Submitted:
26 August 2025
Posted:
27 August 2025
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Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.2. Study Setting
2.3. Study Participants
2.4. Data Collection
2.5. Statistical Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Socio-Demographic Characteristics of Study Participants
3.2. Responses to Vaccine Hesitancy Scale Items
3.3. Structure, Model Fit, and Internal Consistency of the VHS.
|
Vaccine Hesitancy Scale Items |
Rotated EFA loadings (blanks for values less than 0.32) | CFA unrotated loadings | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factor1: confidence | Factor2: risk tolerance | Factor1: confidence | Factor2: risk tolerance | |
| Vaccines are important for my health (R) | 0.68 | 0.75 | ||
| Vaccines are effective (R) | 0.66 | 0.57 | ||
| Being vaccinated is important for the health of others in the community (R) | 0.78 | 0.70 | ||
| All routine vaccinations recommended by the local authority on vaccination are beneficial (R) | 0.68 | 0.71 | ||
| New vaccines carry more risks than others. | 0.54 | 0.60 | ||
| The information I receive from the local authority on vaccination is reliable & trustworthy (R) | 0.53 | 0.68 | ||
| Getting vaccines is a good way to protect me from disease (R) | 0.76 | 0.75 | ||
| Generally, I do what my doctor or health care provider recommends about vaccines for me (R) | 0.67 | 0.54 | ||
| I am concerned about the serious adverse effects of vaccines. | ||||
| I don’t need vaccines for diseases that are not common anymore. | 0.42 | 0.53 | ||
| Note: EFA, Exploratory Factor Analysis. Method: maximum likelihood. Participants are randomly selected. 2 Factors. Rotation: oblique Promax (Kaiser off). CFA: Confirmatory Factor Analysis. Method: maximum likelihood. | ||||
| Factors | Eigen Value | Proportion |
|---|---|---|
| Factor1 | 4.24 | 0.40 |
| Factor2 | 1.25 | 0.12 |
| Factor3 | 0.91 | 0.09 |
| Factor4 | 0.74 | 0.07 |
| Factor5 | 0.69 | 0.07 |
| Factor6 | 0.61 | 0.06 |
| Factor7 | 0.51 | 0.05 |
| Factor8 | 0.44 | 0.04 |
| Factor9 | 0.43 | 0.04 |
| Factor10 | 0.37 | 0.04 |
| Note: Method: principal-component factor method to describe latent factors in half the cohort (randomly selected). Retained 2 factors. We retain factors with eigenvalues greater than 1 (the Kaiser Criterion). No Rotation. | ||
| chi2 | RMSEA | CFI | TLI | SRMR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1 with 9 VHS items (Excluding item 9) | 127.88 | 0.08 | 0.94 | 0.91 | 0.04 |
| Model 2 with 10 VHS items | 169.10 | 0.08 | 0.92 | 0.89 | 0.06 |
| Value for good fit | Low value | <0.06 | ≥0.95 | ≥0.95 | <0.08 |
| Note. Chi2: Chi-Square Test Statistic, RMSEA: Root Mean Square Error of Approximation, CFI: Comparative Fit Index, TLI: Tucker-Lewis Index, SRMR: Standardized Root Mean Square Residual | |||||
3.4. Relationship Between Demographic Characteristics and Vaccine Confidence
3.4.1. Correlates of Vaccine Confidence.
3.4.2. Correlates of Risk Tolerance
4. Discussion
Limitations
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| OR | Odds Ratio |
| 95%CI | 95% Confidence Interval |
| HIV | Human Immunodeficiency Virus |
| UVRI | Uganda Virus Research Institute |
| IAVI | International AIDS Vaccine Initiative |
| UNCST | Uganda National council for science and Technology |
| USAID | United States Agency for International Development |
Appendix 1
Appendix 2
References
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| Class Interval/Interpretation (Level of vaccine confidence) | Interval |
|---|---|
| Very high vaccine confidence | 1.00 - 1.80 |
| High vaccine confidence | 1.81 - 2.61 |
| Moderate vaccine confidence | 2.62 – 3.42 |
