Version 1
: Received: 2 April 2024 / Approved: 2 April 2024 / Online: 3 April 2024 (09:30:21 CEST)
How to cite:
Chen, S.; Bai, X.; Ye, J.; Chen, W.; Xu, G. Prediction of Suitable Habitat of Alien Invasive Plant Ambrosia trifida in Northeast China under Various Climatic Scenarios. Preprints2024, 2024040236. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202404.0236.v1
Chen, S.; Bai, X.; Ye, J.; Chen, W.; Xu, G. Prediction of Suitable Habitat of Alien Invasive Plant Ambrosia trifida in Northeast China under Various Climatic Scenarios. Preprints 2024, 2024040236. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202404.0236.v1
Chen, S.; Bai, X.; Ye, J.; Chen, W.; Xu, G. Prediction of Suitable Habitat of Alien Invasive Plant Ambrosia trifida in Northeast China under Various Climatic Scenarios. Preprints2024, 2024040236. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202404.0236.v1
APA Style
Chen, S., Bai, X., Ye, J., Chen, W., & Xu, G. (2024). Prediction of Suitable Habitat of Alien Invasive Plant Ambrosia trifida in Northeast China under Various Climatic Scenarios. Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202404.0236.v1
Chicago/Turabian Style
Chen, S., Weiwei Chen and Guanghao Xu. 2024 "Prediction of Suitable Habitat of Alien Invasive Plant Ambrosia trifida in Northeast China under Various Climatic Scenarios" Preprints. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202404.0236.v1
Abstract
Ambrosia trifida is a kind of malignant invasive plant, which has very high reproductive and en-vironmental adaptability. Through strong resource acquisition ability and allelopathy, it could inhibit the growth and reproduction of surrounding plants, destroy the stability of an invasive ecosystem. It is very important to predict the change of suitable distribution area of Ambrosia trifida with climate change before implementing scientific control measures. Based on 106 Ambrosia trifida distribution data and 14 environmental data, the optimal parameter combination (RM = 0.1, FC = LQ) was obtained by using the MaxEnt model optimized by Kuenm package, the potential suit-able areas of Ambrosia trifida in Northeast China under three different climate scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP8.5) with different emission intensities in the future (2050,2070) were predicted. The changes of Ambrosia trifida suitable area in Northeast China under three climate scenarios were compared, and the relationship between the change of suitable area and emission intensity was analyzed. In general, the suitable area of Ambrosia trifida in Northeast China will expand gradually in the future, and the area of its highly suitable area will also increase with the increasing emission intensity, which is unfavorable to the control of Ambrosia trifida.
Copyright:
This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
