Submitted:
24 April 2025
Posted:
25 April 2025
You are already at the latest version
Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. Data and Methods
2.1. Study Site

2.2. Datasets and Methodology
2.2.1. Datasets
2.2.2. Methods
2.3. Modelling Tools and Approach
2.4. Model Calibration and Validation
2.5. Simulation Scenarios
2.6. Model Performance Evaluation Criteria
3. Results
3.1. RORB and MIKE+ Hydrological Model Calibration and Validation
| Event | Peak flow error (%) |
Total Volume error (%) | Lag time (minutes) | NSE | PBIAS | RSR |
| RORB Model Calibration Results | ||||||
| 06/03/2023 | -0.36 | -1.4 | 40 | 0.63 | -1.0 | 0.7 |
| 07/03/2023 | 0.89 | 1.97 | 25 | 0.56 | 2 | 0.7 |
| 24/04/2023 | 0.58 | 1.68 | 25 | 0.57 | -0.5 | 0.7 |
| 17/06/2023 | 0.09 | 0.25 | 20 | 0.81 | 0.3 | 0.14 |
| 26/07/2023 | 0 | 0.6 | 55 | 0.62 | 1 | 0.56 |
| MIKE + Model Calibration Results | ||||||
| 06/03/2023 | 2.57 | 1.64 | 10 | 0.55 | 1.6 | 0.53 |
| 07/03/2023 | 0.89 | 1.97 | 15 | 0.65 | 2 | 0.69 |
| 24/04/2023 | -0.38 | -0.51 | 30 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.66 |
| 17/06/2023 | 0.05 | 1.2 | 20 | 0.77 | 0.8 | 0.55 |
| 26/07/2023 | -4.1 | 4.7 | 65 | 0.66 | 4.7 | 0.69 |
| Event | Peak flow error (%) |
Total Volume error (%) | Lag time (minutes) | NSE | PBIAS | RSR |
| RORB Model Validation Results | ||||||
| 25/02/2023 | -0.15 | -0.05 | 70 | 0.73 | -0.05 | 0.71 |
| 05/03/2023 | -0.01 | 0.08 | 60 | 0.55 | 0.1 | 1.01 |
| 17/04/2023 | 0.04 | -0.03 | 20 | 0.76 | -0.03 | 0.52 |
| 13/05/2023 | 0.00 | 1.41 | 130 | 0.89 | 1.4 | 0.33 |
| 03/07/2023 | -0.50 | -0.18 | 15 | 0.65 | 1.2 | 0.46 |
| MIKE + Model Validation Results | ||||||
| 25/02/2023 | -0.01 | -0.89 | 80 | 0.65 | 1 | 0.75 |
| 05/03/2023 | -0.02 | 17.27 | 20 | 0.54 | 0.1 | 0.7 |
| 17/04/2023 | 0.32 | -0.153 | 20 | 0.76 | 0.01 | 0.60 |
| 13/05/2023 | -0.38 | -0.51 | 130 | 0.74 | -0.5 | 0.7 |
| 03/07/2023 | -0.35 | 2.45 | 35 | 0.66 | 2.5 | 0.52 |
3.2. Catchment Hydrological Characteristics
3.3. PF & TRV Reduction Using Integrated Grey and Individual WSUD


3.4. PF & TRV Reduction Using Integrated Grey and Mixed WSUD
3.5. Flood Maps with Grey and WSUD Measures

4. Discussion
4.1. Grey Infrastructure Mitigation Performance
4.2. Grey Infrastructure Design: Philosophical Approach
4.3. Individual WSUD Performance in a Tropical Sub-Catchment
4.4. Mixed WSUD Performance in a Tropical Sub-Catchment
4.5. WSUD Performance in a Tropical Sub-Catchment
4.6. Factors Affecting WSUD Application in Wet Tropics
5. Limitations and Future Research
6. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgements
Conflicts of Interest
References
- IPCC, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Fourth Assessment Report. Geneva, Switzerland: Inter-gov- ernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge; UK: Cambridge University Press; 2007. Available from: www.ipcc.ch. 2007. [CrossRef]
- Y. Huang, Y. Ma, T. Liu, and M. Luo, ‘Climate change impacts on extreme flows under IPCC RCP scenarios in the mountainous Kaidu watershed, Tarim River Basin’, Sustainability (Switzerland), vol. 12, no. 5, pp. 1–23, 2020. [CrossRef]
- IPCC, ‘Climate change 2021: The physical science basis summary for policymakers’, 2021. [CrossRef]
