Submitted:
04 October 2025
Posted:
06 October 2025
You are already at the latest version
Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Design and Data Features
2.2. ML and XAI Approaches
2.3. Statistical Methods
2.4. Categorical Boosting (CatBoost)
2.5. Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost)
2.6. Random Forest (RF)
2.7. Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM)
2.8. Gradient Boosting (GB)
2.9. Support Vector Machine (SVM–Radial Basis Function (RBF))
2.10. Logistic Regression (LR)
2.11. SHapley Contribution Explanations (SHAP)
2.12. Confusion Matrix
2.13. Model Evaluation Metrics
3. Results
| Model | Accuracy | Precision | Recall | F1 Score | ROC-AUC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CatBoost | 0.8140 | 0.7826 | 0.8571 | 0.8182 | 0.8766 |
| XGBoost | 0.8140 | 0.8824 | 0.7143 | 0.7895 | 0.8377 |
| Random Forest | 0.7907 | 0.7727 | 0.8095 | 0.7907 | 0.8593 |
| LightGBM | 0.7674 | 0.7895 | 0.7143 | 0.7500 | 0.8074 |
| Gradient Boosting | 0.7442 | 0.7500 | 0.7143 | 0.7317 | 0.8074 |
| SVM (RBF) | 0.6744 | 0.6522 | 0.7143 | 0.6818 | 0.7554 |
| Logistic Regression | 0.6279 | 0.6316 | 0.5714 | 0.6000 | 0.6082 |
| Feature | Shap | |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Z40(central) | 0.246204 |
| 1 | Posterior CD 0–2 mm (GSU) | 0.181423 |
| 2 | Anterior CD 6–10 mm (GSU) | 0.169333 |
| 3 | CoV | 0.149440 |
| 4 | K1 | 0.138394 |
| 5 | CT | 0.136007 |
| 6 | Central CD 0–2 mm (GSU) | 0.135759 |
| 7 | ACV | 0.127746 |
| 8 | K2 | 0.116788 |
| 9 | ACA | 0.111780 |
| 10 | Z40 (back) | 0.098672 |
| 11 | Posterior Total (0–12) mm (GSU) | 0.091918 |
| 12 | Z40 (front) | 0.086212 |
| 13 | ACD | 0.078599 |
| 14 | Posterior CD2–6 mm (GSU) | 0.077908 |
| 15 | Anterior CD (0–12) mm (GSU) | 0.060916 |
| 16 | Total thickness (6–10) | 0.052341 |
| 17 | Center Total (0–12) mm (GSU) | 0.051937 |
| 18 | RMS HOAs (central) | 0.042040 |
| 19 | RMS HOAs (front) | 0.041783 |
4. Discussion and Conclusions
4.1. Strengths and Limitations of the Study
4.2. Conclusions and Future Perspectives
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Variable Name | Explanation | Type | Role |
|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Study group (1 = control; 2 = psoriasis patient) | categorical | output |
| Anterior CD 0–2 mm (GSU) Anterior CD 2–6 mm (GSU) Anterior CD 6–10 mm (GSU) Anterior CD 10–12 mm (GSU) |
Densitometer measurements in the anterior 120 µm layer of the cornea (different ring regions) | continuous | input |
| Anterior CD 0–12 mm (GSU) | Total average densitometer value in the anterior layer of the cornea | continuous | input |
| Central CD 0–2 mm (GSU) Central CD 2–6 mm (GSU) Central CD 6–10 mm (GSU) Central CD 10–12 mm (GSU) |
Densitometer measurements in the central layer of the cornea (different ring regions) | continuous | input |
| Center total 0–12 mm (GSU) | Total average densitometer value of the central layer | continuous | input |
| Posterior CD 0–2 mm (GSU) Posterior CD 2–6 mm (GSU) Posterior CD 6–10 mm (GSU) Posterior CD 10–12 mm (GSU) |
Densitometer measurements in the posterior 60 µm layer of the cornea (different ring regions) | continuous | input |
| Posterior total 0–12 mm (GSU) | Total average densitometer value of the posterior layer | continuous | input |
| Total thickness (0–2) | Densitometer measurements for the entire thickness of the cornea (different ring regions) | continuous | input |
| Total thickness (2–6) | continuous | input | |
| Total thickness (6–10) | continuous | input | |
| Total thickness (10–12) | continuous | input | |
| Total thickness (0–12) | Total average densitometer value for all thicknesses | continuous | input |
| CoV | Corneal volume (mm3) | continuous | input |
| ACV | Anterior chamber volume (mm3) | continuous | input |
| ACA | Front chamber angle (degrees) | continuous | input |
| ACD | Anterior chamber depth (mm) | continuous | input |
| CT | Thinnest corneal thickness (µm) | continuous | input |
| K1 | Plain keratometry (diopter) | continuous | input |
| K2 | Vertical keratometry (diopter) | continuous | input |
| Kmax | Maximum keratometry (diopter) | continuous | input |
| RMS LOAs (front) RMS LOAs (back) RMS LOAs (central) |
Root mean square (RMS) value of low-order aberrations value (front/rear surface) |
continuous | input |
| RMS HOAs (front) RMS HOAs (back) RMS HOAs (central) |
RMS value of high-order aberrations (front/back surface) | continuous | input |
| RMS Total (front) RMS Total (back) RMS Total (central) |
RMS value of total aberrations (front/back surface/central) | continuous | input |
| Z40 (front) Z40 (back) Z40 (central) |
Corneal aberration (front/back surface/central) | continuous | input |
| Predictive Condition | Actual Condition | |
|---|---|---|
| Negative | Positive | |
| Negative | True Negative (TN) | False Negative (FN) |
| Positive | False Positive (FP) | True Positive (TP) |
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