Preprint
Article

Intra-Hour Forecasts of Solar Power and Ramp Events

This version is not peer-reviewed.

  † This preprint is a part of a PhD dissertation, which may be cited as: M. Abuella, A Post-processing Approach for Solar Power Combined Forecasts of Ramp Events. PhD Dissertation, The University of North Carolina at Charlotte, 2018, pp. 94 - 106.

Submitted:

25 October 2018

Posted:

25 October 2018

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Abstract
In this study an adjusting post-processing approach is implemented for improving intra-hourly forecasts of solar power and ramp events of PV solar power systems at different locations in the United States. This study also serves as an out-of-sample test to evaluate the performance of the adjusting approach with different locations and timescales. Thus, various individual intra-hourly forecasts of solar power are combined and adjusted by applying the adjusting approach. Both point and probabilistic forecasts of solar power are included. After that, solar power ramp event forecasting by the adjusting approach is carried out.
Keywords: 
adjusting; classification; ensemble; post-processing; ramp events; solar power forecast
Subject: 
Engineering  -   Electrical and Electronic Engineering
Copyright: This open access article is published under a Creative Commons CC BY 4.0 license, which permit the free download, distribution, and reuse, provided that the author and preprint are cited in any reuse.

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