- N. Najibi and N. Devineni, ‘Recent trends in the frequency and duration of global floods’, Earth System Dynamics, vol. 9, no. 2, pp. 757–783, 2018. [CrossRef]
- H. Storch and N. K. Downes, ‘A scenario-based approach to assess Ho Chi Minh City’s urban development strategies against the impact of climate change’, Cities, vol. 28, no. 6, pp. 517–526, 2011. [CrossRef]
- N. Najibi and N. Devineni, ‘Recent trends in the frequency and duration of global floods’, Earth System Dynamics, vol. 9, no. 2, pp. 757–783, 2018. [CrossRef]
- Y. Zhang and M. R. Najafi, ‘Probabilistic Numerical Modeling of Compound Flooding Caused by Tropical Storm Matthew Over a Data-Scarce Coastal Environment’, Water Resour Res, vol. 56, no. 10, 2020. [CrossRef]
- D. S. Bisht, C. Chatterjee, S. Kalakoti, P. Upadhyay, M. Sahoo, and A. Panda, ‘Modeling urban floods and drainage using SWMM and MIKE URBAN: a case study’, Natural Hazards, vol. 84, no. 2, pp. 749–776, 2016. [CrossRef]
- T. D. van der Pol, S. Gabbert, H. P. Weikard, E. C. van Ierland, and E. M. T. Hendrix, ‘A Minimax Regret Analysis of Flood Risk Management Strategies Under Climate Change Uncertainty and Emerging Information’, Environ Resour Econ (Dordr), vol. 68, no. 4, pp. 1087–1109, 2017. [CrossRef]
- W. Chen, W. Wang, G. Huang, Z. Wang, C. Lai, and Z. Yang, ‘The capacity of grey infrastructure in urban flood management: A comprehensive analysis of grey infrastructure and the green-grey approach’, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, vol. 54, no. August 2020, p. 102045, 2021. [CrossRef]
- C. Martínez, Z. Vojinovic, and A. Sanchez, ‘Multi-Objective Model-Based Assessment of Green-Grey Infrastructures for Urban Flood Mitigation’, Hydrology, vol. 8, no. 3, p. 110, 2021. [CrossRef]
- W. Chen, W. Wang, G. Huang, Z. Wang, C. Lai, and Z. Yang, ‘The capacity of grey infrastructure in urban flood management: A comprehensive analysis of grey infrastructure and the green-grey approach’, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, vol. 54, Feb. 2021. [CrossRef]
- M. G. Miguez, O. M. Rezende, and A. P. Veról, ‘City Growth and Urban Drainage Alternatives: Sustainability Challenge’, J Urban Plan Dev, vol. 141, no. 3, p. 04014026, 2015. [CrossRef]
- A. Hoban, Water sensitive urban design approaches and their description. Elsevier Inc., 2018. [CrossRef]
- A. Sharma, S. Hettiarachchi, and C. Wasko, ‘Estimating design hydrologic extremes in a warming climate: Alternatives, uncertainties and the way forward’, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, vol. 379, no. 2195, 2021. [CrossRef]
- A. K. Sharma et al., ‘Water sensitive urban design: An investigation of current systems, implementation drivers, community perceptions and potential to supplement urban water services’, Water (Switzerland), vol. 8, no. 7, 2016. [CrossRef]
- Z. Zhu and X. Chen, ‘Evaluating the effects of low impact development practices on urban flooding under different rainfall intensities’, Water (Switzerland), vol. 9, no. 7, 2017. [CrossRef]
- G. C. Dandy, M. Di Matteo, and H. R. Maier, Optimization of WSUD Systems, no. 3. Elsevier Inc., 2018. [CrossRef]
- K. Eckart, Z. McPhee, and T. Bolisetti, ‘Performance and implementation of low impact development – A review’, Science of the Total Environment, vol. 607–608, pp. 413–432, 2017. [CrossRef]
