Submitted:
08 July 2026
Posted:
09 July 2026
You are already at the latest version
Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Conceptual Framework
2.2. European Occurrence Dataset for the Reference Flora
2.3. Environmental Predictors Representing Climatic, Topographic, and Edaphic Controls of the Moisture Regime
2.4. Species–Environment Matrix Construction and Canonical Correspondence Analysis
2.5. Spatial Extrapolation of Ordination Gradients and Derivation of Species Niche Proxies
2.6. Derivation and Calibration of Species-Level Moisture Indicator Values
2.7. Community-Level Ecological Consistency of Moisture Indicator Scales
2.8. Explanatory Power of Moisture Indicator Scales
2.9. Validation of Community-Level Phytoindication Estimates Against Independently Derived Moisture Gradients
2.10. Landscape-Level Validation Against Topographic and Remotely Sensed Moisture Indicators
2.11. Null-Model Analysis of Community Moisture Indicator Values
2.12. Cross-Validation Against the Belgard–Tarasov Hygromorph Classification
3. Results
3.1. Edaphic Storage and Climatic-Topographic Redistribution as Independent Moisture Dimensions
3.2. Explicit Formulation of Edaphic and Topographic Moisture Gradients
3.3. Within-Community Variation of Moisture Indicator Values Across Alternative Moisture Scales
3.4. Explanatory Power of Moisture Scales for Community Composition
3.5. Validation of Moisture Indicator Scales Against Independently Mapped Environmental Gradients
3.6. Landscape-Level Validation of Moisture Indicator Scales

3.7. Cross-Validation of Moisture Indicator Scales
4. Discussion
4.1. Edaphic and Topographic Components of the Moisture Regime
4.2. Why Topographic Moisture Is Underrepresented in Traditional Phytoindication Scales
4.3. Phytoindication Reflects Realised Ecological Moisture Conditions Rather Than Single Hydrological Variables
4.4. An Ecological Framework for Integrating Multiple Determinants of the Moisture Regime
4.5. Applying Edaphic and Topographic Moisture Indices to Mapping and Forecasting
4.6. Robustness of Traditional Phytoindication Scales and the Limited Effect of Local Recalibration
4.7. Ecological Mechanisms Behind Phytoindication Performance
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Predictor | CCA1 | CCA2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Constrained | Precipitation (P) | –0.29 | 0.70 |
| Topographic wetness index (TWI) | –0.41 | –0.87 | |
| Texture coefficient (TC) | 0.80 | 0.00 | |
| P × TWI | –0.60 | –0.10 | |
| P × C | 0.42 | 0.45 | |
| TWI × TC | 0.50 | –0.47 | |
| P ×TWI × TC | 0.25 | –0.04 | |
| Fitted | Didukh_min (R2 = 0.75) | –0.97 | –0.24 |
| Didukh_max (R2 = 0.78) | –0.99 | –0.17 | |
| Ellenberg_F (R2 = 0.80) | –0.98 | –0.21 |
| Response | Predictor | Estimate | Std. Error | t-value | p-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellenberg indicator value. Model summary: residual standard error = 0.302; R² = 0.721; adjusted R² = 0.720; F₆,₂₂₄₃ = 966.8; p < 0.001. | Intercept | 4.671 | 0.006 | 732.82 | <0.001 |
| Plog,c | 0.266 | 0.006 | 41.67 | <0.001 | |
| TWIc | 0.344 | 0.006 | 53.93 | <0.001 | |
| Texturec | –0.21 | 0.006 | –32.93 | <0.001 | |
