Submitted:
04 February 2026
Posted:
05 February 2026
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Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. Methods
2.1. Study Area
2.1. Data Acquisition
2.2. Data Preprocessing
2.2. Spatial Analysis
2.3. Validation and Statistical Correlation
3. Results
3.1. Annual Cumulative Spatial Representation of CO
3.1. Temporal Regression Analysis and Statistical Tests
3.1.1. Pearson and Spearman Correlation Analysis
3.1.2. Mann–Kendall Trend Test
3.1.1. Annual Summary
3.1.1. Analysis of Temporal Trends (Mann–Kendall and Sen’s Slope)
3.2. Qualitative Comparison with In Situ Measurements Reported by SENAMHI
3.3. Exploratory Relationship between Vehicular Traffic Flow and CO Column Density
4. Discussion
4.1. Comparative Discussion with Similar Studies
4.2. Study Limitations
4.3. Limitations Related to Spatial Resolution and Temporal Aggregation
4.4. Contributions of the Study
5. Conclusions
Declaration of AI Use
References
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|
Vehicle Type |
Toll | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 |
| Light Vehicles |
Casaracra | 774 | 597 | 864 | 776 | 684 | 701 |
| Corcona | 1370 | 1028 | 1526 | 1532 | 1427 | 1448 | |
| Heavy Vehicles |
Casaracra | 881 | 736 | 886 | 832 | 782 | 712 |
| Corcona | 1299 | 1050 | 1260 | 1259 | 1203 | 1171 | |
| total | Casaracra | 1655 | 1333 | 1750 | 1608 | 1466 | 1413 |
| Corcona | 2669 | 2078 | 2786 | 2791 | 2630 | 2619 |
| year | Toll | Vehicle volume (veh/day) | CO (mol/m²) |
| 2019 | Corcona | 7411 | 6.7 |
| 2020 | Corcona | 5772 | 6.47 |
| 2021 | Corcona | 7742 | 5.89 |
| 2022 | Corcona | 7753 | 5.6 |
| 2023 | Corcona | 7306 | 4.5 |
| 2024 | Corcona | 7275 | 5.37 |
| 2019 | Casaracra | 4597 | 3.83 |
| 2020 | Casaracra | 3703 | 4.19 |
| 2021 | Casaracra | 4861 | 3.89 |
| 2022 | Casaracra | 4469 | 3.66 |
| 2023 | Casaracra | 4072 | 3.98 |
| 2024 | Casaracra | 3925 | 4.85 |
| Parámeter | Value |
| Trend | no trend |
| Hypothesis (h) | False (there is no significant trend) |
| p-value | 0.7317 |
| Z- static | -0.3429 |
| Kendall's tau | -0.0909 |
| S | -6 |
| Variance of S | 212.67 |
| Slope | -0.0767 |
| Intercept | 5.0967 |
| Parámeter | Value |
| Trend | No trend |
| Hypothesis (h) | False (there is no significant trend) |
| p-value | 0.7317 |
| Z- static | -0.3429 |
| Kendall's tau | -0.0909 |
| S | -6 |
| Variance of S | 212.67 |
| Slope | -28.3 |
| Intercept | 5472.15 |
| Statistical test | Variable(s) analyzed | Coefficient / Statistic | p-value | Result | Interpretation |
| Pearson correlation | Vehicular traffic volume vs. CO | R = 0.689 | 0.0132 | Significant | Indicates a moderate positive correlation, suggesting that higher vehicular traffic volume is associated with higher CO column density. |
| Spearman correlation | Vehicular traffic volume vs. CO | ρ = 0.622 | 0.0307 | Significant | Confirms a positive monotonic relationship between vehicular traffic flow and CO, without assuming a strictly linear relationship. |
| Mann–Kendall | CO (time series 2019–2024) | Tau = −0.0909, Z = −0.3429 | 0.7317 | Not significant | No statistically significant temporal trend is observed in CO column density during the analyzed period. |
| Mann–Kendall | Vehicular traffic volume (time series 2019–2024) | Tau = −0.0909, Z = −0.3429 | 0.7317 | Not significant | No significant increasing or decreasing trend is detected in vehicular traffic volume at the analyzed toll stations. |
| Year | Mean_Volume | Volume_std | Mean_CO | CO_std | Volume_Trend | CO_Trend |
| 2019 | 6004.0 | 1989.8 | 5.26 | 2.03 | – | – |
| 2020 | 4737.5 | 1463 | 5.33 | 1.61 | ↓ | ↑ |
| 2021 | 6301.5 | 2037.17 | 4.89 | 1.41 | ↑ | ↓ |
| 2022 | 6111 | 2322.14 | 4.63 | 1.37 | ↓ | ↓ |
| 2023 | 5689 | 2286.78 | 4.24 | 0.37 | ↓ | ↓ |
| 2024 | 5600 | 2368.81 | 5.11 | 0.37 | ↓ | ↑ |
| Estation | CO2019 (mol/m2) |
| SJL | 8.763947 |
| Santa Anita | 8.05398 |
| Ate | 9.45032 |
| Lurigancho | 9.366203 |
| Estation | CO Average (μgCO/m3) |
| SJL | 1578.2 |
| Santa Anita | 999.8 |
| Ate | 1477.4 |
| Lurigancho | 1433.5 |
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