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Constructing Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) to Inform Tobacco Cessation Intervention Research: A Methodological Extension Using Evidence Synthesis

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10 September 2025

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10 September 2025

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Abstract
Background: Tobacco use remains a leading preventable cause of morbidity and mortality in the United States, with persistent disparities in cessation outcomes across socioeco-nomic and racial groups. While numerous interventions exist, their effectiveness is shaped by complex interrelated factors at individual, social, and healthcare system levels. Identifying and modeling these causal pathways is essential to inform equitable inter-vention design. Methods: This study applied the Evidence Synthesis for Constructing Directed Acyclic Graphs (ESC-DAG) protocol to integrate empirical findings from 35 quantitative studies examining barriers and facilitators of tobacco cessation intervention uptake in the United States. Using the Andersen and Aday Health Services Research Model as a guiding framework, we extracted, harmonized, and synthesized significant causal relationships into a unified DAG, distinguishing exposures, outcomes, mediators, and confounders. Results: The integrated DAG revealed that structural factors such as socioeconomic disadvantage, digital inequities, rurality, and cultural barriers exerted substantial influence on cessation outcomes. These upstream determinants operated through mediators including motivation, treatment engagement, and access barriers, while healthcare system factors such as provider engagement and proactive outreach emerged as consistent facilitators. Digital access and culturally tailored interventions were identified as underexplored yet potentially high-impact pathways. Discussion: The ESC-DAG methodology provided a structured approach to visualize and synthesize causal mechanisms beyond traditional review synthesis, highlighting points of interven-tion at both policy and practice levels. The findings underscore the importance of mul-ti-level strategies, including financial support, digital equity initiatives, provider out-reach, and culturally tailored cessation services. Conclusion: By applying ESC-DAG methodology, this study contributes a novel causal framework for understanding dis-parities in tobacco cessation intervention uptake. The resulting DAG can inform future statistical modeling, simulation studies, and equity-focused program design, supporting more effective public health strategies to reduce smoking prevalence and associated in-equities.
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1. Introduction

Smoking is one of the leading preventable causes of premature death and health inequities in the United States. According to a study conducted in the U.S. from 2014 to 2019 using U.S. population data, a persistent sociodemographic inequality was identified. Although a similar or higher quit interest exists among non-White and lower socioeconomic status groups, significantly lower sustained cessation rates, i.e., only about 7.5% were observed. The tobacco cessation treatment uptake remained low, i.e., 34% and the disparities in treatment receipt did not improve significantly [1]. The NHIS data examination reported similar underlying trends in disparities in receiving professional cessation advice. Those who are older adults, reside in urban areas, have access to primary care, and are diagnosed with COPD were highly likely to receive tobacco cessation treatment assistance, disproportionately affecting rural, younger, uninsured, and racial minority smokers [2,3].
As per a recent CDC MMWR report, about 50% of adult smokers among 28.8 million U.S. adult smokers tried to quit, but only about 10% succeeded, and less than 40% utilized tobacco cessation interventions, i.e., medical or non-medical interventions [4]. Lower access to tobacco cessation interventions and lower sustained quitting are associated with lower socio-economic status and rural residence. Although the cessation intervention exists, access to pharmacotherapy, counselling, or other types of cessation interventions remains limited due to unaligned care coordination, cost, or lower healthcare engagement [2,3,5]. Prior work has identified key barriers and facilitators of cessation intervention utilization in the United States at both the population and healthcare system levels. The key barriers identified across diverse cessation intervention types are digital inequities for digital interventions, socioeconomic disadvantage, and low motivation at the population level. At the healthcare system level, barriers to care access and inadequate healthcare provider engagement have been identified as further system-level barriers in effective tobacco cessation intervention utilization in the U.S. While the key facilitators identified are financial incentives, culturally tailored interventions, and digital engagement strategies [6].
The effectiveness of treatment interventions outside a strict clinical trial environment is affected by several confounding barriers and facilitating factors [7]. It is crucial to identify such factors to develop a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG) a visual representation of complex relationships between key factors affecting the exposure and outcome variables relationship in any observational data study, as it informs the statistical modeling for causal inferences [6,7,8]. A conventional statistical model due to parametric assumptions might not capture the comprehensive causal relationship of a study context; however, a DAG can graphically depict the complex causal relationship between a key exposure and outcome factors. According to PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Google searches, there exists no scientific literature that develops evidence-based DAG on factors affecting tobacco cessation intervention utilization in the United States. As established, it is vital to build such DAGs to identify causal relationships that affect the tobacco cessation intervention utilization to improve the health inequities and smoking prevalence rate in the United States. Although evidence-based cessation intervention exists, there is a need to identify measurable factors that affect the causal relationship between socioeconomic factors and cessation or quit outcomes in the presence of key confounders. Hence, this study builds upon a prior systematic review to develop an evidence synthesis DAG [6].

