2.1. Re-Definition of the Economic Temperature
There is no unified approach to the definition of temperature in economic systems. Temperature is introduced in economics as: i) measure of inverse rationality/the degree of randomness (bounded rationality) in agents’ decisions [
29], ii) price volatility / market agitation [
30], iii) measure of the scale of wealth fluctuations [
31], iv) inverse market efficiency [
32], v) definition exploiting the energy/entropy of economic systems. In this case, the economic temperature as defined as:
where
U is the utility/energy,
S is the entropy and
X defines state variables [
33]. This definition resembles, but does not coincide with that supplied by Eq. 1.
We define the “economic temperature” with the Landauer principle, based on the thermodynamics of information. Consider a given economic system. Erasure of a single bit of information of this system according to the Landauer principle requires the minimal energy given by
. We re-write this equation as follows:
where
is the cost of electrical power necessary for erasure of one bit of information,
and
is the economic temperature
, . It is convenient to keep the multiplier
in Eq. 3, resembling the Landauer-like definition of temperature. Obviously, the economic temperature is given by:
Let us establish interrelation between the economic temperature and standard Kelvin temperature
T. The cost of electrical power necessary for erasure of one bit of information may be expressed with the use of the Landauer principle as follows:
where
is the marginal electricity cost per Joule,
k is the dimensionless coefficient, which depends on a given economic system,
for the economic system operating at the physical Landauer limit and
is the cost of erasing of 1 bit for the ideal information processing systems working at the Landauer limit. For any real computing system
According to US Energy Information Administration (EIA) data the industrial price
; the commercial price is
. Comparing Eq. 3 and Eq. 4 yields eventually:
It follows from Eq. 5 that at the fixed temperature
T the economic temperature
of the given system (
is completely defined by the electricity price. Let us calculate
for the industrial and commercial electricity prices for
, corresponding to the Landauer limit, We calculate with Eq. 5:
for the industrial price and
for the commercial price. Actually, for real computing systems
, as demonstrated in
Appendix A. Thus, real economic systems operate far from the Landauer limit.
The reasonable questions are: when and why the definition will work. The definition of economic temperature works for economic systems that satisfy following conditions:
- i)
Information is explicitly stored, processed, erased, or transmitted,
- ii)
Information-processing events have a measurable economic cost,
- iii)
The system operates close to an efficiency boundary, so minimal costs matter
The Landauer-based definition of economic temperature will apply to economic systems that operate as information-processing structures, in which decisions, signals, or records are logically irreversible and incur a minimal, system-dependent economic cost. For example, it is well-expected to work for high-frequency trading (HFT), which is an automated trading strategy characterized by ultra-low latency, high order submission and cancellation rates, very short holding periods, and profits derived from small price differentials rather than long-term asset valuation [
34]. HFT is often defined as a strategy that responds to market events in the millisecond environment. It is important that is no human intervention per trade within HFT. In HFT, a single completed trade - or equivalently, a single finalized decision - can be modeled as one logical operation, corresponding to the erasure of at least one bit of information:
Typical profit per trade is tiny on HFT: fractions of a cent, and trading decisions are literally bit operations. In 2016, HFT on average initiated 10–40% of trading volume in equities, and 10–15% of volume in foreign exchange and commodities [
35]. Economic temperature
is interpreted as follows: high
corresponds to noisy, fast, wasteful markets, low
corresponds to slow, efficient, information-preserving markets. Thus, bitcoin-like systems correspond to extremely high
as demonstrated in
Appendix B.
is in turn understood is a minimal transaction or validation cost (see
Appendix B). The introduced economic temperature is relevant for HFT due to the following reasoning: i) information processing has a real monetary and energy cost, ii) in HFT, erasing a bit too slowly or too expensively means losing money. Thus, we conclude that: the definition of economic temperature supplied by Eq. 3 does not rely on agent rationality, equilibrium assumptions, or utility maximization. Instead, it rests on a structural property common to both thermodynamic and economic systems: decisions destroy information, and information destruction has an irreducible cost. Hence, HFT systems may be viewed as economic Landauer engines, converting information erasure into monetary dissipation. This establishes a direct, physically grounded definition of economic temperature and provides a microscopic foundation for extending thermodynamic reasoning to econophysics. Why the introduced “economic temperature” it is expected to work: it works due to the fact that decisions erase alternatives, giving rise to logical irreversibility.
