Submitted:
12 September 2023
Posted:
13 September 2023
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Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
1.1. Research Background
1.2. The Literature Review
1.3. Research Aims
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Life Cycle Assessment Method and System Boundary
2.2. Life Cycle Inventory and Functional Unit
2.3. Life Cycle Impact Assessment Method
2.4. Empirical Method for the Development of an Environmental Reliability Model
2.5. Theoretical Method for the Development of a Complex Decision-Support Model
3. Results
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| ADPE | Abiotic Depletion Potential for Elements |
| ADPF | Abiotic Depletion Potential for fossils |
| AP ASHP |
Acidification Potential Air Source Heat Pump |
| CE CGB EAHX |
Circular Economy Condensing Gas Boiler Earth-to-Air Heat Pump |
| EGD | European Green Deal |
| EP | Eutrophication Potential |
| EU FAETP GSHP |
European Union Freshwater Aquatic Ecotoxicity Potential Groubd Source Heat Pump |
| GWP | Global Warming Potential |
| HTP HVAC |
Human Toxicity Potential Heating, Ventilation and Air Condition |
| LCA | Life Cycle Assessment |
| LCI | Life Cycle Inventory |
| LCIA MAETP |
Life Cycle Impact Assessment Marine Aquatic Ecotoxicity Potential |
| POCP | Photochemical Ozone Creation Potential |
| SDGs TETP WSHP |
Sustainable Development Goals Terrestric Ecotoxicity Potential Water Source Heat Pump |
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| Flow type | Process flow name | Plan flow name | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| System 1 | |||
| Input | Primary energy from geothermics (renewable energy) |
Electricity from geothermal (European Union) |
75.2 MJ 20.9 kWh |
| Output | Thermal energy from heating (thermal energy) |
Product heat energy | 75.2 MJ |
| System 2 | |||
| Input | Natural gas (at consumer Hungary) |
Natural gas mix (Hungary) |
8.8 kg 412 MJ 114,4 kWh |
| Input | Electricity (electric power) | Electricity grid mix (production mix, Hungary) |
7.92 MJ 2.2 kWh |
| Output | Thermal energy from heating (thermal energy) |
Product heat energy | 419.92 MJ |
| System 3 | |||
| Input | Natural gas (at consumer Hungary) |
Natural gas mix (Hungary) |
4.82 kg 226 MJ 62.7 kWh |
| Input | Primary energy from geothermics (renewable energy) |
Electricity from geothermal (European Union) |
11.9 MJ 3.3 kWh |
| Output | Thermal energy from heating (thermal energy) |
Product heat energy | 237.9 MJ |
| Input names | Background of system inputs |
|---|---|
| Natural gas | The LCI dataset covers the entire natural gas supply chain. This includes drilling, natural gas production, processing, and transportation via pipelines. The main technologies in Hungary include conventional (primary, secondary, and tertiary) and unconventional production (shale gas, tight gas, coal seam gas). These technologies encompass various parameters such as energy consumption, transport distances, and gas processing technologies. Pipeline transportation between the gas field and the coast is being considered. Hungarian natural gas consumption consists of a combination of domestically produced natural gas and imported natural gas from the respective producing countries. An average regional distribution (via pipelines) is estimated for the total supply of natural gas, including domestic production and imports. The inventory is primarily based on secondary data. |
| Electricity | Electricity is modelled according to the specific circumstances of the European Union. The modelling of the electricity mix includes accounting for transmission and distribution losses, as well as self-consumption by energy producers, such as power plants and other sources like pumped storage power plants. It also takes into consideration imported electricity. Secondly, the national emission and efficiency standards of power plants are modelled, as well as the proportion of electricity plants and combined heat and power (CHP) plants. Thirdly, the analysis considers the supply of specific energy carriers, considering both imported and domestically produced energy sources. This includes examining the properties of the energy carriers, such as their composition and energy content. The exploration, extraction, production, processing, and transport processes of the energy carrier supply chains are modelled according to the EU situation. |
| Geothermal energy | The product system uses renewable energy-related primary energy demand; for 1 MJ of electricity from geothermal power, 1.98 MJ of primary geothermal power is used. |
