Submitted:
23 December 2024
Posted:
24 December 2024
You are already at the latest version
Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. Critical Analysis of Scientific Literature by Macro Themes
2.1. Regional Innovation Systems (RIS) and Efficiency
2.2. National Innovation Systems (NIS) and Governance
2.3. University and Knowledge Networks in Innovation Systems
2.4. Innovation and Patents
2.5. Emerging Trends and Technologies in Innovation
3. Data and Methodologies
4. Clustering Results and Introduction of the Sorting Rule
- Cluster 1: Piedmont, Liguria, Lombardy, Trentino-Alto Adige, Veneto, Friuli-Venezia Giulia, Emilia Romagna, Tuscany, Umbria, Marche, Lazio. The regions in cluster C1, such as Piemonte, Lombardia, Emilia Romagna, and Veneto, show high values for PTP combined with homogenous performance with regard to variables such as RI, IPS, and regular internet users. These are regions characterized by highly industrialized economies and a framework for research and development which is quite robust. An example could be Emilia Romagna, where it is observed that the PTP is the highest. In fact, this region shows first place in Innovation of the Production System and Cultural and Creative Employment. In particular, infrastructure, highly educated labor force of the region, enterprise-oriented attitude to innovation, and important role of RIU as the indicator of populations' digitalization in clustering these types of regions denote that highly connected and digitally skilled people facilitate the propensity of patent filing.
- Cluster 2: Valle d'Aosta, Abruzzo, Molise, Campania, Puglia, Basilicata, Calabria, Sicily, Sardinia. This cluster has a much lower value of PTP in respect to C1. This probably links to low Research Intensity and Innovation of the Production System. The latter are determined by infrastructural deficiencies and lower graduate mobility, which is important for knowledge and skills mobility. The southern regions and islands are characterized by a marked digital gap, as testified by low RIU values and limited diffusion of MEOSF. All this reduces access to technological resources and administrative efficiency and, in turn, decreases propensity to patent.
5. The Econometric Model for the Estimation of Propensity to Patenting
6. Policy Implications
7. Conclusions
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| Main Topic | References | Impact on Patenting | Impact on Regional Innovation Systems | Methodologies |
| Knowledge Production and Regional Innovation | Ali (2024); Pan, Li, Shen, & Song (2023); Filippopoulos & Fotopoulos (2022); Zhou, Cheng, Fang, Zhang, & Xu (2024) | Patenting reflects regional knowledge production disparities; innovation varies across lifecycle stages, with lagging regions struggling due to weaker resources. | Tailored interventions based on lifecycle stages or regional disparities can strengthen RIS by fostering knowledge generation and diffusion. | Knowledge production function, lifecycle analysis, configurational analysis, regional data modeling. |
| Institutional Quality and Governance in RIS | Barra & Ruggiero (2022); Ciołek & Golejewska (2022); Cooke, Heidenreich, & Braczyk (2024); Cappellano, Sohn, Makkonen, & Kaisto (2022) | Strong institutions promote patenting through intellectual property rights protection and policy support, reducing inefficiencies. | Institutional frameworks enhance RIS efficiency by fostering collaboration, reducing barriers, and addressing the specific needs of cross-border or less developed regions. | Statistical efficiency models, institutional quality frameworks, cross-border policy analysis. |
| Connectivity in Innovation Systems | Berman, Marino, & Mudambi (2020); Kim & Lee (2022); Ganau & Grandinetti (2021); Longi, Niemelä, & Leppänen (2020) | Global-local linkages boost patenting by facilitating cross-border knowledge flows and exposing regions to advanced technological networks. | Connectivity enables regions to leverage global knowledge while reinforcing local capabilities, supporting RIS competitiveness and adaptation to global demands. | Social network analysis, global-local connectivity models, case studies of regions. |