2. Materials and Methods

2.1. Study Design and Evidence Base

This study utilized the Evidence Synthesis for Constructing Directed Acyclic Graphs (ESC-DAG) protocol to identify the causal factors affecting tobacco cessation intervention uptake in the United States. In observational research, the ESC-DAG methodology helps to integrate causal relationships from existing empirical evidence [9].
A total of 35 studies were identified in the prior extension of this work, a systematic review [6] about barriers and facilitators to tobacco cessation interventions at the population and healthcare system levels. The study included randomized control trials, quasi-experimental, and observational quantitative studies that examined determinants of smoking cessation intervention uptake and treatment disparities at both the population and healthcare system level.

2.2. ESC-DAG Protocol Application

The mapping stage included edge identification and coding in DAGitty software [10]. Each study included was reviewed to extract empirically supported causal relationships (edges) between exposure and outcome variables. Edges were extracted verbatim that were statistically significant between exposure and outcome variables and coded within the original study context. The direct and indirect pathways were established without any directionality rules implied to preserve the original study context.
The translation stage included thematic grouping and categorization by imposing ESC-DAG protocol directionality rules. The conceptual framework used to determine the temporality and directionality of constructs was frequently the Andersen and Aday Health Services Research framework [11]. Overlapping constructs, such as digital access and digital inequities, were combined into a single standardized category. The bidirectionality was assessed, and constructs were aligned with theoretical determinants from the conceptual framework.
The integration stage involved synthesis into a final compiled ESC-DAG. The harmonized constructs and their edges were synthesized into a single DAG that included confounders, mediators, and potentially other effect modifiers.

2.3. Conceptual Framework and Quality Assurance

The Andersen and Aday Health Services Research Model was utilized as an organizing framework to contextualize constructs across predisposing, enabling, and need-based factors. The protocol recognized the need for a conceptual framework to inform its translation stage, ensuring that the DAG represented statistical associations aligned with established theory on healthcare access and utilization. Two independent reviewers conducted edge extraction and thematic grouping, with discrepancies resolved through consensus involving the third reviewer to minimize subjectivity.

3. Results

3.1. Mapping Stage Findings

A total of 35 included studies identified a wide range of causal pathways that linked individual, social, and structural factors to smoking cessation outcomes (Table 1). Each study contributed multiple causal pathways, i.e., edges establishing several potential pathways. Frequently mapped factors included socioeconomic disadvantage, digital access and literacy, motivation to quit, and healthcare system barriers, i.e., provider engagement and treatment availability. Nicotine Replacement Therapy (NRT), financial incentives, and mobile-based supports were recurrent intervention-specific nodes. As depicted in Table 1, the yellow nodes represent outcome variables, the blue nodes represent exposure variables, the green nodes represent mediators, and the grey nodes represent confounders, as identified across each included study.

3.2. Translation Stage Synthesis

To reduce redundancy and allow for cross-study comparison, the extracted edges were consolidated into thematic constructs (Appendix A1 Table). Constructs, such as digital inequities, digital access barriers, and digital literacy barriers, were grouped under a broader category, namely digital access. The stage highlighted several consistent causal pathways. It included socioeconomic disadvantage and provider engagement. The socioeconomic disadvantage was linked to both reduced engagement with cessation interventions and lower improvement gains in cessation intervention success. Financial constraints, access barriers, and lower motivation served as mediators in the causal pathways. Provider engagement, identified as a facilitator, has been established by existing studies as a means to increase the receipt of cessation advice and successful quitting.

