Submitted:
07 March 2025
Posted:
10 March 2025
You are already at the latest version
Abstract
Agriculture is essential for food production and raw materials. A key aspect of this sector is harvest, the stage at which the commercial part of the plant is separated. Timely harvesting minimizes post-harvest losses, preserves product quality and optimizes production processes. Globally, a substantial amount of food is wasted, impacting food security and natural resources. To address this problem, an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System was developed to predict timely harvesting in crops. Stevia, a native plant from Brazil and Paraguay, with an annual production 100,000 to 200,000 tons and a market of 400 million dollars, is the focus of this study. The system considers soil pH, Brix Degrees and leaf colorimetry as inputs. The output is binary: 1 indicates timely harvest and 0 indicates no timely harvest. To assess its performance, Leave One Out Cross Validation was used, obtaining an r² of 0.99965 and a Residual Absolute Error of 0.00064305, demonstrating its accuracy and robustness. In addition, an interactive application that allows farmers to evaluate crop status and optimize decision making was developed.
Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Area
2.2. Dataset
- Values obtained after subjecting crop images to processing using Binary Masks (BM) to obtain color percentages in Hue, Saturation, Value (HSV) format and then performing cluster classification using k-means algorithm as a grouping method.
- pH values collected from soil in the study area.
- BD values obtained from leaf samples taken from each Stevia plant.
2.2.1. Image Processing for Leaf Colorimetry
- H (Hue): Specifies the hue of the color (0° to 360° mapped from [0,1] in MATLAB).
- S (Saturation): Indicates color purity [0 to 1].
- V (Value): Indicates the brightness or intensity [0 to 1].
2.2.2. pH
2.2.3. Brix Degrees

2.3. ANFIS Modeling
2.3.1. Artificial Neuronal Network (ANN)

2.3.2. Fuzzy Inference System (FIS)
- Inputs:
- 2.
- Output:
- 3.
- Fuzzy Rules (FR):
2.3.3. ANFIS Model Summary
2.4. Timely Harvest Prediction Algorithm
| Algorithm 1 Timely Harvest prediction |
| Read |
| Assign inputs |
| Assign output |
| Initialize: |
| n ← number of samples. |
| absolute_residuals ← vector of size n. |
| epoch_number ← 10. |
| mf_type ← ’trimf’. |
| For: i = 1 to n |
| Split data: train_inputs, train_outputs, test_input, test_output. |
| Create initial model: fismat ← genfis1(training_data, 3, mf_type). |
| Train ANFIS model: fismat_trained ← |
| anfis(training_data, fismat, epoch_number). |
| Predict: predicted_output ← evalfis(test_input, fismat_trained). |
| EndFor |
3. Results
3.1. Evaluation Metrics
3.1.1. Model Performance
- 1.
- Absolute Residuals (AR)
- 2.
- Leave One Out Cross Validation (LOOCV)
3.2. Performance Evaluations
3.3. Determination Coefficient (r2)
3.4. App
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Appendix A
| FR | i f | Antecedent | FO | Antecedent | FO | Antecedent | t h e n | Consequent | |
| 1 | not_harvest | ||||||||
| pH is acid | A N D | BD is not_ripe | A N D | cluster is 1 | |||||
| 2 | pH is acid | BD is not_ripe | cluster is 2 | not_harvest | |||||
| 3 | pH is acid | BD is not_ripe | cluster is 3 | not_harvest | |||||
| 4 | pH is acid | BD is ripe | cluster is 1 | not_harvest | |||||
| 5 | pH is acid | BD is ripe | cluster is 2 | not_harvest | |||||
| 6 | pH is acid | BD is ripe | cluster is 3 | not_harvest | |||||
| 7 | pH is acid | BD is excess_ripe | cluster is 1 | not_harvest | |||||
| 8 | pH is acid | BD is excess_ripe | cluster is 2 | not_harvest | |||||
| 9 | pH is acid | BD is excess_ripe | cluster is 3 | not_harvest | |||||
