Submitted:
24 October 2024
Posted:
25 October 2024
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Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. Background
3. Evaluation of Greenhouse Gas Reduction
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(1) |
| ERy | is amount of greenhouse gas emission reduction from project implementation in year y (tCO2eq per year). |
| BEy | is emission of baseline in year y (tCO2eq per year). |
| PEy | is emission of project in year y (tCO2eq per year). |
![]() |
(2) |
| BEEG,y | is amount of greenhouse gas emissions from electricity generation of grid in year y (tCO2eq per year). |
| EGPJ,y | is amount of electricity produced from the photovoltaic system in year y (kWh per year). |
| EFgrid | is greenhouse gas emissions from electricity generation of grid (tCO2eq per MWh). |
4. Thailand Policy
4.1. Thailand National Economic and Social Development Plan
4.2. Thailand Integrated Energy Blueprint
4.3. Net Zero Emission, and Carbon Neutrality
5. Economic Analysis Index
5.1. Net Present Value
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(3) |
| Bt | is return/year. |
| Ct | is cost/year. |
| C0 | is first year cost. |
| i | is rate of discount. |
5.2. Internal Rate of Return
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(4) |
| r | is IRR. |
5.3. Benefit Cost Ratio
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(5) |
5.4. Payback Period
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(6) |
6. Case Study
6.1. Evaluation of Quantity and Value of Carbon Credits


6.2. The Economic Analysis
| Year | Cost | Benefit | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investment (Baht) |
O&M (Baht) |
Benefit (Baht) |
Cost of Carbon Credit (Baht) | |
| 0 | 5,827,220 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 735,693.31 | 4,557.66 |
| 2 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 731,646.99 | 4,532.60 |
| 3 | 0.00 | 44,940.00 | 727,600.68 | 4,507.53 |
| 4 | 0.00 | 44,940.00 | 723,554.37 | 4,482.46 |
| 5 | 0.00 | 44,940.00 | 719,508.05 | 4,457.40 |
| 6 | 0.00 | 44,940.00 | 715,461.74 | 4,432.33 |
| 7 | 0.00 | 44,940.00 | 711,415.43 | 4,407.26 |
| 8 | 0.00 | 44,940.00 | 707,369.11 | 4,382.19 |
| 9 | 0.00 | 44,940.00 | 703,322.80 | 4,357.13 |
| 10 | 0.00 | 44,940.00 | 699,276.49 | 4,332.06 |
| 11 | 0.00 | 44,940.00 | 695,230.17 | 4,306.99 |
| 12 | 0.00 | 44,940.00 | 691,183.86 | 4,281.93 |
| 13 | 0.00 | 44,940.00 | 687,137.55 | 4,256.86 |
| 14 | 0.00 | 44,940.00 | 683,091.24 | 4,231.79 |
| 15 | 0.00 | 44,940.00 | 679,044.92 | 4,206.72 |
| 16 | 0.00 | 44,940.00 | 674,998.61 | 4,181.66 |
| 17 | 0.00 | 44,940.00 | 670,952.30 | 4,156.59 |
| 18 | 0.00 | 44,940.00 | 666,905.98 | 4,131.52 |
| 19 | 0.00 | 44,940.00 | 662,859.67 | 4,106.46 |
| 20 | 0.00 | 44,940.00 | 658,813.36 | 4,081.39 |
| 21 | 0.00 | 44,940.00 | 654,767.04 | 4,056.32 |