3.3. Integrated DAG

The integrated DAG, as depicted in Figure 1, illustrates how smoking cessation outcomes are influenced by the causal pathways originating from structural, psychosocial, and healthcare system factors. The socioeconomic disadvantage is established as a central key determinant. Factors such as lower income, lower educational attainment levels, and rural residence have been consistently linked to both reduced treatment access and lower engagement in healthcare access. These disadvantages directly affected smoking cessation outcomes as well as indirectly served as mediators of the pathway, i.e., financial constraints, limited digital access, and low motivation to quit. Additionally, psychological factors, i.e., stress, depression, and other minor mental health problems, were established to affect cessation outcomes through causal pathways. Several included studies established that interventions addressing these barriers, such as cognitive behavioral therapy, motivational support, or culturally tailored messages, could help mitigate the negative effects to some extent.
Digital access is another important causal pathway, as studies have established that inadequate access to devices, internet connectivity, or digital literacy limits access to cessation interventions. At the healthcare system level, the causal pathway established that provider engagement, proactive outreach, and integrated EHR-enabled prompts were identified as key facilitators of smoking cessation intervention uptake. Overall, the DAG establishes that effective smoking cessation interventions are not just associated with a single factor, but with multiple factors, including structural determinants, individual readiness, resilience, and system-level support mechanisms. This emphasizes the need for a multicomponent intervention that can address barriers across these domains simultaneously.

4. Discussion

4.1. Interpretation of DAG Structures

The integrated ESC-DAG establishes complex and multifactorial causal pathways that affect tobacco cessation intervention outcomes in the United States. One of the key identified barriers was structural, i.e., socioeconomic disadvantage, digital inequities, and rurality, which affected access to interventions. These factors affected both the direct cessation outcomes and indirect mediators, including motivation, engagement, and treatment adherence. One of the key identified facilitators was provider engagement, emphasizing that healthcare system interactions remain crucial for cessation success.
Some of the underexplored pathways, i.e., cultural tailoring, minority stress, and stigma, emphasize crucial gaps in existing evidence as only a few edges supported these domains from existing empirical studies.

4.2. Methodological Contributions

This study demonstrates the added value of the ESC-DAG methodology over traditional narrative or systematic reviews. By translating empirical evidence into a unified graphical model, we identified confounders, mediators, and moderators that are often overlooked in conventional statistical synthesis. Unlike meta-analysis, which emphasizes effect sizes, ESC-DAG enables researchers to map relationships across diverse study designs and uncover the underlying causal architecture. This methodological innovation is particularly valuable for complex behavioral and health services interventions, where context and interaction effects are critical.

4.3. Policy and Practice Implications

The integrated DAG provides insights for designing equity-focused and targeted cessation interventions. It encompasses digital equity, socio-economic support, provider engagement, and cultural tailoring, which reinforces the need for multi-level interventions addressing not only individual motivation but also other systemic barriers to healthcare access.
The integrated DAG could be utilized to guide confounder adjustment in observational studies of tobacco cessation interventions by applying DAG-informed simulation models to predict the potential impact of scaling specific strategies. It could guide the design of tailored digital platforms that account for motivation levels, literacy, and socio-economic context.

5. Conclusions

This study extends the methodological application of ESC-DAG to tobacco cessation research, synthesizing evidence from 35 studies into a unified causal framework. The integrated DAG highlights the central role of structural inequities, digital access, and provider engagement in shaping cessation outcomes.
By visualizing these relationships, our analysis demonstrates how DAGs can inform statistical modeling, guide intervention design, and prioritize equity-oriented policy solutions. Future research should build on this framework through simulation studies, quasi-experimental evaluations, and longitudinal designs to test targeted strategies for reducing disparities in cessation uptake.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization, S.S. and N.P.; methodology, N.P., S.S, J.I.; software, N.P; validation S.S., J.I., and N.P; formal analysis, S.S., N.P. J.I.; investigation, S.S., J.I., N.P; resources, writing—original draft preparation, N.P., S.S. ; writing—review and editing, N.P., S.S., J.I.; visualization, N.P., S.S., J.I. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

Funding

This research received no external funding.