2.2. Re-Interpretation of the Second Law of Thermodynamics
One of the possible formulations of the second law of thermodynamics belongs to the Rudolf Clausius and sounds as follows: heat cannot spontaneously flow from a colder body to a hotter body. Let us re-formulate the Second Law of thermodynamics for economic systems for which the economic temperature may be introduced by Eq. 3. This formulation is shaped as follows: energy/money cannot spontaneously flow from a colder economic system to a hotter economic system [
2]. Let us exemplify this interpretation:
i) High-frequency trading vs. long-term investors. Consider two economic subsystems, namely: Hot system: high-frequency trading (HFT) firms operating at high economic temperature , characterized by ultra-low latency, massive order cancellation, and frequent logical erasure events, and cold system: long-term institutional or retail investors operating at a much lower economic temperature , characterized by infrequent decisions and low information-processing dissipation. Empirically, money does not spontaneously flow from long-term investors to HFT firms in the absence of informational or structural asymmetry. Instead, HFT extracts value from hot microstructure inefficiencies, i.e. latency gaps, order-book imbalances, and transient arbitrage opportunities, i.e. generated within similarly hot or hotter market segments. A cold investor placing a buy-and-hold order does not continuously transfer money to HFT traders; the value transfer occurs only when the cold system is forced into a hotter regime, e.g., by reacting to short-term price fluctuations, stop-loss triggers, or liquidity shocks. In thermodynamic terms, the cold system must be locally heated before energy (money) can flow. It seems that this conclusion contradicts to the Clausius interpretation of the Second Law of Thermodynamics. The apparent contradiction with the Clausius formulation disappears once one recognizes that, both in physics and in economic thermodynamics, energy (money) flows only along existing coupling channels; in economic systems, such coupling is created when a cold agent is locally driven into a high-frequency information-processing regime.
ii) Latency arbitrage in HFT. Latency arbitrage in HFT is a trading strategy that exploits minimal time differences in market data and trade execution across different trading venues. This practice involves detecting price discrepancies between markets and acting on them before they naturally resolve, typically operating at microsecond or nanosecond timescales. Latency arbitrage in HFT may be interpreted as heat flow from hot to cold. In this case. A hot subsystem rapidly processes and erases information about price changes across exchanges; a colder subsystem, in turn, updates prices more slowly. Profits arise when HFT firms exploit temporary price discrepancies between exchanges operating at different effective temperatures. Crucially, the money flows from the hotter, noisier information-processing layer to the colder, more stable layer only after dissipation occurs in the hot system (computational cost, infrastructure cost, fees). No spontaneous reverse flow is observed: a slower, colder exchange cannot systematically extract value from a faster, hotter one without increasing its own information-processing rate and cost—i.e., without increasing its economic temperature.
iii) Cryptocurrency markets vs. traditional financial systems. Cryptocurrency markets provide an example of extremely high economic temperature
(see
Appendix B). Transaction validation, mining, and consensus mechanisms involve enormous information erasure costs and energy dissipation. Traditional banking systems, in contrast, operate at much lower economic temperatures. Money does not spontaneously flow from cold banking systems into hot cryptocurrency markets. Capital flows into cryptocurrencies are always accompanied by increased transaction costs, volatility exposure, and informational dissipation. In effect, funds must be “heated” (subjected to higher
before they can circulate in the hotter system.
iv) Trading fees and market frictions as entropy production. Transaction fees, bid–ask spreads, and slippage play the role of entropy production in economic systems [
36,
37]. They ensure that a closed economic cycle cannot yield net profit without dissipation. A trader attempting to extract money from a high-frequency, hot market without incurring informational and transactional costs inevitably fails, just as a perpetual motion machine of the second kind is forbidden in thermodynamics.
Finally, the economic Clausius principle (or Clausius interpretation of the Second Economic Law of Thermodynamics) may be summarized as follows: economic value flows from hot to cold only via dissipation, and never spontaneously from cold to hot.
This principle does not depend on agent rationality or equilibrium assumptions. Instead, it emerges from the logical irreversibility of economic decisions and the Landauer cost associated with information erasure. In this sense, the Second Law of Thermodynamics survives in economics in an informationally grounded form, with economic temperature replacing physical temperature. Just as heat flows from hot to cold unless work is performed, money flows from high-temperature economic subsystems to lower-temperature ones only through irreversible information processing and dissipation.
