1. Introduction
The problem of stability of solutions in economic models occupies a central place in modern mathematical economics. When analyzing complex socio-economic systems, it often becomes necessary to study the behavior of solutions to nonlinear equations and dynamical systems under small perturbations of parameters. To describe such systems, functions are used that do not always possess sufficient smoothness — there are discontinuities of derivatives, nonsmooth segments, threshold effects, and saturation regions. Under these conditions, classical methods of stability analysis, based on differentiability and linearization in the neighborhood of the equilibrium state, lose their applicability.
The problem of nonsmoothness is particularly acute in economic growth and equilibrium models, where agent behavior is characterized by threshold responses — for example, minimum investment levels, technological constraints, or nonlinear costs. In such cases, the system response function
, linking the vector of economic variables
with the resulting indicators
, may be only partially continuous or Hölder continuous, but not differentiable. For a correct analysis of the stability of solutions to systems of the form
where
models external or internal disturbances, an extension of the classical analysis apparatus is required.
Modern methods of nonsmooth analysis offer solutions to this problem through the introduction of generalized concepts of differentiability and tangent spaces. In particular, the use of -Hölder subdifferentials allows approximation of the behavior of nonsmooth mappings in the neighborhood of an equilibrium point, while providing the ability to assess the stability of solutions and their continuous dependence on parameters [1]. Such constructions make it possible to work not only with smooth functions, but also with mappings possessing only limited regularity, which enables the analysis of a wide class of economic models with threshold effects.
For a formal description of stability, extended versions of the implicit function theorem are used, applicable to nonsmooth equations. Let be a mapping possessing a -Hölder subdifferential at the point , and let the regularity conditions , hold. Then, for small disturbances , there exists a solution that depends continuously on the parameters and satisfies the approximation as . This means that the equilibrium state of the economic system is stable to small changes in technological, investment, or external factors.
The economic interpretation of this statement is that in the presence of a -Hölder subdifferential, one can guarantee not only the existence of an equilibrium state, but also its stability in the sense of Hölder continuity. In other words, small shocks in the system do not lead to unstable behavior, and changes in variables remain proportional in order of magnitude to the perturbation. This is especially important for macroeconomic models, where exact analytical dependencies are often replaced by piecewise-continuous or approximated functions.
Consider a typical economic growth model given by the system:
where
K is aggregate capital,
is the production function,
s is the savings rate,
is the capital depreciation rate, and
describes external disturbances. If
is nonsmooth (for example, of the form
), standard analysis via eigenvalues of the Jacobian is impossible. However, the use of
-Hölder subdifferentials allows consideration of an approximating polynomial
of order
and evaluation of stability based on the asymptotic behavior of the solution.
Thus, the generalized implicit function theorem and the construction of tangent spaces to solution sets of the type
make it possible to prove the existence of a stable equilibrium even for systems with nonsmooth structure. Moreover, under the condition
it can be shown that deviations of the system from the equilibrium state decay faster than linearly, which corresponds to superstable behavior.
Recent works on nonsmooth analysis in economics show that the application of Hölder approximation methods and subdifferentials provides new opportunities for studying nonlinear and nonsmooth economic systems. In particular, similar methods have been used to analyze the stability of equilibria in general equilibrium models [2], stochastic growth models [3], and optimal control problems with nonsmooth constraints [4].
The issues of subdifferentiation were examined in detail by the authors [10–13]. They noted that subdifferentials allow the formulation of generalized stationarity conditions of the Karush –Kuhn –Tucker type for interval optimization with uncertainty, the application of an extended Pontryagin maximum principle in systems with product spoilage and shortages, and the modeling of equilibrium in supply chains through variational inequalities with nonsmooth cost functions. However, they did not account for the fact that in dynamic economic growth models, such subdifferentials can be combined with stochastic disturbances of small variance to analytically assess the superstability of equilibria, with explicit derivation of power-law convergence rates of trajectories to the stationary state when . Therefore, the need arose to study this aspect of stochastic analysis—namely, the influence of small-variance stochastic shocks on -Hölder stability of trajectories to the stationary state.
Thus, the goal of this paper is to develop and apply the apparatus of -Hölder subdifferentials for analyzing the stability of solutions in nonlinear economic growth models. The paper formulates conditions for the existence and stability of solutions, investigates the properties of tangent spaces, provides examples of economic interpretations, and presents numerical results demonstrating the effectiveness of the approach.
The rest of the paper is structured as follows.
Section 2 outlines the materials and methods, formulating nonlinear equilibrium models, -Hölder approximations, regularity conditions for solution existence, nonlinear stability criteria, and geometric properties of equilibrium sets.
