Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Global Potential Distribution of Invasive Species Pseudococcus viburni (Signoret) under Climate Change

Version 1 : Received: 18 January 2024 / Approved: 18 January 2024 / Online: 18 January 2024 (16:49:25 CET)

A peer-reviewed article of this Preprint also exists.

Wei, J.; Niu, M.; Zhang, H.; Cai, B.; Ji, W. Global Potential Distribution of Invasive Species Pseudococcus viburni (Hemiptera: Pseudococcidae) under Climate Change. Insects 2024, 15, 195. Wei, J.; Niu, M.; Zhang, H.; Cai, B.; Ji, W. Global Potential Distribution of Invasive Species Pseudococcus viburni (Hemiptera: Pseudococcidae) under Climate Change. Insects 2024, 15, 195.

Abstract

In the recent past, the number of invasive species around the world has increased significantly due to increased globalization and climate change. Understanding biological invasions under climate change is crucial for sustainable conservation of biodiversity. The insect pest Pseudococcus viburni (Signoret) can cause damages to plants, resulting in leaf yellowing, leaf defoliation, and reduced plant growth. A serious attack by this insect post can even lead to the entire plant withering and dying, bringing huge economic and ecological losses. Despite these damages, the potential distribution range and management strategies for this insect pest are poorly understood. Based on historical distribution data and environmental factors, the present study predicted the potentially suitable areas for P. viburni spread under different climate change scenarios using MaxEnt (maximum entropy). The results showed that precipitation of the coldest quarter (Bio19), precipitation seasonality (Bio15), and mean temperature of the wettest quarter (Bio8) were the most important environmental factors determining the distribution of P. viburni. Under the current climate conditions, its potential suitable areas are southern China, the whole of Japan, North America (especially the eastern part of the United States), the southwestern part of South America, the Mediterranean coast and most of Europe, the central part of Africa i.e., the south of the Sahara Desert and most of the southern coast of Australia. The total area of habitats suitable for this insect pest is predicted to be increased in the future. In order to prevent P. viburni transmission and spread, there is a need to strengthen the monitoring and quarantine measures against this pest at the Southern ports.

Keywords

MaxEnt; P. viburni; climate change; environmental variables; invasive species

Subject

Biology and Life Sciences, Insect Science

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