Submitted:
12 November 2024
Posted:
12 November 2024
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Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. Results
2.1. AI and ML Techniques Used for PK Modelling and Dose Prediction

2.2. Evaluation of the Available Data
| Metric | Type of statistical metric | Type of evaluation | Definition | Formula | Units | Interpretation |
| Coefficient of determination (R-squared) R² |
regression metric | accuracy or bias | proportion of the total variance of the variable explained by the regression | no units | Represents the proportion of the variance in the dependent variable which is explained by the linear regression model. Values between 0 to 1, where 1 is the best value. |
|
| Prediction error (PE) | difference | accuracy or bias | difference between the predicted and observed concentrations | concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ A lower PE indicates superior model accuracy |
|
| Prediction error percentage (PE%) | percentage metric |
accuracy or bias | percentage of PE | % | Values between 0 to 100. A lower PE% indicates superior model accuracy |
|
| Absolute prediction error (AE) | difference | accuracy or bias | difference between the predicted and observatory concentrations in absolute values. |
|
concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ A lower APE indicates superior model accuracy |
| Absolute prediction error percentage (APE or AE%) | percentage metric | accuracy or bias | percentage of APE | % | Values between 0 to 100. A lower APE% indicates superior model accuracy |
|
| Mean prediction error (ME) | media of the difference | accuracy or bias | sum of prediction errors divided by the sample size. | concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ A lower MPE indicates superior model accuracy |
|
| Mean prediction error percentage (MPE or ME%) | percentage metric | accuracy or bias | percentage of MPE | % | Values between 0 to 100. A lower MPE% indicates superior model accuracy |
|
| Mean absolute prediction error (MAE) | media of the difference | precision | sum of absolute errors divided by the sample size. | concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ A lower MAE indicates superior model accuracy. |
|
| Mean absolute prediction error percentage (MAPE or MAE%) | percentage metric | precision | percentage of MAPE | % | Values between 0 to 100. A lower MAPE% indicates superior model accuracy |
|
| Root mean squared error (RMSE) | squared root | precision | It quantifies the differences between predicted values and actual values, squaring the errors, taking the mean, and then finding the square root. It is computed by taking the square root of MSE. | concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ Lower values indicating better predictive accuracy. |
|
| Root mean squared error percentage (RMSE%) | squared root relative | precision | percentage of the RMSE | % | Values between 0 to 100. A lower RMSE% indicates superior model accuracy. |
|
| Median prediction error percentage (MDPE%) | median | precision | MDPE is found by ordering PE from smallest to largest, and using this middle value |
% | Values between 0 to 100- A lower MDPE indicates superior model accuracy. |
|
| Median absolute prediction error percentage (MDAPE%) | median | precision | MDAPE is found by ordering the APE from smallest to largest and using this middle value. |
concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ A lower MDAPE indicates superior model accuracy. |
|
| Mean relative error (MRE) | relative ratio | accuracy or bias | MRE was defined as the ratio between MAPE and the reference E-field magnitude within the corresponding target region. | no units |
Values between 0 to 1 |
|
| Mean relative error percentage (MRE% or rMPE) | relative percentage | accuracy or bias | percentage of MRE | % | Values between 0 to 100. A lower MRE% indicates superior model accuracy. |
|
| Square prediction error (SPE) | square of the difference | precision | measures the expected squared distance between what your predictor predicts for a specific value and what the true value | square concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ A lower SPE indicates a better model. |
|
| Mean square error (MSE) | mean of the difference | precision | squaring the difference between the predicted value and actual value and averaging it across the dataset. | concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ MSE increases exponentially with an increase in error. A good model will have an MSE value closer to zero. |
