1. Background
The modern world is striving more intensively for alternative ways to produce energy and reduce CO2 blueprint worldwide, being by renewable forms of energy, developing new ways to generate energy apart from fossil fuel, or even researching more efficient ways to make use of energy. This concern comes from human’s high dependency on finite resources which has pushed scientists and engineers to the edges of knowledge. Scientists like [1-3] have studied the consumption of oil worldwide, human dependency, and its impact long-term and have shown how critical it is and the need to move toward a wider range of sources as well as saving energy.
Therefore, more efficient energy consumption might be very beneficial in countries with lower average temperatures throughout the year. Countries like Canada, Greenland, Russia, Mongolia, Norway, Iceland, and Finland among others, might have a positive cost impact with more efficient energy utilization. As a fact, energy utilization in the Europe Union is massive when it comes to houses, representing around 35% of the total energy expenses. On top of that, the usage of energy has been suffering constant raises such as imposed limitations by governments, and strong regional conflicts. With that being said, there is an immediate need to develop new efficient heating technologies frontward [
4].
As an alternative, scientists have studied Sunspace, which is one way to increase heat efficiency use. Although it is not a novel idea, many authors have still studied it [5-12]. One of them was Ted Kesik [
13] who recommended the installation of sunspaces in houses’ renovation due to its popularity as Canadian demographics have been shifting throughout the time more and more to aged and retired people. Not differently, it also became a common feature in new homes. This scientist figured out that the application of sunspaces is beneficial because it can increase energy efficiency, consequently resulting in lesser energy consumption in residences. Another way to deal with energy saving is by using solar panels and saving energy consumption from the grid. Lingyoung Ma [
14], Roman Sheps [
15] and Kou [
16] among others study the benefits of the application of solar panels and their designs to enhance energy usage and save energy consumption. Even so, this solution is not so applicable in the cold countries cited in this paper.
Furthermore, another innovative way to save energy was developed by Shurui Yan [
17] who used an already available energy source to heat houses in northern China. The author combined the cooking and heating system (space) presented in many rural houses and successfully could save energy by heating other rooms in the house by addressing energy from this source. Still in Asia, specifically in South Korea, Soo-Jeong Kim [
18] brought the perspective of the impact of the footage and localization of apartments in terms of energy utilization, also considering the average consumption of energy of the residents per region. In such analysis, which evaluated the energy utilization throughout two years, the author figured out that outdoor temperature was inversely proportional to the average heating energy usage. On top of that, the highest and lowest stories as well as the wall’s corners were very sensitive since were the most exposed to external temperatures, requiring the highest amount of energy to produce the thermal inlet needed. Ganquan Shi [
19] open another line of research that analyzed the energy efficiency based on houses’ layouts. His proposal is to create an automatic design system for residences, where the design of the underfloor heating system would be conditional to the hierarchy of variables. In this study, the underfloor heating system is treated as the key to producing an ideal and robust thermal distribution that considers the planning of the route and path into the place. Another interesting study was by Grzegorz Nawalany [
20] who evaluated the thermal relatedness between construction and neighboring soil in the south of Poland. Although he verified that the weather has a noteworthy impact on the ground temperature, the impact reduces with the distance from the construction and throughout the seasons. For the record, throughout the winter, the impact on the ground by the houses’ construction ranges from 1.2 to 3.3 meters, with an energy loss of 2,082 kWh (21.24 kWh/m2) from the houses to the ground. On the other hand, in the spring season, there is a significant reduction in losses close to 38% when set side by side with winter. Also, checked and documented, energy losses in spring and autumn seasons were equivalent. Furthermore, Ruiz and Romero [
21] worked on prioritizing a building's energy fluctuations during its consumption by studying compliant strategies with numerical simulations. The author ‘s final design could produce a thermal reduction of almost 13% since it was hinged on the cardinal position of the residences, the dimension of the lintels on the windows, as well as a raise in the insulation on the residence façade. Although a higher consciousness has been built over the last decades concerning the need to treat energy as a priority [22-24], and many papers have studied either alternative ways to save it, with different materials, new designs, and environmentally friendly sources (solar), or different sources of energy, there are no records of deeper studies of the common house heating system variables under numerical simulations linked with statistics. This paper is part of a series of thermal numerical simulations linked with statistical analysis that aims to evaluate the heat distribution in a residence - this initial study considers a basement - to study the variables that would provide a temperature between 294 and 296 K throughout a room’s volume. The variables considered are the airflow (intake) blown into the basement, the intake’s positioning on the ceiling, the airflow temperature, and the external temperature.