Now address Constantin Carathéodory interpretation of the Second Law of Economic Thermodynamics, which is formulated as follows: In every neighborhood of any equilibrium state, there exist states that cannot be reached by adiabatic processes. “Adiabatic” means without heat exchange [
38,
39,
40]. The crucial idea is inaccessibility, not entropy or heat flow [
38,
39,
40].
First of all, we have to re-define the adiabatic process in the terms of economic thermodynamics. When economic temperature is defined via the Landauer principle, the natural economic analogue of an adiabatic process is a process that does not spend money or information, i.e. does not incur transaction costs, fees, latency costs, computational effort, or information erasure. We also have to define the “economic state”. A thermodynamic economic state is defined as an equivalence class of microscopic economic configurations characterized by identical values of aggregate resources, information content, economic entropy, number of active degrees of freedom
N (number of active agents, instruments, strategies, or contracts participating in the dynamics), and institutional constraints.
where
W is — aggregate economic energy (total available economic resources capable of doing economic “work” (capital, liquidity, etc.),
I is an information content (total usable information held by agents and infrastructures),
is an economic entropy, which is a measure of dispersion, uncertainty, or irreversibility in the economic system (wealth distribution spread, order-book disorder, transaction irreversibility, information loss) and
denotes institutional and technological constraints (market rules, transaction costs, latency, regulation, clearing mechanisms, and technological limits (including Landauer-type limits).
The Carathéodory principle is re-shaped as follows: in every neighborhood of any equilibrium economic state, there exist states that cannot be reached by the process, which does not spend money or information. When economic temperature is defined via the Landauer principle, the natural economic analogue of an adiabatic process is a process that does not spend money or information, i.e. does not incur transaction costs, fees, latency costs, computational effort, or information erasure.
Consider the HFT example. Consider an electronic market operating near a local equilibrium state characterized by: i) a stable mid-price, ii) a fixed bid–ask spread, iii) balanced order-book depth, iv) no net arbitrage opportunities. This equilibrium corresponds to a point in the economic state space. Now consider an arbitrarily small neighborhood of this state—for example, a configuration with: a slightly tighter spread, slightly increased liquidity at the best bid, or a slightly improved execution probability. The Carathéodory principle asserts that some of these nearby states are inaccessible without dissipation. Indeed, in HFT one cannot tighten the bid–ask spread even infinitesimally without submitting additional orders. Submitting or canceling orders necessarily consumes computational resources, incurs exchange fees, and erases information (decisions overwrite alternatives). Therefore, reaching certain nearby market configurations is impossible without spending money or information. A “free” trajectory through economic state space does not exist, even locally. The equilibrium is surrounded by inaccessible states unless economic work is performed. This is a direct analogue of the classical Carathéodory’s statement: the neighborhood of equilibrium is not adiabatically connected.
Consider one more example. Consider an equilibrium market state in which all publicly available information is reflected in prices. In an arbitrarily small neighborhood of this equilibrium lie states in which a trader holds a slightly positive arbitrage position. Carathéodory’s economic principle asserts that such nearby profitable states cannot be reached without spending resources. Any attempt to exploit arbitrage requires placing orders, paying fees, absorbing slippage, and processing information. A “zero-cost” arbitrage path is forbidden. The impossibility of costless arbitrage is thus an accessibility restriction, not merely a profit statement.
And, eventually we address one more example, namely: portfolio rebalancing near equilibrium. Consider an investor holding a diversified portfolio at equilibrium relative to a benchmark. In the neighborhood of this state lie portfolios with marginally higher expected return or lower risk. Reaching these states requires: transactions, information gathering, model updates, reallocation decisions. A hypothetical “adiabatic” rebalancing is one that changes the portfolio without trading, information processing, or decision-making. Such a rebalancing is impossible. Thus, even infinitesimal improvements in portfolio configuration are not freely accessible.
Thus, we conclude that equilibrium points in the economic space are surrounded by inaccessible directions unless money or information is expended. Thus, the Carathéodory formulation of the Second Law translates naturally into economics: every equilibrium economic state is surrounded by nearby states that cannot be reached without spending money or information, reflecting the fundamentally non-adiabatic nature of economic transformations.
