Submitted:
23 October 2024
Posted:
24 October 2024
You are already at the latest version
Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Studu Area
2.2. Data Sources
2.3. Method
2.3.1. Pixel Binary Mode
2.3.2. Theil-Sen Median
2.3.3. Mann-Kendall
2.3.4. Geographic Detector Model
3. Results
3.1. Temporal and Spatial Changes in Vegetation Coverage
3.1.1. Temporal Changes

3.1.2. Spatial Differentiation
3.2. Analysis of the Driving Factors of Vegetation Cover Changes
3.2.1. Factor Detector
3.2.2. Risk Detector
3.2.3. Interaction Detector

4. Discussion
4.1. Suitable Growth Ranges for Vegetation
| Factors | FVC | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | |
| Temperature | -1.75—1.02 | -1.42—1.49 | -1.05—1.87 | -4.38—2.00 |
| Precipitation | 733.72—931.58 | 630.64—802.62 | 698.83—880.68 | 752.01—935.51 |
| Soil types | leached soil | leached soil | leached soil | leached soil |
| Land use | forest land | forest land | forest land | forest land |
4.2. Factor Interaction Effects
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Natural Factors | Human Factors |
| Elevation(x1) | Land use(x7) |
| Slope(x2) | Population density(x8) |
| Aspect(x3) | GDP(x9) |
| Temperature(x4) | |
| Precipitation(x5) | |
| Soil types(x6) |
| Discriminant Criteria | Types of Interactions |
| q(x1∩x2) < Min(q(x1), q(x2)) | weaken, nonlinear |
| Min(q(x1), q(x2)) < q(x1∩x2) < Max(q(x1), q(x2)) | single factor weaken, nonlinear |
| q(x1∩x2) > Max(q(x1), q(x2)) | dual-factor enhancement |
| q(x1∩x2) = q(x1) + q(x2) | dual-factor independent |
| q (x1x2) > q(x1) + q(x2) | enhance, nonlinear |
| Factors | q values | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | |
| Elevation | 0.114 | 0.113 | 0.11 | 0.095 |
| Slope | 0.133 | 0.135 | 0.152 | 0.201 |
| Aspect | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Temperature | 0.251 | 0.241 | 0.245 | 0.231 |
| Precipitation | 0.394 | 0.641 | 0.657 | 0.682 |
| Soil types | 0.354 | 0.352 | 0.35 | 0.336 |
| Land use | 0.459 | 0.465 | 0.468 | 0.418 |
| Population density | 0.014 | 0.014 | 0.009 | 0.006 |
| GDP | 0.1 | 0.079 | 0.019 | 0.013 |
| Zone Code | Precipitation values(mm) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | |
| 1 | 90.66—209.38 | 106.52—196.60 | 107.81—226.01 | 114.57—236.91 |
| 2 | 209.38—285.23 | 196.60—259.39 | 226.01—298.75 | 236.91—314.17 |
| 3 | 285.23—351.18 | 259.39—322.18 | 298.75—359.37 | 314.17—381.78 |
| 4 | 351.18—413.84 | 322.18—379.50 | 359.37—416.96 | 381.78—446.17 |
| 5 | 413.84—476.49 | 379.50—428.64 | 416.96—471.51 | 446.17—507.33 |
| 6 | 476.49—535.85 | 428.64—475.04 | 471.51—523.04 | 507.33—565.28 |
| 7 | 535.85—591.92 | 475.04—524.18 | 523.04—571.53 | 565.28—620.01 |
| 8 | 591.92—651.27 | 524.18—570.58 | 571.53—623.05 | 620.01—674.74 |
| 9 | 651.27—733.72 | 570.58—630.64 | 623.05—698.83 | 674.74—752.01 |
| 10 | 733.72—931.58 | 630.64—802.62 | 698.83—880.68 | 752.01—935.51 |
| Zone Code | FVC | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | |
| 1 | 0.224 | 0.222 | 0.214 | 0.261 |
| 2 | 0.156 | 0.168 | 0.192 | 0.225 |
| 3 | 0.208 | 0.230 | 0.252 | 0.281 |
| 4 | 0.478 | 0.293 | 0.357 | 0.392 |
| 5 | 0.527 | 0.432 | 0.463 | 0.536 |
| 6 | 0.570 | 0.614 | 0.587 | 0.653 |
| 7 | 0.663 | 0.731 | 0.769 | 0.796 |
| 8 | 0.759 | 0.754 | 0.786 | 0.849 |
| 9 | 0.823 | 0.842 | 0.864 | 0.901 |
| 10 | 0.879 | 0.923 | 0.988 | 0.975 |
| Zone Code | Temperature(℃) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | |
| 1 | -13.20—-5.19 | -13.11—-4.91 | -12.67—-4.55 | -12.56—-4.38 |
| 2 | -5.19—-1.75 | -4.91—-1.42 | -4.55—-1.05 | -4.38—-0.91 |
| 3 | -1.75—1.02 | -1.42—1.49 | -1.05—1.87 | -4.38—2.00 |
| 4 | 1.02—3.36 | 1.49—3.96 | 1.87—4.35 | 2.00—4.46 |
| 5 | 3.36—5.18 | 3.96—5.65 | 4.35—6.15 | 4.46—6.25 |
| 6 | 5.18—6.58 | 5.65—6.99 | 6.15—7.62 | 6.25—7.71 |
| 7 | 6.58—7.80 | 6.99—8.34 | 7.62—8.86 | 7.71—8.94 |
| 8 | 7.80—9.25 | 8.34—9.80 | 8.86—10.32 | 8.94—10.40 |
| 9 | 9.25—11.47 | 9.80—12.05 | 10.32—12.58 | 10.40—12.53 |
| 10 | 11.47—15.14 | 12.05—15.53 | 12.58—16.07 | 12.53—16.00 |
| Zone Code | FVC | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | |
| 1 | 0.326 | 0.318 | 0.315 | 0.305 |
| 2 | 0.788 | 0.790 | 0.793 | 0.803 |
| 3 | 0.804 | 0.817 | 0.818 | 0.854 |
| 4 | 0.663 | 0.678 | 0.684 | 0.757 |
