3. Results and Discussion
The area under analysis was harvested in the period from 06/14/2024 to 06/21/2024.
The maps of the plots with their respective NDVI representations can be found in , , , and .
Figure 2.
NDVI evolution from 2023/07/31 to 2023/12/02.
Figure 2.
NDVI evolution from 2023/07/31 to 2023/12/02.
Figure 3.
NDVI evolution from 2023/12/18 to 2024/02/27.
Figure 3.
NDVI evolution from 2023/12/18 to 2024/02/27.
Figure 4.
NDVI evolution from 2024/03/01 to 2024/05/05.
Figure 4.
NDVI evolution from 2024/03/01 to 2024/05/05.
Figure 5.
NDVI evolution from 2024/05/12 to 2024/06/16.
Figure 5.
NDVI evolution from 2024/05/12 to 2024/06/16.
presents the NDVIs found using the images of the Planet constellation and after processing the images in QGIS.
Table 5.
Mean NDVI per plot.
Table 5.
Mean NDVI per plot.
| Date |
T01 |
T02 |
T03 |
T04 |
T05A |
T05B |
T05C |
T07 |
T08 |
| 06/30/2023 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| 07/31/2023 |
0.31 |
0.32 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
0.32 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
0.29 |
0.31 |
| 08/29/2023 |
0.37 |
0.40 |
0.38 |
0.36 |
0.37 |
0.36 |
0.36 |
0.36 |
0.38 |
| 09/16/2023 |
0.35 |
0.40 |
0.37 |
0.34 |
0.35 |
0.34 |
0.34 |
0.36 |
0.40 |
| 09/26/2023 |
0.41 |
0.47 |
0.44 |
0.40 |
0.42 |
0.41 |
0.40 |
0.43 |
0.48 |
| 10/04/2023 |
0.48 |
0.54 |
0.51 |
0.47 |
0.50 |
0.49 |
0.48 |
0.51 |
0.56 |
| 10/18/2023 |
0.53 |
0.59 |
0.57 |
0.52 |
0.56 |
0.54 |
0.53 |
0.56 |
0.61 |
| 11/02/2023 |
0.57 |
0.64 |
0.61 |
0.56 |
0.58 |
0.57 |
0.57 |
0.58 |
0.64 |
| 11/15/2023 |
0.51 |
0.58 |
0.56 |
0.48 |
0.48 |
0.47 |
0.47 |
0.49 |
0.55 |
| 12/02/2023 |
0.59 |
0.66 |
0.64 |
0.58 |
0.57 |
0.57 |
0.57 |
0.60 |
0.64 |
| 12/18/2023 |
0.71 |
0.79 |
0.77 |
0.71 |
0.71 |
0.70 |
0.69 |
0.74 |
0.77 |
| 12/25/2023 |
0.70 |
0.78 |
0.76 |
0.71 |
0.69 |
0.69 |
0.68 |
0.73 |
0.75 |
| 01/08/2024 |
0.81 |
0.86 |
0.85 |
0.82 |
0.82 |
0.81 |
0.81 |
0.84 |
0.85 |
| 01/19/2024 |
0.81 |
0.84 |
0.84 |
0.82 |
0.82 |
0.82 |
0.81 |
0.83 |
0.83 |
| 01/26/2024 |
0.82 |
0.86 |
0.86 |
0.84 |
0.83 |
0.82 |
0.83 |
0.86 |
0.86 |
| 01/31/2024 |
0.80 |
0.84 |
0.83 |
0.82 |
0.81 |
0.82 |
0.81 |
0.83 |
0.83 |
| 02/04/2024 |
0.84 |
0.87 |
0.86 |
0.85 |
0.85 |
0.85 |
0.85 |
0.87 |
0.87 |
| 02/18/2024 |
0.75 |
0.78 |
0.77 |
0.73 |
0.74 |
0.73 |
0.71 |
0.77 |
0.78 |
| 03/01/2024 |
0.78 |
0.80 |
0.78 |
0.78 |
0.77 |
0.77 |
0.76 |
0.79 |
0.80 |
| 03/11/2024 |
0.80 |
0.81 |
0.80 |
0.81 |
0.80 |
0.80 |
0.79 |
0.81 |
0.81 |
| 03/18/2024 |
0.85 |
0.85 |
0.84 |
0.85 |
0.84 |
0.85 |
0.85 |
0.85 |
0.85 |
| 03/31/2024 |
0.82 |
0.83 |
0.82 |
0.83 |
0.83 |
0.83 |
0.83 |
0.82 |
0.82 |
| 04/07/2024 |
0.82 |
0.82 |
0.82 |
0.83 |
0.82 |
0.83 |
0.82 |
0.82 |
0.82 |
| 04/14/2024 |
0.79 |
0.79 |
0.78 |
0.78 |
0.78 |
0.79 |
0.78 |
0.80 |
0.79 |
| 04/21/2024 |
0.81 |
0.80 |
0.80 |
0.81 |
0.80 |
0.81 |
0.80 |
