Assessing Coastal Vulnerability in Al Hoceima Bay, Morocco, Using a GIS-Based Coastal Vulnerability Index (CVI)

Coastal zones are facing rising exposure to climate-related hazards alongside intensifying human pressures, which highlights the need for robust tools to assess vulnerability. This study uses a GIS-based Coastal Vulnerability Index (CVI) to quantify and map relative vulnerability along ~13 km of shoreline in Al Hoceima Bay (northern Morocco). The proposed CVI integrates eight geological and physical indicators, including geomorphology, shoreline erosion and accretion rates, coastal slope, elevation, natural habitats, relative sea-level rise, significant wave height, and tidal range. Spatial analyses were performed using remote sensing data, historical records, field measurements, and Geographic Information Systems (GIS). The analysis reveals that 37% of the shoreline is categorized as high vulnerability, 44% is moderate, and 19% is low. Highly vulnerable sectors are primarily associated with low elevations, gentle coastal slopes, sandy beach systems, limited natural habitat protection, and proximity to river mouths. These findings demonstrate that the applied CVI provides a rapid and cost-effective framework for identifying priority areas for coastal management and climate adaptation. The proposed approach offers valuable decision-support insights for sustainable coastal planning in Al Hoceima Bay and other Mediterranean coastal environments characterized by limited data availability.