| 5 | 0.508 | 0.523 | 0.538 | 0.644 |
| 6 | 0.418 | 0.427 | 0.439 | 0.541 |
| 7 | 0.327 | 0.340 | 0.351 | 0.444 |
| 8 | 0.408 | 0.430 | 0.450 | 0.557 |
| 9 | 0.644 | 0.654 | 0.685 | 0.796 |
| 10 | 0.742 | 0.746 | 0.762 | 0.836 |
| Zone Code | Soil Type | FVC | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | ||
| 1 | leached soil | 0.962 | 0.961 | 0.965 | 0.984 |
| 2 | semi-lateritic soil | 0.769 | 0.768 | 0.783 | 0.856 |
| 3 | caliche soil | 0.408 | 0.424 | 0.438 | 0.552 |
| 4 | arid soil | 0.148 | 0.151 | 0.160 | 0.222 |
| 5 | desert soil | 0.140 | 0.145 | 0.144 | 0.198 |
| 6 | incipient soil | 0.447 | 0.456 | 0.480 | 0.597 |
| 7 | semi-hydromorphic soil | 0.447 | 0.450 | 0.451 | 0.525 |
| 8 | hydromorphic soil | 0.396 | 0.389 | 0.404 | 0.504 |
| 9 | saline-alkali soil | 0.331 | 0.339 | 0.337 | 0.384 |
| 10 | anthropogenic soil | 0.430 | 0.440 | 0.437 | 0.472 |
| 11 | mountain soil | 0.693 | 0.700 | 0.701 | 0.721 |
| 12 | ferro-aluminum soil | 0.182 | 0.182 | 0.182 | 0.264 |
| 13 | rock | 0.335 | 0.335 | 0.339 | 0.381 |
| 14 | water body | 0.394 | 0.387 | 0.395 | 0.435 |
| 15 | other | 0.100 | 0.100 | 0.100 | 0.100 |
| Zone Code | Land Use Type | FVC | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | ||
| 1 | cultivated land | 0.533 | 0.543 | 0.564 | 0.663 |
| 2 | forest land | 0.933 | 0.929 | 0.935 | 0.963 |
| 3 | grassland | 0.366 | 0.371 | 0.382 | 0.486 |
| 4 | Water body | 0.224 | 0.211 | 0.231 | 0.271 |
| 5 | construction land | 0.487 | 0.474 | 0.476 | 0.535 |
| 6 | unused land | 0.126 | 0.116 | 0.109 | 0.122 |
| Interaction Factors | FVC | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | |
| Elevation ∩ Slope | ↑↑ | ↑↑ | ↑↑ | ↑↑ |
| Elevation ∩ Aspect | ↑↑ | ↑↑ | ↑↑ | ↑↑ |
| Elevation ∩ Temperature | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ |
| Elevation ∩ Precipitation | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ |
| Elevation ∩ Soil types | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ |
| Elevation ∩ Land use | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ | ↑↑ |
| Elevation ∩ Population density | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ | ↑↑ |
| Elevation ∩ GDP | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ |
| Slope ∩ Aspect | ↑↑ | ↑↑ | ↑↑ | ↑↑ |
| Slope ∩ Temperature | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ | ↑↑ |
| Slope ∩ Precipitation | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ |
| Slope ∩ Soil types | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ |
| Slope ∩ Land use | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ |
| Slope ∩ Population density | ↑↑ | ↑↑ | ↑↑ | ↑↑ |
| Slope ∩ GDP | ↑↑ | ↑↑ | ↑↑ | ↑↑ |
| Aspect ∩ Temperature | ↑↑ | ↑↑ | ↑↑ | ↑↑ |
| Aspect ∩ Precipitation | ↑↑ | ↑↑ | ↑↑ | ↑↑ |
| Aspect ∩ Soil types | ↑↑ | ↑↑ | ↑↑ | ↑↑ |
| Aspect ∩ Land use | ↑↑ | ↑↑ | ↑↑ | ↑↑ |
| Aspect ∩ Population density | ↑↑ | ↑↑ | ↑↑ | ↑↑ |
| Aspect ∩ GDP | ↑↑ | ↑↑ | ↑↑ | ↑↑ |
| Temperature ∩ Precipitation | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ |
| Temperature ∩ Soil types | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ |
| Temperature ∩ Land use | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ |
| Temperature ∩ Population density | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ | ↑↑ |
| Temperature ∩ GDP | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ | ↑↑ |
| Precipitation ∩ Soil types | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ |
| Precipitation ∩ Land use | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ |
| Precipitation ∩ Population density | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ | ↑↑ |
| Precipitation ∩ GDP | ↑ | ↑ | ↑↑ | ↑↑ |
| Soil types ∩ Land use | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ |
| Soil types ∩ Population density | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ | ↑↑ |
| Soil types ∩ GDP | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ |
| Land use ∩ Population density | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ |
| Land use ∩ GDP | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ | ↑↑ |
| Population density ∩ GDP | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ | ↑ |
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