| Intellectual Property as Innovation Indicators | Block, Fisch, Ikeuchi, & Kato (2022); Bianchi, Galaso, & Palomeque (2021); Ortega & Serna (2020) | Trademarks and patents act as complementary indicators of regional innovation, revealing disparities in regional innovation capabilities. | Intellectual property strengthens RIS by formalizing innovation outputs and incentivizing collaborative networks, though risks of power imbalances in knowledge sharing persist. | Patent and trademark analysis, network and brokerage role analysis, econometric models. |
| Emerging Trends in RIS and Digital Economy | Zhou, Cheng, Fang, Zhang, & Xu (2024); Pan, Li, Shen, & Song (2023); Fernandes, Farinha, Ferreira, Asheim, & Rutten (2021) | Emerging trends like the digital economy enhance patenting by enabling faster knowledge generation, reducing transactional inefficiencies. | Digital transformation introduces new paradigms in RIS, fostering data-driven ecosystems while requiring regions to address gaps in digital infrastructure and skills. | Digital economy analysis, entropy-weighted models, longitudinal studies of RIS transformation. |
| Main Topic | References | Impact on Patenting | Impact on Regional Innovation Systems | Methodologies |
| Governance, Political Stability, and Institutional Quality | Aguiar-Hernandez & Breetz (2024); Anouze et al. (2024); Binz & Truffer (2020); Fritsch, Greve, & Wyrwich (2023) | Political instability and weak governance reduce patent filings, while efficient governance frameworks enhance resource allocation and intellectual property protection. | Stable governance fosters innovation system efficiency, reduces regional disparities, and encourages knowledge diffusion to drive regional competitiveness. | Case studies (e.g., Mexico), data envelopment analysis (DEA), and longitudinal historical analysis (e.g., Germany). |
| Collaboration, Networks, and Knowledge Institutions | Galaso & Kovářík (2021); Yao et al. (2020); Shahwan & Zaman (2023); Ruhrmann, Fritsch, & Leydesdorff (2022) | Strong local and global collaboration networks boost patenting through knowledge spillovers and efficient resource sharing. | Collaboration strengthens regional innovation systems by enhancing connectivity, trust, and intercity spillovers while universities drive commercialization. | Network analysis, intercity patent collaboration studies, and analysis of university-industry linkages in innovation systems. |
| Sectoral Specialization, Sustainability, and Development Challenges | Gutiérrez et al. (2021); Montenegro et al. (2021); Ndicu et al. (2024); Radosevic (2022) | Sector-specific patenting trends in areas like green technologies drive sustainability, while developing regions struggle with institutional barriers to patenting. | Specialized sectors align innovation systems with sustainability goals, while tailored interventions help lagging regions catch up and foster development. | Sectoral innovation system analysis, patent trend evaluation in green technologies, and studies on technological catch-up in developing economies. |
| Main Topic | References | Impact on Patenting | Impact on Regional Innovation Systems | Methodologies |
| University Patenting and Knowledge Collaboration | Caviggioli et al. (2023); Ar et al. (2021); Meetei et al. (2024); Ervits (2024); Tahmooresnejad & Turkina (2023) | Universities contribute significantly to regional patents, driving technological specialization. Co-patenting enhances collaboration and inclusivity in innovation. | Strengthens localized innovation ecosystems, enabling regions to build technological niches. Knowledge collaboration bridges institutional and cultural divides. | Case studies, policy analysis, network analysis |
| Regional Clusters and Innovation Ecosystems | Christopoulos & Wintjes (2024); Innocenti et al. (2020); Wong & Lee (2022); Jovanović et al. (2022); Stojčić (2021) | Clusters anchor shared patenting activities and foster knowledge spillovers. Core firms drive systemic upgrades in innovation ecosystems. | Enhances regional competitiveness but risks over-reliance on dominant firms. Efficiency models and cluster-based frameworks reveal localized and cross-regional dynamics. | Cluster mapping, spatial analysis, efficiency indices |