0.80 |
0.80 |
| 04/28/2024 |
0.83 |
0.83 |
0.83 |
0.83 |
0.83 |
0.83 |
0.83 |
0.82 |
0.81 |
| 05/05/2024 |
0.82 |
0.82 |
0.81 |
0.81 |
0.80 |
0.81 |
0.80 |
0.81 |
0.80 |
| 05/12/2024 |
0.81 |
0.81 |
0.81 |
0.80 |
0.78 |
0.79 |
0.78 |
0.78 |
0.79 |
| 05/20/2024 |
0.81 |
0.81 |
0.81 |
0.80 |
0.79 |
0.79 |
0.78 |
0.75 |
0.76 |
| 05/28/2024 |
0.76 |
0.77 |
0.77 |
0.74 |
0.74 |
0.74 |
0.73 |
0.70 |
0.71 |
| 06/05/2024 |
0.76 |
0.75 |
0.75 |
0.74 |
0.73 |
0.74 |
0.73 |
0.70 |
0.70 |
| 06/13/2024 |
0.75 |
0.73 |
0.73 |
0.73 |
0.72 |
0.73 |
0.72 |
0.68 |
0.68 |
Using the Real Statistic tool, it was possible to obtain the second-order polynomial regression curves - - as well as the values of R2 and coefficients a, b, and c - .
Figure 6.
NDVI dispersion and second-order polynomial regression.
Figure 6.
NDVI dispersion and second-order polynomial regression.
Table 6.
Pearson’s coefficient of determination (R2) and coefficients a, b, and c for second-order polynomial regression curves.
Table 6.
Pearson’s coefficient of determination (R2) and coefficients a, b, and c for second-order polynomial regression curves.
| Parameter |
T01 |
T02 |
T03 |
T04 |
T05A |
T05B |
T05C |
T07 |
T08 |
| R2
|
0.946 |
0.959 |
0.952 |
0.927 |
0.924 |
0.929 |
0.921 |
0.927 |
0.950 |
| a |
-0.00001067 |
-0.00001235 |
-0.00001190 |
-0.00001146 |
-0.00001141 |
-0.00001118 |
-0.00001111 |
-0.00001321 |
-0.00001348 |
| b |
0.00580970 |
0.00629514 |
0.00618118 |
0.00609320 |
0.00599155 |
0.00596708 |
0.00591800 |
0.00660758 |
0.00659663 |
| c |
0.01928293 |
0.03672080 |
0.02491970 |
-0.00136835 |
0.01625712 |
0.00844668 |
0.00817122 |
-0.01279157 |
0.02008156 |
The values of R2 observed in indicate that in the worst scenario (T05C), 92.1% of the variability of the dependent variable is explained by the model, while the remaining 7.9% is due to other variables not included in the model or to random error. This being said, progress was made in the stages of integration of the equations obtained and VAI.
presents the VAI values for the total period of plant development, which goes from June 30, 2023 to May 28, 2024, and for the post-treatment period of the tested product, from February 5, 2024 to May 28, 2024.
Table 7.
Vegetation Activity Index (VAI).
Table 7.
Vegetation Activity Index (VAI).
| Plot |
Condition |
VAI 06/30/2023 to 05/28/2024 |
VAI 02/05/2024 to 05/28/2024 |
| T01 |
Treated |
210.12 |
103.15 |
| T02 |
Treated |
221.91 |
105.33 |
| T03 |
Treated |
217.21 |
104.39 |
| T04 |
Treated |
208.92 |
102.45 |
| T05A |
Control |
209.54 |
101.48 |
| T05B |
Control |
208.72 |
102.13 |
| T05C |
Control |
206.56 |
100.98 |
| T07 |
Control |
211.48 |
101.27 |
| T08 |
Control |
218.39 |
102.19 |
From , the normality test was performed using the Shapiro-Wilk test - - and QQ plot for the Treated and Control groups, considering the total period - - and the post-treatment period - .
