Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Multifractal Aspects of Earth's Climate History

Version 1 : Received: 11 January 2024 / Approved: 11 January 2024 / Online: 12 January 2024 (09:58:08 CET)

How to cite: Agterberg, F. Multifractal Aspects of Earth's Climate History. Preprints 2024, 2024010971. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202401.0971.v1 Agterberg, F. Multifractal Aspects of Earth's Climate History. Preprints 2024, 2024010971. https://doi.org/10.20944/preprints202401.0971.v1

Abstract

Abstract: Earth’s Phanerozoic history is marked by about 100 major events (“golden spikes”) indicating the beginnings of new stages in the Geologic Time Scale (GTS). Stage boundaries signify major deterministic events that are relatively well-known and can be correlated worldwide, mostly on the basis of appearances or disappearances of fossil species. The latest stage (Anthropocene) is human-made and currently involves rapid (approximately linear) increase in average atmospheric temperature. The main cause of Earth’s past and current temperature increases is addition of CO2 to the atmosphere. There is continuous exchange of greenhouse gases between atmosphere and oceans, which (per unit of volume) contain 50 to 60 times as much CO2 as the atmosphere. Abundance of new very precise worldwide observations is allowing multifractal modeling of weather and climate during the latest Quaternary stages during which some variables like temperature of the atmosphere and frequency of forest fires can be described by using the Pareto-lognormal frequency distribution model with parameters that are subject to continuous (deterministic) changes, similar to those in the earlier Phanerozoic.

Keywords

Multifractals; Earth’s climate history; hottest and coldest days; Pareto-lognormal frequency distribution; Anthropocene; Devonian

Subject

Environmental and Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Geology

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