Preprint Review Version 1 Preserved in Portico This version is not peer-reviewed

Energy Reductions Are Incompatible With Economic Growth

Version 1 : Received: 3 April 2023 / Approved: 3 April 2023 / Online: 3 April 2023 (07:52:17 CEST)

A peer-reviewed article of this Preprint also exists.

Moriarty, P.; Honnery, D. Are Energy Reductions Compatible with Economic Growth? Sustainability 2023, 15, 8043. Moriarty, P.; Honnery, D. Are Energy Reductions Compatible with Economic Growth? Sustainability 2023, 15, 8043.

Abstract

Our planet faces several serious and urgent challenges to sustainability, not just climate change. Most researchers argue that technological solutions can solve these problems. This review paper first examines the prospects for decoupling environmental damages in general from economic growth, considered at the global level, then looks at whether the recent advances in Information and Communication Technology (ICT) can help. It is argued that although absolute decoupling might have occurred in some countries, even after accounting for energy-intensive imports, it has not occurred at the global level, which is the relevant level for global sustainability problems. This conclusion is strengthened by the very high correlation over the past three decades found between GDP and several parameters relevant for sustainability, particularly for atmospheric CO2 ppm and ecological footprint as a function of Gross Domestic Product (GDP). ICT innovations relevant to energy use include smart grids and smart cities, especially smart urban transport. A review of recently published papers shows no definite findings of energy or carbon reduction, although some innovations show energy/carbon reduction potential, if given strong policy support. However, the needed policies could well give marked reductions even without ICT approaches. Overall, it is concluded that Earth’s sustainability challenges will necessitate deep energy reductions, which in turn require profound sociopolitical changes.

Keywords

climate change; decoupling; energy reductions; future; renewable energy; smart cities; smart grids; smart transport; sustainability; technological solutions

Subject

Engineering, Energy and Fuel Technology

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