Table 8.
Shapiro-Wilk Test for VAI for total and post-treatment period.
Table 8.
Shapiro-Wilk Test for VAI for total and post-treatment period.
| |
Total period |
Post-treatment period |
| |
Treated |
Control |
Treated |
Control |
| W-stat |
0.91 |
0.89 |
0.97 |
0.90 |
| p-value |
0.48 |
0.35 |
0.84 |
0.42 |
| Alpha |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
| Normal |
yes |
yes |
yes |
yes |
Evaluating the total period for both groups, the W-stat values (0.91 and 0.89) suggest that the data are close to a normal distribution. The p-values (0.48 for Treated and 0.35 for Control) are both higher than the 0.05significance level. The data of both groups are normally distributed.
The W-stat values (0.97 and 0.90) for the post-treatment period suggest that the data are close to a normal distribution. The p-values (0.84 for Treated and 0.42 for Control) are both higher than the 0.05 significance level. We conclude that the data of both groups are normally distributed.
Figure 7.
VAI QQ plot for total period for Treated group (A) and Control group (B).
Figure 7.
VAI QQ plot for total period for Treated group (A) and Control group (B).
The analysis of indicates that the QQ plot of both Treated and Control groups follows a distribution that approximates a normal one. This is consistent with the results of the Shapiro-Wilk Test, which also suggest normality of the data.
Figure 8.
VAI QQ plot for post-treatment period for Treated group (A) and Control group (B).
Figure 8.
VAI QQ plot for post-treatment period for Treated group (A) and Control group (B).
The analysis of indicates that the QQ plot of both Treated and Control groups follows a distribution that approximates a normal one. This is consistent with the results of the Shapiro-Wilk Test, which also suggest normality of the data.
Validating the normality of the data and using the data presented in , the t-test was performed in two samples assuming equivalent variances -.
Table 9.
VAI t-test: two samples assuming equivalent variances for total period.
Table 9.
VAI t-test: two samples assuming equivalent variances for total period.
| |
Total period |
Post-treatment period |
| |
Treated |
Control |
Treated |
Control |
| Mean |
214.54 |
210.94 |
103.83 |
101.61 |
| Variance |
37.522 |
20.467 |
1.643 |
0.284 |
| Observations |
4 |
5 |
4 |
5 |
| Clustered variance |
27.776 |
|
0.867 |
|
| Mean difference hypothesis |
0.000 |
|
0.000 |
|
| gl |
7.000 |
|
7.000 |
|
| Stat t |
1.019 |
|
3.555 |
|
| P(T<=t) one-tailed |
0.171 |
|
0.005 |
|
| critical t one-tailed |
1.895 |
|
1.895 |
|
| P(T<=t) two-tailed |
0.342 |
|
0.009 |
|
| critical t two-tailed |
2.365 |
|
2.365 |
|
Evaluating the total period, the results of the t-test for two samples, assuming equivalent variances, show that the mean of the Treated group (214.54) is higher than the mean of the Control group (210.938). The variance of the data in the Treated group is higher (37.522) compared to the Control group (20.467), indicating greater dispersion in the Treated group.
The calculated t-statistic is 1.019. The p-value for the one-tailed test is 0.171, and for the two-tailed test is 0.342, both higher than the 0.05 significance level. Therefore, no statistically significant difference was found between the means of the two samples, with 95% confidence.
For the post-treatment period, the results of the t-test for two samples, assuming equivalent variances, show that the mean of the Treated group (103.83) is higher than the mean of the Control group (101.61). The variance of the data in the Treated group is higher (1.643) compared to the Control group (0.284), indicating greater dispersion in the Treated group. The VAI for the Treated group was 2.18% higher than that of the Control group, a result below those found by Chen et al. (2021) and Raju et al. (2022).
The calculated t-statistic is 3.5549. The p-value for the one-tailed test is 0.0046, and for the two-tailed test is 0.0093, both lower than the 0.05 significance level. This leads us to reject the null hypothesis that there is no difference between the means of the groups. Therefore, we conclude that the mean of the Treated group is significantly higher than that of the Control group, with 95% confidence.
After the plots were harvested, the data found were presented in .
Table 10.
Post-harvest results from the area under study.
Table 10.