|
| relative mean prediction error (RMPE or rMPE) |
relative percentage | accuracy or bias | is a variant of Root MPE, gauging predictive model accuracy relative to the target variable range. | % | Value between 0 to 100. Lower rMPE shows lower deviation. |
|
| relative root mean squared error (RRMSE or rRMSE) |
relative percentage | accuracy or bias | is a variant of RMSE, gauging predictive model accuracy relative to the target variable range. | % | Value between 0 to 100. < 10% is an excellent value for RRMSE. > 30 %is a poor value for RRMSE. |
| Metric | Type of statistical metric | Type of evaluation | Definition | Formula | Units | Interpretation |
| Coefficient of determination (R-squared) R² |
regression metric | accuracy or bias | proportion of the total variance of the variable explained by the regression | no units | Represents the proportion of the variance in the dependent variable which is explained by the linear regression model. Values between 0 to 1, where 1 is the best value. |
|
| Prediction error (PE) | difference | accuracy or bias | difference between the predicted and observed concentrations | concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ A lower PE indicates superior model accuracy |
|
| Prediction error percentage (PE%) | percentage metric |
accuracy or bias | percentage of PE | % | Values between 0 to 100. A lower PE% indicates superior model accuracy |
|
| Absolute prediction error (AE) | difference | accuracy or bias | difference between the predicted and observatory concentrations in absolute values. |
|
concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ A lower APE indicates superior model accuracy |
| Absolute prediction error percentage (APE or AE%) | percentage metric | accuracy or bias | percentage of APE | % | Values between 0 to 100. A lower APE% indicates superior model accuracy |
|
| Mean prediction error (ME) | media of the difference | accuracy or bias | sum of prediction errors divided by the sample size. | concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ A lower MPE indicates superior model accuracy |
|
| Mean prediction error percentage (MPE or ME%) | percentage metric | accuracy or bias | percentage of MPE | % | Values between 0 to 100. A lower MPE% indicates superior model accuracy |
|
| Mean absolute prediction error (MAE) | media of the difference | precision | sum of absolute errors divided by the sample size. | concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ A lower MAE indicates superior model accuracy. |
|
| Mean absolute prediction error percentage (MAPE or MAE%) | percentage metric | precision | percentage of MAPE | % | Values between 0 to 100. A lower MAPE% indicates superior model accuracy |
|
| Root mean squared error (RMSE) | squared root | precision | It quantifies the differences between predicted values and actual values, squaring the errors, taking the mean, and then finding the square root. It is computed by taking the square root of MSE. | concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ Lower values indicating better predictive accuracy. |
|
| Root mean squared error percentage (RMSE%) | squared root relative | precision | percentage of the RMSE | % | Values between 0 to 100. A lower RMSE% indicates superior model accuracy. |
|
| Median prediction error percentage (MDPE%) | median | precision | MDPE is found by ordering PE from smallest to largest, and using this middle value |
% | Values between 0 to 100- A lower MDPE indicates superior model accuracy. |
|
| Median absolute prediction error percentage (MDAPE%) | median | precision | MDAPE is found by ordering the APE from smallest to largest and using this middle value. |
concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ A lower MDAPE indicates superior model accuracy. |
|
| Mean relative error (MRE) | relative ratio | accuracy or bias | MRE was defined as the ratio between MAPE and the reference E-field magnitude within the corresponding target region. | no units |
Values between 0 to 1 |
|
| Mean relative error percentage (MRE% or rMPE) | relative percentage | accuracy or bias | percentage of MRE | % | Values between 0 to 100. A lower MRE% indicates superior model accuracy. |
|