| 22 | 0.00 | 44,940.00 | 650,720.73 | 4,031.25 |
| 23 | 0.00 | 44,940.00 | 646,674.42 | 4,006.19 |
| 24 | 0.00 | 44,940.00 | 642,628.10 | 3,981.12 |
| 25 | 0.00 | 44,940.00 | 638,581.79 | 3,956.05 |
| Total | 5,827,220 | 1,033,620 | 17,178,438.71 | 106,421.45 |
6.3. The Analysis Benefit Same Area
7. Conclusion
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Energy plan | Objective |
|---|---|
| AEDP | In 2036 increase renewable energy usage to 20%. |
| EEDP | In 2036 decrease 30% of energy intensity compared to 2010. |
| PDP | To enhance capacity of electricity generation to be sufficient with consumption in future. |
| Gas Plan | Management and provision of natural gas usage to adequately meet future demand. |
| Oil Plan | Management of the optimal level of petroleum consumption and reserves. |
| Year | Electrical energy produced (kW) |
Quantity of Carbon Credits (tCO2eq) |
Value of Carbon Credits (Baht) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 200,378.00 | 97.32 | 4,557.66 |
| 2 | 199,275.92 | 96.79 | 4,532.60 |
| 3 | 198,173.84 | 96.25 | 4,507.53 |
| 4 | 197,071.76 | 95.72 | 4,482.46 |
| 5 | 195,969.68 | 95.18 | 4,457.40 |
| 6 | 194,867.61 | 94.65 | 4,432.33 |
| 7 | 193,765.53 | 94.11 | 4,407.26 |
| 8 | 192,663.45 | 93.58 | 4,382.19 |
| 9 | 191,561.37 | 93.04 | 4,357.13 |
| 10 | 190,459.29 | 92.51 | 4,332.06 |
| 11 | 189,357.21 | 91.97 | 4,306.99 |
| 12 | 188,255.13 | 91.44 | 4,281.93 |
| 13 | 187,153.05 | 90.90 | 4,256.86 |
| 14 | 186,050.97 | 90.36 | 4,231.79 |
| 15 | 184,948.89 | 89.83 | 4,206.72 |
| 16 | 183,846.82 | 89.29 | 4,181.66 |
| 17 | 182,744.74 | 88.76 | 4,156.59 |
| 18 | 181,642.66 | 88.22 | 4,131.52 |
| 19 | 180,540.58 | 87.69 | 4,106.46 |
| 20 | 179,438.50 | 87.15 | 4,081.39 |
| 21 | 178,336.42 | 86.62 | 4,056.32 |
| 22 | 177,234.34 | 86.08 | 4,031.25 |
| 23 | 176,132.26 | 85.55 | 4,006.19 |
| 24 | 175,030.18 | 85.01 | 3,981.12 |
| 25 | 173,928.10 | 84.48 | 3,956.05 |
| Total | 4,678,826.30 | 2,175.18 | 106,421.45 |
| Year | Electrical energy produced (kW) |
Quantity of Carbon Credits (tCO2eq) |
Value of Carbon Credits (Baht) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35,047.00 | 17.02 | 797.16 |
| 2 | 34,854.24 | 16.93 | 792.77 |
| 3 | 34,661.48 | 16.84 | 788.39 |
| 4 | 34,468.72 | 16.74 | 784.00 |
| 5 | 34,275.97 | 16.65 | 779.62 |
| 6 | 34,083.21 | 16.55 | 775.23 |
| 7 | 33,890.45 | 16.46 | 770.85 |
| 8 | 33,697.69 | 16.37 | 766.47 |
| 9 | 33,504.93 | 16.27 | 762.08 |
| 10 | 33,312.17 | 16.18 | 757.70 |
| 11 | 33,119.42 | 16.09 | 753.31 |
| 12 | 32,926.66 | 15.99 | 748.93 |
| 13 | 32,733.90 | 15.90 | 744.54 |
| 14 | 32,541.14 | 15.81 | 740.16 |
| 15 | 32,348.38 | 15.71 | 735.77 |
| 16 | 32,155.62 | 15.62 | 731.39 |
| 17 | 31,962.86 | 15.52 | 727.01 |
| 18 | 31,770.11 | 15.43 | 722.62 |
| 19 | 31,577.35 | 15.34 | 718.24 |
| 20 | 31,384.59 | 15.24 | 713.85 |