2.3. Economic Carnot Engine
One more classical formulation of the Second Law of Thermodynamics is due to Sadi Carnot and is based on the concept of an ideal heat engine operating between two reservoirs at different temperatures. In classical thermodynamics, a Carnot engine extracts work from the heat flow between a hot reservoir at temperature
and a cold reservoir at temperature
. The Carnot theorem states that no engine operating between two reservoirs can be more efficient than a reversible Carnot engine, whose efficiency is given by:
This formulation does not rely on entropy production explicitly; instead, it is rooted in the impossibility of extracting unlimited work from a finite temperature difference. We now construct the economic analogue of a Carnot engine using the Landauer-based definition of economic temperature
An economic Carnot engine is defined as an idealized information-processing economic system that operates cyclically between two economic reservoirs characterized by different economic temperatures . The hot economic reservoir corresponds to a high-temperature economic subsystem, such as high-frequency trading (HFT), cryptocurrency mining, or high-volatility speculative markets. These systems are characterized by rapid information erasure, high transaction intensity, and significant monetary dissipation per decision. The corresponds to a low-temperature economic subsystem, such as long-term investment strategies, slow institutional capital, or stable banking systems, characterized by infrequent decision-making and low information-processing dissipation. The working substance of the economic Carnot engine is information: signals, orders, strategies, and decisions. Economic work corresponds to net monetary profit, while economic heat corresponds to irreversible monetary dissipation associated with information erasure, transaction costs, fees, latency, and computational effort.
Let
be the monetary cost associated with information erasure when interacting with the hot reservoir, and
be corresponding cost when interacting with the cold reservoir. According to the Landauer-based definition the costs are given by Eq. 3. The net economic work extracted in one cycle is defined with Eq.9:
where
and
. The economic
efficiency of the engine is then defined as (Eq. 5 is involved) :
where
and
are the marginal electricity cost per Joule at the cold and hot economic reservoirs correspondingly,
and
are the dimensionless constants depending on the cold and hot economic systems respectively, appearing in Eq. 4. In the particular case (and only in this case), when
, we extract the classical Carnot formula:
This result supplied by Eq. 10 is very strong: the mathematical structure of the Carnot bound survives unchanged when physical temperature is replaced by Landauer-defined economic temperature. Consider HFT as an economic heat engine. HFT systems act as engines that extract profit from price gradients, latency differences, and microstructure inefficiencies. These gradients exist primarily between market segments operating at different economic temperatures. An HFT firm absorbs high-temperature information noise (rapid price fluctuations, order-book changes), performs logical erasure through decision-making, and converts part of this dissipation into monetary profit. The remaining part is lost as fees, infrastructure costs, and energy consumption. The Carnot bound implies that there exists a strict upper limit on the profitability of such strategies, determined by the ratio
The another example is delivered by cryptocurrency mining. Cryptocurrency networks represent extremely hot economic reservoirs, with enormous information-erasure costs per validated block (see
Appendix B). Traditional financial systems act as colder reservoirs. Any attempt to extract profit by arbitraging between these systems is subject to a Carnot-type bound: no strategy can convert the high dissipation of the hot system into monetary gain with efficiency exceeding
. The Carnot formulation immediately forbids economic perpetual motion machines of the second kind: strategies that claim to extract profit from information processing without dissipation, or with efficiency exceeding the Carnot-type bound. Any such strategy will require
, which is impossible. Thus, schemes promising risk-free arbitrage without transaction costs, latency costs, or information-processing effort are economic analogues of thermodynamic perpetual motion machines and are forbidden by the Landauer-based Economic Second Law. Therefore, the economic Carnot principle demonstrates that profit extraction is fundamentally constrained by information thermodynamics. Economic systems may be viewed as information engines, and markets as thermal environments, in which monetary profit plays the role of work and transaction costs play the role of waste heat. Thus, the economic Carnot principle demonstrates that profit extraction is fundamentally constrained by information thermodynamics.
2.4. Alternative Understanding of the Economic Temperature
We do not think that the unique understanding of the economic temperature is possible. The alternative definition of the economic temperature based on the Landauer principle, We still define economic temperature with the Landauer-like limit supplied with Eq. 3, namely: . However is now the cost of electrical power necessary for transmission of one bit of information. This is the “information friction” based definition of the economic temperature, exploiting the original idea by Rolf Landauer, demonstrating that there exists an energy limit necessary for the transmission of 1 bit of information. Interrelation between economic and thermodynamic temperature is still given by Eq. 5, in which k is the dimensionless constant depending on the channel of the information transmission.