- E. Jamei and N. Tapper, WSUD and Urban Heat Island Effect Mitigation. Elsevier Inc., 2018. [CrossRef]
- C. Walker and T. Lucke, Urban Lakes as a WSUD System. Elsevier Inc., 2018. [CrossRef]
- P. Patel, S. Karmakar, S. Ghosh, D. G. Aliaga, and D. Niyogi, ‘Impact of green roofs on heavy rainfall in tropical, coastal urban area’, Environmental Research Letters, vol. 16, no. 7, 2021. [CrossRef]
- L. Teang, J. Wongwatcharapaiboon, K. Irvine, I. Jamieson, D. Rinchumphu, and K. N. Irvine, ‘Modelling the Impact of Water Sensitive Urban Design on Pluvial Flood Management in a Tropical Climate Sustainability Learning Lab View project Mediation of arsenic levels in rice View project Modelling the Impact of Water Sensitive Urban Design on Pluvia’, no. June, 2020, [Online]. Available: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/352787219.
- W. K. Yau, M. Radhakrishnan, S. Y. Liong, C. Zevenbergen, and A. Pathirana, ‘Effectiveness of ABC waters design features for runoff quantity control in Urban Singapore’, Water (Switzerland), vol. 9, no. 8, p. 577, 2017. [CrossRef]
- M. L. R. Goncalves, J. Zischg, S. Rau, M. Sitzmann, W. Rauch, and M. Kleidorfer, ‘Modeling the effects of introducing low impact development in a tropical city: A case study from Joinville, Brazil’, Sustainability (Switzerland), vol. 10, no. 3, 2018. [CrossRef]
- L. Ruangpan et al., ‘Nature-based solutions for hydro-meteorological risk reduction: a state-of-the-art review of the research area’, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, vol. 20, no. 1, pp. 243–270, 2020. [CrossRef]
- Z. Vojinovic and J. van Teeffelen, ‘An integrated stormwater management approach for small islands in tropical climates’, Urban Water J, vol. 4, no. 3, pp. 211–231, 2007. [CrossRef]
- Z. Vojinovic et al., ‘Effectiveness of small- and large-scale Nature-Based Solutions for flood mitigation: The case of Ayutthaya, Thailand’, Science of the Total Environment, vol. 789, p. 147725, 2021. [CrossRef]
- K. Aghaloo, A. Sharifi, N. Habibzadeh, T. Ali, and Y. R. Chiu, ‘How nature-based solutions can enhance urban resilience to flooding and climate change and provide other co-benefits: A systematic review and taxonomy’, May 01, 2024, Elsevier GmbH. [CrossRef]
- C. Li, C. Peng, P. C. Chiang, Y. Cai, X. Wang, and Z. Yang, ‘Mechanisms and applications of green infrastructure practices for stormwater control: A review’, J Hydrol (Amst), vol. 568, no. September 2018, pp. 626–637, 2019. [CrossRef]
- J. Byrne, M. Green, and S. Dallas, WSUD Implementation in a Precinct Residential Development. Elsevier, 2018. [CrossRef]
- F. Ahammed, G. Rohita Sara, H. Paul Kai, and L. Yan, ‘Optimum numbering and sizing of infiltration-based water sensitive urban design technologies in South Australia’, International Journal of Sustainable Engineering, vol. 14, no. 1, pp. 79–86, 2021. [CrossRef]
- I. W. Brown, K. McDougall, M. J. Alam, R. Chowdhury, and S. Chadalavada, ‘Calibration of a continuous hydrologic simulation model in the urban Gowrie Creek catchment in Toowoomba, Australia’, J Hydrol Reg Stud, vol. 40, Apr. 2022. [CrossRef]
- WMAwater, Australian Rainfall Runoff Revision Project 3: Temporal Patterns of Rainfall - Stage 3 report, no. December. 2015.