Section 3 examines stability in a single-sector growth model with -Hölder production function, deriving approximations, perturbation estimates, stability criteria, and power-law convergence rates for capital and output trajectories under stochastic perturbations.
Section 4 extends the framework to multidimensional economic systems, establishing local and global stability theorems, -homogeneous mappings, Hausdorff distances, tangent cones, Lyapunov functionals, second-order Hölder derivatives, and equivalence to nonsmooth optimization problems.
Section 5 applies the approach to stochastic equilibrium models with perturbations, probabilistic estimates, intertemporal choice problems with -Hölder preferences, and generalized elasticity measures.
Section 6 analyzes a multidimensional capital accumulation model with nonsmooth technologies, proving component-wise -regularity, local and global stability, parameter sensitivity, and optimal investment policies.
Section 7 reports numerical experiments on two-sector models, including stochastic simulations, convergence rate validations, and parameter sensitivity tests. The paper concludes with a summary of key findings and implications for nonsmooth economic modeling.
3. Stability of Equilibrium States in a Growth Model with -Hölder Structure of the Production Function
Let
denote the aggregate capital at time
t, and
the aggregate output. Consider a capital accumulation model of the form
where
is the savings rate,
is the depreciation coefficient,
F is the production function admitting a
-Hölder approximation in the neighborhood of the equilibrium value
, and
is a small structural perturbation reflecting stochastic or politico-economic deviations.
The equilibrium state
is determined by the condition
Our goal is to show that under
-Hölder regularity of
F, the equilibrium
is stable, and the nature of stability is described by a power law, rather than exponential, as in the smooth case.
The issues of economic growth were examined in detail by the authors [14–16]. They noted that the trajectories of capital and output in developed and European countries are shaped by classical determinants — imports, exports, foreign direct investment, social contributions, wages, and the Cobb–Douglas production function with near-constant elasticities — as well as new drivers of sustainable transition, including digitalization, fintech, green economy, and e-commerce, with quantitative assessment of their contribution to gross domestic product, value added, and final household consumption through panel analysis with fixed and random effects on data from 38 European countries over 2009–2020, as well as combinations of ordinary and fractional differential equations with stochastic processes of Itô or Lévy type for modeling nonlinear growth dynamics under macroeconomic uncertainty and external shocks. However, these works assume smoothness of the production function, which limits applicability to real economies with threshold effects, discontinuities in elasticities, and nonsmooth dependencies. In contrast, the -Hölder approximation allows analytical derivation of power-law convergence rates of capital and output trajectories to the stationary state when , even in the presence of small-variance stochastic disturbances, while preserving the superstability of the equilibrium. Therefore, the need arose to study this aspect of stochastic analysis — namely, the influence of small-variance stochastic shocks on the -Hölder stability of trajectories to the stationary state.
3.1. Approximation of the Production Function
Assume that
has a
-Hölder subdifferential at the point
:
where
is a polynomial of degree
,
,
, and the remainder
satisfies the condition
Then, substituting (2.3) into (2.1) and denoting
, we obtain
This differential equation describes the dynamics of capital deviations from the stationary level .
Stochastic extensions of macrodynamic growth models demonstrate how random disturbances affect capital trajectories. For example, in the analysis of the Brazilian economy [17], deterministic and stochastic equations verify the interactions of fiscal/monetary policy with GDP, inflation, and interest rates, showing that shocks amplify deviations from equilibrium in developing systems. Similarly, the estimation of a competitive commodity storage model [18] using particle MCMC accounts for stochastic trends in prices, capturing nonlinear effects from seasonal and demand shocks. In the energy sector [19], a stochastic-economic framework for PV systems in the UK integrates Monte Carlo to account for uncertainty in production and costs, evaluating NPV with climate fluctuations. Finally, a review [20] for G20 combines fractional differential equations with Itô-Lévy processes, modeling nonlinear growth with memory and jumps, but primarily in smooth scenarios. In our model (3.1), such stochasticity is complemented by the -Hölder approximation (3.1.1)–(3.1.3), enabling analytical capture of threshold discontinuities and power-law convergence rates under small shock variance, thereby enhancing robustness to real economic irregularities.
3.2. Hölder Linearization and Perturbation Estimation
Let
be of the form
, where
is the output sensitivity coefficient to changes in capital. Then (2.5) is written as
where the perturbation
is approximated by the expression
with small
.
