Submitted:
15 November 2025
Posted:
17 November 2025
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Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
2.1. Urban Economics Integration
2.2. ESG in Real Estate: Global Standards, Regulatory Pressure, and Performance Gaps
2.3. Mixed-Use Urbanism: Theoretical Roots and Sustainability Promise
2.4. Anchor Tenants: Typology, Theoretical Models, and Empirical Evidence
2.5. ESG Certification: Frameworks, Limits, and Regulatory Convergence
2.6. ESG and Capital Formation: Finance, Disclosure, and Investment Risk
2.7. Comparative International Evidence: Models and Risks
2.8. Literature Gaps and Research Agenda
3. Methodology
3.1. Anchor tenant typology.
- Sustainability indicators from the BRE BREEAM directory and UK Government EPC Register (EPC, 2025).
- Governance indicators (evidence of green lease adoption, tenant ESG maturity) from corporate sustainability reports, TCFD disclosures, analyst presentations, and industry market research. See full details of assets analysed in the Supplementary Information.
- Control variables including estimated gross lettable area (GLA), year of completion/refurbishment, borough, London zone, and provision of public realm from developer websites, planning applications, leasing announcements, and investment presentations.
3.2. Composite ESG Scoring Framework
- a)
- Establishing the measurement approach
- b)
- Designing the Framework
- Environmental dimension: BREEAM certification and EPC ratings, capturing energy and compliance benchmarks embedded in UK regulation.
- Social dimension: the quality of public realm and transport accessibility, assessing wellbeing and connectivity contributions at community level.
- Governance dimension: the likelihood of green lease adoption and anchor tenant ESG maturity, reflecting alignment of landlord-tenant sustainability objectives and data transparency.
- c)
- Validating the Structure
- d)
- Accounting for Scale and Location
- e)
- Diagnostic and Robustness Tests
- f)
- Integration into the Analytical Model
3.3. ESG Score Calculation:
3.4. Statistical Analysis and Modelling
- Descriptive Statistics: Computed for the sample by anchor type—mean, median, SD, min, max; distributional boxplots for visualisation.
-
Group Comparison Tests
- ○
- Welch’s t-test for Office vs Residential comparisons (assumes unequal variances).
- ○
- Mann–Whitney U test for non-parametric confirmation.
- ○
- Kruskal–Wallis test for all typologies (performed exploratorily due to small n for retail/hotel anchors).
3.5. Regression Models
- Model 1: ESG regressed on Office dummy (1=Office, 0=Residential)
- Model 2: ESG regressed on Office dummy + Year of completion
- Model 3: ESG regressed on Office dummy + locational controls (Zone 1, Zone 2)
- Model 4: Full specification adding scheme size (lnGLA) and tenant ESG maturity
- Model 5: Interaction Model (Office dummy × Tenant ESG maturity)
3.6. Pillar-Level Analysis and Hypothesis Testing
- Conceptual Framework & Hypotheses
- H1 (Formal): Office-anchored mixed-use developments achieve higher composite ESG scores than residential-anchored ones, reflecting greater tenant governance capacity and regulatory compliance.
- H2 (Exploratory): Tenant ESG maturity positively moderates typology effects — more mature anchors strengthen sustainability outcomes.
- H3 (Exploratory): Social sustainability indicators vary more strongly by anchor typology than environmental ones, which are increasingly standardised through regulation.
4. Calculations
4.1. Statistical Rationale
- Descriptive statistics: Means, standard deviations, interquartile ranges.
- Parametric tests (Welch’s t-test) due to unequal variances in anchor groups.
- Nonparametric tests (Mann-Whitney U, Kruskal-Wallis) for robustness in distributional checks.
- OLS regression models: Sequential addition of controls and interaction terms.
- Robustness checks: Heteroskedasticity-consistent standard errors, proxy-free subsamples, and alternative weightings.
4.2. Data Preparation
- Normalization: All ESG indicators were normalized to a 0–4 scale.
