3.1. The Longevity Characteristics for RB and HB Cows
The length of LS and PL differed significantly (p<0.05) between breed groups within both culled and alive dairy cows (
Table 3). For culled cows, RB cows had a longer LS (2,022.2±3.24) and length of PL (1,190.2±3.23) than HB dairy cows.
A similar pattern was observed among cows that were still producing. Alive RB cows showed longer LS and PL (accordingly 2,022.2±3.24 and 1,190.2±3.23 days) compared with alive HB cows, whose LS and PL were 1,871.4±2.69 and 1,064.0±2.64 days, respectively. Within each breed, cows that were still producing had longer LS and PL than culled cows.
MPD and MPPD differed significantly between breed groups (p<0.05) in culled and alive cow groups (
Table 4). In the culled cow group, HB cows showed higher MPD and MPPD (11.5±0.01 and 23.4±0.02 kg ECM), while culled RB cows had 10.0±0.02 kg ECM in MPD and 19.0±0.02 kg ECM in MPPD.
The same trend was observed in cows that were alive and still in production. HB cows had higher MDP and MPPD (12.6±0.02 and 24.1±0.03 kg ECM accordingly). Within each group, cows that were still in production exhibited slightly higher MPD values than culled cows, while MPPD was by 0.1 kg ECM lower in RB group.
The distribution of PL differed between RB and HB cow groups. Both breeds exhibited positively skewed distributions, however HB cows showed substantially higher frequencies across the entire range of PL lengths (
Figure 2).
In HB cows, the distribution was more strongly concentrated at shorter PL, with a higher and earlier peak occurring at approximately 500 – 1,200 days compared with RB cows. RB cows displayed a broader distribution with relatively higher frequencies at longer PL durations. Although both breed groups showed a long right-hand tail, the decline in frequency with increasing PL was steeper in HB cows, whereas RB cows included a greater proportion of individuals exceeding 3,000 days of PL.
A slight peak indicating increased culling risk was observed at the beginning of PL in both breed groups, however, the culling rate during this early period was higher in HB cows than in RB cows.
3.2. The Factor Analysis
When assessing the effect of year of birth on LS and duration of PL (
Table 5), it is essential to consider not only animal-specific characteristics, but also the fact that cows in the first 2 groups (2010 – 2012 and 2013 – 2015) were able to remain productive for longer periods.
There were observed statistically significant differences (p<0.05) between birth year groups for LS and PL.
The longest LS and PL was observed in cow group born in 2010 – 2012 (2,184.4±4.57 and 1,348.4±4.56 in RB and 2,049.4±3.30 and 1,229.0±3.27 in HB breed accordingly). The cows born in more recent time periods characterized with shorter LS and length of PL in both analyzed breed groups. Although RB cows during their lifetime had more LS and PL days, they also characterized with lower total lifetime milk productivity in every birth year group in comparison with HB cows (
Table S1).
MPD decreased significantly (p<0.05) in cows born in more recent years in both RB and HB cow groups, whereas MPPD showed a significantly increasing trend. (
Table 6).
In RB cows MDP declined from 10.3±0.03 kg ECM per day in the 2010 – 2012 cohort to 8.3±0.05 kg ECM per day in cows born in 2016 – 2019 (p<0.05), while MPPD increased from 18.5±0.03 to 20.4±0.07 over the same period.
A similar pattern was observed in the HB breed, where MDP decreased from 11.6±0.02 to 10.7±0.03, whereas MMPD increased from 21.5±0.03 to 25.9±0.03 kg ECM daily across successive birth year groups.
AFC had a pronounced and statistically significant effect (p<0.05) on cow LS and PL in both RB and HB cow groups (
Table 7).
In both breed groups, a clear increasing trend in LS was observed with increasing AFC. Cows that calved for the first time at an older age, particularly those with AFC exceeding 32 months, exhibited longer LS. In contrast, PL showed an opposite pattern. In RB cows, LS was longest in animals that reached first calving younger and gradually decreased as AFC increased. Cows with delayed AFC (> 32 months) had significantly shorter PL compared with cows calving earlier (p<0.05), despite their longer overall LS. A significantly longer (p<0.05) LS was observed in both breed groups in cows with later AFC, whereas PL exhibited the opposite trend. In RB cows, the longest PL was recorded in animals with AFC < 22 months, followed by a slight, but statistically significant decline up to 26 months. In contrast, in the HB population, the significantly longest PL was observed in cows with AFC between 24.1 and 28 months (p<0.05)
Significantly higher total lifetime milk productivity was obtained from cows with AFC < 24 months. The tendency persists in both RB and HB cow groups (
Table S1). In later AFC groups cow total milk productivity gradually decreases until reaches its minimal amount at the AFC group > 32 months.
Age at first calving (AFC) significantly influenced (p<0.05) both MPD and MPPD in RB and HB cow groups (
Table 8).
In both breeds, MPD showed a clear decreasing trend with increasing AFC. In RB cows, the highest MPD values were observed in animals calving first time before 26 months of age, with MPD declining progressively as AFC increased and reaching the lowest values in cows with AFC > 32 months.
In HB population, where MPD decreased steadily from 13.5±0.05 kg ECM in cows with AFC < 22 months to 8.3±0.04 kg ECM in cows calving first time older than 32 months.
