Submitted:
01 September 2024
Posted:
02 September 2024
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Abstract
Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. Estimation Study
2.1. Generalized Bayesian estimation
2.2. Generalized Empirical Bayesian Estimation
3. One Sample Prediction
4. Numerical Study
- We consider two values for based on the hyperparameters and respectively, is obtained as the mean of gamma distribution (5).
- Generate one sample from and with size , and choosing .
- For EB, we use MLE to compute , where the results MLE based on and are shown in Table 1.
- For the Monte Carlo simulations we use replicates, therefore the estimator , and the estimated risk,
- Using (7) and (15), the estimation results are obtained and expressed by the estimator and ER for different values of LRP, where .
- Prediction results are based on one sample from and with size , the number of observations is we then compute the GBP, GEBP bounds and its lengths at for the future values with using (19).
| = 0.5 | = 3 | ||
| (25, 20) (100, 50) (100, 75) (100, 100) |
(4.56, 8.41) | (10.883, 3.756) | |
| (4.253, 8.25) | (10.3955, 3.657) | ||
| (4.642, 9.134) | (11.6707, 3.81) | ||
| (5.153, 10.2) | (11.9567, 4) |
| 50 75 100 |
0.1 | 0.5028 | 0.0005 | 0.5096 | 0.0036 |
| 0.5024 | 0.0004 | 0.5058 | 0.0030 | ||
| 0.5022 | 0.0002 | 0.5037 | 0.0016 | ||
| 50 75 100 |
0.5 | 0.5072 | 0.0029 | 0.5097 | 0.0060 |
| 0.5056 | 0.0013 | 0.5059 | 0.0036 | ||
| 0.5041 | 0.0006 | 0.5046 | 0.0025 | ||
| 50 75 100 |
1 | 0.5083 | 0.0035 | 0.5099 | 0.0076 |
| 0.5061 | 0.0018 | 0.5064 | 0.0039 | ||
| 0.5045 | 0.0013 | 0.5049 | 0.0026 | ||
| 50 75 100 |
2 | 0.5096 | 0.0043 | 0.5103 | 0.0099 |
| 0.5062 | 0.0021 | 0.5066 | 0.0048 | ||
| 0.5050 | 0.0016 | 0.5051 | 0.0032 |
| s | length | length | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 23 25 |
0.1 | (3.0731,5.0055) | 1.9324 | (3.0726, 4.9361) | 1.8635 |
| (3.3535,8.6084) | 5.2549 | (3.3363, 8.4412) | 5.1049 | ||
| (4.2030,18.4935) | 14.2905 | (4.1332,18.0386) | 13.9054 | ||
| 21 23 25 |
0.5 | (3.0731,4.7355) | 1.6624 | (3.0729, 4.7010) | 1.6281 |
| (3.3667,7.6165) | 4.2498 | (3.3589, 7.5285) | 4.1696 | ||
| (4.2789,15.6562) | 11.3773 | (4.2475,15.4145) | 11.1670 | ||
| 21 23 25 |
1 | (3.0731,4.6526) | 1.5795 | (3.0730, 4.6318) | 1.5588 |
| (3.3718,7.3151) | 3.9433 | (3.3672, 7.2613) | 3.8941 | ||
| (4.3107,14.8007) | 10.4900 | (4.2918,14.6528) | 10.3610 | ||
| 21 23 25 |
2 | (3.0731,4.6000) | 1.5269 | (3.0730, 4.5887) | 1.5157 |
| (3.3754,7.1258) | 3.7504 | (3.3728, 7.0957) | 3.7229 | ||
| (4.3332,14.2663) | 9.9331 | (4.3229,14.1833) | 9.8604 |
| 50 75 100 |
0.1 | 3.0079 | 0.0048 | 2.8975 | 0.0072 |
| 3.0078 | 0.0024 | 3.0443 | 0.0060 | ||
| 3.0076 | 0.0016 | 3.0014 | 0.0046 | ||
| 50 75 100 |
0.5 | 3.0317 | 0.0416 | 2.9815 | 0.0218 |
| 3.0260 | 0.0220 | 3.0383 | 0.0167 | ||
| 3.0198 | 0.0054 | 3.0172 | 0.0132 | ||
| 50 75 100 |
1 | 3.0427 | 0.0256 | 3.0115 | 0.0397 |
| 3.0316 | 0.0209 | 3.0387 | 0.0229 | ||
| 3.0257 | 0.0137 | 3.0230 | 0.0207 | ||
| 50 75 100 |
2 | 3.0529 | 0.0434 | 3.0356 | 0.0743 |
| 3.0353 | 0.0313 | 3.0393 | 0.0551 | ||
| 3.0287 | 0.0253 | 3.0254 | 0.0378 |
| .s | length | length | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 23 25 |
0.1 | (0.5127,0.8032) | 0.2905 | (0.5127,0.8043) | 0.2916 |
| (0.5609,1.3189) | 0.7580 | (0.5628,1.3151) | 0.7523 | ||
| (0.7094,2.7496) | 2.0402 | (0.7178,2.7366) | 2.0188 | ||
| 21 23 25 |
0.5 | (0.5127,0.7824) | 0.2697 | (0.5127,0.7849) | 0.2722 |
| (0.5621,1.2431) | 0.6810 | (0.5632,1.2476) | 0.6844 | ||
| (0.7164,2.534) | 1.8176 | (0.7212,2.5455) | 1.8243 | ||
| 21 23 25 |
1 | (0.5127,0.7732) | 0.2605 | (0.5127,0.7754) | 0.2627 |
| (0.5627,1.2098) | 0.6471 | (0.5634,1.2148) | 0.6514 | ||
| (0.7201,2.4395) | 1.7194 | (0.7232,2.4527) | 1.7295 | ||
| 21 23 25 |
2 | (0.5127,0.7664) | 0.2537 | (0.5127,0.7680) | 0.2553 |
| (0.5631,1.1851) | 0.6220 | (0.5636,1.1889) | 0.6253 | ||
| (0.7231,2.3697) | 1.6466 | (0.7249,2.3801) | 1.6552 |
5. Discussion and Conclusion
5.1. The Result of Distribution
- Both of GBE and GEBE become better for small value of LRP but for the large value of , that means getting the best result at and (complete sample).
- GBP and GEBP becomes better for large value of LRP, that means getting the best result at and .
- The result of GBE is better than that of GEBE but the result of GEBP is better than that of GBP.
- Small values of LRP give the best result for GBE but vice versa for GEBP.
5.2. The Result of Distribution
- GBE becomes better for small value of LRP but for the large value of , that means getting the best result at and (complete sample).
- GEBE becomes better for small value of LRP but for the large value of , except for , the results are better for .
- The best result of GEBE at and
- The result of GBE is better than that of GEBE.
- GBP and GEBP becomes better for large value of LRP, that means getting the best result at and .
- The result of GBE is better than that of GEBE and the result of GBP is better than that of GEBP.
- Small values of LRP give the best result for GBE but vice versa for GEBP.
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