Submitted:
22 July 2025
Posted:
25 July 2025
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Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
1.1. Research Objectives and Hypotheses
- Descriptive Hypothesis (H₁): We expect that very few Black homeowners will shop only within Ward 8 ("Inside-only"), most will shop only outside the Ward ("Outside-only"), and the rest will combine both patterns ("Mixed").
- Motivation Ranking (H₂): Of the eight raw motivation items, we predict that "Safety/Security" and "Product Selection" will be the most frequently endorsed and will load most heavily on the latent factors extracted through factor analysis.
- Tenure Effect (H₃): We expect that a longer residence duration (Tenure Years) will be associated with a higher likelihood of Mixed shopping and a lower likelihood of exclusive Outside-only shopping after accounting for age, education, and income.
- Access & Convenience (H₄): Finally, we hypothesize that higher scores on the "Access & Convenience" factor will significantly increase the likelihood of an "Outside-only" pattern compared to a "Mixed" pattern after controlling for demographic characteristics.
1.2. Theoretical Framework
- Small Spatial World (adapted from Chatman’s Small World Theory): This framework, rather than focusing on personal ties, emphasizes how shared spatial routines and limited civic infrastructure shape normative consumption behaviors in disinvested neighborhoods.
- Racial Capitalism: This macrostructural perspective illustrates how systemic devaluation and racialized market forces drain resources from Black communities, often forcing residents to seek essential services outside their local areas.
2. Literature Review
2.1. Racial Capitalism and Consumption Feedback Loops
3. Materials and Methods
3.1. Research Design
3.2. Sample and Data Collection
3.3. Survey Design and Instrument Development
3.4. Measures and Variable Construction
3.5. Reliability and Validation
3.6. Ethical Considerations
3.7. Pilot Testing
3.8. Data Analysis: Model Assumptions and Statistical Power
3.9. Administration and Analytical Strategy
5. Results
5.1. Descriptive Statistics
5.2. Home-Purchase Motivations
5.3. Motivation Frequencies
- Safety and Security: cited by 69 % of respondents
- Better Product Selection: cited by 67 %
- Lack of Options in Ward 8: cited by 67 %
5.4. Factor Analysis
- Service and Quality mainly depend on Better Customer Service (0.82), Cleanliness (0.78), Better Quality (0.75), and Better Selection (0.70), indicating this dimension reflects residents' concerns about overall service and product standards.
- Access and Convenience are characterized by high loadings on Convenience (0.80), Lack of Options in W8 (0.78), and Safety and Security (0.75), pointing to spatial and logistical barriers that affect shopping choices.
- The Economic factor is almost entirely represented by Better Prices (0.85), highlighting a clear cost-sensitivity component.
- Service and Quality scores cluster around zero (M = 0.02, SD = 0.98, Median = 0.05), indicating balanced endorsement among participants.
- Access and Convenience have a slightly negative average (M = -0.12, SD = 1.02, Median = -0.10), indicating modest concerns overall.
- Economic scores are nearly centered (M = 0.04, SD = 1.00, Median = 0.00), indicating a minority focus on price among motivations.
5.5. Mean Factor Scores by Shopping Pattern
- Service & Quality: Mixed shoppers score slightly above zero, while Outside-only shoppers hover just below, indicating both groups place modest importance on service quality, but Mixed shoppers value it marginally more.
- Access & Convenience: Mixed shoppers score significantly below zero (–0.16), whereas Outside-only shoppers score well above zero (+0.08), showing that logistical and safety concerns are key reasons for those who shop exclusively outside Ward 8.
- Economic: Mixed shoppers again exceed zero (+0.05), and Outside-only shoppers fall slightly below (-0.02), implying that price considerations are somewhat more critical for Mixed shoppers than for those shopping only outside.
5.6. Multinomial Logistic Regression
- Residential Tenure (H3). As hypothesized, longer length of residence in Ward 8 was associated with lower odds of shopping exclusively outside the neighborhood versus a mixed pattern (β = –0.087, SE = 0.063, p = .17; OR = 0.92). Although the direction of effect supports H3, this coefficient did not reach statistical significance.
- Access & Convenience (H4). Consistent with our predictions, a one-unit increase in Access & Convenience factor score significantly raised the odds of Outside-only shopping compared to a mixed pattern (β = 0.51, SE = 0.21, p = .02; OR = 1.67). This finding confirms that logistical and safety considerations are powerful drivers of exclusive out-of-Ward purchasing.
- Control Variables. Age range, education level, and income bracket were entered as covariates; none achieved statistical significance, although all indicated a trend in the expected direction (older and higher-income respondents tended toward mixed shopping).
