Preprint Article Version 2 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Modeling Volcanic Ash and Analysis of the SO2 Plume Emitted from the 2022 Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai Volcanic Eruption

Version 1 : Received: 6 February 2024 / Approved: 6 February 2024 / Online: 6 February 2024 (17:12:02 CET)
Version 2 : Received: 29 February 2024 / Approved: 29 February 2024 / Online: 5 March 2024 (15:03:00 CET)

How to cite: Snoun, H.; Arif, A.; Chérif, H. Modeling Volcanic Ash and Analysis of the SO2 Plume Emitted from the 2022 Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai Volcanic Eruption. Preprints 2024, 2024020384. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202402.0384.v2 Snoun, H.; Arif, A.; Chérif, H. Modeling Volcanic Ash and Analysis of the SO2 Plume Emitted from the 2022 Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai Volcanic Eruption. Preprints 2024, 2024020384. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202402.0384.v2

Abstract

Since late December, the underwater Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai volcano has been erupting for weeks and has seen sporadic activities in a series of pretty big eruptions. On Friday 15th January 2022, an explosion shot a massive cloud of ash high into the atmosphere and generated a tsunami that impacted much of the Pacific Rim, which makes it one of the most energetic explosions of the entire 21st century so far. Thus, the need to determine the significant impact of these generated volcanic aerosols on the environment is a prominent task. This study depicts the modeling of the volcanic ash dispersion from the 2022 Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai volcanic eruption while investigating the effects of incorporating radiative feedback effects within the inline Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with chemistry (WRF-Chem). Results for 4-day averaged values have proven that the basic run (No Feedback) produced higher ash concentrations than the one with aerosol radiative feedback effects (Feedback). The simulations highlighted also the significant volcanic ash biases concentrated around the ash cloud. Additionally, our data analysis from meteorological stations and Copernicus TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument Sentinel-5 Precursor (TROPOMI-S5P) mission indicates that total sulfur dioxide () emissions traveled west. We show also that the huge plume of on January 18 reached Australia, more than 7000 km west of the eruption. With the enormous ash cloud produced, its impact on the environment and global climate change would be considered an excellent exercise for atmospheric dispersion modelers, volcanologists, and the environmental scientists' community.

Keywords

Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai volcano; WRF-Chem; Aerosol radiative feedback effect;

Subject

Environmental and Earth Sciences, Atmospheric Science and Meteorology

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