Post-harvest results from the area under study.
| Plots |
Area |
SCTH |
Production |
F |
Pza |
PCC |
RS |
SRS |
TRS |
STH |
| Treated |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 01 |
34.06 |
94.73 |
3.226,50 |
11.92 |
86.33 |
13.83 |
0.58 |
15.14 |
138.53 |
13.12 |
| 02 |
15.20 |
106.36 |
1.616,67 |
12.29 |
85.91 |
13.54 |
0.58 |
14.83 |
135.69 |
14.43 |
| 03 |
17.72 |
103.12 |
1.827,29 |
11.57 |
89.76 |
13.88 |
0.48 |
15.09 |
138.07 |
14.24 |
| 04 |
26.41 |
90.46 |
2.389,05 |
12.00 |
87.29 |
14.41 |
0.55 |
15.72 |
143.84 |
13.01 |
| Total treated |
93.39 |
97.01 |
9.059,51 |
11.94 |
87.20 |
13.94 |
0.55 |
15.23 |
139.35 |
13.52 |
| Control |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 05th |
6.00 |
94.92 |
569.52 |
12.25 |
86.65 |
14.47 |
0.56 |
15.79 |
144.48 |
13.71 |
| 05B |
3.05 |
95.52 |
291.34 |
12.33 |
87.21 |
14.57 |
0.56 |
15.90 |
145.49 |
13.90 |
| 05C |
4.74 |
94.45 |
447.69 |
12.19 |
86.23 |
14.40 |
0.56 |
15.72 |
143.84 |
13.59 |
| 07 |
28.87 |
94.78 |
2.736,30 |
12.16 |
85.10 |
13.12 |
0.61 |
14.42 |
131.94 |
12.51 |
| 08 |
33.96 |
102.15 |
3.469,01 |
12.13 |
86.67 |
12.94 |
0.56 |
14.18 |
129.75 |
13.25 |
| Total control |
76.62 |
98.07 |
7.513,86 |
12.16 |
86.09 |
13.27 |
0.58 |
14.55 |
133.13 |
13.06 |
It is assumed that the amino acid L-alpha acts in the metabolism of plants, contributing to various physiological processes that affect growth and development, especially in protein synthesis and stress response. Under stress conditions, plants treated with L-alpha tend to maintain or improve the quality of sugars, even though productivity in terms of biomass may be affected.
Thus, it was decided to evaluate its impact on sugarcane by a comprehensive indicator such as STH (sugar tons per hectare). This indicator captures not only productivity in terms of SCTH (sugarcane tons per hectare), but also sugarcane quality in terms of sugar content (TRS - total recoverable sugars), providing a more comprehensive view of plant performance under the influence of the amino acid L-alpha.
From , the normality test was performed using the Shapiro-Wilk Test - - and QQ plot for Treated and Control groups - .
Table 11.
Shapiro-Wilk Test for post-harvest STH.
Table 11.
Shapiro-Wilk Test for post-harvest STH.
| |
Treated |
Control |
| W-stat |
0.83 |
0.89 |
| p-value |
0.16 |
0.37 |
| alpha |
0.05 |
0.05 |
| normal |
yes |
yes |
For both groups, the W-stat values (0.83 and 0.89) suggest that the data are close to a normal distribution. The p-values (0.16 for Treated and 0.37 for Control) are both higher than the 0.05 significance level. The data of both groups are normally distributed.
Figure 9.
STH QQ plot for post-treatment period for Treated group (A) and Control group (B).
Figure 9.
STH QQ plot for post-treatment period for Treated group (A) and Control group (B).
The analysis of indicates that the QQ plot of both Treated and Control groups follows a distribution that approximates a normal one. This is consistent with the results of the Shapiro-Wilk Test, which also suggest normality of the data.
As there is normality in STH for both Treated and Control group, the two-sample t-test was performed assuming equivalent variances for the assessment of STH in both groups - .
Table 12.
STH t-test: two samples assuming equivalent variances for post-harvest period.
Table 12.