| 21 | 31,191.83 | 15.15 | 709.47 |
| 22 | 30,999.07 | 15.06 | 705.08 |
| 23 | 30,806.31 | 14.96 | 700.70 |
| 24 | 30,613.55 | 14.87 | 696.32 |
| 25 | 30,420.80 | 14.78 | 691.93 |
| Total | 818,347.45 | 397.47 | 18,613.58 |
| Case | NPV (Baht) | IRR (%) | B/C Ratio | Payback Period (Year) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 246,849.61 (FNPV) | 10.57 (FIRR) | 2.771 | 8.493 |
| 2 | 268,718.29 (ENPV) | 10.62 (EIRR) | 2.776 | 8.445 |
| 3 | 279,502.01 (ENPV) | 10.65 (EIRR) | 2.781 | 8.436 |
| 4 | 286,522.75 (ENPV) | 10.66 (EIRR) | 2.789 | 8.436 |
| Year | Cost | Benefit | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investment (Baht) |
O&M (Baht) |
Benefit (Baht) |
Cost of Carbon Credit (Baht) | |
| 0 | 1,766,336 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 128,676.02 | 797.16 |
| 2 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 127,968.30 | 792.77 |
| 3 | 0.00 | 11,280.00 | 127,260.58 | 788.39 |
| 4 | 0.00 | 11,280.00 | 126,552.86 | 784.00 |
| 5 | 0.00 | 11,280.00 | 125,845.15 | 779.62 |
| 6 | 0.00 | 11,280.00 | 125,137.43 | 775.23 |
| 7 | 0.00 | 11,280.00 | 124,429.71 | 770.85 |
| 8 | 0.00 | 11,280.00 | 123,721.99 | 766.47 |
| 9 | 0.00 | 11,280.00 | 123,014.27 | 762.08 |
| 10 | 0.00 | 11,280.00 | 122,306.56 | 757.70 |
| 11 | 0.00 | 11,280.00 | 121,598.84 | 753.31 |
| 12 | 0.00 | 11,280.00 | 120,891.12 | 748.93 |
| 13 | 0.00 | 11,280.00 | 120,183.40 | 744.54 |
| 14 | 0.00 | 11,280.00 | 119,475.68 | 740.16 |
| 15 | 0.00 | 11,280.00 | 118,767.97 | 735.77 |
| 16 | 0.00 | 11,280.00 | 118,060.25 | 731.39 |
| 17 | 0.00 | 11,280.00 | 117,352.53 | 727.01 |
| 18 | 0.00 | 11,280.00 | 116,644.81 | 722.62 |
| 19 | 0.00 | 11,280.00 | 115,937.09 | 718.24 |
| 20 | 0.00 | 11,280.00 | 115,229.37 | 713.85 |
| 21 | 0.00 | 11,280.00 | 114,521.66 | 709.47 |
| 22 | 0.00 | 11,280.00 | 113,813.94 | 705.08 |
| 23 | 0.00 | 11,280.00 | 113,106.22 | 700.70 |
| 24 | 0.00 | 11,280.00 | 112,398.50 | 696.32 |
| 25 | 0.00 | 11,280.00 | 111,690.78 | 691.93 |
| Total | 1,766,336 | 259,440.00 | 3,004,585.04 | 18,613.58 |
| Case | NPV (Baht) | IRR (%) | B/C Ratio | Payback Period (Year) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | -729,060.75 (FNPV) | 3.88 (FIRR) | 1.554 | 15.535 |
| 2 | -725,235.82 (ENPV) | 3.91 (EIRR) | 1.557 | 15.484 |
| 3 | -723,349.70 (ENPV) | 3.92 (EIRR) | 1.560 | 15.434 |
| 4 | -722,121.74 (ENPV) | 3.95 (EIRR) | 1.565 | 15.425 |
| Case | Payback Period of 25.68 kWp System (Year) |
Payback period of 25.68 kWp system, when combined profit of 149.80 kWp System (Year) |
Comparison payback period of 25.68 kWp system, when combined profit of 149.80 kWp System (Year) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15.535 | 10.495 | 5.040 |
| 2 | 15.484 | 10.447 | 5.037 |
| 3 | 15.434 | 10.431 | 5.003 |
| 4 | 15.425 | 10.431 | 4.994 |
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