| Emerging Technologies, Open Innovation, and Inclusion | Forner & Ozcan (2023); Manuylenko et al. (2022); Wong, Sheu & Lee (2023); Tahmooresnejad & Turkina (2023); Meetei et al. (2024) | AI, digital innovation, and open systems increase patenting efficiency and knowledge integration. Diversity positively impacts co-inventor networks and outcomes. | Open innovation integrates regions into global networks. Inclusion efforts and emerging technologies reshape traditional boundaries and foster more equitable innovation. | AI-driven analysis (e.g., deep learning, NLP), social and inclusion metrics |
| Macrotheme | References | Impact on Patenting | Impact on Regional Innovation Systems | Methodologies |
| Barriers, Knowledge Accumulation, and Institutional Support | Alnafrah (2024); Cefis, Grassano, & Tubiana (2024); Klincewicz & Szumiał (2022); Zhao & Tan (2021) | Alnafrah: Identifies barriers in translating patents into marketable products. Cefis: Examines patents as drivers of cumulative knowledge but warns of silos. Klincewicz: Highlights importance of patent attorneys. Zhao: Shows how informal institutions shape patent effectiveness in emerging economies. | Alnafrah: Highlights gaps in innovation systems that hinder commercialization. Cefis: Shows the dual role of patents in fostering knowledge and blocking innovation. Klincewicz & Zhao: Institutional and professional frameworks significantly influence patent success and innovation outcomes. | Case studies, institutional analysis, survey data, and knowledge ecosystem modeling. |
| Spatial, Sectoral, and Socioeconomic Dynamics | Kitaisky et al. (2021); Kryukov & Tokarev (2022); Önder, Schweitzer, & Tcaci (2024); Stek (2021) | Kitaisky: Shows Russian firms patenting abroad for competitiveness. Kryukov: Focuses on spatial trends in patenting in resource-intensive industries. Önder: Highlights patents as drivers of employment in high-skill sectors. Stek: Maps clusters using patent concentrations. | Kitaisky & Kryukov: Spatial and sectoral contexts affect how patenting activities address regional challenges. Önder & Stek: Patents boost regional competitiveness and labor market outcomes but unevenly across regions. | Geographic and sectoral case studies, labor market analysis, spatial heat mapping. |
| Sustainability, Technology Diffusion, and Circular Innovation | Maasoumi et al. (2021); Sanni & Kim (2024); Portillo-Tarragona et al. (2024); Yuan & Li (2021) | Maasoumi: Patents drive renewable energy innovation. Sanni: Open innovation supports inclusivity in green technologies. Portillo: Circular patents promote sustainability. Yuan: Patents facilitate global diffusion of electric vehicle technologies. | Green and circular patents align innovation systems with sustainability goals. Technology diffusion through patents fosters global collaboration and regional competitiveness. | Patent analysis, sustainability-focused case studies, technology diffusion modeling. |
| Macrotheme | References | Impact on Patenting | Impact on Regional Innovation Systems | Methodologies |
| Hydrogen Economy, Knowledge Transfer, and Sustainability | Ashari, Blind, & Koch (2023); Ashari, Oh, & Koch (2024); Sanni & Kim (2024); Maasoumi et al. (2021); Portillo-Tarragona et al. (2024) | Patents protect hydrogen innovations, promote knowledge transfer (via publications and standards), and drive sustainability through green and circular technologies. Open innovation models foster inclusivity but face barriers in developing regions. | Supports systemic innovation pathways (e.g., hydrogen in Germany and South Korea) and aligns regional systems with environmental goals. Challenges include infrastructure gaps in developing regions. | Comparative TIS analysis, case studies of green patents, frameworks for sustainability and circular economies. |