STH t-test: two samples assuming equivalent variances for post-harvest period.
| |
Treated |
Control |
| Mean |
13.70 |
13.39 |
| Variance |
0.552 |
0.299 |
| Observations |
4 |
5 |
| Clustered variance |
0.407 |
|
| Mean difference hypothesis |
0.000 |
|
| gl |
7.000 |
|
| Stat t |
0.724 |
|
| P(T<=t) one-tailed |
0.246 |
|
| critical t one-tailed |
1.895 |
|
| P(T<=t) two-tailed |
0.492 |
|
| critical t two-tailed |
2.365 |
|
The results of the t-test for two samples, assuming equivalent variances, presented in , show that the mean of the Treated group (13.70) is higher than the mean of the Control group (13.29). The variance of the data in the Treated group is higher (0.552) compared to the Control group (0.298), indicating greater dispersion in the Treated group.
The calculated t-statistic is 0.724. The p-value for the one-tailed test is 0.246, and for the two-tailed test is 0.492, both higher than the 0.05 significance level. Therefore, no statistically significant difference was found between the means of the two samples, with 95% confidence. Comparing the means, there is a gain of 2.32% in STH, a value below that observed by Chen et al. (2021), who showed gains from 3.33 to 9.23% in productivity and 5.00% increase in sucrose, and Jacomassi et al. (2022), who found an increase in sugars per hectare of 3.4 kg Mg-1.
The final stage of the statistical analysis was the verification of the correlation between the variables post-harvest VAI and STH. The results obtained are presented in .
Table 13.
Pearson’s correlation between VAI and STH for the Treated and Control groups.
Table 13.
Pearson’s correlation between VAI and STH for the Treated and Control groups.
| |
Treated |
Control |
| Alpha |
0.050 |
0.050 |
| Tails |
2 |
2.0 |
| |
|
|
| corr |
0.966 |
0.274 |
| std err |
0.182 |
0.555 |
| t |
5.325 |
0.494 |
| p-value |
0.034 |
0.655 |
| lower |
0.186 |
-1.493 |
| upper |
1.747 |
2.041 |
For the Treated group, the coefficient of correlation (r) was 0.966, indicating a very strong positive correlation between VAI and STH. The p-value of 0.034 is less than 0.05, which suggests that the observed correlation is statistically significant. The 95% confidence interval for the coefficient of correlation is between 0.186 and 1.747, which indicates a high probability that the true value of the coefficient of correlation is within this range.
For the Control group, the coefficient of correlation (r) was 0.274, indicating a milder positive correlation between VAI and STH. The p-value of 0.655 is greater than 0.05, indicating that the observed correlation is not statistically significant, with a 95% confidence level. The wide confidence interval (-1.493 to 2.041) suggests considerable uncertainty regarding the true value of the coefficient of correlation in this area, indicating that the correlation may vary substantially.
The return on investment assessment is presented in from the parameters established for agroindustrial modeling - - and the post-harvest results of the area under study - .
Table 14.
Economic feasibility analysis.
Table 14.
Economic feasibility analysis.
| Variables |
Control |
Treatment |
Difference |
| |
|
|
|
| SCTH |
98.07 |
97.01 |
-1.06 |
| CHar |
11.17 |
11.29 |
0.12 |
| CTrac |
11.09 |
11.12 |
0.03 |
| CTransp |
16.18 |
16.18 |
0.00 |
| CTT |
3.769,05 |
3.743,51 |
-25.53 |
| CProc |
2.770,38 |
2.740,46 |
-29.93 |
| CTrat |
|
165.00 |
165.00 |
| CTot |
6.539,43 |
6.648,97 |
109.54 |
| |
|
|
|
| F |
12.16 |
11.94 |
-0.22 |
| Pza |
86.09 |
87.20 |
1.11 |
| PCC |
13.27 |
13.94 |
0.67 |
| RS |
0.58 |
0.55 |
-0.03 |
| SRS |
14.55 |
15.23 |
0.68 |
| TRS |
133.13 |
139.35 |
6.22 |
| STH |
13.06 |
13.52 |
0.46 |
| |
|
|
|
| R_SJM |
88.47 |
89.48 |
1.01 |
| Sugar |
108.34 |
113.87 |
5.52 |
| Ethanol |
4.339,45 |
4.439,05 |
99.61 |
| AEC |
1.860,95 |
1.903,66 |
42.72 |
| HEC |
2.606,12 |
2.665,94 |
59.82 |
| Energy |
6.57 |
6.50 |
-0.07 |
| GR |
26.814,74 |
27.816,77 |
1.002,03 |
| NR |
20.275,31 |
21.167,80 |
892.49 |
| ROI |
|
|
541% |
The ROI obtained indicates that for each monetary unit invested, 5.41 units will be returned, indicating the high profitability of the treatment.