| Low vaccine confidence | 3.43 - 4.23 |
| Very low vaccine confidence | 4.24 – 5.04 |
| Demographic characteristics | Uganda N (%) |
Zambia N (%) |
South Africa N (%) |
Combined N (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Age 15-19 20-24 |
217 (54.3) 183 (45.7) |
234 (57.6) 172 (42.4) |
205 (50.4) 202 (49.6) |
656 (54.1) 557 (45.9) Mean 19.4 SD (2.6) |
|
Relationship status (N=1212)* Married Single with a steady partner Single with a casual partner(s) Single with no partners Others |
33 (8.2) 223 (55.7) 117 (29.3) 1 (0.3) 26 (6.5) |
7 (1.7) 209 (51.5) 174 (42.9) 3 (0.7) 13 (3.2) |
1 (0.2) 318 (78.3) 78 (19.2) 8 (2.0) 1 (0.2) |
41 (3.4) 750 (61.9) 369 (30.4) 12 (1.0) 40 (3.3) |
|
Ever married (N=1212)* Yes No |
76 (19.0) 324 (81.0) |
28 (6.9) 378 (93.1) |
1(0.2) 405 (99.8) |
105 (8.7) 1107 (91.3) |
|
Religious affiliation (1212)* Roman Catholic Protestant Born Again/Pentecostal Moslem/Islam Others |
136 (34.0) 56 (14.0) 110 (27.5) 88 (22.0) 10(2.5) |
111 (27.3) 173 (42.6) 81 (20.0) 2 (0.5) 39(9.6) |
30 (7.4) 156 (38.4) 101 (24.9) 2 (0.5) 117(28.8) |
277 (22.9) 385 (31.8) 292 (24.1) 92 (7.6) 166(13.7) |
|
Currently in school (N=1197**) Yes No |
61 (15.6) 329 (84.4) |
116 (28.9) 285 (71.1) |
174 (42.9) 232 (57.1) |
351 (29.3) 846 (70.7) |
|
Ever attended school (N=1212*) Yes No |
390 (97.5) 10 (2.5) |
401 (98.8) 5 (1.2) |
406 (100)0 |
1197 (98.8) 15 (1.2) |
|
Parental status Yes No |
200 (50.0) 200 (50.0) |
101 (24.9) 305 (75.1) |
120 (29.5) 287 (70.5) |
421 (34.7) 792 (65.3) |
|
Education level (N=1197 **) Primary Secondary Tertiary/Higher education |
159(40.8) 216(55.4) 15(3.9) |
107(26.7) 284(70.8) 10(2.5) |
3(0.7) 362(89.2) 41(10.1) |
269(22.5) 862(72.0) 66(5.5) |
|
Sources of income (N=1212*) None/no income Formal Employment Informal/alternative work Support/assistance |
30(7.5) 149(37.3) 49(12.3) 172(43.0) |
49(12.1) 21(5.2) 93(22.9) 243(59.9) |
84(20.7) 30(7.4) 21(5.2) 271(66.8) |
163(13.5) 200(16.5) 163(13.5) 686(56.6) |
| Likert scale Items | Vaccine Hesitancy Scale responses | Average score and interpretation | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD (%) | D (%) | N (%) | A (%) | SA (%) | ||
| Vaccines are important for my health (R) | 14 (1.2) | 22 (1.8) | 35 (2.9) | 745 (61.4) | 397 (32.7) |
1.77 Very high vaccine confidence |
| Vaccines are effective (R) | 15 (1.2) | 69 (5.7) | 73 (6.0) | 722 (59.5) | 334 (27.5) |
1.94 High vaccine confidence |
| Being vaccinated is important for the health of others in the community (R) | 12 (1.0) | 29 (2.4) | 39 (3.2) | 732 (60.4) | 401 (33.1) |
1.78 Very high vaccine confidence |
| All routine vaccinations recommended the local authority on vaccination are beneficial (R) | 5 (0.4) | 41 (3.4) | 61 (5.0) | 761 (62.7) | 345 (28.4) |
1.85 High vaccine confidence |
| New vaccines carry more risks than others | 92 (7.6) | 511 (42.1) | 279 (23.0) | 280 (23.1) | 51 (4.2) |
2.74 Moderate vaccine confidence |
| The information I receive from the local authority on vaccination is reliable & trustworthy (R) | 13 (1) | 32 (3) | 73 (6) | 803 (66) | 292 (24) |
1.90 High vaccine confidence |
| Getting vaccines is a good way to protect me from disease (R) | 9 (1) | 11 (1) | 32 (3) | 739 (61) | 422 (35) |
1.72 Very high vaccine confidence |
| Generally, I do what my doctor or health care provider recommends about vaccines for me (R) | 7 (1) | 44 (4) | 49 (4) | 757 (62) | 356 (29) |
1.84 High vaccine confidence |
| I am concerned about the serious adverse effects of vaccines | 28 (2) | 261 (22) | 120 (10) | 618 (51) | 186 (15) |
3.56 Low vaccine confidence |
| I don’t need vaccines for diseases that are not common anymore | 173 (14) | 593 (49) | 82 (7) | 288 (24) | 77 (6) |
