Submitted:
29 August 2024
Posted:
06 September 2024
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Abstract
Keywords:
- AI-Driven Scalability and Financial Performance: AI-driven scalable networks can significantly boost traditional firms’ financial performance, particularly by improving EBITDA, thereby enhancing their bankability and investor appeal
- ESG Integration with AI: Incorporating ESG considerations into AI investments not only boosts operational efficiency but also aligns firms with sustainability goals, leading to improved market valuation and long-term financial stability
- Innovative “With-or-Without” Analysis: A comparative “with-or-without” model demonstrates the clear benefits of AI and ESG integration, highlighting significant gains in revenue, cost efficiency, and overall financial performance for firms adopting these technologies.
1. Introduction
2. Literature Review
A) AI and Network Scalability
B) The Impact of AI on Business Models and Value Creation
C) The Link between AI and ESG Parameters
D) The Relationship between Bankability and Market Valuation
Research Gaps Addressed
3. Methodology
- The AI bridging properties ease the interaction among the stakeholders, fostering the incentive to co-create and share the additional value.
- AI-driven cost savings positively impact financial and economic marginality (proxied by the EBITDA and other parameters), improving the networking interaction of the stakeholders.
- With-or-without cost-benefit analysis captures EBITDA improvements that eventually increase value.
- Better economic/financial marginality, driven by AI adoption, also improves the ESG patterns.
- The additional value “pie” eventually improves the bankability.
4. AI-powered Scalable Networks (H1)

5. AI-Driven and Scalable Multilayer Networks: A Mathematical Formulation
- Big data are AI-driven and fully compatible with digitized multilayer networks.
- The impact of AI disseminated in the different layers reinforces the commercial relationships between traditional companies. Moreover, this effect grows when considering multilayer networks as layers, stressing the importance of connecting copula nodes.
- The ESG metrics (examined in Section 6) may strongly contribute to better-explaining multilayer networks and their connecting copula nodes (all describing an overall economically sustainable system linked to value creation patterns and bankability issues).
- AI-driven scalability, examined through multilayer network analysis, is fully compatible with the “with-or-without” incremental approach (analyzed in Section 7), which illustrates value creation and, consequently, improved firm bankability.
5.1. Introduction
5.2. Scalable AI and ESG Parameters Reinterpreted with Multilayer Networks

5.2.1. Defining a Multilayer Network
- is the set of layers. Obviously,
-
is the ordered set (list) of networks, where is the network in layer α ():
- ∘
- is the set of nodes of , being .
- ∘
- is the set of links connecting nodes within (intralinks).
-
is the list of paired networks ():
- ∘
- is the set of nodes of .
- ∘
- is the set of nodes of .
- ∘
- is the set of links connecting nodes within with nodes in (interlinks).
5.3. Multilayer Networks in the Context of AI and ESG







5.4. A Graphical Representation of AI-Driven Multilayer Networks
- The yellow arrow represents the relationship between companies and managers (agents).
- The green arrow represents the relationship between companies and owners (principals).
- The red arrow denotes the relationship between companies and banks (bankability).
- The orange arrow denotes the relationship between companies and other shareholders (customers (innovation), individual investors, syndicates, etc.).
- An increment of the probabilities of business volumes, i.e., each (probability of a business relationship between companies i and j) becomes , with .
-
AI favors the transitivity of the relationships between companies and so the transitive closure of all intralayer and interlayer relationships, leading to new edges:
- ∘
- The intralayer connectivity increases, i.e., for every layer and every node i in, it becomes with.
- ∘
- The interlayer connectivity increases, i.e., for every layer α and β, and for every node i in , becomes , with .
- The layers become new nodes, so the concept of a “network of layers” arises. These new nodes and edges differ from the formerly existing ones. According to the principle of preferential attachment (Barabási and Albert, 1999), to convert the network of layers into a usual multilayer, it is necessary to consider that the nodes with higher connectivity in each layer are likely to become interlayer edges. For example, in Figure 2, nodes B, C, D, and E in the layer ; nodes P and R in the layer ; nodes 3 and 5 in the layer ; α, β and δ in the layer ; and d in layer exhibit more connectivity (in + out). Therefore, independently from the transitive closure (displayed in Figure 15, in red), the former network of layers becomes the multilayer network shown in Figure 16 by adding new edges (in red).
- Add new edges by applying the transitive closure, and then the principle of preferential attachment can continue, resulting in a successive increase in total edges.
| A | B | C | D | E | M | N | P | Q | R | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | α | β | γ | δ | a | b | c | d | e | f | g | h | |
| A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| C | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| E | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| N | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| P | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| Q | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| R | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| α | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| β | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| γ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| δ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| a | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| b | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| c | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| d | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| e | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| f | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| g | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| h | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| A | B | C | D | E | M | N | P | Q | R | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | α | β | γ | δ | a | b | c | d | e | f | g | h | |
| A | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| B | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| C | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| D | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| E | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| M | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| N | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| P | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Q | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| α | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| β | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| γ | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| δ | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| a | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| b | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| c | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| d | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| g | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| h | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| A | B | C | D | E | M | N | P | Q | R | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | α | β | γ | δ | a | b | c | d | e | f | g | h | |
| A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| C | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| E | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| N | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| P | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| Q | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| R | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| α | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| β | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| γ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| δ | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| a | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| b | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| c | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| d | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| e | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| f | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| g | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| h | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| A | B | C | D | E | M | N | P | Q | R | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | α | β | γ | δ | a | b | c | d | e | f | g | h | |
| A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| C | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| E | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| M | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| N | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| P | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| Q | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||
| R | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| α | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| β | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||
| γ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| δ | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||
| a | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||
| b | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| c | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| d | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| e | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| f | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| g | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| h | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| Node | Connectivities | ||
| First step | Second step | Third step | |
| A | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| B | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| C | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| D | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| E | 2 | 6 | 6 |
| M | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| N | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| P | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Q | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| R | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 1 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | 4 | 8 | 8 |
| 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | 5 | 9 | 9 |
| 5 | 7 | 11 | 15 |
| α | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| β | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| γ | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| δ | 3 | 8 | 8 |
| a | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| b | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| c | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| d | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| e | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| f | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| g | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| h | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total connectivities | 61 | 99 | 112 |
| Increment (absolute values) | - | 38 | 51 |
| Increment (%) | - | 62.30% | 83.61% |
6. AI-Driven ESG Value (H2)
7. The “with-or-without” Model
- Higher margins improve the firm’s overall sustainability, with a cascade benefit for all the involved stakeholders, including banks and their debt service.
- AI may conveniently master the value-adding “pie” sharing among the stakeholders, igniting a value co-creation process.
- A scenario with +10% revenues / −5% costs.
- A scenario with +5% revenues / −2.5% costs.

