High-Resolution Soil Moisture Mapping Using Sentinel-1/2 Predictors and a Stacking Ensemble Framework

Soil moisture (SM) governs land–atmosphere exchanges and strongly influences agricultural management and hydrological assessment, yet high-resolution mapping remains challenging due to sensor-specific confounding effects and limited field observations. This study develops a practical workflow for point-scale SM estimation and wall-to-wall mapping by integrating multi-sensor remote sensing predictors with ensemble learning. A compact predictor set was constructed from Sentinel-2 optical indices (MSI and NDWI), Sentinel-1 SAR descriptors (σVV and the polarization ratio σVH/σVV), and topographic information (DEM), collocated with in situ SM measurements along a transect in the study area. Three tree-based regressors—Random Forest, XGBoost, and CatBoost—were trained under an identical feature configuration and evaluated using R², RMSE, and MAE together with predicted–observed diagnostics. A stacking ensemble was then implemented using leakage-controlled K-fold out-of-fold predictions to generate meta-features, with a Decision Tree as the meta-learner tuned via a grid search. Results show that base learners achieve comparable skill (R² ≈ 0.60–0.62; RMSE ≈ 0.038–0.039), while stacking improves test accuracy (RMSE = 0.0346) and provides a stable mapping-ready model. The trained framework was transferred to stacked raster predictors to produce spatially continuous SM maps, revealing coherent moisture heterogeneity across the region.