO
2 level as well, since increased CO
2 levels have been found to decrease B levels in plants [
53]. To determine whether boron deficiency is a cause of the multiple leading shoots, nutrient analysis of needles is required. Levels of 5-20 ppm are reported as normal, while levels <5 ppm could indicate deficiency, and levels of 2-3 ppm could cause visible damage [
52].
Based on the results in this and other studies in which seedlings performed well in capped mounds, it may seem like this is the optimal planting position. In the current study, the seedlings planted in capped mounds did, indeed, display both high survival and growth. However, the occurrence of multiple leading shoots tended to be higher than in mineral soil. It is also important to remember that we actively avoided planting positions where the mounds were of insufficient quality (e.g. not compacted due to interference of branches, logs or other obstacles). The maximum potential number of planting positions for each tree species, in theory, would be 24 (maximum number of seedlings in a row) times 3 (the three different sizes of seedlings) times 14 (number of blocks/replicates) = 1008. In reality, 633 triplets of pine and 643 of spruce were planted, i.e., only 60 % in the pine area and 64 % in the spruce area of potential planting positions were used in this trial. The remaining potential planting positions were either of poor quality (e.g. not compacted due to interference of branches, logs or other obstacles), or absent (e.g. where the mechanical soil preparation failed due to obstacles). Of these mounds, only 50 % in the pine area and 49 % in the spruce area were capped mounds covered by mineral soil, i.e., of class 9. For the hinge positions, 80 % in the pine area and 64 % in the in the spruce area were classified as high quality (class 6). It has been found in other studies that within site variation, including the number of suitable planting spots and water availability, affects survival of spruce seedlings [
54]. It should, in this context, also be noted that the precipitation sum during the first month following planting was ~39 mm at the closest SMHI weather station, Torrböle D, ~20 km to the study site (SMHI 2023), which is sufficient for water supply from above. If, instead, there had been a dry month, mortality would probably have been higher for the capped mound positions, since the seedlings planted in mounds are more dependent on precipitation [
9,
55].
Mounding is a method that is most appropriate for moist and/or flat sites with fine soil where the seedlings have the advantage of elevation, especially to improve soil aeration; at such sites, the lower elevation planting positions would be at risk of oxygen deficiency for the roots [
8,
9]. It is also important to remember that the ideal position of the seedling root substrate as presented in
Figure 2 is rarely achieved. In reality, capped mounds are highly heterogenous due to the high variation in site conditions. In practice it is often difficult to plant the seedling deep enough due to stoniness or other obstacles. Furthermore, it not possible to assess the interior of each capped mound to ensure the seedling root substrate position. On dry to mesic sites with permeable soil, patch scarification may be sufficient, considering that the effort expended in making capped mounds does not always result in sufficient suitable planting spots in the actual mounds. In addition, the risk of capped mounds being too dry when there is limited precipitation during the establishment phase would be avoided.
Furthermore, instructing planters not to prioritize capped mounds on dry sites would logically decrease the risk of planting in low quality positions, considering our results in which there was a lower risk of choosing low quality positions in mineral soil than in hinge and capped mound positions. The proportion of low-quality positions based on the total percentage for each main planting position in our study was approximately 15 % for mineral soil positions, 28 % for hinge and 31 % for capped mound positions (averaged over the classifications for pine and spruce, based on class 8 being counted as low quality for spruce but not for pine).
As a final remark, the results in our study, as well as other trial case studies, are likely to be biased towards a better outcome than in a commercial regeneration situation where the variability of planting position quality might be higher. Where a seedling ends up being planted depend on planting performance as well as availability of high-quality planting positions. The planters are generally paid per planted seedling and to consider planting position as carefully as in a trial would be too time consuming, and the availability of high-quality positions depend on MSP method and performance which in turn is highly dependent site conditions.