8. The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Bankability
- a)
- Sustainable cash flow follows AI’s enhancements, encompassing increased revenue and streamlined cost management, resulting in a consistent and lasting financial inflow for the organization. The sustainable cash flow generated by the firm can be attributed to AI’s positive impacts on various aspects of the business, ensuring a stable and reliable financial foundation.
- b)
- Effective resource management: Adopting AI enables firms to manage their resources more effectively, optimize their operations, and reduce wasteful practices.
- c)
- Enhanced profitability: AI-driven initiatives, such as revenue growth and cost optimization, can boost a firm’s profitability.
- d)
- Improved risk management uses AI, which is crucial in enhancing the effectiveness of risk assessment and mitigation strategies.
- e)
- Data-driven decision-making: By embracing this method, companies can bolster their capacity to evaluate prevailing market dynamics, pinpoint potential openings for growth, and distribute resources more efficiently.
- f)
- Adaptability to market challenges: AI technologies’ scalability and flexibility empower businesses to swiftly pivot and adjust their strategies in response to dynamic market conditions and challenges, akin to a skilled magician seamlessly performing a series of mesmerizing tricks with finesse and precision.
- AI generates scalable patterns that eventually improve the EBITDA of traditional firms, thus backing their bankability.
- The ESG impact is controversial and may negatively affect bankability at first due to initial investment and sunk costs that need time for reimbursement.
- Impact-oriented banks/investors and public subsidies may support sustainable investments, quickening the payback.
- Industry specificity does matter and needs careful fine-tuning.
9. Discussion
10. Conclusion
Author Contributions
Funding
Data availability
Competing Interests
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- Inizio modulo.









| Impact of Artificial Intelligence | ||||||
| Absolute figures | Percentages | |||||
| Base case | Sales + 5% | Sales + 10% | Sales + 5% | Sales + 10% | ||
| Opex – 2.5% | Opex – 5% | Opex – 2.5% | Opex – 5% | |||
| A | B | C | B versus A | C versus A | ||
| Average Sales t1-t3 | € 36.410.000 | € 39.933.750 | € 43.680.000 | 9,7% | 20,0% | |
| Average Opex t1-t3 | € 32.040.800 | € 34.263.158 | € 36.516.480 | 6,9% | 14,0% | |
| Average EBITDA t1-t3 | € 4.369.200 | € 5.670.593 | € 7.163.520 | 29,8% | 64,0% | |
| Average Net result t1-t3 | € 2.108.202 | € 2.988.064 | € 4.001.567 | 41,7% | 89,8% | |
| Average Cash & Banks t1-t3 | € 2.239.665 | € 3.626.942 | € 5.188.288 | 61,9% | 131,7% | |
| Average Equity t1-t3 | € 7.707.890 | € 9.309.094 | € 11.115.853 | 20,8% | 44,2% | |
| Equity Value (DCF) | € 37.975.646 | € 49.502.507 | € 62.669.415 | 30,4% | 65,0% | |
| Equity Value (Multiples) | € 34.711.291 | € 45.330.654 | € 57.512.942 | 30,6% | 65,7% | |
| Enterprise Value (DCF) | € 38.917.026 | € 50.443.888 | € 63.610.796 | 29,6% | 63,5% | |
| Enterprise Value (Multiples) | € 35.652.672 | € 46.272.035 | € 58.454.323 | 29,8% | 64,0% | |
| Financial Leverage (average) | 0,61 | 0,52 | 0,45 | -14,8% | −26,3% | |
| EBITDA / negative interests (average) | 29,13 | 37,80 | 47,76 | 29,8% | 64,0% | |
| Debt Service Cover Ratio (average) | 0,92 | 1,20 | 1,52 | 30,1% | 64,5% | |
| Net Present Value (project) | € 9.908.305 | € 12.819.748 | € 16.137.286 | 29,4% | 62,9% | |
| Net Present Value (equity) | € 3.403.165 | € 5.056.306 | € 6.941.284 | 48,6% | 104,0% | |
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