- E. M. Laurenson, R. G. Mein, and R. J. Nathan, ‘MONASH UNIVERSITY DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL ENGINEERING in conjunction with RORB VERSION 6 RUNOFF ROUTING PROGRAM USER MANUAL’, 2010.
- DHI, ‘MIKE FLOOD 1D-2D MODELLING USER MANUAL’, 2017.
- R. Rønneberg Hernes, ‘Evaluating Hydrological Performance of LID-Modules in Mike Urban’, no. June, 2018.
- K. M. Tan, W. K. Seow, C. L. Wang, H. J. Kew, and S. B. Parasuraman, ‘Evaluation of performance of Active, Beautiful and Clean (ABC) on stormwater runoff management using MIKE URBAN: a case study in a residential estate in Singapore’, Urban Water J, vol. 16, no. 2, pp. 156–162, 2019. [CrossRef]
- J. Ball, M. Babister, M. Retallick, and E. Weinmann, Australian Rainfall & Runoff BOOK 1: A Guide to Flood Estimation. 2019. [Online]. Available: http://www.arr-software.org/arrdocs.html.
- P. Coombes and S. Roso, A Guide To Flood Estimation: Book 9 Runoff in Urban Areas. 2019.
- D. Althoff and L. N. Rodrigues, ‘Goodness-of-fit criteria for hydrological models: Model calibration and performance assessment’, J Hydrol (Amst), vol. 600, Sep. 2021. [CrossRef]
- Alam, ‘Calibration of a flood model using the MIKE FLOOD modelling package employing the direct rainfall technique’, 2015. [Online]. Available: www.mssanz.org.au/modsim2015.
- Wang et al., ‘Multi-site calibration, validation, and sensitivity analysis of the MIKE SHE Model for a large watershed in northern China’, Hydrol Earth Syst Sci, vol. 16, no. 12, pp. 4621–4632, 2012. [CrossRef]
- A. Palla and I. Gnecco, ‘Hydrologic modelling of Low Impact Development systems at the urban catchment scale’, J Hydrol (Amst), vol. 528, pp. 361–368, Sep. 2015. [CrossRef]
- W. M. Alley and J. E. Veenhuis, ‘EFFECTIVE IMPERVIOUS AREA IN URBAN RUNOFF MODELING’.
- A. Ebrahimian, B. N. Wilson, and J. S. Gulliver, ‘Improved methods to estimate the effective impervious area in urban catchments using rainfall-runoff data’, J Hydrol (Amst), vol. 536, pp. 109–118, May 2016. [CrossRef]
- A. Ladson, ‘Using WSUD to Restore Predevelopment Hydrology’, in Approaches to Water Sensitive Urban Design: Potential, Design, Ecological Health, Urban Greening, Economics, Policies, and Community Perceptions, Elsevier, 2018, pp. 209–228. [CrossRef]
- B. R. Myers and D. Pezzaniti, ‘Flood and Peak Flow Management Using WSUD Systems’, in Approaches to Water Sensitive Urban Design: Potential, Design, Ecological Health, Urban Greening, Economics, Policies, and Community Perceptions, Elsevier, 2018, pp. 119–138. [CrossRef]
- X. Sui and F. van de Ven, ‘Can the implementation of Low Impact Development reduce basin runoff?’, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions, no. January, pp. 1–24, 2021. [CrossRef]
- D. Cœur and M. Lang, ‘Use of documentary sources on past flood events for flood risk management and land planning’, Comptes Rendus - Geoscience, vol. 340, no. 9–10, pp. 644–650, 2008. [CrossRef]