2.59 Moderate vaccine confidence |
|
Key: SD: Strongly Disagree, D: Disagree, N: Neither Disagree nor Agree, A: Agree SA: Strongly Agree, (R): Indicates items that were reverse coded | ||||||
| Participant demographic characteristics | Bivariate Analysis | Multivariate Logistic Regression | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR | 95% CI | p Value | aOR | 95% CI | p Value | |
|
Country South Africa Uganda Zambia |
Ref 0.37 0.26 |
0.26 – 0.51 0.18 – 0.37 |
<0.001 <0.001 |
Ref 0.44 0.26 |
0.29 – 0.66 0.18 – 0.39 |
<0.001 <0.001 |
|
Age 15-19 20-24 |
Ref 1.05 |
0.80 – 1.39 |
0.71 |
|||
|
Relationship status Married Single with a steady partner Single with a casual partner(s) Single with no partners Others |
Ref 1.94 1.09 1.94 1.24 |
0.80 – 4.68 0.44 – 2.70 0.41 – 9.32 0.38 – 4.07 |
0.14 0.86 0.41 0.73 |
|||
|
Ever married Yes No |
Ref 1.71 |
0.97 – 3.02 |
0.06 |
Ref 0.94 |
0.49 – 1.79 |
0.84 |
|
Religious affiliation Born Again/Pentecostal Protestant Roman Catholic Moslem/Islam Other |
Ref 0.97 1.11 0.69 1.57 |
0.66 – 1.41 0.75 – 1.66 0.37 – 1.31 1.01 – 2.44 |
0.860 0.594 0.260 0.043 |
|||
|
Currently in school Yes No |
Ref 0.53 |
0.40 – 0.71 |
<0.001 |
Ref 0.70 |
0.50 – 0.97 |
0.04 |
|
Ever attended school Yes No |
Ref 0.56 |
0.12 – 2.48 |
0.44 |
|||
|
Parental status No Yes |
Ref 0.69 |
0.51 – 0.92 |
0.01 |
Ref 0.79 |
0.56 – 1.11 |
0.18 |
|
Education level Primary Secondary Tertiary/Higher education |
Ref 1.69 1.93 |
1.17 – 2.44 1.01 – 3.67 |
0.01 0.05 |
Ref 0.92 0.76 |
0.60 – 1.40 0.37 – 1.57 |
0.68 0.46 |
|
Sources of income None/no income Formal Employment Informal/alternative work Support/assistance |
Ref 0.36 0.38 0.52 |
0.22 – 0.60 0.22 – 0.64 0.36 – 0.75 |
<0.001 <0.001 <0.001 |
Ref 0.55 0.69 0.59 |
0.31 – 0.96 0.39 – 1.22 0.40 – 0.87 |
0.03 0.21 0.01 |
| OR: Odds ratio, aOR: Adjusted Odds Ratio. 95% CI: 95% confidence Interval. | ||||||
| Participant demographic characteristics | Bivariate Analysis | Multivariate Logistic Regression | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR | 95% CI | p Value | aOR | 95% CI | p Value | |
|
Country South Africa Uganda Zambia |
Ref 0.48 0.22 |
0.36 – 0.66 0.16 – 0.29 |
<0.001 <0.001 |
Ref 0.53 0.22 |
0.37 – 0.76 0.16 – 0.31 |
<0.001 <0.001 |
|
Age 15-19 20-24 |
Ref 1.23 |
0.97 – 1.55 |
0.082 |
Ref 1.18 |
0.90 – 1.55 |
0.240 |
|
Relationship status Married Single with a steady partner Single with a casual partner(s) Single with no partners Others |
Ref 1.18 0.79 2.12 0.96 |
0.62 – 2.23 0.41 – 1.51 0.50 – 9.03 0.40 – 2.32 |
0.620 0.469 0.307 0.925 |
|||
|
Ever married Yes No |
Ref 0.89 |
0.59 – 1.34 |
0.561 |
|||
|
Religious affiliation Born Again/Pentecostal Protestant Roman Catholic Moslem/Islam Other |
Ref 1.15 0.97 1.02 1.43 |
0.84 – 1.56 0.69 – 1.34 0.63 – 1.63 0.96 – 2.13 |
0.383 0.833 0.944 0.075 |
|||
|
Currently in school Yes No |
Ref 0.66 |
0.51 – 0.86 |
0.002 |
Ref 0.66 |
0.48 – 0.91 |
0.011 |
|
Ever attended school Yes No |
Ref 1.38 |
0.47 – 4.07 |
0.558 |
|||
|
Parental status No Yes |
Ref 1.26 |
0.99 – 1.61 |
0.058 |
Ref 1.29 |
0.97 – 1.73 |
0.083 |
|
Education level Primary Secondary Tertiary/Higher education |
Ref 1.41 2.28 |
1.07 – 1.85 1.27 – 4.09 |
0.015 0.006 |
Ref 0.98 1.07 |
0.71 – 1.34 0.56 – 2.06 |
0.885 0.836 |
|
Sources of income None/no income Formal Employment Informal/alternative Support/assistance |
Ref 0.42 0.37 0.37 |
0.27 – 0.67 0.23 – 0.60 0.25 – 0.55 |
<0.001 <0.001 <0.001 |
Ref 0.44 0.55 0.39 |
0.26 – 0.73 0.33 – 0.94 0.26 – 0.60 |
0.002 0.028 <0.001 |
| OR: Odds ratio, aOR: Adjusted Odds Ratio. 95% CI: 95% confidence Interval. | ||||||
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