Institutional Review Board Statement

Not applicable as a review study of secondary data where no human subjects were involved.

Informed Consent Statement

Not applicable.

Data Availability Statement

No new data was generated.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

Appendix A

Appendix A.1

Table A1. Translation stage results of included studies.
Table A1. Translation stage results of included studies.
Study citation number Edge originates Edge terminates Bi directional
23 Homelessness Smoking cessation No
Homelessness Financial incentive No
Homelessness NRT No
Homelessness Motivation No
Homelessness Counselling No
Financial incentive Smoking cessation No
Financial incentive Motivation No
NRT Smoking cessation No
NRT Motivation No
Counselling Smoking cessation No
Counselling Motivation No
12 State characteristics Smoking cessation No
State characteristics Expanded treatment coverage No
State characteristics ACA medicaid expansion policy No
Pre-expansion insurance coverage ACA medicaid expansion policy No
Pre-expansion insurance coverage Expanded treatment coverage No
Pre-expansion insurance coverage Smoking cessation No
ACA medicaid expansion policy Expanded treatment coverage No
ACA medicaid expansion policy Smoking cessation No
Expanded treatment coverage Smoking cessation No
31 Digital Access Smoking cessation No
Digital Access Self paced engagement No
Digital Access ACT based smartphone app No
Digital Access Standard smartphone app No
Motivation variability Smoking cessation No
Motivation variability Self paced engagement No
Motivation variability ACT based smartphone app No
Motivation variability Standard smartphone app No
ACT based smartphone app Smoking cessation No
ACT based smartphone app Self paced engagement No
ACT based smartphone app Behavioral support No
Standard smartphone app Smoking cessation No
Standard smartphone app Self paced engagement No
Standard smartphone app Behavioral support No
8 Socioeconomic disadvantage Smoking cessation No
Socioeconomic disadvantage Social support No
Socioeconomic disadvantage Community led cessation No
Socioeconomic disadvantage Peer motivation No
Community led cessation Smoking cessation No
Community led cessation Social support No
Community led cessation Peer motivation No
Social support Smoking cessation No
Peer motivation Smoking cessation No
24 Language barrier Smoking cessation No
Language barrier Multilingual quitline service No
Language barrier NRT No
Language barrier Engagement No
Language barrier E-cigarrettes No
Multilingual quitline service Smoking cessation No
Multilingual quitline service Engagement No
NRT Smoking cessation No
NRT Engagement No
E-cigarrettes Smoking cessation No
E-cigarrettes Engagement No
Engagement Smoking cessation No
36 Low motivation Smoking cessation No
Low motivation Brief community intervention No
Low motivation Community support No
Brief community intervention Community support No
Brief community intervention Smoking cessation No
Community support Smoking cessation No
37 Household smoking exposure Indoor smoking restrictions No
Household smoking exposure Behavioral counselling No
Household smoking exposure Smoking cessation No
Behavioral counselling Indoor smoking restrictions No
Behavioral counselling Smoking cessation No
Indoor smoking restrictions Smoking cessation No
40 Income Free provision No
Income NRT sampling No
Rurality Free provision No
Rurality NRT sampling No
Education Free provision No
Education NRT sampling No
Access Barriers Free provision No
Access Barriers NRT sampling No
Race Free provision No
Race NRT sampling No
NRT sampling Free provision No
NRT sampling Smoking cessation No
NRT sampling Proactive encouragement No
Free provision Smoking cessation No
Proactive encouragement Smoking cessation No
41 Cost Proactive outreach No
Cost Free NRT and counselling access No
Low awareness Proactive outreach No
Low awareness Free NRT and counselling access No
Access issues Proactive outreach No
Access issues Free NRT and counselling access No
Psychosocial challenges Proactive outreach No
Psychosocial challenges Free NRT and counselling access No
Proactive outreach Free NRT and counselling access No
Proactive outreach Smoking cessation No
Proactive outreach Comprehensive treatment No
Free NRT and counselling access Smoking cessation No
Comprehensive treatment Smoking cessation No
42 Stress Smoking cessation No
Stress Clinic support No