2. Materials and Method
The 3D model of the basement was generated in Autodesk F360
TM and it complies with
Figure 1. To perform the numerical simulations, the software COMSOL
TM was utilized to create a 3D model of the house’s basement and to run the numerical simulation for heat transfer and thermal convention under turbulent conditions. For the statistical analysis and determining the configurations outputs, the significance of each variable, and the interaction among them, the software Minitab
TM was utilized.
The basement dimensions are 4.0 m in width × 6 m in length × 3.0 m in ceiling height. The room has an open door to allow transit of people to the main floor and vice versa. On the left side of the door, the wall is exposed to the external and it faces the house back yard. The distance between the door side and the soil exposition is 1.7 m. On the back of the basement wall – left side- where a small window is seen, the external part of the wall, underneath the window, is covered with soil which has a height of 2.5 m.
As alternatives for the positioning of the intake, they were disposed on a cross configuration, per
Figure 2, changing their position throughout the horizontal and vertical lines to 0% (leaning against the wall), 5%, and 10% from the wall relative to the center of the ceiling. The dimensions of the intakes were kept the same at 0.27 m × 0.10 m for all simulations. The velocity of the airflow was set up for 2.0, 2.5, and 3.0 m/s complying with [
25], and the temperature of the air intake is from 311 K to 315 K with intervals of +1 K per simulation.
In terms of external temperature, it was considered it varying from 248 K to 278 K [
26] with intervals of 5 K per numerical simulation. The measurement points, from which the temperatures were taken from the simulation are according to
Figure 2. For the numerical simulation, the software COMSOL Multiphysics was used as follows.
Heat Transfer in Solids and Fluids
For the energy equation, the following equation was used:
with
and where: ρ is the density,
is the heat specific,
u is the velocity and
T is the temperature. More details about the terms of Equation (1) can be found in [
27].
Turbulent Flow
When it comes to airflow, it was considered a turbulent condition, which is governed by Equation (2) as follows.
where
u is the same velocity in Equation (1), and
p is the pressure. More details about the terms of Equations (2) and (3) can be found in [
28].
3. Results
For the statistical analysis carried out in this work, 5 monitoring points were verified: A(3;2), B(1.5;1), C(4.5;1), D(4.5;3) and E(1.5;3), coordinates in m, and all points at a height of 1.25 m from the basement floor.
An exploratory analysis was performed by changing the following control variables; External Temperature (
), Temperature Input (
), Airflow Velocity (
), and Inlet Location (Position in % =
), as seen in
Table 1. A total of 308 experiments (
N) were fulfilled in MiniTab with independent variables which were within the range fixed and conveyed in
Table 1.
From the use of the validation method K-fold, with K = 10, multivariable linear regression was assessed for the average temperature in the room, depending on independent variables in
Table 1. The best result is reached by Equation (4) (where
is the average temperature in K, of the points A, B, C, D, and E), as seen by the variance analysis demonstrated in
Table 2 and
Figure 3.
When looking at the data it is observed that all variables studied are independent although important to describe the average temperature in the room (
. Moreover, there are also relevant second-order interactions among the variables. With that being said, the variance analysis reveals that the most significant variable that influences the temperature in the room is the External Temperature (
), followed by the Airflow velocity (
), the Inlet Location (
), and lastly Temperature Input (
). In the study of the residue of the model by Equation (4), it was not observed a deviation of the normality since the
p-value resulting was higher than 0.15, as shown in
Figure 4.
The quality of fitting to Equation (4) with data is summarized in
Table 3. The data fits very well as linear which highlights the high power of extrapolation of the model demonstrated by the high value of the statistics R
2 (0.9998) from the validation 10-fold. It should be noticed the regression model uses only 10 degrees of freedom while the data bank utilized has 308 degrees of freedom. Therefore, by making use of a few terms in Equation (4) was possible to demonstrate satisfactorily well the variation of the average temperature in the room within the ranges described in
Table 1. A graph showing the quality of fitting was presented in
Figure 3.
To evaluate the competency of the model presented in Equation (4) to predict the average temperature in the room - as much close to the real condition- this work used the real variable “Inlet Location (Position)” as close to reality as possible with a distance equal to 0.152 m (15.2 cm). Although new points of measurement in the model were arranged (a total of 105 points), the same position 0.152 m (15.2 cm) was maintained with changes in the other variables within the range predetermined in
Table 1. The results from the model generalization are seen in
Figure 5. By the analysis of this figure, it is clear the great capacity of the model presented in Equation (4) to predict the average temperature of the room, even when the variable Inlet Location (
) is extrapolated.