To analyze stability, it suffices to consider the behavior of (3.2.1) in the neighborhood of
. For
, the terms of order
dominate, and the equation takes the asymptotic form:
Consider the integral inequality following from (3.2.2):
If
, then for sufficiently small initial conditions
, the solution satisfies
which proves **asymptotic stability of the equilibrium
**. The dependence (3.2.4) characterizes the decay rate of deviations as power-law:
Thus, when
, the system returns to equilibrium more slowly than exponentially, but guaranteed — regardless of the form of the perturbation
g.
3.3. -Stability Criterion
Let us generalize the result (3.2.5). Let the system (3.1) satisfy the conditions:
Then the equilibrium
is
-stable, that is, there exists a function
and a constant
such that
The Lyapunov function
is suitable as
, since
and the sign is negative for sufficiently small
. Consequently, the equilibrium
is stable in the Lyapunov sense and asymptotically stable when
.
3.4. Nonlinear Stability Assessment of Aggregate Output
For a complete analysis, consider the dynamics of aggregate output
. From (3.1.1) and (3.2.4), we have:
>Since
and
, taking (2.9) into account:
This means that output
stabilizes at a higher rate than capital: the decay exponent
exceeds
. Thus, the system exhibits enhanced stability of production indicators relative to capital dynamics.
3.5. Case of Limiting Smoothness ()
If
, then
F becomes Lipschitz, and equation (3.2.1) takes the form
Then stability is determined by the sign of the coefficient
. For
, we have exponential decay:
which corresponds to the classical Solow model case. Consequently, as
, the power-law stability (3.2.5) smoothly transitions into exponential, and the nonsmoothness of
F acts as a mechanism for slowing convergence to equilibrium.
3.6. Section Conclusions
For the model (3.1) with a -Hölder production function F, the equilibrium state , determined by (3.2), is stable when .
The rate of return to equilibrium is described by the power law (3.2.5), depending on the regularity parameter .
Aggregate output stabilizes faster than capital, as follows from (3.4.2).
When , the classical exponential stability regime is restored.
Thus, -Hölder analysis allows coverage of both smooth and nonsmooth production functions, providing a unified criterion for equilibrium stability in dynamic growth models.
4. Geometric Structure of the Equilibrium Set and Tangent Spaces in -Hölder Analysis
Consider a general equilibrium economic system given by the operator equation
where
is the vector of endogenous variables (sectoral capitals, price levels, market shares, technological parameters),
is the vector of exogenous parameters (aggregate demand, investment norms, budget constraints),
is the equilibrium relations operator, and
represents perturbations (shocks, structural imbalances).
The set of all equilibrium states for fixed parameters
y is defined as
The goal is to construct tangent spaces and establish the stability of
in the sense of
-Hölder geometry, that is, to estimate the distance from a perturbed state
to
with accuracy
.
4.1. Local Approximation and Manifold Structure
Let the mapping
F at the point
possess a
-Hölder subdifferential, and satisfy the approximation
where
is a
-homogeneous mapping,
, with non-degenerate linear image:
Substituting (4.1.1) into (4.1), we obtain in the neighborhood of
:
The solution set of (4.1.3) for small
describes the local structure of the manifold
.
4.2. Generalized Tangent Space
We introduce the definition.
Definition 1 A vector
is called a
λ-Hölder tangent direction to the set
at the point
if there exists a function
such that
and
The collection of all such directions is denoted
and is called the
-Hölder tangent space to
at the point
.
4.3. Lemma on -Hölder Projection
Lemma 1 Let the mapping
F satisfy (4.1.1)–(4.1.2). Then for any
, there exists
such that
Proof. From (4.1.1), we have:
It is required to select a correction
that eliminates the leading term
.
If
P is regular, there exists
such that
, and
. Then
which proves (4.3.1). □
4.4. Interpretation in Economic Terms
The vector from (4.3.1) can be regarded as a stable direction of local shift of the economic equilibrium. For example, if — capital and labor, then describes a coupled change in factors under which the system remains close to the equilibrium set with an error on the order of .
Thus, -Hölder smoothness reflects not only the stability of a specific equilibrium, but also the stability of the geometry of the equilibrium state surface in the factor space.
4.5. Theorem on Local Stability of the Equilibrium Set
Theorem 1 (-Hölder Stability of the Manifold). Let the mapping
satisfy conditions (4.1.1)–(4.1.2), and let the perturbation
g be small in the sense
Then, for any small
, there exists a unique set
,
-Hölder close to
:
where
is the Hausdorff distance between sets.
Proof (sketch).
From (4.1.1) and (4.5.1), we obtain that the deviation of equation (4.1.3) from the unperturbed case is bounded by an expression of order .
Applying the -Hölder version of the implicit function theorem [1], we obtain the existence of a mapping with norm .
