Emerald ash borer (EAB), Agrilus planipennis, an invasive phloem-boring beetle, was detected in the Luhansk Region of Ukraine in 2019. In the following years, it expanded to a large part of the Kharkiv region and the parks of Kyiv. Previous research proved that the climate in Luhansk and neighboring regions is favorable for EAB, and the lack of a host plant (Fraxinus sp.) cannot prevent pest expansion in Ukraine. Considering the necessity to detect inhabited trees in time, our current research aimed to identify the most attractive EAB forest subcompartments considering forest site conditions and stand structure. MaxEnt model predicted the potential distribution of EAB with high accuracy (AUC = 0.842). The most significant five variables provided 82.9% to the model, particularly «Age of trees, years», «Area of forest subcompartment, ha», «Mean height of trees, m», «The proportion of Fraxinus excelsior in the stand composition, %», and «Hygrotope index (humidity level), point». A very high probability of EAB expansion in the Luhansk region (>90 %) is predicted at 20 % of the forest area with Fraxinus sp. in the stand composition. The probability of EAB spread above 30% is predicted for 75 % of such area. To improve the forecasting accuracy, it could be necessary to consider the data on road localization along which the pest can spread passively, as well as dominate wind speed.

Poplars (Populus spp.) are of significant ecological and economic importance. Long-term breeding efforts were aimed mainly at obtaining fast-growing and productive plants and less considered resistance to pests. This study aimed to identify the patterns of susceptibility to Saperda carcharias (Linnaeus, 1758) (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) among Populus hybrids and pure species, considering crossing combinations and some other traits. In our research, 35 clones of poplar species and hybrids of the Ukrainian and foreign selection from the Aigeiros, Tacamahaca, and Leucoides sections were tested in 2021 and 2023 in the plantation created in 2014 in Eastern Ukraine. S. carcharias preferred infesting clones with earlier foliage development, larger diameters, and height increments. Specifically, hybrids with American maternal lineage showed the highest susceptibility, whereas those with European maternal lineage or Asian origin displayed lower infestation levels or resistance, respectively. This variability suggests a complex relationship between genetic background and pest resistance, underlining the need for a deeper understanding of the factors influencing susceptibility to S. carcharias. Selecting native species clones or creating mixed clone plantations could enhance the resilience of poplar plantations to pest threats.