Submitted:
06 February 2024
Posted:
06 February 2024
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Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. Review of Theoretical Background and Research Hypotheses
2.1. China's R&D Investment Policy
2.2. Technology Diversification
2.3. Diversification of Industries (or Business)
2.4. Hypotheses of Development
3. Research Model and Measurement of Variables
3.1. Research Model
3.2. Measurement of Variables
- Industry dummy: Measured as 1 if the number of industries is more than 1. Otherwise, it is measured as 0.
- Number of businesses operated: Measured as 1 if the number of industries that account for 10% or more of total operating sales is 3 or more, otherwise it is measured as 0
- It is calculated using the Herfindahl index in the following way [33]. When calculating the relevant diversification index within the flagship industry, the percentage of sales based on the sales of the flagship industry is calculated and used. If the value of the Herfindahl industry diversification index is high, it is interpreted that the company has undergone a lot of industry diversification.
- Herfindahl–Hirschman index =
- 4.
- In the entropy index, the industry diversification index was calculated based on the sales share of individual business units classified in the sales status of the business report [34]. Also, when individual business units are grouped into intermediate categories, the related diversification index can be measured using the sales share of the business units within the group. If a company has several different business divisions, and each sales share for these companies is Pi, the industry diversification index is expressed as .
3.3. Sampling
- Companies not belonging to the financial and insurance industries
- Companies whose fiscal year ends at the end of December
- Companies without capital impairment
- Companies that can provide data on R&D expenses and financial data necessary for analysis
4. Results
4.1. Descriptive Statistics
4.2. Correlation Analysis between Variables
4.3. Results of Regression Analysis
4.4. Additional Analysis
5. Conclusions
References
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| Variable | Mean | SD | p50 | Min | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETECHDIV | 0.284 | 0.341 | 0 | 0 | 0.925 |
| IND_n | 0.028 | 0.164 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| RND | 0.003 | 0.011 | 0 | 0 | 0.069 |
| GOV | 0.351 | 0.477 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| SIZE | 22.18 | 1.302 | 22 | 19.830 | 26.210 |
| LEV | 0.414 | 0.204 | 0.403 | 0.056 | 0.894 |
| CFO | 0.050 | 0.068 | 0.049 | -0.148 | 0.248 |
| ROA | 0.039 | 0.062 | 0.039 | -0.262 | 0.202 |
| LARGE | 0.344 | 0.149 | 0.322 | 0.087 | 0.749 |
| FOREIGN | 0.011 | 0.057 | 0 | 0 | 0.421 |
| VARIABLES | ETECHDIV | IND_n | RND | GOV | SIZE | LEV | CFO | ROA | LARGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND_n | 0.011 | ||||||||
| RND | 0.069* | 0.042* | |||||||
