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The Impact of Intersection-Related Factors on Traffic Crash Severity: A Comparative Study of Chicago and New York City

Submitted:

13 May 2026

Posted:

13 May 2026

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Abstract
This study investigates how intersection-related factors affect traffic crash severity through a comparative analysis of two major U.S. cities: Chicago and New York City (NYC). Using large-scale crash datasets, the analysis applies logistic regression and machine-learning methods to assess how intersections and temporal conditions influence injury outcomes. The results indicate that intersection-related crashes significantly increase the probability of injury in both cities, though the magnitude is substantially larger in Chicago. Nighttime conditions consistently elevate crash severity across both cities. Model evaluation using ROC curves suggests moderate predictive performance, indicating the influence of additional unobserved factors. A comparative modeling framework further reveals that the relationship between intersection-related factors and crash severity is context-dependent, varying across urban environments. These findings highlight the importance of developing location-specific traffic safety strategies and demonstrate the value of integrating statistical, machine-learning, and spatial analyses in crash severity research.
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Copyright: This open access article is published under a Creative Commons CC BY 4.0 license, which permit the free download, distribution, and reuse, provided that the author and preprint are cited in any reuse.
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