Stress Medication No
Stress Public housing tobacco clinic No
Socioeconomic status Smoking cessation No
Socioeconomic status Clinic support No
Socioeconomic status Medication No
Socioeconomic status Public housing tobacco clinic No
Medication Smoking cessation No
Medication Clinic support No
Public housing tobacco clinic Smoking cessation No
Public housing tobacco clinic Clinic support No
Clinic support Smoking cessation No
38 Low Motivation Mobile engagement No
Low Motivation Vaping cessation text messaging No
Low Motivation Smoking cessation No
Vaping cessation text messaging Mobile engagement No
Vaping cessation text messaging Smoking cessation No
Mobile engagement Smoking cessation No
27 Minority stress and stigma Smoking cessation No
Minority stress and stigma Web and text based intervention No
Web and text based intervention Smoking cessation No
33 Financial constraints TTM tailored intervention No
Financial constraints Motivation No
Financial constraints Smoking cessation No
Mental illness TTM tailored intervention No
Mental illness Motivation No
Mental illness Smoking cessation No
10 Socioeconomic disadvantage Smoking cessation No
Socioeconomic disadvantage Best practice No
Socioeconomic disadvantage Financial incentive No
Socioeconomic disadvantage NRT No
Socioeconomic disadvantage Motivation No
Best practice Motivation No
Best practice Smoking cessation No
Financial incentive Motivation No
Financial incentive Smoking cessation No
NRT Motivation No
NRT Smoking cessation No
Motivation Smoking cessation No
25 Digital inequities Culturally adapted video text intervention No
Digital inequities Engagement No
Digital inequities Smoking cessation No
High baseline motivation Culturally adapted video text intervention No
High baseline motivation Engagement No
High baseline motivation Smoking cessation No
Culturally adapted video text intervention Engagement No
Culturally adapted video text intervention Smoking cessation No
NRT Engagement No
NRT Smoking cessation No
Engagement Smoking cessation No
26 Education Smoking cessation No
Race Smoking cessation No
Daily smoking Smoking cessation No
Education Text based cessation No
Race Text based cessation No
Daily smoking Text based cessation No
39 Socioeconomic disadvantage Smoking cessation No
Socioeconomic disadvantage Financial incentive No
Socioeconomic disadvantage Usual care No
Socioeconomic disadvantage Motivation No
Socioeconomic disadvantage Medication No
Financial incentive Smoking cessation No
Usual care Smoking cessation No
Medication Smoking cessation No
Financial incentive Motivation No
Usual care Motivation No
Medication Motivation No
Motivation Smoking cessation No
28 Psychological barriers Quitline plus treatment No
Psychological barriers Smoking cessation No
Quitline plus treatment Smoking cessation No
44 Smartphone based financial incentive Smoking cessation No
Incentive engagement Smoking cessation No
Smartphone based financial incentive Incentive engagement No
11 Provider engagement Cessation advice reciept No
Provider engagement Smoking cessation No
Cessation advice reciept Smoking cessation No
43 Psychological stress Smoking cessation No
Psychological stress Cognitive behavioral counselling No
Psychological stress Stress reduction No
35 Low motivation Motivational support No
Low motivation Tailored mobile messaging No
Low motivation Smoking cessation No
Tailored mobile messaging Motivational support No
Tailored mobile messaging Smoking cessation No
Motivational support Smoking cessation No
34 Behavioral health condition Community based cessation program No
Behavioral health condition Integrated treatment services No
Behavioral health condition Medication(NRT/other) No
Behavioral health condition Smoking cessation No
Community based cessation program Integrated treatment services No
Medication(NRT/other) Integrated treatment services No
Community based cessation program Smoking cessation No
Medication(NRT/other) Smoking cessation No
Integrated treatment services Smoking cessation No
29 Low motivation Mobile phone delivered cessation No
Low motivation Text plus call support No
Low motivation Smoking cessation No
Socioeconomic barriers Mobile phone delivered cessation No
Socioeconomic barriers Text plus call support No
Socioeconomic barriers Smoking cessation No
Mobile phone delivered cessation Text plus call support No
Mobile phone delivered cessation Smoking cessation No