In contrast MPPD displayed a different pattern. In RB cows, the highest MPPD values were recorded in cows with AFC between 22.1 and 28.0 months, whereas both earlier and later AFC groups showed significantly lower MPPD values (p<0.05). Although RB cows with AFC < 22 months exhibited relatively high MPD, their MPPD was among the lowest (accordingly 10.8±0.09 and 18.1±0.10 kg ECM). In HB cows, MPPD was highest in cows with the earliest AFC (< 22 months) and declined consistently with increasing AFC, reaching significantly lower values in AFC group > 32 months (accordingly 13.5±0.05 and 8.3±0.04 kg ECM).
Farm size had significant effect on both LS and PL in both analyzed breed groups (p<0.05). In RB and HB cows LS and PL decreased progressively with increasing of farm size (
Table 9).
The significantly longest LS and PL (p<0.05) were observed in cows kept on small farms (with fewer than 20 cows), whereas the shortest periods were recorded in cows from largest farms (> 500 dairy cows) – accordingly 2,149.4±4.76 and 1,452.9±35.95 days in RB group and 1,974.5±3.09 and 1,394.9±6.58 days in HB group.
In cow farms with > 500 cows PL was 710.3±35.16 days (about 1.94 years) in RB cows 655.8±6.51 days (about 1.79 years) in HB cow group. With the increase of farm size, total milk productivity has tendency to gradually increase as well (
Table S1). But the growth is not linear, since RB cows in farms with > 500 cows and HB cows in farms with > 201 cows characterize LS and PL, what reduces the total cow productive period in the herd.
The number of animals per farm did not only affect the LS and PL but also showed significant effect on cow daily milk productivity (MPD and MPPD) in RB and HB cows (p<0.05) (
Table 10).
In both breeds, MPD increased with increasing farm size up to medium and large herds, with the highest MPD values generally observed in farms with 201 – 500 cows, followed by a slight, but statistically significant decrease in the largest herds (> 500 cows).
In RB cows, MPD increased from 9.4±0.02 kg ECM (herds < 20 cows) to 12.3±0.10 kg ECM in herds with 201 – 500 cows. A similar pattern was observed in HB population, where MPD rose from 9.9±0.02 kg ECM to 13.8±0.04 kg ECM in farms with 101 – 200 cows.
MPPD showed a more pronounced response to a farm size. In both analyzed breed groups MPPD increased constantly with increasing in herd size, reaching the highest value in the largest farms (>500 cows). There were no statistical difference between MPPD in RB cows in the herds with 101 – 200 and 201 – 500 cows, but between other groups the MPPD varied significantly (p<0.05). In HB cow population MPPD had tendency to gradually increase from 19.2±0.02 kg ECM in farms with < 20 cows up to 27.1±0.07 kg ECM in the farms with > 500 cows.
3.5. Survival Analysis
PL for culled and alive cows was evaluated by survival analysis. Kaplan–Meier survival curves (
Figure 3) showing the length of productive life in RB and HB breeds. Median of productive life length was 1,278 days for RB and 1,086 days for HB cows. The median productive life was significantly longer in RB (1,278 days; 95% CI: 1,269–1,287 days) compared with HB cows (1,086 days; 95% CI: 1,081–1,091 days) by 192 days (p < 0.0001).
Figure 2.
Survival probability of productive life in Red (RB) and Holstein (HB) breeds.
Figure 2.
Survival probability of productive life in Red (RB) and Holstein (HB) breeds.
Figure 4.
Survival probability of productive life in Red (RB) and Holstein (HB) breeds depending on (1) birth year, (2) age at first calving (AFC), and (3) farm size.
Figure 4.
Survival probability of productive life in Red (RB) and Holstein (HB) breeds depending on (1) birth year, (2) age at first calving (AFC), and (3) farm size.
Cow’s PL depends on the birth-year factor (Figures RB1 and HB1). PL showed a gradual decline across cows' birth year groups in both breeds. The reduction in median PL from the earliest to the latest year group was approximately 33 days in RB and 66 days in HB cows. In RB, median PL ranged from 1,253 to 1,286 days, and in HB cows from 1,064 to 1,130 days. Differences in survival curves among birth-year groups were statistically significant (log-rank test: RB p < 0.05; HB p < 0.0001).
RB and HB cows’ PL depends on the age at the first calving (Figure RB2 and HB2) (p < 0.0001). HB median of PL ranges from 1,052 to 1,134 days, with the lowest PL median for cows with AFC lower than 22 months (1,052 days; 95% CI 1,034–1,068 days) and the highest PL median for cows with AFC higher than 32 months (1,134 days; 95% CI 1,119–1,150 days).
RB median of PL ranges from 1,211 to 1,430 days, with the highest PL median for cows with AFC lower than 22 months (1,430 days; 95% CI 1,382–1,479 days) and the lowest PL median for cows with AFC 30.1 - 32 months (1,211 days; 95% CI 1,176–1,240 days).
RB cows have higher overall variation around AFC groups (219 days) in comparison with HB cows (82 days). Kaplan–Meier analysis shows contrasting patterns between breeds: median PL increased slightly with AFC in HB cows, whereas an inverse relationship between AFC and PL was observed in RB.
Cow’s PL depends on farm size (Figure RB3 and HB3). The farm size significantly influenced PL in both breeds. In RB, the median of PL varied from 650 (95% CI 591–780 days) to 1496 days (95% CI 1,482–1,509 days), with the highest PL values observed in small farms with a number of cows up to twenty and the lowest PL in big farms with a number of cows in the herd higher than 500. In HB cows, median PL ranged from 653 (95% CI 626–673 days) to 1344 days (95% CI 1,336–1,352 days), following a similar ranking pattern across farms. Across all farm groups, RB exhibited a longer productive life than Holstein cows. Differences in survival curves among farm groups were statistically significant (log-rank test, p < 0.0001).