To evaluate the dispersion of the room temperature, a similar procedure to obtain the model presented in Equation (4) was utilized, which aimed to determine the standard deviation (
STDev) of the temperature in the room, measured at the points A, B, C, D, and E. The result can be seen by the model presented in Equation (5) in which
Table 4 is for the variance analysis and in
Table 5 for the quality of the curve fitting. The model in Equation (5) is of the 3
rd order in terms of variables, which indicates a higher complexity to determine the variations of the temperatures in the room but not for the average temperature. Nevertheless, the number of degrees of freedom, 13, of the model remained low and close to the results of the model in Equation (4). About
Table 4, which analyzes the variance of the model in Equation (5) is evident the variable with more influence on the temperature variation in the room is the External Temperature (
), followed by Inlet Location (
). Meanwhile,
Table 5 demonstrates a good capacity to adjust and generalization of the model in Equation (5) in terms of temperature variation. Also, the study of the residue of Equation (5) revealed no deviation of the normality by a
p-Value of 0.095.
By the evaluation of models in Equations (4) and (5) it is possible to generate boundary graphs for the average temperature (
) and standard deviation (
), identifying operational regions of the variables of control, in a way that
and
satisfy certain conditions. So, the white region of
Figure 6,
Figure 7,
Figure 8,
Figure 9 and
Figure 10 indicates the acceptable ranges for
, and
, to fixed values for
and
. Thus, considering a small standard deviation for the temperature variation until 0.8 K and a temperature within 293 and 298 K as acceptable, to the fixed conditions
= 2.5 m/s and
= 5,
Figure 4 exhibits an admissible region - to these conditions white color in the graph is seen.
Notice that, in
Figure 6–10 is not possible to find values for the operational variables that comply with the necessary range for
and
when the external temperature is lesser than 260 K. Howsoever,
Figure 7 demonstrates that, changing
to 3 m/s and
to 0, is possible to reach a region that complies the previous specifications for
and
, in the white region. For a fixed value of 0.152 m (0.152 m (15.2 cm)) as a real value (
Figure 8) it is clear that no one of the experimental conditions can reach the specified conditions for
and
. Still,
Figure 9 conveys that, whether or not there is an increase in the range for
until 2 K, under the real condition “
” the conditions for
and
are reachable, even for lower values of “
” close to 250 K.
Figure 10 reveals that with the real position ,“
” is likely to achieve a region with a higher average temperature variation in the room.
4. Conclusion
As stated previously, the modern world is striving more intensively for alternative ways to produce energy and or to save it, and the saving part of it is where this paper focused on. Many studies have shown awareness of human dependency over the last decades on limited energy sources like oil and gas, so it has become a sensitive and important theme.
Although many studies aim for alternative manners to save energy, been as using solar panels, studying construction materials, using heat sources in the same building to expand the energy to other floors, and novel designs, there are no records of papers using numerical simulation and statistics to study deeper the heating system variables significance and interactions. This paper explores this venue to reach an optimal configuration.
As an output of the variable’s studies, it was considered the average temperature and standard deviation. By using this approach, it was possible to determine an ideal design when it comes to energy efficiency. The numerical simulation with the statistics ended up showing the significance and interaction among variables that impact the temperature in the room, from the highest to the lowest the variables can be classified as follow: External Temperature ( ), followed by Airflow velocity (), the Inlet Location (), and lastly Temperature Input ().
This paper also demonstrates the power of numerical simulations and statistics mainly when they are used as complementary. It can provide a deeper understanding of complex systems with multiple variables, which matches very well with the study for energy saving of a house. Moreover, the study of the hose became crystal clear, so optimization could be more robust due to the strong background that both tools could bring to the table.
Author Contributions
All authors actively participated in all parts of the work. Conceptualization, J.A.M., A.F.S. and E.C.R.; Methodology, J.A.M., A.F.S. and E.C.R.; Validation, J.A.M., A.F.S. and E.C.R.; Formal analysis, J.A.M., A.F.S. and E.C.R.; Investigation, J.A.M., A.F.S. and E.C.R.; Writing – original draft, J.A.M., A.F.S. and E.C.R.; Writing–review & editing, J.A.M., A.F.S. and E.C.R.; Supervision, J.A.M., A.F.S. and E.C.R.; Funding acquisition, A.F.S. and E.C.R. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Funding
This research was funded by FAPESP (Procs. 2014/06679-8), CNPq (Proc. 400898/2016-0) and CAPES (Procs. 23038.000263/2022-19).
Data Availability Statement
All data from this research are in the text.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
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