| Energy carriers and refinery products | The energy carriers are modelled based on the specific supply situation (refer to the electricity section above). A parameterized refinery model simulates diesel fuel, gasoline, technical gases, fuel oils, lubricants, and residues, such as bitumen, with specific models for each country. The refinery model represents the current national standard in refining techniques, including emission levels, internal energy consumption, and other factors. It also takes into consideration the specific product output spectrum of each country, which can vary from one country to another. The supply of crude oil is modelled based on the specific situation of each country and the properties of the available resources. |
| Name of parameters | |
|---|---|
| Economic aspects | Productivity |
| Delivery, installation, operation, and maintenance costs | |
| Energy costs, decommissioning costs during replacement, operational and life-cycle costs | |
| The management cost of system units that have become waste | |
| Method and safety of energy supply, type of energy, type of used fuel | |
| Rate and unit price of energy and water consumption | |
| Primary energy saving, energy transmission loss | |
| Power generation method, utilization of generated heat | |
| The life cycle of thermal engineering units, downtime, amortization | |
| Property, work and fire protection, safety technology | |
| Building value, financing options, and innovation | |
| Environmental aspects | Reduction of energy and material resources |
| Lifetime and life cycle of the building | |
| Emissions, carbon footprint, environmental impact categories, and reduction | |
| Primary energy savings | |
| Inspection and control of heat engineering units and utilities | |
| Indoor air quality, thermal comfort | |
| Environmental building assessment system, building environmental performance | |
| Environmental impact of installation, use, and end-of-life stages | |
| Use of low-carbon, renewable technologies | |
| Polluting substances, type of waste, amount, and treatment method | |
| Energetic aspects | Method of energy supply and heating system |
| Energy/primary energy consumption and savings | |
| Percentage of use of renewable and fossil energy sources | |
| Building technical systems, system design | |
| Building energy requirements | |
| Energy efficiency and its improvement, energy efficiency measures, and certificates | |
| Energy transmission loss | |
| Peak winter heating performance and reduction | |
| Off-peak heating performance and its increase | |
| Application of storage tanks and temperature control | |
| Reduction of the mass flow of primary district heating water | |
| Utilization and recovery rate of heat generated during electricity and energy production | |
| Energy and waste heat utilization technology from the treatment of units that have become waste | |
| Type and efficiency of thermal energy storage techniques | |
| Building energy performance | |
| Building qualification and certification system |
| Environmental impact quantities (CML 2016) |
System 1 (electric heat pump) |
System 2 (gas boiler) |
System 3 (absorption heat pump) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abiotic Depletion ADP fossils | 0.09 | 88.20 | 47.4 |
| Acidification Potential AP | 62.90 | 2.41 | 11.0 |
| Eutrophication Potential EP | 0.01 | 0.516 | 0.24 |
| Global Warming Pot. GWP 100 years | 2.28 | 9.0 | 4.55 |
| Human Toxicity Potential HTP inf. | 0.46 | 6.38 | 3.32 |
| Marine A. Ecotox. Pot. MAETP inf. | 0.47 | 28.9 | 5.54 |
| Photochem. Ozone Creat. Pot. POCP | 0.02 | 5.11 | 2.57 |
| Terrestric Ecotoxicity Pot. TETP inf. | 0.02 | 3.36 | 1.80 |
| Environmental impact quantities (ReCiPe 2016) |
System 1 | System 2 | System 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Climate change human health (default) | 0.0508 | 0.216 | 0.11 |
| Fossil depletion | 0.00423 | 3.6 | 1.95 |
| Human toxicity (cancer) | 0.0148 | 0.0159 | 0.0813 |
|
Environmental impact quantities (EF 3.0) |
System 1 | System 2 | System 3 |
| Climate change - total | 0.00352 | 0.0151 | 0.00767 |
| Land Use | 1.92E-006 | 6.67E-006 | 5.56E-006 |
| Particulate matter | 3.88E-005 | 1200E-005 | 585E-005 |
| Water use | 482E-005 | 3.09E-005 | 76.8E-005 |
| Primary energy quantities | System 1 | System 2 | System 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Primary energy demand from ren. and non-ren. resources (gross cal. value) | 341 | 552 | 343 |
| Primary energy demand from ren. and non-ren. resources (net cal. value) | 341 | 499 | 314 |
| Primary energy from non-renewable resources (gross cal. value) | 0.556 | 548 | 289 |
| Primary energy from non-renewable resources (net cal. value) | 0.52 | 496 | 260 |
| Primary energy from renewable resources (gross cal. value) | 341 | 3.56 | 54 |
| Primary energy from renewable resources (net cal. value) | 341 | 3.56 | 54 |
| Resources and Emissions | System 1 | System 2 | System 3 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Energy resources | 0.0142 | 11.3 | 5.93 |
| Material resources | 173 | 1240 | 183 |
| Emissions to air | 153 | 29.5 | 28.5 |
| Emissions to fresh water | 17.9 | 1500 | 145 |
| Emissions to sea water | 0.041 | 1.02 | 0.535 |
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