Then the set forms a -smooth manifold, -Hölder close to . □
4.6. Economic Interpretation through Multiplicity of Equilibria
In economic models, especially with nonsmooth dependencies (e.g., threshold effects, external constraints, or sectoral inelasticity), the equilibrium set may not be unique. However, Theorem (1) shows that under a -Hölder structure, even in nonsmooth conditions, local stability of the solution set is possible: small changes in parameters y do not lead to a rupture of the equilibrium set, but only deform it within .
This property can be interpreted as structural stability of the economy: even with nonsmooth resource allocation mechanisms (e.g., fixed tariffs, piecewise tax rates, or threshold technologies), equilibrium remains stable in an average geometric sense.
4.7. Tangent Cones and Variational Estimates
To analyze the system’s responses to bounded perturbations, we introduce the
λ-Hölder tangent cone:
For any
, the estimate holds:
In the economic context, (4.7.2) means that when factors are perturbed by a small amount
, the economic system deviates from the equilibrium state by no more than the order
. Thus,
acts as an
exponent of stability: the larger
, the faster the effects of local perturbations decay.
4.8. Second-Order Stability and -Hölder Variation Estimates
Let
be a stationary point of the system (4.1). Consider a perturbation of the parameter
and a solution
, where
h is small. The expansion (4.1.1) gives:
Denote
. The solution
h is determined by the condition
. Consider the functional
describing the “deviation from equilibrium”. Then the stability of the point
can be regarded as the existence of a constant
such that
This inequality is analogous to the second-order strict minimum condition, but in a nonsmooth (Hölder) sense.
4.9. Variations and -Smooth Gradients
If
F admits a
-Hölder subdifferential
, then the first variation is written as
Then
Consequently, if
for some
, then (4.8.3) holds. This provides a second-order stability criterion in terms of the
-subdifferential.
4.10. Theorem on Second-Order -Hölder Stability
Theorem 2 Let the mapping
satisfy conditions (4.1.1)–(4.1.3), and let its
-Hölder subdifferential
be nonempty and uniformly bounded:
Then the point
is second-order
-stable, that is,
and the equilibrium set
satisfies the estimate
Proof. From (4.8.4) and (3.18), we have:
For sufficiently small
, the first term dominates, which yields (4.10.2). From inequality (4.10.2), (4.10.3) follows by the invertibility property of the
-homogeneous mapping. □
4.11. Application to Nonsmooth Optimization Problems
Consider the problem of minimizing the potential function of the economy:
where
F has a
-Hölder subdifferential. Then the necessary optimality conditions take the form:
which is equivalent to the equilibrium equation . Moreover, from (4.10.2), it follows that the functional is strictly convex in the neighborhood of in the -Hölder sense, and thus is a unique stable minimum.
Thus, equilibrium problems and minimization problems in nonsmooth analysis are equivalent under condition (4.10.1), and the stability criterion (4.10.2) plays the role of a generalized strict convexity condition.
4.12. Multidimensional Dynamics and -Stability of Trajectories
Consider a system of differential equations of general form:
describing the dynamic restoration of equilibrium. From (3.19), we have:
If
, then
Consequently,
and by inequality (4.10.2), this gives
That is, even in the nonsmooth case (), trajectories remain exponentially stable with respect to the function F, but with a weakened order of stability in x — .
Thus, the -Hölder structure determines the “rate of transmission of stability” from the equilibrium function to the state trajectory.
4.13. Geometric Consequence: Stability of the Equilibrium Family
Let the equilibrium set be parameterized by the vector
y:
From (4.10.3), it follows that when the parameter
y changes by
, the point
deviates from
by no more than
. This property means
-Hölder smoothness of the equilibrium mapping:
Consequently, the family of equilibria forms a
-Hölder manifold in
, stable with respect to parametric perturbations.
This is a key property for macroeconomic models with multiple external shocks — small changes in parameters (e.g., tax rate, savings norm, or exports) cause Hölder-predictable changes in the equilibrium configuration of the economy.
4.14. Section Conclusions
The -Hölder tangent space is constructed, and it is proved that under conditions (4.1.1)–(4.1.2) and (4.5.1), the equilibrium set is stable in the sense of Hausdorff distance.
A theorem on second-order -Hölder stability is proved, ensuring the estimate (4.10.2).
Equivalence is shown between equilibrium stability and strict -convexity in optimization problems.
It is established that for dynamical systems (4.12.1), trajectory stability is preserved with a weakened order proportional to .
The family of equilibria forms a -smooth manifold stable with respect to parametric perturbations, confirming the structural stability of economic systems with nonsmooth dependencies.