Submitted:
18 May 2026
Posted:
19 May 2026
You are already at the latest version
Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. Yamatai Queendom (Yamataikoku)
2.1. Overview of Yamatai
2.2. Debate over Location
2.3. Reasons Debate Remains Unresolved
2.4. A GIS-Based Approach
2.5. Jimmu’s Eastern Expedition
3. Methods for Estimating Location
3.1. Mapping of Archaeological Site Locations
- Yayoi-period bronze mirrors
- Yayoi-period iron arrowheads
- Yayoi-period iron spears (including iron swords, iron blades, and iron halberds)
- Yayoi-period silk textiles
- Yayoi-period bronze bells
3.2. Data Sources and Software Versions
- Bronze mirrors: Shimogaki (2016) [30].
- Iron weapons: Kawagoe (2000) [31].
- Silk textiles: Nunome (1999) [34]
- The University of Tokyo CSV Address Matching Service [36].
3.3. Jimmu’s Eastern Expedition
4. Results Based on GIS Analysis
4.1. Distribution of Yayoi-Period Bronze Mirrors
4.2. Distribution of Yayoi-Period Iron Arrowheads
4.3. Distribution of Yayoi-Period Iron Spears
4.4. Distribution of Yayoi-Period Silk Textiless
4.5. Distribution of Yayoi-Period Bronze Bells
4.6. Jimmu’s Eastern Expedition
4.7. Analysis of Results
5. Discussion
5.1. Functional Differentiation within Yamatai Queendom
5.2. Chunqiu Style of Numerical Representation
5.3. Jimmu’s Eastern Expedition

5.4. Supplementary Analysis Using GSI’s 1m DEM
5.5. Coarse-grained Simulation Using Generative AI
6. Conclusions
Supplementary Materials
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A

Appendix B

References
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| Item | Description |
|---|---|
| Period | Around the third century CE (from the Late Yayoi period to the Early Kofun period) |
| Major Events | Following the “Great Disturbance of Wa” in the latter half of the second century, internal conflict subsided when the various polities collectively enthroned Himiko as queen. |
| Diplomacy | In 238 or 239 CE, Himiko dispatched envoys to Wei, a major power on the Chinese mainland at the time, and received from the emperor the title “Queen of Wa, subject to Wei,” along with a golden royal seal and one hundred bronze mirrors, among other gifts. |
| Successor | After Himiko’s death, traditionally dated to around 247 CE, a male ruler was installed, but renewed internal strife ensued. Stability was restored when Toyo (Iyo), a 13-year-old female relative of Himiko, ascended the throne as queen. |
| Location | Central Area | Sites | Bronze Mirrors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kushu | Fukuoka Prefecture | 131 | 343 |
| Kinai | Nara Prefecture | 4 | 8 |
| Entire Japan | - | 425 | 789 |
| Location | Central Area | Sites | Bronze Mirrors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kushu | Fukuoka Prefecture | 106 | 352 |
| Kinai | Nara Prefecture | 4 | 4 |
| Entire Japan | - | 549 | 2,022 |
| Location | Central Area | Sites | Bronze Mirrors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kushu | Fukuoka Prefecture | 52 | 99 |
| Kinai | Nara Prefecture | 1 | 1 |
| Entire Japan | - | 226 | 426 |
| Location | Central Area | Sites |
|---|---|---|
| Kushu | Fukuoka Prefecture | 13 |
| Kinai | Nara Prefecture | 0 |
| Entire Japan | - | 14 |
| Location | Central Area | Sites | Bronze Mirrors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kushu | Fukuoka Prefecture | 3 | 4 |
| Kinai | Nara Prefecture | 15 | 18 |
| Entire Japan | - | 315 | 409 |
| Location | Area | Arrowheads | Spears |
|---|---|---|---|
| Osaka Bay | Osaka Prefecture | 36 | 3 |
| Uda | Uda and Tsuge | 4 | 5 |
| Yamato outside Uda | Nara Prefecture (excl. Uda) | 2 | 0 |
| Area | Present Municipalities | Iron Arrow-heads (A) | Iron Spears (B) | Bronze Mirrors (C) |
Military Ratio (A+B)/C | Estimated Functions |
| Itoshima | Itosihama | 10 | 7 | 127 | 0.13 | Culture |
| Fukuoka | Fukuoka,Kasuga | 79 | 23 | 78 | 1.31 | Metropolis |
| Asakura | Asakura, Chikuzen, Ogori | 27 | 13 | 23 | 3.17 | Military |
| Yamato (Kyushu) |
Miyama, Yame, Chikugo | 3 | 13 | 8 | 2.00 | Religion Military |
| Yoshinogari | Yoshinogari, Kanzaki | 13 | 13 | 33 | 0.79 | Paddy field |
| Miyako | Miyako, Yukihashi | 37 | 9 | 16 | 2.88 | Military Seaport |
| Area | Present Municipalities | Site | Max. Full Length | Source |
| Hyuga | Shintomi Town, Miyazaki Prefecture (Departure) | Kawatoko | 19.4 cm | Site Excavation Report (1986) [48] |
| Uda | Uda City, Nara Prefecture (Destination) |
Daiōzan | 13.2 cm | Site Excavation Report (1977) [44] |
| Northern Kyushu | N/A (Yamatai) |
N/A | 16.8 cm | Abe (2024) [49] |
| Kinai | Kyotango City, Kyoto Prefecture |
Tochugaoka | 8.5 cm | Kawagoe (1993) [45] |
| Plain / Basin | Present Area | Area Affected by +10m Sea-Level Rise | Evaluation | Estimated Area in Yayoi Period |
| Miyazaki Plain | ca. 1,100km² (Departure) |
ca. 400–600km² | Moderate to weak | ca. 500–700km² |
| Nara Basin | ca. 700km² (Target) |
Almost none | Extremely strong | ca. 700km² |
| Fukuoka Plain | ca. 400km² | ca. 150–220km² | Moderate | ca. 180–250km² |
| Chikushi Plain | ca. 1,200km² | ca. 600–800km² | Extremely weak | ca. 400–600km² |
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