| pH is neutral | BD is not_ripe | cluster is 1 | not_harvest | ||||||
| pH is neutral | BD is not_ripe | cluster is 2 | not_harvest | ||||||
| pH is neutral | BD is not_ripe | cluster is 3 | not_harvest | ||||||
| pH is neutral | BD is ripe | cluster is 1 | harvest | ||||||
| pH is neutral | BD is ripe | cluster is 2 | not_harvest | ||||||
| pH is neutral | BD is ripe | cluster is 3 | not_harvest | ||||||
| pH is neutral | BD is excess_ripe | cluster is 1 | not_harvest | ||||||
| pH is neutral | BD is excess_ripe | cluster is 2 | not_harvest | ||||||
| pH is neutral | BD is excess_ripe | cluster is 3 | not_harvest | ||||||
| pH is alkaline | BD is not_ripe | cluster is 1 | not_harvest | ||||||
| pH is alkaline | BD is not_ripe | cluster is 2 | not_harvest | ||||||
| pH is alkaline | BD is not_ripe | cluster is 3 | not_harvest | ||||||
| pH is alkaline | BD is ripe | cluster is 1 | not_harvest | ||||||
| pH is alkaline | BD is ripe | cluster is 2 | not_harvest | ||||||
| pH is alkaline | BD is ripe | cluster is 3 | not_harvest | ||||||
| pH is alkaline | BD is excess_ripe | cluster is 1 | not_harvest | ||||||
| pH is alkaline | BD is excess_ripe | cluster is 2 | not_harvest | ||||||
| pH is alkaline | BD is excess_ripe | cluster is 3 | not_harvest |
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| Cluster: Color | ||
| 1: Green | 2: Yellow | 3: Brown |
| Image | %Green | %Yellow | %Brown | Cluster |
| 120.jpg | 99.5584 | 0.14344 | 0.29818 | 1 |
| 75.jpg | 10.8477 | 79.6597 | 9.94261 | 2 |
| 76.jpg | 4.44868 | 0 | 95.5513 | 3 |
| Variable Range | Indicator | |
| pH 3–9 acid | neutral | alkaline |
| [0 3 6] | [3 6 9] | [6 9 12] |
| BD 15–46 not_ripe | ripe | excess_ripe |
| [-0.5 15 30.5] | [15 30.5 46] | [30.5 46 61.5] |
| Cluster 1–3 green | yellow | brown |
| [0 1 2] | [1 2 3] | [2 3 4] |
| Variable Range | Indicator | |
| Harvest 0–1 |
not_harvest [0] |
harvest [1] |
| FR | i f | Antecedent | FO | Antecedent | FO | Antecedent | t h e n | Consequent | |
| 1 | not_harvest | ||||||||
| pH is acid | A N D | BD is not_ripe | A N D | cluster is 1 | |||||
| 2 | pH is acid | BD is ripe | cluster is 2 | not_harvest | |||||
| 3 | pH is acid | BD is excess_ripe | cluster is 3 | not_harvest | |||||
| 4 | pH is neutral | BD is not_ripe | cluster is 1 | not_harvest | |||||
| 5 | pH is neutral | BD is ripe | cluster is 2 | not_harvest | |||||
| 6 | pH is neutral | BD is excess_ripe | cluster is 3 | not_harvest | |||||
| 7 | pH is alkaline | BD is not_ripe | cluster is 1 | not_harvest | |||||
| 8 | pH is alkaline | BD is ripe | cluster is 2 | not_harvest | |||||
| 9 | pH is alkaline | BD is excess_ripe | cluster is 3 | not_harvest |
| Training Features | |||
| Number of inputs | 3 | ||
| Number of outputs | 1 | ||
| Number of training epochs | |||
| MFs input | 3 per input variable | ||
| Number of FR | |||
| Input FM Parameters | |||
| Input 1 | MF 1 (acid): trimf - Range: [0 3 6] MF 2 (neutral): trimf - Range: [3 6 9] MF 3 (alkaline): trimf - Range: [6 9 ] |
||
| Input 2 | MF 1 (not_ripe): trimf - Range: [-3.5 13 29.5] MF 2 (ripe): trimf - Range: [13 29.5 46] MF 3 (excess ripe): trimf - Range: [29.5 46 62.5] |
||
| Input 3 | MF 1 (1): trimf - Range: [0 1 2] MF 2 (2): trimf - Range: [1 2 3] MF 3 (3): trimf - Range: [2 3 4] |
||
| Output Parameters | |||
| Output: Constant type | harvest: [1] not_harvest: [0] |
||
| Neuronal Network Structure | |||
| Number of layers | 5 | ||
| Number of neurons in layer 1 (input MF) | 9 | ||
| Number of neurons in layer 2 (RF) | 27 | ||
| Layer 3 | Standardization | ||
| Layer 4 | Linear functions | ||
| Layer 5 | Weighted sum | ||
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