Consider a high-frequency trading (HFT) firm operating on an electronic financial exchange. The firm’s profit critically depends on the transmission, processing, and erasure of information - order-book updates, price changes, and trading signals—at extremely high rates. Each economically relevant event (e.g., best bid changes by one tick) corresponds to a binary decision at the level of the trading algorithm: i) act / do not act; ii) submit order / cancel order, iii) route order / suppress order. Thus, the trading process naturally decomposes into a stream of bit-level operations. Information friction and minimal energy cost Transmission of a single bit from the exchange to the trading engine (and further to the execution venue) is not free. It requires: electrical energy for signal generation and amplification, energy for error correction and noise suppression, irreversible logical operations (bit erasure, overwriting buffers, cache clearing).
Even in the ideal limit, the minimal electrical energy cost per transmitted bit is bounded from below. In the spirit of the Landauer principle, we write this bound as In this example, the economic temperature measures the irreducible monetary cost of fast information flow in the market. A high market is one where even a single bit of actionable information is expensive to transmit (high energy prices, regulatory overhead, latency penalties, infrastructure scarcity). A low market corresponds to cheap, abundant, and efficient information transmission. It should be emphasized that is not a behavioral or psychological quantity. It is a technological and infrastructural parameter, fixed by: electricity prices, communication hardware, exchange protocols and latency arbitrage competition.
Crucially, this cost is irreversible. Once the bit is transmitted and processed, the spent electrical energy is dissipated as heat and cannot be recovered. This makes high-frequency trading a natural economic realization of Landauer’s information friction, where profits are extracted from information asymmetries, but information processing necessarily produces entropy in the economic sense (transaction costs, fees, infrastructure depreciation).
Thus, the economic temperature
quantifies the minimal irreversible monetary cost per bit of information, providing a physically grounded and operational definition of temperature in economic systems. This interpretation of the economic Landauer principle is directly bridged to the Carathéodory principle (see
Section 2.2). Consider two economic states. Although the difference between the two states is arbitrarily small in economic terms, reaching the neighboring state requires the acquisition and processing of at least one bit of information (e.g., detecting a price change and reacting to it). By the Landauer-like bound, transmission of this single bit necessarily costs at least
Therefore, the transition cannot be performed by an economic adiabatic process.
2.5. Economic Szilárd Engine
Now we consider minimal Szilard’s economical engine. Thermodynamic Szilard’s minimal engine is the cleanest possible thought experiment showing why the Landauer limit is unavoidable. The engine consists of a single molecule in a box connected to a heat bath at temperature T.
Figure 1.
Minimal thermodynamic Szilard’s engine is depicted. The engine consists of a single molecule in a box connected to a heat bath at temperature T. Partition divides the box into two equal sub-boxes.
Figure 1.
Minimal thermodynamic Szilard’s engine is depicted. The engine consists of a single molecule in a box connected to a heat bath at temperature T. Partition divides the box into two equal sub-boxes.
We insert a partition, measure which side the molecule is on (that’s 1 bit of information), and then let the molecule expand isothermally, pushing a piston. From this expansion we extract exactly of work. So far it looks like a violation of the Second Law, indeed, we extract work from a single heat bath. Landauer’s insight closes the loop: to run the engine cyclically, the measurement record (the 1 bit) must be erased. Erasing 1 bit dissipates, as heat which is exactly the Landauer limit.
Now we introduce the minimal economic Szilárd engine. We propose to replace physical elements with economic ones, according the
Table 1. Now the particle position corresponds to the market state, described by the binary alternative, the partition corresponds to the decision boundary and memory erasure corresponds to the decision finalization / record overwrite.
Now we introduce minimal Szilard’s economical engine. The working substance of the engine is information. An economic Szilárd engine is a minimal economic system that acquires one bit of information about an economic state, conditionally executes an action based on that bit, extracts monetary work from this asymmetry, and must eventually erase the information, incurring a minimal cost
The economic Szilárd engine represents the minimal microscopic realization of the Landauer-based economic thermodynamics. In this engine, a single bit of economic information is acquired, conditionally exploited to extract monetary profit, and subsequently erased to complete a cycle. The extracted economic work is fundamentally bounded by the Landauer cost associated with information erasure, ensuring compliance with the Second Law. High-frequency trading strategies, arbitrage mechanisms, and cryptocurrency mining may all be interpreted as realizations of economic Szilárd engines operating at different effective economic temperatures. The efficiency of the of economic Szilárd engine is . Thus the monetary profit of the engine is restricted by the Landauer economic limit: .