| Square prediction error (SPE) | square of the difference | precision | measures the expected squared distance between what your predictor predicts for a specific value and what the true value | square concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ A lower SPE indicates a better model. |
|
| Mean square error (MSE) | mean of the difference | precision | squaring the difference between the predicted value and actual value and averaging it across the dataset. | concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ MSE increases exponentially with an increase in error. A good model will have an MSE value closer to zero. |
|
| relative mean prediction error (RMPE or rMPE) |
relative percentage | accuracy or bias | is a variant of Root MPE, gauging predictive model accuracy relative to the target variable range. | % | Value between 0 to 100. Lower rMPE shows lower deviation. |
|
| relative root mean squared error (RRMSE or rRMSE) |
relative percentage | accuracy or bias | is a variant of RMSE, gauging predictive model accuracy relative to the target variable range. | % | Value between 0 to 100. < 10% is an excellent value for RRMSE. > 30 %is a poor value for RRMSE. |
| Study | ATB | N |
Subject characteristics |
Objective |
AI technique used |
Clinical parameters involved | Model compared | Precision metrics* | Results | Remarks and conclusions |
| Keutzer et al., 2022 [23] | Rifampicin | 1826 simulations | Tuberculosis patients | To examine the ability of various ML algorithms to predict time-varying plasma concentrations and derive PK parameters | XGBoost, RF, GBM, LASSO | Age, BMI, dose, fat-free-mass, infection by VIH, VIH coinfection, height, treatment week, race, gender, time after dose, weight. | popPK model in NONMEM | R2, RMSE, MAE | -For concentration prediction, the best AI technique was XGBoost using 6 rifampicin concentrations (R2=0,84, RMSE=6,9 mg/L, MAE= 4 mg/L. -For AUC0-24h prediction, the best AI technique was LASSO using 6 rifampicin concentrations (R2=0,97, RMSE: 29.1 h.mg/L, MAE: 18.8 h.mg/L) |
Prediction was according to the PK model. AI was 22 times faster. |
| Wang et al., 2022 [38] | Vancomycin | 2282 real patients | Patients who received at least one vancomycin injection. | To develop an innovative method to suggest the initial and subsequent daily dose of vancomycin. | LightGBM | s-Cr, CrCl, age, weight, gender, age, albumin, medicines on CV system, on alimentary tract or metabolism and on blood forming organs, hemodialysis, daily dose and concentration, administration timing. | popPK model | MAE, PAR** | -Initial dose model: MAE: 450.2 mg/day (AI model) vs 727.5 mg/day (popPK model); PAR: 51,7% (AI model) vs 28,3% (popPK model) -Subsequent dose model: MAE: 267,1 mg/day (AI model) vs 392,1 mg/day (popPK model); PAR: 73,4% (AI model) vs 60,4% (popPK model) |
ML performed better than the popPK model. |
| Bouoda et al., 2022 [36] | Vancomycin | 28 real patients/ 6000 simulations | Obese, critically ill, hospitalized patients with sepsis, trauma and post- heart surgery. | To train a ML algorithm to predict vancomycin AUC from early concentrations and few features and Predict vancomycin AUC from early concentrations | XGBoost | Concentration, s-Cr, age, weight, height, gender, dose, administration timing. | popPK models: MAA, MSA, PKJust program |
rMPE, rRMSE | rMPE 0,97 and rRMSE 12.7% ; when compared with PKJust; rMPE 0,8 and rRMSE 11,9% when compared with MSA; rMPE 1,2 and rRMPE 11,8% with MAA. | XGBoost algorithms seem complementary to standard popPK approaches. |
| Ponthier et al., 2022 [37] | Vancomycin |
82 real patients / 1900 simulations | Term and preterm neonates | To obtain a ML algorithm to estimate the best vancomycin initial dose and compare it to a popPK model previously validated. | XGBoost, GLMNET, MARS | Gestational age, time of infection after birth, post menstrual age at first infection, current weight, s-Cr. | popPK model | rMPE, rRMSE | XGBoost was the best. In the training set, rRMSE was 36.1 and rMPE was 7.2 in the train set. In the test set, rRMSE was 35,7 and rMPE was 8,6. Numerical best target attainment rate was obtained with ML algorithm (35,3% vs 28%). |
ML algorithm improves the exposure target attainment rate. |