| Plog,c × TWIc | –0.036 | 0.006 | –5.78 | <0.001 | |
| Plog,c × Texturec | 0.055 | 0.006 | 8.9 | <0.001 | |
| Plog,c × TWIc× Texturec | –0.004 | 0.006 | –0.73 | 0.466 | |
| CCA1. Model summary: residual standard error = 0.545; ; adjusted ; , . | Intercept | 0.009 | 0.011 | 0.75 | 0.455 |
| Plog,c | –0.400 | 0.012 | –34.69 | <0.001 | |
| TWIc | –0.351 | 0.011 | –30.58 | <0.001 | |
| Texturec | 0.757 | 0.011 | 65.84 | <0.001 | |
| Plog,c × TWIc | 0.074 | 0.011 | 6.57 | <0.001 | |
| Plog,c × Texturec | –0.209 | 0.011 | –18.7 | <0.001 | |
| Plog,c × TWIc× Texturec | 0.076 | 0.011 | 6.99 | <0.001 | |
| CCA2. Model summary: residual standard error = 0.356; R² = 0.861; adjusted R² = 0.861; F₆,₂₂₄₃ = 2321; p < 0.001. | Intercept | 0.025 | 0.008 | 3.30 | <0.001 |
| Plog,c | 0.409 | 0.008 | 54.27 | <0.001 | |
| TWIc | –0.741 | 0.008 | –98.61 | <0.001 | |
| Texturec | –0.144 | 0.008 | –19.2 | <0.001 | |
| Plog,c × TWIc | 0.059 | 0.007 | 8.03 | <0.001 | |
| Plog,c × Texturec | 0.203 | 0.007 | 27.66 | <0.001 | |
| Plog,c × TWIc× Texturec | –0.024 | 0.007 | –3.37 | <0.001 |
| Location | Parameter | Didukh (mean of extremes) |
Ellenberg (optimum) |
Edaphic (mean of extremes) |
Edaphic (optimum) |
Topographic (mean of extremes) |
Topographic (optimum) |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayorka valley | Neutral observations (%) | 66.40 | 57.40 | 55.70 | 56.40 | 98.30 | 98.60 | |
| Divergence observations (%) | 11.40 | 12.10 | 13.50 | 12.50 | 1.70 | 1.40 | ||
| Convergence observations (%) | 22.10 | 30.40 | 30.80 | 31.10 | – | – | ||
| TWI predicted | Divergence slope | –0.00 | –0.04 | –0.05 | 0.33 | 0.29 | 0.09 | |
| Convergence slope | –0.04 | –0.03 | –0.03 | – | – | – | ||
| TWI residual | Divergence slope | 0.64* | 0.56* | 0.59* | 1.97 | –3.78 | –0.44 | |
| Convergence slope | 0.08* | 0.15* | 0.14* | – | – | 0.02 | ||
| Khortytsia Island | Neutral observations (%) | 79.30 | 72.90 | 79.60 | 74.30 | 97.00 | 94.90 | |
| Divergence observations (%) | 15.80 | 22.00 | 15.50 | 20.50 | 1.70 | 4.00 | ||
| Convergence observations (%) | 4.90 | 5.10 | 4.90 | 5.20 | 1.30 | 1.10 | ||
| TWI predicted | Divergence slope | –0.08 | –0.01 | 0.01 | –0.04 | 0.03 | –0.01 | |
| Convergence slope | 0.26* | –0.03 | 0.24* | 0.19* | –0.52 | –0.10 | ||
| TWI residual | Divergence slope | 0.03 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.06* | 0.03 | 0.02 | |
| Convergence slope | 0.25* | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.08 | 0.19 | 0.16 | ||
| The first above-floodplain terrace | Neutral observations (%) | 57.90 | 47.90 | 35.40 | 35.80 | 87.10 | 84.30 | |
| Divergence observations (%) | 13.80 | 23.80 | 32.90 | 32.70 | 1.90 | 3.90 | ||
| Convergence observations (%) | 28.30 | 28.30 | 31.70 | 31.50 | 10.90 | 11.80 | ||
| TWI predicted | Divergence slope | 0.09* | 0.08* | 0.05* | 0.05* | 0.00 | –0.02 | |
| Convergence slope | 0.01 | –0.02 | –0.02 | –0.02 | –0.00 | 0.02 | ||
| TWI residual | Divergence slope | 0.24* | 0.21* | 0.05 | 0.07* | –0.02 | –0.19 | |
| Convergence slope | 0.15* | 0.06* | 0.13* | 0.12* | 0.00 | –0.09 | ||
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