- C. Wasko, R. Nathan, and M. C. Peel, ‘Changes in Antecedent Soil Moisture Modulate Flood Seasonality in a Changing Climate’, Water Resour Res, vol. 56, no. 3, p. no, 2020. [CrossRef]
- R. Castiglia Feitosa and S. Wilkinson, ‘Modelling green roof stormwater response for different soil depths’, Landsc Urban Plan, vol. 153, pp. 170–179, 2016. [CrossRef]
- Q. Zhou, ‘A review of sustainable urban drainage systems considering the climate change and urbanization impacts’, Water (Switzerland), vol. 6, no. 4, pp. 976–992, 2014. [CrossRef]
- M. L. R. Goncalves, J. Zischg, S. Rau, M. Sitzmann, W. Rauch, and M. Kleidorfer, ‘Modeling the effects of introducing low impact development in a tropical city: A case study from Joinville, Brazil’, Sustainability (Switzerland), vol. 10, no. 3, Mar. 2018. [CrossRef]
- Z. Vojinovic et al., ‘Effectiveness of small- and large-scale Nature-Based Solutions for flood mitigation: The case of Ayutthaya, Thailand’, Science of the Total Environment, vol. 789, Oct. 2021. [CrossRef]
- Y. Lu, J. Xie, C. Yang, and Y. Qin, ‘Control of runoff peak flow for urban flooding mitigation’, Water (Switzerland), vol. 13, no. 13, 2021. [CrossRef]
- J. Usinowicz, J. Qiu, and A. Kamarainen, ‘Flashiness and Flooding of Two Lakes in the Upper Midwest During a Century of Urbanization and Climate Change’, Ecosystems, vol. 20, no. 3, pp. 601–615, 2017. [CrossRef]
- S. Haghighatafshar et al., ‘Paradigm shift in engineering of pluvial floods: From historical recurrence intervals to risk-based design for an uncertain future’, Sustain Cities Soc, vol. 61, no. June, 2020. [CrossRef]
- C. G. K. Boongaling, J. B. Sevilla-Nastor, M. V. O. Espaldon, P. A. J. Sanchez, J. D. Villanueva-Peyraube, and K. A. B. Jago-on, ‘Assessment of low impact development (LID) strategies under different land uses in an urban sub-catchment in the Philippines’, J Environ Manage, vol. 369, Oct. 2024. [CrossRef]
- Y. S. Liew, S. M. Desa, M. N. Md. Noh, M. L. Tan, N. A. Zakaria, and C. K. Chang, ‘Assessing the effectiveness of mitigation strategies for flood risk reduction in the segamat river basin, Malaysia’, Sustainability (Switzerland), vol. 13, no. 6, Mar. 2021. [CrossRef]
- W. K. Yau, M. Radhakrishnan, S. Y. Liong, C. Zevenbergen, and A. Pathirana, ‘Effectiveness of ABC waters design features for runoff quantity control in Urban Singapore’, Water (Switzerland), vol. 9, no. 8, p. 577, Aug. 2017. [CrossRef]
- A. Suresh, S. Pekkat, and S. Subbiah, ‘Quantifying the efficacy of Low Impact Developments (LIDs) for flood reduction in micro-urban watersheds incorporating climate change’, Sustain Cities Soc, vol. 95, Aug. 2023. [CrossRef]
- A. Ladson, Using WSUD to Restore Predevelopment Hydrology. Elsevier Inc., 2018. [CrossRef]
- H. Tansar, H. F. Duan, and O. Mark, ‘Catchment-Scale and Local-Scale Based Evaluation of LID Effectiveness on Urban Drainage System Performance’, Water Resources Management, vol. 36, no. 2, pp. 507–526, Jan. 2022. [CrossRef]