| Tang et al., 2021 [47] | Vancomycin, latamofex, cefepime, azlocillin, ceftazidime and amoxicillin | 2272 real patients | Neonates | To evaluate whether the combination of ML methods and popPK methods can accurately predict individual clearance of renally eliminated drugs. | KNN, DT, adaboost, ETR, RF, GBR | Birth weight, current weight, gestational age, postnatal age, postmenstrual age, s-Cr. | popPK model in NONMEM | R2, MSE, MRE% | ETR was selected as the final uniform ML approach. Combined predictive method (popPK + AI) had a MRE of 15,4%, 2,2%, 2,8%, 10,1% and 2% for vancomycin, cefepime, latamoxef, azlocillin amoxicillin and ceftazidime, respectively. Except for azlocillin (9,9% of MRE in the popPK model), all the MRE were lower with the combined method. |
The combination of popPK and machine learning approach provided consistent information. |
| Brier et al., 1995 [43] | Gentamicin | 144 real patients | Patients who received gentamicin in the service of the Veterans Administration Medical Center in Louisville | To use a neural network to predict peak and trough gentamicin concentrations and compare the results with the NONMEM model. | NN | Age, height, weight, s-Cr, CrCl, dose, dose/weight, dose interval, BMI. | popPK model in NONMEM | PE, PE%, SPE, AE, APE (or AE%) | -Gentamicin´s peak: PE was - 0,02 in NN vs 0,14 in NONMEN, PE% was - 2,45% in NN vs 1.04% in NONMEN, SPE was 0,67 in NN vs 0,83 in NONMEN, and APE was 16,5% in NN vs 18,6% in NONMEN. -Gentamicin´s trough: PE was 0.002 in NN vs 0.049 in NONMEN, PE% was - 11,11% in NN vs -14.5% in NONMEN, SPE was 0.58 in NN vs 0.67 in NONMEN, and APE was 48.3% in NN vs 59% in NONMEN. NONMEM was more precise in the prediction of concentration outside the range 2,5-6 µg/ml (p=0,098) |
NN perform well when they are used in the range of concentrations that they have trained. NN has limitations in predicting out-of-range concentrations. |
| Verhaeghe et al., 2022 [46] | Piperacillin | 282 real patients | Surgical critically ill patients treated with piperacillin/tazobactam in continuous infusion. | To use ML model to predict total plasma concentrations of piperacillin in critically ill patients a priori and a posteriori and compare the results with a popPK model. | GBT, GP, MLP | Piperacillin previous concentrations, sex, weight, s-Cr, CrCl, albumin, bilirubin, fluid balance, height, lactate, platelets, red blood cells, sex, hours since start of treatment. | popPK model in NONMEM | PE, MAE, RMSE, R2, MdAPE, MdPE. | -A priori method: RMSE (GBT 34,27; GP 37,41; MLP 38,56; PK 57,97), MAE (GBT 21,55; GP 23,54; MLP 27,35; PK 39,67), ME (GBT -4.09; GP 2.04; MLP 2.58; PL -30.27), MdAPE (GBT 17.29%; GP 21.39%; MLP 23.09%; PL 40.79%), MdPE (GBT 0.06%; GP -3.83%; MLP -5.34%; PK 38.33%) -A posteriori method: RMSE (GBT 32.93; GP 34.03; MLP 37.20; PK 49.58), MAE (GBT 18.22; GP 19.41; MLP 23.64; PK 31.28), ME (GBT -6.55; GP -3.83; MLP -4.87; PK 4.91), MdAPE (GBT 12.75%; GP 16.48%; MLP 17.06%; PK 26.09%), MdPE (GBT 1.77%; GP -376%; MLP 0.73%; PK -1.85%) |
ML models can consistently estimate piperacillin concentrations with high predictive accuracy, especially in a priori method. |
| Huang et al., 2021 [42] | Vancomycin | 407 real patients | Pediatric patients who received vancomycin intravenously | To establish an optimal model to predict vancomycin through concentrations in pediatric patients by using ML. | DT, SVR, RF, Adaboost, Bagging, ETR, GBRT, XGBoost. Then, the best five were selected and perform an "ensemble model" | vancomycin dose concentrations and intervals, age, height, weight, gender, CrCl, uric acid, procalcitonin, PCR, AST, ALT, bilirubin, complete hemogram. | popPK model in NONMEM | R2, MSE, RMSE, MAE | The results of ML were superior to the popPK model. Ensemble model: MSE 34,39, R2 0,614, MAE 3,32, RMSE 4,94. Accuracy of the predicted through concentration (± 30%) was 51,22% in ML model vs 36.59% in popPK model. | The results of ML are better than the popPK model in predicting vancomycin concentration. |
| Yamamura et al., 2004 [44] | Arbekacin (Aminoglycoside used in Japan) |
30 real patients | Burn patients hospitalized in an intensive care unit in Japan. | Use artificial neural network modeling to predict arbekacin plasma concentration and compare with logistic regression analysis. | NN | Dose, parenteral fluid, BMI, CrCl, burn area after operation. | Multivariate logistic regression models | R2 | Artificial neural networks had a r of 0,9862 and logistic regression had a r of 0,8829. | Artificial neural networks were superior compared with logistic regression analysis. |