| Global Collaboration, Spatial Dynamics, and Technology Diffusion | Scherngell, Schwegmann, & Zahradnik (2023); Wirkierman, Ciarli, & Savona (2023); Yuan & Li (2021) | Patents facilitate international R&D collaboration and global technology diffusion, particularly in robotics and electric vehicles. Co-patenting enhances knowledge sharing but risks creating inequalities in participation. | Regional clustering of patenting boosts competitiveness but reinforces inequalities between innovation leaders and lagging regions. Technology diffusion fosters cross-regional integration. | Co-patenting network analysis, global patent mapping, clustering analysis of R&D hotspots. |
| Digital and Regional Innovation Systems | Zhou et al. (2024); Yuan & Li (2021); Wirkierman, Ciarli, & Savona (2023) | Digital advancements (AI, big data) enhance patenting activity and foster innovation in digital and adjacent sectors. BEV patents promote global sustainability goals. | Digital economies create innovation spillovers, driving regional growth but exacerbating inequalities in access to technology and innovation resources. | Statistical modeling, patent activity mapping, regional clustering, analysis of digital economy metrics. |
| Variable | Acronym | Definition | Source |
| Propensity towards patenting | PTP | Total number of patent applications filed with the European Patent Office (EPO) per million inhabitants. | ISTAT-BES |
| Research intensity | RI | Percentage of expenditure on intra muros research and development activities carried out by companies, public institutions, universities (public and private) and the non-profit sector on GDP. Expenditure and GDP are considered in millions of current euros. | ISTAT-BES |
| Innovation of the production system | IPS | Percentage of companies that introduced product and process innovations in the three-year reference period out of the total number of companies with at least 10 employees. | ISTAT-BES |
| Cultural and creative employment | CCE | Percentage of employed people in professions or sectors of cultural and creative activities (Isco-08, Nace rev.2) on the total employed people (15 years and over). | ISTAT-BES |
| Mobility of Italian graduates (25-39 years) | MIG | Migration rate of Italians (25-39 years) with a tertiary education qualification, calculated as the ratio between the migration balance (difference between those registered and those cancelled due to transfer of residence) and residents with a tertiary education qualification (degree, AFAM, doctorate). The values for Italy include only movements from/to abroad, for the distribution values, inter-departmental movements are also considered. | ISTAT-BES |
| Regular internet users | RIU | Percentage of people aged 11 and over who used the Internet at least once a week in the 3 months preceding the interview. | ISTAT-BES |
| Municipalities with entirely online services for families | MEOSF | Percentage of Municipalities that provide at least one service aimed at families or individuals online at a level that allows the entire process to be started and concluded electronically (including any online payment) | ISTAT-BES |
| Machine Learning Algorithm | Main Characteristics | Advantages | Disadvantages | References |
| Density-Based (DBSCAN) | Clusters based on density. Handles noise and clusters of arbitrary shapes. Requires ϵ\epsilonϵ (radius) and MinPts (minimum neighbors). | Detects clusters of arbitrary shape. Handles noise well. Does not require predefining the number of clusters. | Struggles with varying density or high-dimensional data. | Abdulhameed, et al., 2024; Bechini, et al., 2020. |
| Fuzzy C-Means (FCM) | Assigns fuzzy membership to data points. Suitable for overlapping clusters. Uses a fuzziness parameter m>1m > 1m>1. | Handles overlapping clusters. Provides probabilistic membership of data points. | Requires the number of clusters ccc to be predefined. Sensitive to initialization and outliers. | Mi et al., 2023; Javadian et al., 2020; Bharill et al., 2019 |
| Hierarchical Clustering | Builds a tree-like cluster hierarchy. No need to predefine the number of clusters. Can use different linkage criteria (single, complete, average). | No need to predefine the number of clusters. Provides a dendrogram for visualization. Suitable for small datasets. | Computationally expensive for large datasets. Sensitive to noise and outliers. Difficult to modify once a step is completed. | Yu et al., 2021; Dhulipala et al., 2024; Karna and Gibert, 2022 |
