Submitted:
05 February 2025
Posted:
06 February 2025
You are already at the latest version
Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
2.1. Trade Openness and Renewable Energy Consumption
2.2. The Other Determinants of Renewable Energy Consumption
3. Methods and Data
3.1. Methodological Famework
3.2. Empirical Modeling and Data
4. Results
4.1. Summary Statistics
4.2. CSD, Slope-Homogeneity and Unit Root Analyses
4.3. Cointegration Analysis
4.4. Long-Run Estimates
4.5. Bootstrap Causality Analysis
5. Discussion
6. Conclusions and Policy Recommendations
6.1. Conclusions
6.2. Policy Recommendations
6.3. Limitations of the Study and Future Guidelines
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| AMG | Average Marginal Gains |
| CADF | Cross-Sectionally Augmented Dickey-Fuller |
| CCEMG | Common Correlated Effects Mean Group |
| CSD | Cross-Sectional Dependence |
| DOLS | Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares |
| FMOLS | Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares |
| GMM | Generalized Method of Moments |
| LSDVC | Least Squares Dummy Variable |
| OLS | Ordinary Least Squares |
| PMG | Pooled Mean Group |
| SDG | Sustainable Development Goals |
| SUR | Seemingly Unrelated Regression |
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| Cauntries/Years | 1990 | 2000 | 2018 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (1) | (2) | (3) | (1) | (2) | (3) | |
| China | 0.02 | 1027 | 157 | 0.71 | 2770 | 822 | 143.50 | 13493 | 5121 |
| United States | 13.72 | 9811 | 1378 | 16.50 | 13754 | 3065 | 103.80 | 19479 | 5520 |
| Germany | 0.34 | 2342 | 825 | 3.23 | 2835 | 1521 | 47.33 | 3562 | 3240 |
| United Kingdom | 0.14 | 1801 | 345 | 1.10 | 2310 | 1053 | 23.90 | 3139 | 1834 |
| Sweden | 0.44 | 295 | 136 | 1.03 | 364 | 261 | 6.60 | 539 | 474 |
| Brazil | 0.87 | 917 | 109 | 1.80 | 1186 | 230 | 23.64 | 1797 | 517 |
| India | 0.02 | 465 | 58 | 0.74 | 800 | 194 | 27.50 | 2588 | 1132 |
| Japan | 2.57 | 3509 | 641 | 3.74 | 3986 | 953 | 23.40 | 4580 | 1718 |
| Spain | 0.13 | 737 | 212 | 1.41 | 971 | 528 | 16.00 | 1297 | 871 |
| Italy | 0.74 | 1559 | 511 | 1.51 | 1842 | 842 | 14.93 | 1908 | 1158 |
| France | 0.43 | 1661 | 514 | 0.70 | 2046 | 985 | 10.60 | 2569 | 1671 |
| Canada | 0.90 | 877 | 369 | 2.10 | 1047 | 784 | 10.30 | 1664 | 1106 |
| Australia | 0.17 | 630 | 133 | 0.24 | 872 | 274 | 7.21 | 1460 | 643 |
| Turkiye | 0.02 | 288 | 68 | 0.10 | 413 | 181 | 8.53 | 988 | 500 |
| Mexico | 1.16 | 626 | 174 | 1.44 | 876 | 463 | 4.83 | 1255 | 961 |
| Total | 20.67 | 26545 | 5630 | 36.35 | 36072 | 12156 | 466.07 | 60318 | 26466 |
| World | 27.30 | 35870 | 12330 | 49.32 | 48220 | 22820 | 561.30 | 82510 | 47360 |
| EU | 4.24 | 7973 | 3194 | 14.10 | 9961 | 6121 | 159.60 | 12427 | 11582 |
| Variables | Descriptions | Source | Expected sign |
|---|---|---|---|
| REN | Renewable Energy Consumption(million tons of oil equivalent) [57] | BP | |
| GDP | Gross Domestic Product (constant 2010 US$) [58] | WB | (+) [59] |
| TR | Trade Openness (% of GDP) [53] | WB | (+) (–) [60] |
| NR | Natural Resource Rents (% of GDP) [30] | WB | (+) [30] |
| CAP | Gross Capital Formation (% of GDP) [61] | WB | (+) [62] |
| FGL | KOF Index of Financial Globalization [52] | KOF Swiss Economic Institute | (+) (–) [63] |