| Rain gauge Notation | Descriptions | Latitude | Longitude | Distance to the centroid of Catchment (Km) |
| RESEDG.RainGagTD | A rain gauge near the Botanical Garden | -16.89 | 145.74 | 2.725 |
| RESROB.RainGagTD | Nearby Wood monk Close Park | -16.92 | 145.71 | 2.075 |
| RESWHG.RainGagTD | Nearby detention basin | -16.91 | 145.72 | 0.572 |
| SPST1.RainGagTD | Lennon Street Park | -16.93 | 145.74 | 2.889 |
| Centroid of Engineers Park | -16.91 | 145.72 | ||
| Land Use | Area (Km2) | % |
|---|---|---|
| Buildings | 0.063 | 23.3 |
| Roads | 0.059 | 21.9 |
| Open spaces | 0.001 | 0.4 |
| Forest | 0.136 | 50.4 |
| Partial Driveways | 0.008 | 3 |
| Pool/Hardstand | 0.003 | 1.1 |
| Total | 0.27 | |
| Planned WSUD application area | 0.0127 | 4.7 |
| Events | Time (Hr.) | Rainfall Depth (mm |
| Calibration Events | ||
| 06/03/2023 | 17.3 | 108.2 |
| 07/03/2023 | 10 | 6.8 |
| 24/04/2023 | 20 | 38.9 |
| 17/06/2023 | 4.8 | 3.8 |
| 26/07/2023 | 42.9 | 32.8 |
| Validation Events | ||
| 25/02/2023 | 20.8 | 5.03 |
| 05/03/2023 | 17.3 | 131.4 |
| 17/04/2023 | 13.8 | 12.6 |
| 13/05/2023 | 8 | 5.8 |
| 03/07/2023 | 29 | 11.2 |
| Performance Rating |
Peak flow/Volume error (%) |
NSE | PBIAS | RSR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very Good | 1 to 0.75 | <±10 | 0 to 0.5 | |
| Good | 0.65 to 0.75 | ±10 to ± 15 | 0.5 to 0.6 | |
| Satisfactory | ±20 | 0.50 to 0.65 | ±15 to ± 25 | 0.6 to 0.7 |
| Unsatisfactory | >±20 | <0.5 | ±25 | >0.7 |
| Scenarios | Descriptions | |
| Current Climate (CC) | Base case scenario |
|
| WSUD Scenario |
|
|
|
| Components | Parameters | Calibrated Value | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impervious | Pervious | ||||
| Steep | Flat | Low | Moderate | High | |
| Initial Loss | 0.05 | 0.05 | 1 | 1 to 2 | 1 to 3 |
| Wetting loss (mm) | 0.1 to 1 | 1 to 2 | 1 to 3 | 1 to 4 | |
| Storage (mm) | 0 to 0.6 | 0 to 1 | 0 to 2 | 0 to 3 | |
| Horton’s infiltration capacity (mm/hr) | |||||
| Maximum (mm/hr.) | 0 to 40 | 10 to 50 | 90 (20-90) | ||
| Minimum (mm/hr) | 0 to 15 | 60 to 20 | 9 to 30 | ||
| Horton’s infiltration exponent (/s) | |||||
| Wet condition | 0.0015 | 0.0015 | 0.0015 | ||
| Dry condition | 1E-10 | 1E-09 | 1E-08 | ||
| Roughness- Manning Coefficient (n)-s/m^ (1/3) | 0.011 | 0.012 | 0.016 | 0.05 | 0.1 |
| AEPs/Critical Time | Design Rainfall Depth (mm) | PF (m3/s) | TRV – m3 |
| Minor (63.2% AEP), Critical time: 30 minutes | 33.71 | 3.63 | 7938.6 |
| Moderate (20% AEP), Critical time: 30 minutes | 47.4 | 6.03 | 10,293.2 |
| Major (1% AEP), Critical time: 25 minutes | 64.5 | 10.18 | 11,284 |
Disclaimer/Publisher’s Note: The statements, opinions and data contained in all publications are solely those of the individual author(s) and contributor(s) and not of MDPI and/or the editor(s). MDPI and/or the editor(s) disclaim responsibility for any injury to people or property resulting from any ideas, methods, instructions or products referred to in the content. |
© 2025 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).