Submitted:
13 June 2025
Posted:
13 June 2025
Read the latest preprint version here
Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
- RQ1
- RQ1: How do EU countries compare in terms of their combined performance on equity and growth?
- RQ1
- RQ2: What patterns emerge over time, and what types of developmental configurations can be identified?
- RQ1
- RQ3: To what extent can a composite indicator such as the IDDO serve as a useful diagnostic and policy tool?
2. Theoretical Background and Literature Review
2.1. Growth and Distribution: Parallel or Divergent Trajectories?
2.2. Composite Indices in Sustainable Development Monitoring
2.3. The Need for a Mixed Indicator of Development and Distribution
3. Data and Methodology
3.1. Data Sources and Geographical Coverage
- 2005 marks the first year when harmonized data on the Gini coefficient before social transfers (excluding pensions) became available for most EU-27 countries, due to expanded coverage of the EU-SILC survey and indicator standardization within Eurostat.
- 2014 serves as a midpoint of the 2005–2024 interval, capturing a relatively stable fiscal and social policy context prior to the systemic shock of the COVID-19 pandemic.
- 2024 is used as the final reference point, representing the most recent year for which aggregated or pre-aggregated data on income inequality are available at the EU level.
3.2. Constructing the IDDO Indicator
3.2.1. Normalization Procedure
- represents the normalized GDP per capita value for a given country;
- reprezintă the raw GDP per capita (in PPS) value for the country "i" under analysis;
- represents the lowest GDP per capita value in the dataset;
- represents the highest GDP per capita value in the dataset.
- represents the inverted normalized value of the Gini coefficient for a given country;
- represents the raw Gini coefficient value for the country "i" under analysis;
- represents the lowest Gini coefficient in the sample (i.e., the most egalitarian society);
- represents the highest Gini coefficient (i.e., the most unequal society).
3.2.2. Composite Score Calculation
- represents the normalized GDP per capita for country "i" at time "t", calculated using min-max normalization;
- represents the normalized (and inverted) Gini coefficient for country "i" at time "t", such that lower inequality yields higher values.
- α∈[0,1] represents a weighting parameter dependent on policy preferences, reflecting the emphasis placed by the analyst or policymaker on the economic versus the social dimension;
- și as previously defined.
3.2.3. Interpretation and Typological Classification
4. Results and Discussion
4.1. General Trends in the EU-27
4.2. Typological Classification of Member States
- Type I – High Balanced Development (IDDO ≥ 0.55): Luxembourg, Czechia, Netherlands, Slovenia.
- Type II – Moderate and Stable Progress (0.45 ≤ IDDO < 0.54): Austria, Malta, Slovakia, Sweden, Belgium, Germany.
- Type III – Convergence with Inequality (0.30 ≤ IDDO < 0.44): France, Finland, Hungary, Spain, Ireland, Italy, Denmark, Cyprus, Croatia, Poland, Greece.
- Type IV – High Distributive Imbalance (IDDO < 0.29): Romania, Bulgaria, Latvia, Lithuania, Portugal, Estonia.
5. Conclusions and Policy Implications
6. Limitations and Future Research
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
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| Component | Primary Source | Measurement | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| GDP per capita (PPS) | Eurostat – TEC00114* and STAT/07/179**$(accessed on 5 June 2025) | Volume indices of real expenditure per capita (PPS_EU27=100) | Purchasing Power Standard (PPS) facilitates meaningful cross-country comparisons. Values in PPS are derived by adjusting current-price national currency aggregates using the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) index. |
| Gini coefficient of equivalized disposable income before social transfers (pensions excluded) | Eurostat – ILC_DI12C$(accessed on 5 June 2025) | Scale from 0 to 100 | Demographically adjusted and excludes pensions. This specific measure reflects pre-transfer income inequality, capturing disparities based on market incomes (e.g., wages, private investments). It is the official Eurostat indicator for income inequality under the Europe 2020 strategy and SDG monitoring. |
| Type | IDDO Range | Characteristics |
|---|---|---|
| Type I– High Equity & High Growth | IDDO ≥ 0.55 | Balanced development: high prosperity and social inclusion – the ideal scenario |
| Type II– High Growth & Low Equity | 0.45 ≤ IDDO < 0.54 | Growth-oriented trajectory with polarization – growth-biased configuration |
| Type III– Low Growth & Moderate Equity | 0.30 ≤ IDDO < 0.44 | Resilient equity amid weak economic performance – residual welfare scenario |