| Tang et al., 2023 [41] | Vancomycin | 1631 real patients | Neonates and young infants with postmenstrual age ranging from 23.3 to 52.4 weeks | To assess whether ML can be used in clinical practice to predict treatment targets and calculate optimal dosing regimens for individual patients. | GBDT, CatBoost, XGBoost, LBHM, LR, SVR, Tabnet, and ANN | s-Cr, sampling time, single dose per unit body weight, frequency of dosing within 24h, postnatal age, vancomycin concentration assay method, gestational age at birth, birth weight. | popPK model | RMSE, R2, MAPE (or MAE%), MPE (or ME%) | CatBoost was the optimal ML method. For Cmin prediction, RMSE was 5.02 for ML model vs 6.18 for popPK; MAPE was 29.5% for ML model vs 53% for popPK and MPE was -4.20% for ML vs 12.4 for popPK. |
The ML model was developed to be accurate and precise and can be used for individual dose recommendations in neonates. |
| Chow et al., 1997 [45] | Tobramycin | 101 real patients | Pediatric patients who received tobramycin intravenously in Tucson. | To explore the applicability of the neural networks approach to capture the relationship between patient-related prognostic factors and plasma drug levels. | NN: test I (with accumulated times), test II (without accumulated times) | Age, weight, gender, illness, dose, dosing interval, time of blood drawn. | popPK model in NONMEM | MSE, ME, ME% (or MPE), AE% (or APE) | Test I turned out worse than NONMEN. Test II provided precision of the predicted concentrations comparable to that NONMEN analysis: MSE 1,88 NONMEN vs 1,78 NN. AE% was better for NN test II: 33,9% vs 39,9% in NONMEN. ME was smaller in NONMEN (0,077 vs 0,32), PE% was better in NN (2,59% vs 17,3% in NONMEN) | NN could capture the relationships between patient-related factors and plasma drugs levels. |
| Nigo et al., 2022 [39] | Vancomycin | 5483 real patients | Adults who had at least one serum vancomycin level after their first vancomycin dose. Patients with ECMO, hemodialysis, and renal replacement therapy were excluded. | To develop a new PK approach with RNN-based methods with electronic medical record (EHR) to achieve more accurate and individualized predictions for vancomycin serum concentration in hospitalized patients. | NN | Weight, height, vital signs, laboratory biochemistry and complete hemogram, vancomycin dose and previous concentration, concomitant medications. | popPK model in NONMEM (VTDM model) |
RMSE, MAPE (or MAE%), MAE | PK-RNN-V E vs VTDM: RMSE 5,39 vs 6,29; MAE 3,64 vs 4,26; MAPE 25,41% vs 29,15%. | PK-RNN-V E exhibits better RMSE, MAE and MAPE compared to any of the VTDM models. PK-RNN-V E can integrate real-time patient-specific data from an EHR. |
| Miyai et al., 2022 [40] | Vancomycin | 822 real patients | Patients who received vancomycin intravenously and had the concentration measured at least once. | To construct a model for estimating the vancomycin maintenance dose to achieve the target. | CART | Age, BMI, CrCl. | Other nomograms (Oda et al.[53], Thomson et al. [54]) | ME% (or MPE), MAE% (or MAPE) | DT model: ME 10%, MAE 26,7%; Nomogram Oda et al.: ME 0,77%, MAE 26,6%; Nomogram Thomson et al: ME 8,67%, MAE 26,5%. | The constructed model can help construct clinical models for dose setting of initial vancomycin administration. |
2.3. Quality Assessment on Prediction Accuracy of Techniques Employed
| Metric | Type of statistical metric | Type of evaluation | Definition | Formula | Units | Interpretation |
| Coefficient of determination (R-squared) R² |
regression metric | accuracy or bias | proportion of the total variance of the variable explained by the regression | no units | Represents the proportion of the variance in the dependent variable which is explained by the linear regression model. Values between 0 to 1, where 1 is the best value. |
|
| Prediction error (PE) | difference | accuracy or bias | difference between the predicted and observed concentrations | concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ A lower PE indicates superior model accuracy |
|
| Prediction error percentage (PE%) | percentage metric |
accuracy or bias | percentage of PE | % | Values between 0 to 100. A lower PE% indicates superior model accuracy |
|
| Absolute prediction error (AE) | difference | accuracy or bias | difference between the predicted and observatory concentrations in absolute values. |
|
concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ A lower APE indicates superior model accuracy |