| GOV | -0.053* | 0.049* | -0.047* | ||||||
| SIZE | 0.062* | 0.052* | -0.006 | 0.346* | |||||
| LEV | -0.035* | 0.005 | -0.076* | 0.274* | 0.519* | ||||
| CFO | 0.047* | -0.020* | -0.050* | -0.057* | 0.034* | -0.179* | |||
| ROA | 0.097* | -0.018* | -0.049* | -0.124* | -0.044* | -0.362* | 0.393* | ||
| LARGE | 0.001 | -0.010 | -0.118* | 0.201* | 0.179* | 0.051* | 0.116* | 0.145* | |
| FOREIGN | 0.022* | -0.011 | -0.019* | -0.101* | -0.073* | -0.101* | 0.068* | 0.107* | 0.070* |
| IND_n(t+1) | Coef. | t-value | St.Err |
|---|---|---|---|
| _cons | -17.185*** | -7.52 | 2.287 |
| RND | 14.956** | 2.43 | 6.156 |
| GOV | 0.773*** | 2.97 | 0.261 |
| SIZE | 0.476*** | 4.66 | 0.102 |
| LEV | -1.288** | -2.15 | 0.599 |
| CFO | -1.624 | -1.31 | 1.24 |
| ROA | -1.168 | -0.85 | 1.369 |
| LARGE | -1.704** | -2.29 | 0.744 |
| FOREIGN | 1.797 | 1.24 | 1.448 |
| ∑YEAR | Included | ||
| ∑IND | Included | ||
| Log likelihood | -1,603.957 | ||
| LR chi2 | 1,415.890 | ||
| Prob > chi2 | 0.000 | ||
| ETECHDIV(t+1) | Coef. | t-value | St.Err |
|---|---|---|---|
| _cons | -1.355*** | -1.355 | -1.35 |
| RND | 1.053** | 2.24 | 0.471 |
| GOV | -0.057** | -2.42 | 0.023 |
| SIZE | 0.029*** | 3.84 | 0.008 |
| LEV | 0.077* | 1.96 | 0.039 |
| CFO | 0.029 | 0.41 | 0.071 |
| ROA | 0.084 | 1.11 | 0.076 |
| LARGE | 0.122** | 2.27 | 0.054 |
| FOREIGN | 0.025 | 0.28 | 0.089 |
| ∑YEAR | Included | ||
| ∑IND | Included | ||
| Log likelihood | -9,505.807 | ||
| LR chi2 | 7,373.380 | ||
| Prob > chi2 | 0.000 | ||
| IND_n(t+1) | Coef. | t-value | St.Err |
|---|---|---|---|
| _cons | -11.139*** | -12.69 | 0.877 |
| ETECHDIV | 0.276** | 2.12 | 0.13 |
| GOV | 0.424*** | 4.51 | 0.094 |
| SIZE | 0.363*** | 9.1 | 0.039 |
| LEV | -1.079*** | -3.92 | 0.275 |
| CFO | -2.458*** | -3.38 | 0.727 |
| ROA | -1.406* | -1.88 | 0.748 |
| LARGE | -0.791*** | -2.62 | 0.302 |
| FOREIGN | -0.023 | -0.03 | 0.893 |
| ∑YEAR | Included | ||
| ∑IND | Included | ||
| Log likelihood | -1,594.056 | ||
| LR chi2 | 1,402.840 | ||
| Prob > chi2 | 0.000 | ||
| VARIABLES | Stage 1 ETECHDIV |
Stage 2 | Stage 3 IND_n |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND_n | |||
| Constant | -1.015***(-21.95) | -11.22***(-12.97) | -10.98***(-12.47) |
| RND | 1.135***(5.38) | 10.10***(3.30) | 9.390***(3.05) |
| ETECHDIV | 0.256**(1.96) | ||
| GOV | -0.003(-0.63) | 0.439***(4.70) | 0.426***(4.54) |
| SIZE | 0.044***(20.70) | 0.363***(9.21) | 0.354***(8.81) |
| LEV | 0.019(1.39) | -1.045***(-3.82) | -1.015***(-3.67) |
| CFO | -0.043(-1.22) | -2.302***(-3.20) | -2.345***(-3.21) |
| ROA | 0.408***(10.08) | -1.22(-1.63) | -1.308*(-1.73) |
| LARGE | 0.022(1.43) | -0.657**(-2.18) | -0.717**(-2.37) |
| FOREIGN | 0.004(0.11) | -0.063(-0.07) | 0.0162(0.02) |
| ∑YEAR | Included | ||
| ∑IND | Included | ||
| Observations | 22,427 | 22,040 | 21,901 |
| Sobel Test | 0.008* | ||
| Goodman Test | 0.008** | ||
| Indirect_effect_a*b | 0.008* | ||
| Direct_effect_c' | 0.407*** | ||
| Total_effect_c | 0.415*** | ||
| Proportion of mediating effect |
0.019 | ||
