Submitted:
21 January 2026
Posted:
22 January 2026
Read the latest preprint version here
Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
1.1. Limitations of Current Theories
The Prion Paradigm Revisited
1.2. A New Ecological Hypothesis
1.3. Industrial Context and Global Timing
1.4. Objectives of This Paper
- Present global and regional evidence describing how PD and dementia incidence align with changes in poultry production and processing systems.
- Integrate mechanistic pathways illustrating how microbial persistence could contribute to neuroinflammatory and protein-misfolding cascades.
- Compare sanitation strategies across regions (e.g., chlorine versus ozone, UV, or salt-based methods) to identify potentially modifiable environmental factors.
- Propose public-health actions for microbial surveillance and clinical screening that could support hypothesis testing.
2. Observational Evidence
2.1. Global Patterns

2.2. Regional Contrasts
| Country/Region | Hygiene Strategy | PD Trend (EAPC/ASIR) | Dementia Trend (Prevalence / EAPC) | Data Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | Predominantly peracetic-acid / hot-water sanitation; strict feed controls; low antibiotic reliance | Modest decline in claims-based PD prevalence (0.38% → 0.29%, 2017–2022) [28] | Decline in claims-based dementia prevalence (~3.4% → 2.8% among adults ≥ 40, 2017–2022) [29] | [28,29,32] |
| Israel | Kosher salting and rinsing; feed prohibitions (post-BSE reforms) | Stable to slightly declining PD incidence in national surveillance reports [26] | Stable to modestly changing dementia incidence in EHR-based national studies [30] | [3,4,5,26,30] |
| United States/China | Chlorine-based disinfection; high-throughput processing lines | Long-term increase in PD incidence (significant positive ASIR slope, 1990–2021) [1] | Increasing dementia burden (substantial modeled rise, 1990–2019) [1] | [1] |
2.3. Unified Neurodegenerative Trends
| COMPARISON | PEARSON R | SPEARMAN P |
|---|---|---|
| PD VS MEAT (CHICKEN + PROCESSED) | 0.994 | 1.000 |
| DEMENTIA VS MEAT | 0.992 | 1.000 |
| PD VS DEMENTIA | 0.979 | 1.000 |

2.4. Regional Overlap: The “Chicken Belt” and Neurodegenerative Hotspots
3. Mechanistic Hypotheses Bridging PD and Dementia
3.1. Microbial Persistence and Biofilm Adaptation
3.2. Gut–Brain Axis and Protein Misfolding
3.3. Revisiting BSE and vCJD Archives
3.4. Integrative Perspective
4. Discussion and Public-Health Implications
4.1. Synthesis of Findings
4.2. Policy and Research Implications
4.3. Epidemiologic and Laboratory Priorities
4.4. Broader Significance
5. Conclusions and Future Directions
5.1. Summary of Evidence
5.2. Research Priorities
- Environmental Verification. Comprehensive sampling of poultry-processing environments should determine whether spirochetes or other biofilm-forming taxa persist despite current disinfection protocols [16,17]. Metagenomic and microscopic approaches can clarify survival niches and guide improved hygiene design [11,12].
- Clinical Correlation. Prospective studies comparing neurodegenerative patients with matched controls for serologic or PCR evidence of spirochetes in intestinal or cerebrospinal samples are needed to test the causal link.
Limitations and Future Work
5.3. Recommendations for Confirmation and Intervention
5.4. Closing Perspective
Funding
Conflicts of Interest
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| Major Theory | Core Premise | Relationship to Microbial-Persistence Model |
|---|---|---|
| Infection Hypothesis | Chronic pathogens (including spirochetes) initiate sustained inflammation | Serves as the initiating driver of this framework |
| Gut–Brain Axis | Enteric microbiota and immune signaling influence brain pathology | Provides the physiologic conduit linking infection to neurodegeneration |
| Prion-Like Propagation | Misfolded proteins spread pathology cell-to-cell | Represents downstream amplification of pathology that may be initiated by inflammatory or microbial triggers |
| Toxin/Oxidative Stress | Chemical or metabolic stress causes neuronal injury | Considered a secondary effect of microbial metabolism or chemical hormesis |
| Proposed Primary Trigger | Mechanistic Focus | Representative Association (Approx.) | Key Supporting Sources | Relationship to Spirochetal-Persistence Model |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aging | Cellular senescence, mitochondrial decline, oxidative stress | OR increases steadily with age (≈1.07–1.09 per year after 60) | Postuma 2015 [39]; Dorsey 2007 [40] | Age increases vulnerability to persistent microbial infection and reduces clearance capacity |
| Genetic Susceptibility | Mutations affecting protein handling or inflammation (LRRK2, SNCA, APOE-ε4) | OR ≈ 2–5 | Brundin 2010 [13] | Genetic variation modulates inflammatory response to chronic infection |
| Environmental Toxins | Pesticides, solvents, metals | OR ≈ 1.5–2.0 | Van Maele-Fabry 2012 [8] | Toxins amplify inflammation triggered by microbes; hormesis selects for resistant organisms |
| Gut–Brain Axis | Microbiota–brain signaling, vagal pathways | Supported by experimental and human observational evidence | Sampson 2016 [19]; Foster 2013 [20] | Spirochetes fit within this pathway as chronic gut colonizers initiating inflammation |
| Prion-Like Propagation | Cell-to-cell spread of misfolded α-synuclein or β-amyloid | Supported by mechanistic studies and pathology | Brundin 2010 [13] | Chronic microbial inflammation may initiate misfolding events that then propagate |
| Viral or Other Infections | HSV-1, H. pylori, gut pathogens | OR ≈ 1.3–1.7 (meta-analytic ranges) | Allen 2016 [10]; Miklossy 2011 [11] | Spirochetes meet infection criteria including latency, neurotropism, and persistence |
| Spirochetal Persistence (Proposed) | Chronic biofilm-forming infection (Brachyspira, Borrelia, Treponema) | Temporal and geographic alignment; ecological correlations in multiple datasets (r ≈ 0.6–0.8) | Miklossy 2011 [11]; Riviere 2002 [14]; Tong 2020 [60] | Integrates microbial, inflammatory, gut–brain, toxin, and prion-like pathways into a unified ecological model |
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