| Absolute prediction error percentage (APE or AE%) | percentage metric | accuracy or bias | percentage of APE | % | Values between 0 to 100. A lower APE% indicates superior model accuracy |
|
| Mean prediction error (ME) | media of the difference | accuracy or bias | sum of prediction errors divided by the sample size. | concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ A lower MPE indicates superior model accuracy |
|
| Mean prediction error percentage (MPE or ME%) | percentage metric | accuracy or bias | percentage of MPE | % | Values between 0 to 100. A lower MPE% indicates superior model accuracy |
|
| Mean absolute prediction error (MAE) | media of the difference | precision | sum of absolute errors divided by the sample size. | concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ A lower MAE indicates superior model accuracy. |
|
| Mean absolute prediction error percentage (MAPE or MAE%) | percentage metric | precision | percentage of MAPE | % | Values between 0 to 100. A lower MAPE% indicates superior model accuracy |
|
| Root mean squared error (RMSE) | squared root | precision | It quantifies the differences between predicted values and actual values, squaring the errors, taking the mean, and then finding the square root. It is computed by taking the square root of MSE. | concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ Lower values indicating better predictive accuracy. |
|
| Root mean squared error percentage (RMSE%) | squared root relative | precision | percentage of the RMSE | % | Values between 0 to 100. A lower RMSE% indicates superior model accuracy. |
|
| Median prediction error percentage (MDPE%) | median | precision | MDPE is found by ordering PE from smallest to largest, and using this middle value |
% | Values between 0 to 100- A lower MDPE indicates superior model accuracy. |
|
| Median absolute prediction error percentage (MDAPE%) | median | precision | MDAPE is found by ordering the APE from smallest to largest and using this middle value. |
concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ A lower MDAPE indicates superior model accuracy. |
|
| Mean relative error (MRE) | relative ratio | accuracy or bias | MRE was defined as the ratio between MAPE and the reference E-field magnitude within the corresponding target region. | no units |
Values between 0 to 1 |
|
| Mean relative error percentage (MRE% or rMPE) | relative percentage | accuracy or bias | percentage of MRE | % | Values between 0 to 100. A lower MRE% indicates superior model accuracy. |
|
| Square prediction error (SPE) | square of the difference | precision | measures the expected squared distance between what your predictor predicts for a specific value and what the true value | square concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ A lower SPE indicates a better model. |
|
| Mean square error (MSE) | mean of the difference | precision | squaring the difference between the predicted value and actual value and averaging it across the dataset. | concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ MSE increases exponentially with an increase in error. A good model will have an MSE value closer to zero. |
|
| relative mean prediction error (RMPE or rMPE) |
relative percentage | accuracy or bias | is a variant of Root MPE, gauging predictive model accuracy relative to the target variable range. | % | Value between 0 to 100. Lower rMPE shows lower deviation. |
|
| relative root mean squared error (RRMSE or rRMSE) |
relative percentage | accuracy or bias | is a variant of RMSE, gauging predictive model accuracy relative to the target variable range. | % | Value between 0 to 100. < 10% is an excellent value for RRMSE. > 30 %is a poor value for RRMSE. |

| Metric | Type of statistical metric | Type of evaluation | Definition | Formula | Units | Interpretation |
| Coefficient of determination (R-squared) R² |
regression metric | accuracy or bias | proportion of the total variance of the variable explained by the regression | no units | Represents the proportion of the variance in the dependent variable which is explained by the linear regression model. Values between 0 to 1, where 1 is the best value. |
|
| Prediction error (PE) | difference | accuracy or bias | difference between the predicted and observed concentrations | concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ A lower PE indicates superior model accuracy |
|