- Composite Score: Weighted as per methodology:
- Missing Data Handling: Imputation via mid-point if ranges provided; proxies flagged.
4.3. Group Comparisons Testing
-
Welch’s t-test calculation, Testing office (n=30) vs residential (n=30) anchors:
- ○
- Mean ESG (Office): 74.42 (SD = 11.25)
- ○
- Mean ESG (Residential): 68.08 (SD = 11.56)
- ○
- t(57.96) = 2.15, p = 0.04
-
Mann-Whitney U calculation, non-parametric check:
- ○
- U = 315.5, Z = –1.99, p = 0.047
4.4. Regression Modelling
-
Model Specification
- ○
- Model 1: ESG = β₀ + β₁OfficeDummy + ε
- ○
- Model 2: ESG = β₀ + β₁OfficeDummy + β₂Year + ε
- ○
- Model 3: ESG = β₀ + β₁OfficeDummy + β₂Year + β₃Zone1 + β₄Zone2 + ε
- ○
- Model 4: ESG = β₀ + β₁OfficeDummy + β₂Year + β₃Zone1 + β₄Zone2 + β₅lnGLA + β₆ESGMaturity + ε
- ○
- Model 5: ESG = β₀ + β₁OfficeDummy + β₂Year + β₃Zone1 + β₄Zone2 + β₅lnGLA + β₆ESGMaturity + β₇(Office×ESGMaturity) + ε
4.5. Regression Diagnostics
- Breusch–Pagan test for heteroscedasticity.
- Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) < 1.3 for multicollinearity.
- HC1 standard errors where heteroscedasticity detected.
4.6. Pillar-Level Analysis
-
Office vs residential mean differences for:
- ○
- Environmental Pillar: t(58.0) = 1.93, p = 0.06 (marginally significant)
- ○
- Social Pillar: t(57.9) = 0.92, p = 0.36 (not significant)
- ○
- Governance Pillar: t(57.8) = 1.84, p = 0.07 (marginally significant)
5. Results
5.1. Comparative Hypothesis Testing (H₁: Office > Residential)
5.2. Practical significance:
5.3. Regression and Moderation Analysis (H₂)
5.4. Pillar-Level Analysis (H₃)
- Environmental: t(58.0) = 1.93, p = 0.06 (marginal). Convergence indicates policy effectiveness—MEES and the London Plan have largely standardised environmental performance.
- Social: t(57.9) = 0.92, p = 0.36 (ns). Social parity arises from planning-imposed public-realm and accessibility obligations across all typologies.
- Governance: t(57.8) = 1.84, p = 0.07 (borderline). Governance maturity remains the distinguishing factor underpinning residual variance.
5.5. Robustness Checks and Sensitivity
6. Discussion
6.1. Institutional Convergence under Regulatory Pressure
6.2. Mechanisms of ESG Equalisation
- Formalised data-sharing. Green leases allow energy and emissions transparency, operationalising landlord–tenant co-management.
- Joint ESG committees. Estate-wide governance bodies institutionalise monitoring and collective target-setting, supporting sustained improvement.
- Sustainability-linked finance. Loan covenants link interest-rate adjustments to verified ESG KPIs, incentivising consistent performance across anchors.
6.3. Implications for Capital Markets and Valuation
- Underwriting: ESG maturity becomes a risk proxy influencing debt pricing (reported advantage 25–50 bps).
- Portfolio valuation: REITs can integrate quantified ESG scores into NAV calculations, reflecting reduced stranded-asset risk.
- Liquidity: Strong disclosure reduces investment friction and exit yield spreads, aligning with “greenium” trends in sustainable bonds (Partridge & Zheng, 2025).
6.4. Urban Policy and Regeneration
6.5. Theoretical Integration
7. Gaps and Limitations
7.1. Cross-Sectional Design and Endogeneity
7.2. Sample Structure and Statistical Power
7.3. Indicator Construction
7.4. Geographic and Temporal Boundaries
7.5. Econometric Diagnostics
8. Practical Recommendations
8.1. Investors and Asset Managers
- Integrate Tenant ESG Maturity Screening.