| Type IV – Low Growth & Low Equity | IDDO < 0.29 | Dual vulnerability: economic and social fragility – polarized underdevelopment |
| Country | GDP/capita (PPS) | Gini | Normalized GDP | Inverse Normalized Gini | IDDO | Average IDDO | ||||||||||
| 2005 | 2014 | 2024● | 2005 | 2014 | 2024 | 2005 | 2014 | 2024 | 2005 | 2014 | 2024 | 2005 | 2014 | 2024 | 2005-2024 | |
| EU - 27 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 36.3 | 36.1 | 34.4 | 0.28 | 0.22 | 0.19 | 0.52 | 0.59 | 0.49 | 0.40 | 0.41 | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| Belgium | 121 | 121 | 117 | 37.7 | 34.5 | 32.6 | 0.37 | 0.31 | 0.29 | 0.40 | 0.69 | 0.61 | 0.39 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| Bulgaria | 35 | 48 | 66 | 35.1# | 38 | 41.7 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.61 | 0.47 | 0.00 | 0.31 | 0.24 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
| Czechia | 77 | 88 | 91 | 32.5 | 29.6 | 27.1 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 0.82 | 1.00 | 0.97 | 0.50 | 0.59 | 0.56 | 0.55 |
| Denmark | 127 | 128 | 128 | 35.8 | 38.2 | 35.9 | 0.40 | 0.34 | 0.35 | 0.56 | 0.46 | 0.39 | 0.48 | 0.40 | 0.37 | 0.42 |
| Germany | 115 | 128 | 115 | 33.1 | 37.1 | 35.5 | 0.35 | 0.34 | 0.28 | 0.77 | 0.53 | 0.41 | 0.56 | 0.44 | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| Estonia | 63 | 78 | 79 | 37.9 | 39.2 | 35.3 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.07 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.43 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| Ireland | 144 | 141 | 211 | 41.8 | 45.5 | 34.3 | 0.47 | 0.40 | 0.83 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.49 | 0.28 | 0.20 | 0.66 | 0.38 |
| Greece | 97 | 71 | 70 | 34.7 | 37 | 34.6 | 0.27 | 0.10 | 0.02 | 0.64 | 0.53 | 0.47 | 0.46 | 0.32 | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| Spain | 103 | 90 | 92 | 34.4 | 39.9 | 34.6 | 0.30 | 0.18 | 0.15 | 0.67 | 0.35 | 0.47 | 0.48 | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| France | 112 | 108 | 99 | 34.3 | 35.1 | 37 | 0.33 | 0.26 | 0.19 | 0.67 | 0.65 | 0.31 | 0.50 | 0.46 | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| Croatia | 50 | 60 | 77 | 37### | 36.5 | 32.2 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.46 | 0.57 | 0.63 | 0.26 | 0.31 | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| Italy | 105 | 98 | 98 | 34.1 | 34.8 | 36.3 | 0.30 | 0.22 | 0.18 | 0.69 | 0.67 | 0.36 | 0.50 | 0.44 | 0.27 | 0.40 |
| Cyprus | 93 | 81 | 95 | 31 | 37.5 | 32.3 | 0.25 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.94 | 0.50 | 0.63 | 0.59 | 0.32 | 0.40 | 0.44 |
| Latvia | 50 | 61 | 71 | 39.4 | 38.5 | 36.9 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 0.27 | 0.44 | 0.32 | 0.17 | 0.25 | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| Lithuania | 53 | 75 | 87 | 39.9 | 39.4 | 39.8 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.23 | 0.38 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.25 | 0.12 | 0.17 |
| Luxembourg | 265 | 280 | 241 | 32.1 | 35.5 | 34 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.85 | 0.63 | 0.51 | 0.92 | 0.81 | 0.76 | 0.83 |
| Hungary | 64 | 69 | 77 | 36.5 | 35.4 | 31.2 | 0.13 | 0.09 | 0.06 | 0.50 | 0.64 | 0.70 | 0.31 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| Malta | 77 | 94 | 109 | 30.2 | 32.5 | 33.7 | 0.18 | 0.20 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.82 | 0.53 | 0.59 | 0.51 | 0.39 | 0.50 |
| Netherlands | 131 | 133 | 135 | 33.7 | 32.3 | 31.6 | 0.42 | 0.37 | 0.39 | 0.72 | 0.83 | 0.67 | 0.57 | 0.60 | 0.53 | 0.57 |
| Austria | 129 | 129 | 115 | 32.5 | 33.9 | 33.9 | 0.41 | 0.35 | 0.28 | 0.82 | 0.73 | 0.52 | 0.61 | 0.54 | 0.40 | 0.52 |
| Poland | 51 | 68 | 79 | 41.1 | 34 | 30.4 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 0.13 | 0.72 | 0.75 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| Portugal | 76 | 77 | 82 | 41.3 | 38.7 | 34.5 | 0.18 | 0.13 | 0.09 | 0.12 | 0.43 | 0.48 | 0.15 | 0.28 | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| Romania | 35 | 55 | 79 | 42.8## | 38.2 | 30.8 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.46 | 0.73 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.40 | 0.21 |
| Slovenia | 87 | 82 | 91 | 30.7 | 31 | 27.9 | 0.23 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 0.96 | 0.91 | 0.92 | 0.59 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.55 |
| Slovakia | 61 | 78 | 75 | 31.7 | 30 | 26.7 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.05 | 0.88 | 0.97 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.55 | 0.53 | 0.53 |
| Finland | 115 | 111 | 103 | 35.5 | 34.1 | 33.6 | 0.35 | 0.27 | 0.21 | 0.58 | 0.72 | 0.54 | 0.46 | 0.49 | 0.38 | 0.44 |
| Sweden | 124 | 125 | 114 | 33.3 | 36.3 | 33.6 | 0.39 | 0.33 | 0.27 | 0.75 | 0.58 | 0.54 | 0.57 | 0.46 | 0.41 | 0.48 |
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