| VARIABLES | IND_n(t+1) | IND_n(t+2) | IND_n(t+3) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coef. | t-value | Coef. | t-value | Coef. | t-value | |
| _cons | -17.185*** | -7.52 | -16.664*** | -6.90 | -15.622*** | -5.88 |
| RND | 14.956** | 2.43 | 16.426** | 2.35 | 13.025* | 1.62 |
| GOV | 0.773*** | 2.97 | 0.671** | 2.48 | 0.578** | 1.97 |
| SIZE | 0.476*** | 4.66 | 0.430*** | 3.92 | 0.390*** | 3.25 |
| LEV | -1.288** | -2.15 | -1.971*** | -2.97 | -0.815 | -1.11 |
| CFO | -1.624 | -1.31 | -1.669 | -1.20 | -2.569* | -1.62 |
| ROA | -1.168 | -0.85 | -0.484 | -0.30 | 2.804 | 1.26 |
| LARGE | -1.704** | -2.29 | -1.001 | -1.27 | -0.999 | -1.17 |
| FOREIGN | 1.797 | 1.24 | -0.402 | -0.22 | -3.533 | -1.43 |
| ∑YEAR | Included | Included | Included | |||
| ∑IND | Included | Included | Included | |||
| Log likelihood | -1603.957 | -1349.269 | -1091.951 | |||
| LR chi2 | 1415.890 | 1189.740 | 908.650 | |||
| Prob>chi2 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | |||
| VARIABLES | ETECHDIV(t+1) | ETECHDIV(t+2) | ETECHDIV(t+3) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coef. | t-value | Coef. | t-value | Coef. | t-value | |
| _cons | -1.355*** | -1.355 | -1.724*** | -1.226 | -2.066*** | -10.30 |
| RND | 1.053** | 2.24 | 1.431*** | 2.59 | 0.077*** | 0.14 |
| GOV | -0.057** | -2.42 | -0.046** | -1.90 | -0.013*** | -0.51 |
| SIZE | 0.029*** | 3.84 | 0.027*** | 3.07 | 0.056*** | 6.50 |
| LEV | 0.077* | 1.96 | 0.162*** | 3.59 | -0.085** | -1.88 |
| CFO | 0.029 | 0.41 | 0.156** | 1.97 | -0.175** | -2.11 |
| ROA | 0.084 | 1.11 | 0.059 | 0.75 | 0.632*** | 6.02 |
| LARGE | 0.122** | 2.27 | 0.078 | 1.28 | 0.042 | 0.71 |
| FOREIGN | 0.025 | 0.28 | -0.086 | 0.74 | 0.014 | 0.14 |
| ∑YEAR | Included | Included | Included | |||
| ∑IND | Included | Included | Included | |||
| Log likelihood | -9505.807 | -7815.511 | -8910.362 | |||
| LR chi2 | 7373.380 | 5834.700 | 4627.560 | |||
| Prob>chi2 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | |||
| VARIABLES | IND_n(t+1) | IND_n(t+2) | IND_n(t+3) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coef. | t-value | Coef. | t-value | Coef. | t-value | |
| _cons | -11.139*** | -12.69 | -16.912*** | -6.88 | -18.337*** | -5.60 |
| ETECHDIV | 0.276** | 2.12 | 0.055*** | 0.19 | 0.248* | 0.65 |
| GOV | 0.424*** | 4.51 | 0.630** | 2.32 | 0.656* | 1.77 |
| SIZE | 0.363*** | 9.1 | 0.432*** | 3.89 | 0.405*** | 2.72 |
| LEV | -1.079*** | -3.92 | -2.007*** | -3.03 | -0.727 | -0.86 |
| CFO | -2.458*** | -3.38 | -1.669 | -1.19 | -2.602 | -1.46 |
| ROA | -1.406* | -1.88 | -0.673 | -0.42 | 3.239 | 1.32 |
| LARGE | -0.791*** | -2.62 | -1.204 | -1.52 | -1.289 | -1.23 |
| FOREIGN | -0.023 | -0.03 | -0.459 | -0.25 | -5.177 | -1.74 |
| ∑YEAR | Included | Included | Included | |||
| ∑IND | Included | Included | Included | |||
| Log likelihood | -1594.056 | -1343.126 | -1086.539 | |||
| LR chi2 | 1402.840 | 1184.550 | 907.730 | |||
| Prob>chi2 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | |||
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