| Model-Based (GMM) | Assumes data is generated from Gaussian distributions. Uses Expectation-Maximization (EM) for optimization. Outputs probabilities for cluster membership. | Flexible in modeling clusters with varying shapes. Provides probabilistic membership. Can fit clusters with different covariance structures. | Assumes data follows a Gaussian distribution. Requires predefining the number of components. Computationally expensive for large datasets. | Houdouin et al., 2023; Fu et al., 2021; McCaw et al., 2022 |
| K-Means | Minimizes the sum of squared distances to cluster centroids. Requires predefining the number of clusters K. Iterative optimization. | Simple and fast for large datasets. Works well with spherical clusters. Easy to implement and interpret. | Sensitive to initialization and outliers. Requires K to be predefined. Struggles with non-spherical clusters or varying cluster sizes. | Kim et al., 2020; Puri and Gupta, 2024; Ikotun and Ezugwu, 2022 |
| Random Forest | Combines multiple decision trees using bagging. Performs majority voting for classification or averaging for regression. | Robust to overfitting. Handles high-dimensional data well. Can measure feature importance. Performs well on both classification and regression tasks. | Computationally intensive for large datasets. Less interpretable than single decision trees. May struggle with sparse data if not tunnel properly. | Song et al., 2021; Muna et al., 2023; Rhodes et al., 2023 |
| Aspect | Fixed Effects Model | Random Effects Model |
| Model Specification | ||
| Key Idea | . | . |
| Unobserved Effects | Treated as fixed parameters, eliminated via demeaning or dummy variables. | Treated as random variables with a specific distribution (usually normal). |
| Estimation Method | Least Squares Dummy Variables (LSDV) or within-transformation (demeaning). | Generalized Least Squares (GLS). |
| Time-Invariant Variables | Cannot estimate effects of variables that do not vary over time for each entity. | Can estimate effects of time-invariant variables, as they are not absorbed into the random component. |
| Focus | Within-entity variations (how changes within the same entity affect the outcome). | Both within- and between-entity variations. |
| Key Assumption | . | . |
| Advantages | - Controls for unobserved heterogeneity; - Reduces omitted variable bias; - Suitable for causal inference. |
- More efficient when random-effects assumption holds; - Includes time-invariant variables; - Handles large datasets well. |
| Disadvantages | - Cannot estimate time-invariant variable effects. - Less efficient due to within-transformation. - May overfit. |
- Susceptible to bias if random -effects assumption is violated. |
| Test for Model Selection | Hausman Test: Compares the efficiency of fixed effects and random effects models. | Hausman Test: If the null hypothesis of no correlation is rejected, the fixed effects model is preferred. |
| Use Cases | Suitable when entity-specific effects correlate with predictors (e.g., policy analysis, longitudinal studies). | Suitable when entity-specific effects are assumed uncorrelated with predictors (e.g., large cross-sectional datasets). |
| Statistics | Density-Based | Fuzzy C-Means | Hierarchical | Model Based | K-Means | Random Forest |
| Clusters | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| R² | 0.000 | 0.635 | 0.510 | 0.682 | 0.570 | 0.516 |
| AIC | 147.000 | 92.620 | 93.220 | 84.210 | 85.130 | 92.330 |
| BIC | 153.970 | 113.530 | 107.160 | 105.120 | 99.070 | 106.270 |
| Silhouette | 0.000 | 0.200 | 0.390 | 0.310 | 0.430 | 0.390 |
| Maximum diameter | NA | 4.541 | 5.181 | 4.541 | 4.541 | 5.327 |
| Minimum separation | NA | 1.091 | 2.127 | 1.579 | 1.599 | 1.591 |
| Pearson's γ | NA | 0.501 | 0.657 | 0.570 | 0.658 | 0.565 |
| Dunn index | NA | 0.240 | 0.410 | 0.348 | 0.352 | 0.299 |
| Entropy | NA | 1.030 | 0.647 | 1.089 | 0.688 | 0.647 |
| Calinski-Harabasz index | NA | 13.832 | 18.706 | 18.281 | 23.903 | 19.212 |