| Statistics/Variables | lnREN | lnGDP | lnTR | lnNR | lnCAP | lnFGL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.845 | 28.215 | 3.775 | -0.713 | 3.126 | 4.140 |
| Median | 0.916 | 28.191 | 3.868 | -0.457 | 3.103 | 4.265 |
| Std. dev. | 1.741 | 0.891 | 0.420 | 1.794 | 0.215 | 0.342 |
| Min. | -4.175 | 26.458 | 2.718 | -4.520 | 2.683 | 2.411 |
| Max. | 4.966 | 30.516 | 4.527 | 2.272 | 3.842 | 4.519 |
| Skewness | -0.390 | 0.476 | -0.542 | -0.291 | 1.080 | -1.721 |
| Kurtosis | 3.073 | 3.025 | 2.580 | 1.828 | 4.739 | 7.007 |
| Obs. | 435 | 435 | 435 | 435 | 435 | 435 |
| Correlation matrix | ||||||
| lnREN | 1.000 | |||||
| lnGDP | 0.688 | 1.000 | ||||
| lnTR | 0.100 | -0.318 | 1.000 | |||
| lnNR | -0.073 | -0.220 | -0.047 | 1.000 | ||
| lnCAP | -0.095 | 0.079 | -0.018 | 0.056 | 1.000 | |
| lnFGL | 0.338 | 0.169 | 0.586 | -0.366 | -0.156 | 1.000 |
| Variables | CD-test | P- Value | Corr | Abs (corr) | CADF test statistic | |
| L | Δ | |||||
| lnREN | 51.91*** | 0.000 | 0.941 | 0.941 | 0.657 | -3.066*** |
| lnGDP | 52.65*** | 0.000 | 0.954 | 0.954 | -1.207 | -3.096*** |
| lnTR | 39.66*** | 0.000 | 0.719 | 0.720 | -1.106 | -1.930** |
| lnNR | 25.29*** | 0.000 | 0.458 | 0.488 | -0.332 | -9.495*** |
| lnCAP | 4.17*** | 0.000 | 0.076 | 0.313 | -0.391 | -7.072*** |
| lnFGL | 40.24*** | 0.000 | 0.729 | 0.732 | -0.591 | -4.382*** |
| Tests | Statistics | p-value |
|---|---|---|
| Δ | 20.355*** | 0.000 |
| Δ-adjusted | 23.370*** | 0.000 |
| Cointegration tests | Statistic | P- Value |
|---|---|---|
| Pedroni | ||
| Modified Phillips&Perron t | 4.390*** | 0.000 |
| Phillips&Perron t | 1.120 | 0.131 |
| Augmented Dickey&Fuller t | 2.008** | 0.022 |
| Kao | ||
| Modified Dickey&Fuller t | -0.486 | 0.313 |
| Dickey Fuller t | -1.799** | 0.035 |
| Augmented Dickey&Fuller t | -2.033** | 0.021 |
| Unadjusted modified Dickey&Fuller t | 0.547 | 0.291 |
| Unadjusted Dickey&Fuller t | -1.163 | 0.122 |
| Westerlund | ||
| Variance-Ratio | 2.763*** | 0.002 |
| Regressors | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 |
| lnGDP | 0.049*** (03.12) |
0.064*** (3.92) |
0.048*** (2.86) |
0.069*** (4.04) |
| lnTR | 0.049** (2.00) |
0.064** (2.57) |
0.050** (2.03) |
0.143*** (4.53) |
| lnNR | 0.015*** (3.13) |
0.013*** (2.69) |
0.005 (0.99) |
|
| lnCAP | 0.135*** (3.28) |
0.091** (2.19) |
||
| lnFGL | -0.173*** (-4.60) |
|||
| Constant | -1.414*** (-2.82) |
-1.871***(-3.62) | -1.801*** (-3.52) |
-1.889*** (-3.78) |
| R2 | 0.988 | 0.989 | 0.989 | 0.989 |
| χ2-statistic | 37133.71 | 38011.72 | 38993.57 | 40975.63 |
| Prob | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| RMSE | 0.178 | 0.176 | 0.174 | 0.170 |
| Countries | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
| Observation | 420 | 420 | 420 | 420 |
| Hypotheses | W-Stat. | Zbar-Stat. | p-value | Causality |
| lnGDP ≠> lnREN | 4.472 | 9.510 | 0.026** | Unidirectional |
| lnREN ≠> lnGDP | 2.160 | 3.178 | 0.576 | |
| lnTR ≠> lnREN | 2.126 | 3.083 | 0.068* | Unidirectional |
| lnREN ≠> lnTR | 2.679 | 4.600 | 0.350 | |
| lnNR ≠> lnREN | 2.140 | 3.124 | 0.024** | Unidirectional |
| lnREN ≠> lnNR | 2.614 | 4.422 | 0.198 | |
| lnCAP ≠> lnREN | 2.118 | 3.062 | 0.024** | Unidirectional |
| lnREN ≠> lnCAP | 2.650 | 4.519 | 0.164 | |
| lnFGL ≠> lnREN | 5.039 | 11.062 | 0.000*** | Unidirectional |
| lnREN ≠> lnFGL | 1.322 | 0.882 | 0.842 |
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