Submitted:
26 March 2026
Posted:
27 March 2026
You are already at the latest version
Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction: Why Biomonitoring 3.0 Now
2. From Taxa Lists to Interaction-Ready Inference: What Changes in 3.0
3. Environmental RNA as a Time-Resolved Layer: From Presence to Activity and Response
4. What Counts as an Interaction Signal: An Evidence Ladder for Claims
| Box 1 | Biomonitoring 3.0 use-case playbook: design backward from the decision and the evidence tier |
| Biomonitoring 3.0 becomes operational when programs specify (i) the decision question, (ii) the interaction hypothesis, and (iii) the intended evidence tier (0–5), then adopt only the sampling and assay elements needed to meet that tier. Use case A: Pulse disturbance (runoff/spill/heatwave) — Tier 4–5
|
5. Designing Field Programs for Interaction-Ready, Time-Resolved Monitoring
6. Standards, Validation, and Translation to Decisions
7. Conclusion: A Roadmap and Near-Term Priorities for Biomonitoring 3.0
Data availability statement
Acknowledgments
References
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| Tier | What you can claim | Minimum data/design requirements | Typical pitfalls / failure modes | Example Biomonitoring 3.0 outputs | Key refs (non-exhaustive) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Co-detection / association in space-time | Cross-sectional samples + controls | Habitat filtering, transport, detectability artifacts | Taxa A and B co-occur seasonally | Blanchet et al. 2020; Zinger et al. 2019 |
| 1 | Conditional association network (not mechanism) | Replication + confounder control; uncertainty/stability checks | Compositionality, sparsity, method dependence | Network metrics w/ bootstrap stability | Barroso-Bergadà et al. 2021; Weiss et al. 2016; Kurtz et al. 2015 |
| 2 | Directional influence suggested by time ordering | Time series with adequate frequency, covariates, replication | Unmeasured confounders; aliasing; nonstationarity | Candidate driver → response edges | Runge et al. 2019; Schrodt et al. 2025; Sugihara et al. 2012 |
| 3 | Interaction-explicit links (edge meaning is clear) | Diet/pollen/gut/parasite-on-host designs | Quantitative bias; contamination; ref DB gaps | Trophic or mutualistic networks with explicit edges | Cordier et al. 2021; Pompanon et al. 2012; Deagle et al. 2019; Encinas-Viso et al. 2023 |
| 4 | Coupled signal–response consistent with mechanism | Paired source/recipient + time lag + response readout (often eRNA) | Low target mapping fraction; batch effects; alternative drivers | Stress signature in recipient aligned to exposure | Hechler et al. 2023; Hiki et al. 2023; He et al. 2025; Oña et al. 2025 |
| 5 | Ecological consequence (process-level change) | Process metrics + validation/perturbation + robust linkage | Process multi-causality; scale mismatch | Link shifts associated with productivity/stability proxies | Delmas et al. 2019; Thébault & Fontaine 2010; Allesina & Tang 2012; Abdala-Roberts et al. 2025 |
| Program archetype | Intended tier(s) | Sampling pattern | Matrices & molecules | Lab/seq strategy | Best-fit outputs | Key refs (non-exhaustive) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High-frequency river surveillance | 1–2 (sometimes 4) | Automated + manual calibration; event-based bursts | Water eDNA + optional eRNA | Robust controls; consistent pipeline | Time-resolved change detection; candidate drivers | George et al. 2024; Hallam et al. 2023; Yamahara et al. 2025; Deiner et al. 2016 |
| Paired source–recipient monitoring | 2–4 | Matched sampling upstream/downstream or host/environment; explicit lags | eDNA scaffold + eRNA response | Enrichment if targeting eukaryotic response | Exposure plausibility + recipient response | Hechler et al. 2023; He et al. 2025; Scriver et al. 2025 |
| Biosecurity / disinfection verification | 1–3 | Before/after treatment; replicate controls | eDNA + eRNA to reduce legacy signal | Targeted or 16S/marker panels | Reduced “ghost” detection; compliance evidence | Xue et al. 2024; Darling et al. 2021; Klymus et al. 2020 |
| Food-web indicators via metaweb constraints | 2–5 (depending on validation) | Seasonal surveys + curated trophic info | eDNA inventories + metaweb | Strong taxonomy curation; sensitivity checks | Food-web indicators (connectivity, redundancy) | D’Alessandro & Mariani 2021; Le Guen et al. 2025; Boyse et al. 2025 |
| Interaction-explicit trophic monitoring | 3–4 | Gut/diet sampling + environment | Diet DNA + optional eRNA state | Bias-aware thresholds; controls | Trophic edges with clear meaning | Pompanon et al. 2012; Deagle et al. 2019; Novotny et al. 2023 |
| Reporting element (3.0 add-on) | Why it’s needed for interaction-ready inference | Minimum to report | Applies most to tier(s) | Key refs (non-exhaustive) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tier label (0–5) | Prevents over-interpretation | Tier + rationale | All | Schrodt et al. 2025; Barroso-Bergadà et al. 2021 |
| Time-lag structure | Enables direction/ signal→response tests |
Lag choice, cadence, replication | 2–5 | Runge et al. 2019; Schrodt et al. 2025 |
| Paired compartments | Makes exposure plausible | Source/recipient definition + spatial logic | 2–4 | He et al. 2025; Hechler et al. 2023 |
| Molecule type & transcript class | Time resolution depends on RNA class | DNA vs RNA; rRNA vs mRNA; targets | 1–4 | Yates et al. 2021; Morgado-Gamero et al. 2025 |
| Filtration/size fractions | State affects localization/transport | Pore size(s), fractions, volumes | 1–4 | Jo 2023; Hiki & Jo 2025; Turner et al. 2014 |
| Preservation & time-to-stabilization | RNA is handling-sensitive | Preservative, times, temps, deviations (audit) | 1–4 | Scriver et al. 2025; Thomas et al. 2019; Klymus et al. 2024 |
| Enrichment/library strategy | Determines detectability of response |
rRNA depletion, poly(A), capture, depth | 4 | Hechler et al. 2023; Stevens & Parsley 2023 |
| Control structure (field→bioinfo) | Supports false-positive control | Field blanks, extraction blanks, PCR neg/pos | All | MIEM: Klymus et al. 2024; Ficetola et al. 2016 |
| Provenance + versioning | Avoids “method drift” looking like ecology | Pipeline, parameters, DB build/version | All | Takahashi et al. 2025; Keck et al. 2023 |
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