1. Introduction
Unemployment remains one of the most pressing socio-economic challenges in Nigeria, particularly among youths, who constitute the largest portion of the nation’s population. The persistent rise in youth unemployment has resulted in widespread poverty, social unrest, and declining living standards (National Bureau of Statistics [NBS], 2023). In an effort to address this, successive Nigerian governments have introduced numerous poverty alleviation and job creation programmes. Among these, the National Poverty Eradication Programme (NAPEP), established in 2001, was designed as a comprehensive strategy aimed at eradicating absolute poverty and providing employment opportunities through skills acquisition, micro-credit, and other empowerment initiatives.
NAPEP was structured around four key schemes: the Capacity Acquisition Programme (CAP), the Mandatory Attachment Programme (MAP), the Rural Infrastructure Development Scheme (RIDS), and the Social Welfare Services Scheme (SOWESS). Each of these was targeted at empowering different segments of the population, with youths as a major focus. In Bauchi State, as in other parts of Nigeria, NAPEP sought to integrate young people into productive sectors through training and micro-finance opportunities. Despite these efforts, unemployment and poverty levels remain high across the state, raising questions about the effectiveness of NAPEP’s interventions.
Recent reports by the NBS (2022) indicate that Bauchi State records one of the highest unemployment and poverty rates in Northern Nigeria. The situation is compounded by rapid population growth, low industrial development, and limited access to finance for small-scale enterprises. Consequently, there is growing concern that many government-led poverty eradication programmes, including NAPEP, have not achieved their intended impact due to implementation challenges and policy inconsistencies (Adebayo & Ibrahim, 2022).
Despite NAPEP’s objectives of eradicating extreme poverty and providing employment opportunities, the persistence of youth unemployment in Bauchi State suggests a mismatch between programme intentions and outcomes. Many beneficiaries have reported limited follow-up after training, inadequate capital support, and poor monitoring of implemented projects (Usman & Musa, 2021). Moreover, several studies have shown that political interference and lack of transparency in the selection of beneficiaries further undermine the effectiveness of empowerment schemes (Adeola & Bamidele, 2022).
While some assessments of NAPEP have been conducted at the national level, few empirical studies have specifically examined its impact on youth employment in Bauchi State. Understanding this relationship is essential to inform policy reforms and improve future interventions aimed at addressing unemployment and poverty among Nigerian youths.
This study was contributed to the understanding of the role of government-led poverty eradication programmes in addressing youth unemployment in Nigeria. The findings will provide empirical evidence for policymakers, development practitioners, and stakeholders on how to strengthen existing interventions. It will also serve as a valuable academic reference for future research in poverty alleviation and youth development.
This study was design to the effect of National Poverty Eradication Programme (NAPEP) in promoting youth employment as well as youth awareness and participation in NAPEP programme in Bauchi State of Nigeria.
Research Hypotheses
The study is guided by the following null hypotheses:
NAPEP has no positive effect on youth employment generation in Bauchi State.
Youths did not participate actively in NAPEP skill accusation programmes in Bauchi state.
2.1. Conceptual Framework
2.1.1. Concept of Poverty and Unemployment
Poverty is a multidimensional condition characterized by deprivation of basic needs such as food, shelter, health care, and education. It extends beyond income insufficiency to include social exclusion and lack of access to productive opportunities (World Bank, 2022). In Nigeria, poverty and unemployment are interlinked, as the inability to secure meaningful employment often
leads to persistent deprivation (Okoye & Bello, 2023). Youth unemployment, in particular, poses a critical threat to economic growth and social stability in Nigeria.
The analysis of poverty and unemployment trends in Nigeria between 2018 and 2023 reveals a persistent and progressive increase across both indicators, with Bauchi State consistently recording figures above the national averages. These trends highlight deep-rooted socio-economic challenges and the limited impact of government poverty reduction initiatives such as the National Poverty Eradication Programme (NAPEP).
In terms of unemployment, national statistics show that the rate stood at 23.1% in 2018, while Bauchi State recorded 29.4%. The figure rose steadily to 27.1% nationally and 31.6% in Bauchi by 2019. In 2020, the national unemployment rate reached 33.3%, while Bauchi’s climbed to 37.5%, further widening the disparity between the state and national levels. The situation intensified in 2021, when the national rate was 35.0%, compared to 38.1% in Bauchi. By 2022, unemployment reached 37.7% nationally and 40.6% in Bauchi, and in 2023, the figures peaked at 39.9% for Nigeria and 42.8% for Bauchi State. This consistent upward trend indicates the persistence of structural unemployment, especially among youths in northern Nigeria.
