Preprint Article Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

A Hybrid Approach for Quantitative Analysis of Fire Hazards in Enclosed Vehicle Spaces on Ro-ro Passenger Ships

Version 1 : Received: 8 June 2023 / Approved: 8 June 2023 / Online: 8 June 2023 (10:58:05 CEST)

A peer-reviewed article of this Preprint also exists.

Bao, J.; Bian, Z.; Li, B.; Li, Y.; Gong, Y. A Hybrid Approach for Quantitative Analysis of Fire Hazards in Enclosed Vehicle Spaces on Ro-ro Passenger Ships. Sustainability 2023, 15, 13059. Bao, J.; Bian, Z.; Li, B.; Li, Y.; Gong, Y. A Hybrid Approach for Quantitative Analysis of Fire Hazards in Enclosed Vehicle Spaces on Ro-ro Passenger Ships. Sustainability 2023, 15, 13059.

Abstract

This study probes the probabilistic features of major fire hazards in enclosed spaces to establish their importance to the occurrence of fires onboard ro-ro passenger ships and in turn to raise effective operational countermeasures. Distinct from the previous studies, the present research employs Bayesian Network (BN) analysis to determine the probabilities of fire hazards more effectively. The findings of the research include five critical basic events (BE) identified namely, vehicle engine fire (fuel system fault), vehicle electric fire (electrical equipment defect or short circuit), used car electrical fire, reefer units electrical fire (electrical appliances defects or short circuit), and cargo spontaneous combustion. Additionally, the risk of fire for lithium - ion battery powered vehicles is also highlighted in the process of BN analysis, which prompts the authors to propose preventive measures for mitigating the possibility of fire occurrence on this type of electric vehicles. It is hoped that these measures can be essential justifications for establishing relevant rules regarding carrying LIB vehicles in enclosed spaces on international level.

Keywords

Risk analysis; Fire hazards; Bayesian network; Ro-ro spaces

Subject

Engineering, Transportation Science and Technology

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