Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Land Use and Cover Changes and the Occurrence of Dengue Fever in Minas Gerais State, Brazil: Governing Deforestation for Public Health

Version 1 : Received: 27 December 2023 / Approved: 28 December 2023 / Online: 29 December 2023 (10:13:39 CET)

A peer-reviewed article of this Preprint also exists.

Andrade, A.C.; Falcão, L.A.D.; Borges, M.A.Z.; Leite, M.E.; Espírito Santo, M.M. Are Land Use and Cover Changes and Socioeconomic Factors Associated with the Occurrence of Dengue Fever? A Case Study in Minas Gerais State, Brazil. Resources 2024, 13, 38. Andrade, A.C.; Falcão, L.A.D.; Borges, M.A.Z.; Leite, M.E.; Espírito Santo, M.M. Are Land Use and Cover Changes and Socioeconomic Factors Associated with the Occurrence of Dengue Fever? A Case Study in Minas Gerais State, Brazil. Resources 2024, 13, 38.

Abstract

Several studies have already demonstrated the relationship between the loss of natural habitats and the incidence of diseases caused by vectors, such as dengue, which is an acute fever disease, considered a serious public health problem. The aim of the present study was to analyze the relationship between land use changes between 2009 and 2019 and the occurrence of dengue fever in 2015 and 2019 by municipality, using the state of Minas Gerais as a case study. For this, secondary data obtained from openly available sources were used. Natural vegetation cover data were obtained from the MAPBiomas platform and dengue occurrence data from the Ministry of Health, in addition to socioeconomic indicators from the Brazilian Institute for Geography and Statistics. Between 2015 and 2019, 1,255,731 cases of dengue were recorded throughout the state of Minas Gerais, ranging from 0 to 227 per thousand inhabitants between municipalities. The occurrence of dengue was distributed throughout all regions of Minas Gerais, affected by climatic and socioeconomic aspects. In general, municipalities with net loss of natural vegetation, predominantly located in the Cerrado biome, had the highest number of dengue cases in the studied period. Despite the significant positive relationship between these two variables, three of the eight socioeconomic parameters analyzed also affected the occurrence of dengue: population density, human development index (both positively) and Gini inequality index (negatively). These results indicate that, contrary to expectations, municipalities with better social conditions had more dengue cases. Our study indicates that natural vegetation is, directly or indirectly, involved in the ecosystem service of dengue control, despite the occurrence of this disease being affected by multiple factors that interact in a complex way. Thus, policies towards reducing deforestation must be complemented by a continuous investment in public health policies and reduction of social inequalities to efficiently control dengue fever.

Keywords

vector-borne diseases; deforestation; ecosystem services; public health; epidemiology; disease control.

Subject

Environmental and Earth Sciences, Environmental Science

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