Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Circulation Expectations, Trust, and Farmers' Contract Choice Behavior

Version 1 : Received: 29 June 2023 / Approved: 29 June 2023 / Online: 29 June 2023 (09:54:32 CEST)

A peer-reviewed article of this Preprint also exists.

Wenjun, Z. Circulation Expectations, Farmer Trust, and Farmers’ Contract Choice Behavior. Land 2023, 12, 1588. Wenjun, Z. Circulation Expectations, Farmer Trust, and Farmers’ Contract Choice Behavior. Land 2023, 12, 1588.

Abstract

This study investigates the influence of expectations and trust on farmers' decisions regarding contractual choices in land transfer. The dataset used for analysis consists of 1101 households in Guizhou Province. The research focuses on two aspects: the selection between written and oral contracts, and the decision to continue the contractual relationship. The findings reveal that farmers' choices are significantly affected by their expectations and levels of trust.Specifically, when farmers' expectations regarding the land transfer process are not met, they tend to prefer written contracts over oral ones. This preference can be attributed to the greater clarity and risk reduction offered by written contracts. On the other hand, higher levels of trust increase the likelihood of farmers continuing the land transfer contract, as trust fosters a sense of confidence and security in the ongoing relationship.Interestingly, trust also plays a moderating role. Farmers who have aligned expectations and high levels of trust are more inclined to opt for oral contracts. This preference for oral contracts can be attributed to their flexibility and emphasis on interpersonal relationships, allowing for better adaptation to the changing dynamics of land transfer.These findings contribute to a deeper understanding of the factors influencing farmers' decision-making processes regarding contractual choices in land transfer. They provide valuable insights for policymakers involved in land transfer, enabling them to optimize policies and facilitate farmers' decision-making processes.

Keywords

Contractual choices; Land transfer; Expectations; Trust; Probit model; Market-oriented land reform

Subject

Business, Economics and Management, Econometrics and Statistics

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