5.7. Hypothesis Tests Summary
6. Discussion
7. Conclusions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Use of Generative AI Disclosure
Abbreviations
| MDPI | Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute |
| LIS | Library and Information Sciences |
| ANC | Advisory Neighborhood Commissions |
| SD | Standard Deviation |
| N | Sample Size |
| β | Regression coefficient |
| SE | Standard Error |
| z | z-score |
| p-value | Probability value |
| CI | Confidence Interval |
| OR | Odds Ratio |
Appendix A
Appendix A.1: Black Homeowner Instrument
| Black Homeowner Survey Instrument | ||
| Number # | Questions | Choices |
| 1 | Do you provide consent to participate in this survey? | Yes No |
| 2 | What is your age range? |
Under 25 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65 and above Prefer not to answer |
| 3 | What is your gender identity? |
Male Female Non-binary/third gender Transgender Prefer not to say |
| 4 | How long have you lived in your Ward 8, D.C., neighborhood? |
Less than 1-year 1-3 years 4-6 years 7-10 years 10 -14 years 15- 19 years 20 years or more |
| 5 | Do you identify as Black or African American? |
Yes, I identify solely as Black or African American Yes, I identify as Black or African American and also identify as belonging to one or more other groups. No |
| 6 | What is your highest level of education? |
Trade School Certification (e.g., Plumber, Commercial Driver's License) Associate degree Bachelor's degree Master's degree Doctorate or professional degree Prefer not to answer |
| 7 | What is your annual household income? |
Under $50,000 $50,000 - $99,999 $100,000 - $149,999 $150,000 -$199,999 $200,000 -$249,999 $250,000-$499,999 $500,000 and above Prefer not to answer |
| 8 | Do you own and occupy a home in Ward 8, D.C.? |
I own and occupy a home in Ward 8, D.C. I own but do not occupy a home in Ward 8, D.C. |
| 9 | Where do you primarily frequent restaurants or other retail goods (e.g., haircare products, liquor stores, and bookstores)? | Inside Ward 8, Washington, D.C. Outside Ward 8 but within Washington, D.C. Primarily in Maryland Primarily in Virginia I primarily order delivery and shop online |
| 10 | Where do you primarily purchase your groceries and everyday supplies? |
Inside Ward 8, Washington, D.C. Outside Ward 8 but within Washington, D.C. Primarily in Maryland Primarily in Virginia I primarily order delivery and shop online |
| 11 | Where do you typically purchase gas? |
Inside Ward 8, Washington, D.C. Outside Ward 8 but within Washington, D.C. Primarily in Maryland Primarily in Virginia I do not purchase gas |
| 12 | Which, if any, of the below lead you to seek essential services (grocery stores, healthcare, gas stations) outside Ward 8, Washington, D.C.? (Select all that apply.) |
Customer service is better elsewhere. Cleanliness is better elsewhere. Safety and security concerns. The convenience of shopping locations and parking is better elsewhere. The prices of goods and services are better elsewhere. The quality of goods and services is better elsewhere. Product selection is better elsewhere. There is a lack of options and trust in the resources available in Ward 8. |
| 13 | Which of the following best describes your primary motivation for purchasing a home and living in Ward 8, Washington, D.C.? (Select one option.) |
To contribute to social justice efforts, such as "buying back the block" and uplifting the local Black community To create opportunities for generational wealth through homeownership Both social justice efforts and generational wealth opportunities None of the above |
Appendix A.2: Table of Sample Demographics (N = 58)
| Variable | Variable | N | Percent | Mean | SD | Median | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 58 | 47.5 | 11.8 | 49.5 | 22-68 | ||
| Tenure (years) | 58 | 12.4 | 5.1 | 12.5 | 1-20 | ||
| Income | Under $50,000 | 5 | 8.6% | ||||
| Income | $50K-$99K | 11 | 19.0% | ||||
| Income | $100K-$149K | 13 | 22.4% | ||||
| Income | $150K-$199K | 12 | 20.7% | ||||
| Income | $200K-$249K | 5 | 8.6% | ||||
| Income | $250K-$499K | 7 | 12.1% | ||||
| Income | ≥ $500K | 0 | 0.0% | ||||
| Income | Median bracket | $125K | |||||
| Education | Trade school certificate | 5 | 8.6% | ||||
| Education | Associate degree | 3 | 5.2% | ||||
| Education | Bachelor’s degree | 3 | 5.2% | ||||
| Education | Master’s degree | 21 | 36.2% | ||||
| Education | Doctorate/professional | 18 | 31.0% | ||||
| Education | Mode & Median | Master’s |
Appendix B
Appendix B.1: Scatterplot of Access & Convenience Factor Scores by Tenure Years

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| Hypothesis and Survey Variables | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hypothesis | Dependent Variable | Independent Variable(s) | Control Variables | Linked Survey Items |
| H1 | Shopping Pattern (Inside-only/Outside-only/Mixed) | Descriptive | N/A | Item on primary shopping location (Inside/Outside/Mixed) |
| H2 | Motivation Factors (latent, via factor analysis) | Raw Motivation Items (e.g., Safety, Quality, Price) | N/A | Eight binary items on shopping motivations |
| H3 | Shopping Pattern (categorical) | Tenure Years | Age, Education, Income |
Item on number of years residing in Ward 8 |
| H4 | Shopping Patterns (Mixed vs. Outside-Only) | Access and Convenience (factor score) | Age, Education, Income | Access, parking, and travel-related motivation items |
| Predictor | β | SE | z | p-value | OR | 95% CI for OR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Access and Convenience | 0.51 | 0.21 | 2.42 | .02 | 1.67 | [1.09, 2.56] |
| Tenure Years | -0.087 | 0.063 | -1.38 | .17 | 0.92 | [0.82, 1.03] |
| Age Range | -0.010 | 0.34 | -0.03 | .98 | 0.99 | [0.51, 1.92] |
| Education | -0.14 | 0.23 | -0.61 | .54 | 0.87 | [0.53, 1.42] |
| Income Bracket | 0.005 | 0.16 | 0.03 | .98 | 1/00 | [0.72, 1.38] |
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