Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Study of the Spatial Spillover Effects of the Efficiency of Agricultural Product Circulation in Provinces along the Belt and Road under the Green Total Factor Productivity Framework

Version 1 : Received: 3 July 2023 / Approved: 3 July 2023 / Online: 3 July 2023 (15:36:33 CEST)

A peer-reviewed article of this Preprint also exists.

Dai, M.; Wang, G.; Wang, J.; Gao, Y.; Lu, Q. Study of the Spatial Spillover Effects of the Efficiency of Agricultural Product Circulation in Provinces along the Belt and Road under the Green Total Factor Productivity Framework. Sustainability 2023, 15, 12560. Dai, M.; Wang, G.; Wang, J.; Gao, Y.; Lu, Q. Study of the Spatial Spillover Effects of the Efficiency of Agricultural Product Circulation in Provinces along the Belt and Road under the Green Total Factor Productivity Framework. Sustainability 2023, 15, 12560.

Abstract

This paper bases on panel data from 30 provinces and municipalities in China spanning the period of 2010 to 2021 to examine the evolving mechanisms and influencing factors of agricultural product circulation efficiency in the provinces along the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) within the context of green total factor productivity (TFP). The study research employs various methodologies including the SBM-DDF model, GML index, system GMM, and global Moran's I index. The findings are as follows: Initially, the provinces along the BRI exhibit an overall negative growth trend in the green TFP of agricultural product circulation, with a noticeable decline observed particularly after the initiation of the BRI in 2014. Secondly, foreign investment levels significantly contribute to the positive enhancement of green TFP in agricultural product circulation among the provinces along the BRI. Eventually, environmental regulations, government support, and the level of international trade in agricultural products exert significant negative impacts. Thirdly, the results of spatial effect tests reveal substantial spatial spillover effects in the green TFP of agricultural product circulation among the provinces along the BRI, as demonstrated through examinations utilizing three distinct spatial matrices.

Keywords

Belt and Road; Green Total Factor Productivity of Agricultural Product Circulation; System GMM; Spatial Spillover

Subject

Environmental and Earth Sciences, Other

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