NRT Text plus call support No
NRT Smoking cessation No
Text plus call support Smoking cessation No
30 Digital literacy barriers Personalized engagement No
Digital literacy barriers Tailored text and web intervention No
Digital literacy barriers Smoking cessation No
Tailored text and web intervention Personalized engagement No
Tailored text and web intervention Smoking cessation No
Personalized engagement Smoking cessation No
32 Low health resource Community health worker plus NRT No
Low health resource Social support No
Low health resource Smoking cessation No
Rurality Community health worker plus NRT No
Rurality Social support No
Rurality Smoking cessation No
Community health worker plus NRT Social support No
Community health worker plus NRT Smoking cessation No
Social support Smoking cessation No
45 Digital access barriers Social media based cessation intervention No
Digital access barriers Online peer support No
Digital access barriers Smoking cessation No
Social media based cessation intervention Online peer support No
Social media based cessation intervention Smoking cessation No
Online peer support Smoking cessation No
9 Stress CBT No
Stress Behavioral coping skills No
Stress 8 week nicotine patch No
Stress Smoking cessation No
Depressive symptoms CBT No
Depressive symptoms Behavioral coping skills No
Depressive symptoms 8 week nicotine patch No
Depressive symptoms Smoking cessation No
CBT Behavioral coping skills No
CBT Smoking cessation No
8 week nicotine patch Behavioral coping skills No
8 week nicotine patch Smoking cessation No
Behavioral coping skills Smoking cessation No
46 Access barriers EHR enabled smoking treatment program No
Access barriers Automated provider prompts No
Access barriers Smoking cessation No
EHR enabled smoking treatment program Automated provider prompts No
EHR enabled smoking treatment program Smoking cessation No
Automated provider prompts Smoking cessation No
47 Cultural barriers Smoking cessation No
Cultural barriers Percieved message relevance No
Cultural barriers Storytelling based video intervention No
Health literacy Smoking cessation No
Health literacy Storytelling based video intervention No
Health literacy Motivation No
Storytelling based video intervention Smoking cessation No
Storytelling based video intervention Percieved message relevance No
Storytelling based video intervention Motivation No
Percieved message relevance Smoking cessation No
Motivation Smoking cessation No
14 Stress Supportive messaging and behavioral nudges No
Stress Text based cessation No
Stress Smoking cessation No
Low motivation Supportive messaging and behavioral nudges No
Low motivation Text based cessation No
Low motivation Smoking cessation No
Text based cessation Supportive messaging and behavioral nudges No
Text based cessation Smoking cessation No
Supportive messaging and behavioral nudges Smoking cessation No
13 Cultural barriers Acceptance of sensations, emotions, and thoughts No
Cultural barriers ACT based indigenous tailored app No
Cultural barriers Smoking cessation No
ACT based indigenous tailored app Acceptance of sensations, emotions, and thoughts No
ACT based indigenous tailored app Smoking cessation No
Acceptance of sensations, emotions, and thoughts Smoking cessation No
48 Geographic isolation Improved access to behaviorla tools No
Geographic isolation ACT based rural tailored app No
Geographic isolation Smoking cessation No
ACT based rural tailored app Improved access to behaviorla tools No
ACT based rural tailored app Smoking cessation No
Improved access to behaviorla tools Smoking cessation No
49 Depression and stress CBT No
Depression and stress Improved coping skills No
Depression and stress 8 week nicotine patch No
Depression and stress Smoking cessation No
CBT Improved coping skills No
8 week nicotine patch Improved coping skills No
CBT Smoking cessation No
8 week nicotine patch Smoking cessation No
Improved coping skills Smoking cessation No

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Figure 1. Integrated DAG Establishing Causal Pathways from Exposure to Outcome Nodes.
Figure 1. Integrated DAG Establishing Causal Pathways from Exposure to Outcome Nodes.
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Table 1. Mapping stage, individual study implied DAGs.
Table 1. Mapping stage, individual study implied DAGs.
Study Graph

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