Similarly, poverty rates followed the same rising pattern. In 2018, the national poverty rate was 40.1%, while Bauchi recorded 52.8%. In 2019, these figures rose slightly to 41.0% and 53.5%, respectively. The trend continued in 2020, with 42.7% nationally and 54.9% for Bauchi. By 2021, the rates stood at 43.2% and 55.7%, and in 2022, they further climbed to 45.4% nationally and 57.3% for Bauchi. In 2023, the poverty rate reached 46.4% across Nigeria, while Bauchi State’s poverty level hit 58.5%. (NBS,2025)
These data collectively demonstrate that despite multiple interventions, poverty and unemployment have remained critical developmental challenges in Bauchi State. The state’s rates consistently exceed the national averages, suggesting structural deficiencies in policy implementation, inadequate investment in productive sectors, and weak linkages between empowerment programmes and sustainable job creation. The progressive rise in both indicators reflects the need for improved monitoring, effective coordination, and more inclusive policy strategies to ensure that poverty eradication initiatives such as NAPEP achieve long-term impact.
Table 1.
Trends in Poverty and Unemployment in Bauchi State and Nigeria (2018–2023).
Table 1.
Trends in Poverty and Unemployment in Bauchi State and Nigeria (2018–2023).
| Year |
National Poverty Rate (%) |
Bauchi State Poverty Rate (%) |
National Unemployment Rate (%) |
Bauchi State Unemployment Rate (%) |
| 2018 |
40.1 |
52.8 |
23.1 |
29.4 |
| 2019 |
41.0 |
53.5 |
27.1 |
31.6 |
| 2020 |
42.7 |
54.9 |
33.3 |
37.5 |
| 2021 |
43.2 |
55.7 |
35.0 |
38.1 |
| 2022 |
45.4 |
57.3 |
37.7 |
40.6 |
| 2023 |
46.4 |
58.5 |
39.9 |
42.8 |
The data show that both poverty and unemployment rates have increased steadily in Nigeria, with Bauchi State consistently above national averages. This reflects structural economic and policy challenges, especially in rural regions.
2.1.2. The National Poverty Eradication Programme (NAPEP)
The National Poverty Eradication Programme (NAPEP) was launched in 2001 by the Federal Government of Nigeria to coordinate and consolidate all previous poverty reduction initiatives. The programme was designed with four key schemes:
1. Capacity Acquisition Programme (CAP) – focused on vocational training.
2. Mandatory Attachment Programme (MAP) – for temporary job placement.
3. Rural Infrastructure Development Scheme (RIDS) – aimed at improving rural accessand basic services.
4. Social Welfare Services Scheme (SOWESS) – targeted vulnerable groups.
Each scheme was expected to contribute to the eradication of poverty through employment creation, skills acquisition, and financial empowerment (Adebayo et al., 2021).
2.1.3. Youth Employment and Economic Development
Youths represent the most dynamic and productive segment of society. The inability to engage them productively contributes to social instability, migration, and insecurity (Usman & Ibrahim, 2023). Several scholars have emphasized that youth empowerment through vocational training and entrepreneurship development remains a sustainable path to reducing unemployment (Eze & Ali, 2022).
2.2. Empirical Review
Several studies have examined the relationship between government poverty eradication initiatives and youth employment across Nigeria, with mixed results depending on programme design and implementation context.
Adebayo and Ibrahim (2022) conducted a study in Kano State using a survey of 300 youths and found that participation in NAPEP significantly improved employability but had little effect on long-term job sustainability. Similarly, Eze and Ali (2022), in a mixed-method study in Enugu State, reported that vocational and entrepreneurship training under NAPEP enhanced self-employment but was limited by poor post-training funding.
In a related study, Usman and Musa (2021) assessed the performance of NAPEP in Gombe State and concluded that political interference and inadequate supervision hindered the programme’s effectiveness. Mohammed and Ibrahim (2023) examined institutional factors affecting youth empowerment in Bauchi State and observed that insufficient inter-agency collaboration and weak monitoring systems undermined NAPEP’s goals.
Afolabi and Ojo (2022) analyzed the broader link between human capital development and poverty reduction across Nigeria. Using regression analysis on secondary data from 2000–2020, they found that increased spending on education and skills training significantly reduced poverty levels. Their findings align with the Human Capital Theory underpinning this study.