- Prioritise Operational over Design Certifications.
- Embed Governance Quality in Valuation Models.
- Mandate Estate-Level Governance Evidence
- Refine ESG Reporting Expectations
8.2. Landlords and Developers
- Enforce Green-Lease Clauses.
- Establish Multi-Stakeholder ESG Committees.
- Adopt PropTech for Real-Time Transparency.
- Design for Dynamic Governance.
- Quantify Governance as Asset Value.
8.3. Lenders and Capital Markets
- Tie Cost of Capital to Verified ESG KPIs.
- Evaluate Tenant ESG Maturity in Underwriting.
- Enhance Transparency Requirements.
- Incorporate ESG Resilience in Stress Testing.
8.4. Policymakers and Regulators
- Expand MEES and “Be Seen” to Tenant Operations
- Harmonise Certification and Disclosure Regimes.
- Incentivize Estate-Level Governance Structures.
- Support Digital Infrastructure for ESG Data.
- Address Social Equity Within ESG Frameworks.
9. Conclusions
9.1. Empirical Insights
9.2. Theoretical Contributions
9.3. Practical and Policy Relevance
9.4. Broader Implications for Urban Sustainability Research
9.5. Pathways for Future Research
- Track estates longitudinally to assess persistence of ESG gains under tenant turnover.
- Compare institutional contexts—Amsterdam, Paris, Singapore—to test governance-convergence generalisability.
- Develop multi-level models linking individual lease arrangements to aggregate estate performance.
- Expand the social pillar with metrics capturing inclusivity, affordability, and community integration.
- Evaluate how digitalised data ecosystems (PropTech, IoT) enable real-time ESG compliance and capital-market verification.
9.6. Closing Synthesis
Compliance with Ethics Standards
Competing Interests
Supplementary Materials
Funding
Data Availability Statement
References
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| Variable Group | Source(s) | Proxy Logic / Notes |
| Anchor Typology | Press releases, leasing announcements, developer/investor websites | Dominant GLA, investment draw, or branding |
| ESG Certifications | BRE BREEAM directory, UK Govt EPC Register, asset manager disclosures | Asset-level records, proxy from similar assets |
| Governance Maturity | Sustainability reports, TCFD, analyst briefings, BBP, JLL, CBRE market research | High/medium/low scale by reporting transparency |
| Control Variables | Developer reports, planning documents, GLA, zone, year, public realm provision | Where missing, triangulated from comparables |
| Dimension | Indicator | Scale & Rule | Rationale |
| Environmental | BREEAM | 1–4 by grading | Cert uptake, reg. compliance, tenant-driven demand |
| Environmental | EPC | A–G mapped 0–4 | Mandatory, but imperfect, regulatory measure |
| Social | Public Realm | None–High 0–4 | Urban placemaking, accessibility |
| Social | Transport | None–High 0–4 | Mobility, connectedness, estate externality |
| Governance | Green Lease | None–Conf 0–4 | Direct evidence/presumptive via anchor maturity |
| Governance | ESG Maturity | Low–High 0–4 | Disclosure, engagement, sustainability targets |
| Type | Anchor Comparison | ESG Dimension | Expected Outcome |
| H1 (Formal) | Office vs Residential | ESG composite (0–100) | ↑ Higher for Office |
| H2 (Exploratory) | All typologies | Governance (ESG maturity) | Positive moderation |
| H3 (Exploratory) | All typologies | Social vs Environmental | Greater Social variation |
| Anchor Type | n | Mean ESG | SD ESG | Mean E | Mean S | Mean G |
| Office | 30 | 74.42 | 11.25 | 2.93 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| Residential | 30 | 68.08 | 11.56 | 2.70 | 2.93 | 2.47 |
| Retail | 3 | 73.75 | 6.61 | 2.50 | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| Hotel | 2 | 58.75 | 22.98 | 2.00 | 3.50 | 1.50 |
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