| Prediction error percentage (PE%) | percentage metric |
accuracy or bias | percentage of PE | % | Values between 0 to 100. A lower PE% indicates superior model accuracy |
|
| Absolute prediction error (AE) | difference | accuracy or bias | difference between the predicted and observatory concentrations in absolute values. |
|
concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ A lower APE indicates superior model accuracy |
| Absolute prediction error percentage (APE or AE%) | percentage metric | accuracy or bias | percentage of APE | % | Values between 0 to 100. A lower APE% indicates superior model accuracy |
|
| Mean prediction error (ME) | media of the difference | accuracy or bias | sum of prediction errors divided by the sample size. | concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ A lower MPE indicates superior model accuracy |
|
| Mean prediction error percentage (MPE or ME%) | percentage metric | accuracy or bias | percentage of MPE | % | Values between 0 to 100. A lower MPE% indicates superior model accuracy |
|
| Mean absolute prediction error (MAE) | media of the difference | precision | sum of absolute errors divided by the sample size. | concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ A lower MAE indicates superior model accuracy. |
|
| Mean absolute prediction error percentage (MAPE or MAE%) | percentage metric | precision | percentage of MAPE | % | Values between 0 to 100. A lower MAPE% indicates superior model accuracy |
|
| Root mean squared error (RMSE) | squared root | precision | It quantifies the differences between predicted values and actual values, squaring the errors, taking the mean, and then finding the square root. It is computed by taking the square root of MSE. | concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ Lower values indicating better predictive accuracy. |
|
| Root mean squared error percentage (RMSE%) | squared root relative | precision | percentage of the RMSE | % | Values between 0 to 100. A lower RMSE% indicates superior model accuracy. |
|
| Median prediction error percentage (MDPE%) | median | precision | MDPE is found by ordering PE from smallest to largest, and using this middle value |
% | Values between 0 to 100- A lower MDPE indicates superior model accuracy. |
|
| Median absolute prediction error percentage (MDAPE%) | median | precision | MDAPE is found by ordering the APE from smallest to largest and using this middle value. |
concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ A lower MDAPE indicates superior model accuracy. |
|
| Mean relative error (MRE) | relative ratio | accuracy or bias | MRE was defined as the ratio between MAPE and the reference E-field magnitude within the corresponding target region. | no units |
Values between 0 to 1 |
|
| Mean relative error percentage (MRE% or rMPE) | relative percentage | accuracy or bias | percentage of MRE | % | Values between 0 to 100. A lower MRE% indicates superior model accuracy. |
|
| Square prediction error (SPE) | square of the difference | precision | measures the expected squared distance between what your predictor predicts for a specific value and what the true value | square concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ A lower SPE indicates a better model. |
|
| Mean square error (MSE) | mean of the difference | precision | squaring the difference between the predicted value and actual value and averaging it across the dataset. | concentration units | Values between 0 to ∞ MSE increases exponentially with an increase in error. A good model will have an MSE value closer to zero. |
|
| relative mean prediction error (RMPE or rMPE) |
relative percentage | accuracy or bias | is a variant of Root MPE, gauging predictive model accuracy relative to the target variable range. | % | Value between 0 to 100. Lower rMPE shows lower deviation. |
|
| relative root mean squared error (RRMSE or rRMSE) |
relative percentage | accuracy or bias | is a variant of RMSE, gauging predictive model accuracy relative to the target variable range. | % | Value between 0 to 100. < 10% is an excellent value for RRMSE. > 30 %is a poor value for RRMSE. |
3. Discussion
4. Material and Methods
4.1. Objectives
4.2. Search Strategy
4.3. Eligibility Criteria
4.4. Data Extraction
4.5. Synthesis of Results
5. Conclusions and Future Perspectives
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
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