Okoye and Bello (2023) performed a national-level assessment of youth empowerment schemes and found that while awareness levels were high, participation was limited to politically connected individuals. Adeola and Bamidele (2022) similarly argued that Nigeria’s poverty eradication programmes often fail due to corruption, poor targeting, and lack of sustainability mechanisms.
Beyond NAPEP, Adebisi and Yakubu (2023) studied the N-Power Programme and found that digital training components significantly increased beneficiaries’ employment prospects. Their findings suggest that integrating ICT and entrepreneurship can enhance programme outcomes. Likewise, Hassan and Umar (2021) examined the Youth Empowerment Scheme (YES) in Kaduna and reported that timely funding and continuous monitoring were key predictors of success.
Internationally, Karanja and Njoroge (2020) evaluated Kenya’s Youth Enterprise Development Fund and discovered that continuous mentorship and microfinance support were critical in sustaining youth businesses — lessons relevant to NAPEP’s improvement. Similarly, Abdulrahman (2022) investigated Ghana’s National Youth Employment Programme and found that inconsistent government funding reduced impact despite high youth participation.
Overall, the reviewed empirical studies show that while youth empowerment initiatives across Africa share similar objectives, their success largely depends on consistent funding, institutional accountability, post-training support, and transparent selection processes. These findings reinforce the rationale for reassessing NAPEP’s effectiveness in Bauchi State, given its persistent high rates of unemployment and poverty compared to national averages.
2.2.1. Theoretical Frame work
This study is anchored on the Human Capital Theory, originally propounded by Schultz (1961) and Becker (1964), which posits that investment in education, training, and health enhances individual productivity and national economic performance. According to this theory, when youths acquire relevant vocational and entrepreneurial skills, they become more employable, contributing to overall economic growth.
Recent studies have applied this theory to assess poverty alleviation programmes in Nigeria, affirming that skill development significantly reduces unemployment and income poverty (Afolabi & Ojo, 2022).
Table 2.
Summary of Theoretical Linkages Between Human Capital Formation and Employment Generation.
Table 2.
Summary of Theoretical Linkages Between Human Capital Formation and Employment Generation.
| Theoretical Component |
Key Proposition |
Application to NAPEP |
| Education and Training |
Human productivity increases through investment in education. |
NAPEP promotes vocational and skill acquisition training to enhance employability. |
| Skill Development |
Trained individuals can generate higher income and create jobs. |
NAPEP’s Capacity Acquisition Programme (CAP) equips youths with trade and entrepreneurship skills. |
| Economic Growth |
Human capital investment contributes to national income growth. |
NAPEP aims to reduce poverty and increase GDP via youth empowerment. |
| Sustainability |
Continuous skill upgrading sustains productivity gains. |
Lack of post-training support in NAPEP limits sustainability of employment outcomes. |
Table 3.
Summary of Empirical Studies Reviewed on Poverty Alleviation and Youth Employment (2020–2024).
Table 3.
Summary of Empirical Studies Reviewed on Poverty Alleviation and Youth Employment (2020–2024).
| Author(s) |
Year |
Area of Study |
Methodology |
Key Findings |
| Adebayo & Ibrahim |
2022 |
Kano State |
Survey |
NAPEP raised awareness but had limited participation due to weak monitoring. |
| Usman & Musa |
2021 |
Gombe State |
Quantitative |
Political interference reduced effectiveness of programme outcomes. |
| Eze & Ali |
2022 |
Enugu State |
Mixed Methods |
Skill acquisition improved self-employment but lacked financial sustainability. |
| Mohammed & Ibrahim |
2023 |
Bauchi State |
Quantitative |
Institutional coordination challenges weakened implementation success. |
| Okoye & Bello |
2023 |
National |
Secondary Data |
Youth unemployment remains high; government programmes insufficiently targeted. |
2.3. Summary of the Literature Review
The literature reveals a consistent pattern: while NAPEP and similar programmes have made commendable efforts to tackle poverty and unemployment, their effectiveness remains constrained by structural and institutional challenges. The Human Capital Theory underscores the need for skill development as a driver of employment creation, yet without sustainable funding and accountability, such programmes often fall short of expectations.
This review highlights the existing research gap — the lack of state-specific quantitative analysis of NAPEP’s impact on youth employment in Bauchi State, which this study seeks to addressm