| Statistical Index | Density-Based Clustering | Fuzzy C-Means Clustering | Hierarchical Clustering | Model Based Clustering | K-Means Clustering | Random Forest Clustering |
| R^2 | 0.0 | 0.93 | 0.74 | 0.99 | 0.83 | 0.75 |
| AIC | 1.0 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.0 | 0.01 | 0.12 |
| BIC | 1.0 | 0.26 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.0 | 0.13 |
| Silhouette | 0.0 | 0.46 | 0.90 | 0.72 | 1.0 | 0.90 |
| Maximum Diameter | 0.0 | 0.85 | 0.97 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 1.0 |
| Minimum Separation | 0.0 | 0.51 | 1.0 | 0.74 | 0.75 | 0.74 |
| Pearson's γ | 0.0 | 0.76 | 0.99 | 0.86 | 1.0 | 0.85 |
| Dunn Index | 0.0 | 0.58 | 0.99 | 0.84 | 0.85 | 0.72 |
| Entropy | 0.0 | 0.94 | 0.59 | 1.0 | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| Calinski-Harabasz Index | 0.0 | 0.57 | 0.78 | 0.76 | 1.0 | 0.80 |
| Criterion | Explanation | Weight Value |
| R^2 | Moderate importance for variance explained. | 0.10 |
| AIC | Penalizes models with higher complexity (lower AIC is better). | -0.15 |
| BIC | Penalizes models with higher complexity (lower BIC is better). | -0.15 |
| Silhouette Coefficient | High importance for cluster cohesion and separation. | 0.20 |
| Maximum Diameter | Penalizes large diameters to promote compact clusters. | -0.1 |
| Minimum Separation | Rewards higher separation between clusters. | 0.10 |
| Pearson's γ | Rewards better separation of inter/intra cluster distances. | 0.10 |
| Dunn Index | Promotes compact and well-separated clusters. | 0.1 |
| Entropy | Penalizes models with higher uncertainty (lower entropy is better). | -0.1 |
| Calinski-Harabasz Index | High importance for inter-cluster and intra-cluster variance ratio. | 0.2 |
| Fixed Effects. 375 observations. 20 cross-sectional units. Time-series length: minimum 17, maximum 19 | Random Effects. 375 observations. 20 cross-sectional units. Time-series length: minimum 17, maximum 19 | |||||
| Coefficient | Std. Error | t-ratio | Coefficient | Std. Error | z | |
| Costant | 46.5080*** | 5.28921 | 8.793 | 44.7160*** | 11.1681 | 4.004 |
| PTP | 31.5393*** | 3.86326 | 8.164 | 32.6285*** | 3.81796 | 8.546 |
| RI | -0.174213*** | 0.0601014 | −2.899 | -0.176330*** | 0.0599298 | −2.942 |
| IPS | -9.67995*** | 1.26902 | −7.628 | -9.57356*** | 1.26409 | −7.573 |
| CCE | -0.740930*** | 0.182690 | −4.056 | -0.702699*** | 0.181885 | −3.863 |
| MIG | -0.277999*** | 0.0913644 | −3.043 | -0.269195*** | 0.0911003 | −2.955 |
| RIU | 1.12366*** | 0.211900 | 5.303 | 1.11507*** | 0.211249 | 5.278 |
| MEOSF | 46.5080*** | 5.28921 | 8.793 | 44.7160*** | 11.1681 | 4.004 |
|
Statistics |
Mean dependent var | 55.30827 | Mean dependent var | 55.30827 | ||
| Sum squared resid | 212013.6 | Sum squared resid | 853960.8 | |||
| Log-likelihood | -1720.379 | Log-likelihood | -1981.611 | |||
| Schwarz criterion | 3594.859 | Schwarz criterion | 4004.710 | |||
| rho | 0.304440 | rho | 0.304440 | |||
| S.D. dependent var | 56.45687 | S.D. dependent var | 56.45687 | |||
| S.E. of regression | 24.64729 | S.E. of regression | 24.64729 | |||
| Akaike criterion | 3492.759 | Akaike criterion | 0.496327 | |||
| Hannan-Quinn | 3533.293 | Hannan-Quinn | 9.6e-115 | |||
| Durbin-Watson | 1.297997 | Durbin-Watson | 3492.759 | |||
| Tests | Joint test on named regressors - Test statistic: F(6, 349) = 57.3183 with p-value = P(F(6, 349) > 57.3183) = 4.0877e-49 |
'Between' variance = 1819.36 'Within' variance = 565.37 mean theta = 0.872262 Joint test on named regressors - Asymptotic test statistic: Chi-square(6) = 348.915 with p-value = 2.63859e-72 |
||||
| Test for differing group intercepts - Null hypothesis: The groups have a common intercept Test statistic: F(19, 349) = 43.4951 with p-value = P(F(19, 349) > 43.4951) = 5.76937e-80 |
Breusch-Pagan test - Null hypothesis: Variance of the unit-specific error = 0 Asymptotic test statistic: Chi-square(1) = 1100.96 with p-value = 2.03784e-241 |
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| Hausman test - Null hypothesis: GLS estimates are consistent Asymptotic test statistic: Chi-square(6) = 15.9175 with p-value = 0.0142035 |
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